#XAUUSD:Will Further Escalation In Middle East Support The BullsGold was retested on Friday after USD data came out in support of the USD. The DXY rose back strongly, leading many USD pairs to melt heavily. Furthermore, the gold price dropped to the 2633 region and then retested a few more times before ranging between 2633 and 2658. Now, since the last three daily candles closed with strong wick rejections, we believe the price is likely to continue going up, up until 2730.
Fundamentals and technical analysis support our view since the ongoing conflict in the Middle East is likely to worsen in the coming days. That will likely raise concerns among investors worldwide.
If you like the idea, please like and comment. Let's discuss the idea in the comment box.Gold was reassessed on Friday following the release of USD data that favored the USD. The DXY experienced a significant increase, causing several USD pairs to decline sharply. Furthermore, the gold price fell to the 2633 region and underwent multiple retests before fluctuating between 2633 and 2658. Given that the last three daily candles closed with notable wick rejections, we anticipate a continued upward trend in the price, potentially reaching 2730.
Our perspective is supported by both fundamental and technical analyses. The ongoing conflict in the Middle East is expected to escalate in the coming days, potentially generating increased investor apprehension worldwide.
If you find this analysis valuable, please indicate your approval by liking and commenting. We encourage a constructive discussion of this concept in the comment section.
Xauusdforecast
XAUUSD 1H BUY PROJECTION 03.10.24Reason for Bullish
Several media outlets reported that Israel delivered a harsh response to the recent Iranian attack by bombing central Beirut in the early hours of Thursday. Lebanese security officials said that three missiles also struck the southern suburb of Dahiyeh, the place of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah's killing. Lebanese health officials also reported that multiple people were injured following Israel’s strike in Beirut.
Iranian forces on Tuesday used hypersonic Fattah missiles for the first time and 90% of its missiles successfully hit their targets in Israel. Tehran said this attack was in response to Israeli killings of militant leaders and aggression in Lebanon against the Iran-backed armed movement Hezbollah and in Gaza.
Despite the increasing risks of the Israel-Iran conflict turning into a wider regional war in the Middle East, Gold price is struggling to capitalize on the risk-off flows, as diminishing odds of a 50 basis points (bps) interest rate cut by the Fed in November keep the sentiment around the US Dollar underpinned at the expense of the non-interest-bearing Gold price.
XAUUSD 1H BUY PROJECTION 01.10.24Reason for gold bullish
However, geopolitical tensions, inflation concerns, and market uncertainty are among the major triggers that have helped yellow metal maintain an uptrend in 2024. They said that gold prices are expected to remain bullish and touch $2,640 and $2,660 per troy ounce soon.
XAUUSD 1H SELL PROJECTION 01.10.24Reason for sell
Central banks hold paper currencies and gold in reserve. As central banks diversify their monetary reserves (away from the paper currencies they accumulate and into gold) the price of gold typically rises. Many of the world’s nations have reserves that are composed primarily of gold.
Bloomberg reported that global central banks have been buying the most gold since the United States abandoned the gold standard in 1971, with 2019 figures dipping just modestly from 2018’s 50-year record.
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After a downtick in central bank gold purchases in 2020, the pace picked up again in 2021 and surpassed the 50-year record again in 2022. 2023 also saw a significant growth in central bank gold reserves.
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The top gold buyer in 2022 was the central bank of Türkiye, followed by Uzbekistan, India, and Qatar. The top gold buyers in 2023 were China, Singapore, and the Czech Republic.
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Silver Bullion. "Top 5 Countries That Were Net Buyers of Gold in 2023."
GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:5 RISK REWARD GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:5 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
XAUUSD 1H SELL PROJECTION 18.09.24old buyers regain control, as the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains comfortably above the 50 level, having eased off from near the overbought territory.
The optimism prevails so long as they defend the one-and-a-half-month-old symmetrical triangle target now support at $2,560.
That said, the immediate resistance is seen at the record high of $2,590, above which the $2,600 level will be tested.
Acceptance above that level will call for a test of the $2,650 psychological barrier.
If the Fed disappoints the doves, Gold price could witness a fresh sell-off, which could challenge the August 20 high of $2,532.
Additional declines will threaten the 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $2,522, below which the $2,500 mark will be on sellers’ radars.
Update plan XAU before FOMC p.2"We can see that the level of 2560, which I identified yesterday, has been filled completely. Currently, the gold price is at...
Pay attention to the buy entry: 2544 - 2548, everyone! Stoploss: 2542.
If this order reacts strongly upwards, then move the stoploss to the entry point to break even and hold the position through today's FOMC."
XAUUSD 1H BUY PROJECTION 17.09.24XAUUSD can be influenced by global news and economic data releases, but its price does not fluctuate as rapidly as that of stocks, cryptocurrencies and other risky assets. In times of economic uncertainty, investors use gold to save their funds. Knowing their funds are safe.
Is Gold HH confirmed ?Gold is trading at record high with no sign of bearishness expecting Gold to go Higher High . But we have very important fed minute ahead FOMC , If Fed cuts rate by more than 0.5% will see atleast 2621-2650 and further even 2700.
This idea is valid only if it not breaks 2600 Levels
If rate cuts by only 0.25% we will see some correction but its a buy on every dips market .
Check my 4H analysis too which already shared.
Disclaimer : Trading involves a significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors , This idea is meant for education purpose only , do your own research before risking your account.
XAUUSD 4H SWING SELL PROJECTION 13.09.24Technical Reason for Gold Sell
You're looking for technical reasons to sell gold. Here are a few:
1. Overbought conditions: If gold's Relative Strength Index (RSI) exceeds 70, it may be due for a correction.
2. Trend line break: A break below a key trend line, like the 50-day moving average, could signal a sell.
3. Chart patterns: A head and shoulders pattern or a double top could indicate a reversal.
4. Fundamental changes: A strengthening US dollar, rising interest rates, or improved economic conditions could reduce gold's appeal.
Keep in mind that technical analysis is not foolproof, and it's essential to combine it with fundamental analysis and market news. Would you like more information on gold trading?
XAUUSD 1H BUY PROJECTION Reason for Bullish
Interest Rate Cuts and Economic Indicators
Two Federal Reserve policymakers voiced their opinion on Tuesday, stating it would be “reasonable” to expect three interest rate cuts in the U.S. within the year. This perspective comes despite a backdrop of robust economic indicators, which have led some investors to question the feasibility of such moves. The anticipation of interest rate adjustments is a critical factor influencing financial markets and investment strategies.
Surge in Gold Prices
The price of gold has surged over 10% since the start of the year, cementing its status as a preferred hedge against inflation and a sanctuary amid political and economic uncertainty. This significant uptick is largely due to considerable purchases by central banks and a rising demand for safe-haven assets.
Gold and Silver Prices Today
As of April 5th, 2024, the precious metals market has observed noteworthy movements. Gold prices have reached new highs, driven by global trends and market dynamics, reflecting the continuous appeal of gold as an investment.
U.S. Economic Outlook
Recent data indicates a slowdown in the growth of the U.S. services industry for March, with a concurrent reduction in the prices businesses pay for inputs, hitting a four-year low. These developments suggest a potentially favorable outlook for inflation, influencing investment decisions and monetary policy.
XAUUSD 15M ASCENDING TRIANGLE BUY PROJECTION 09.09.24Reason for Bullish
Key Takeaways
The trendlines of a triangle need to run along at least two swing highs and two swing lows.
Ascending triangles are considered a continuation pattern, as the price will typically break out of the triangle in the price direction prevailing before the triangle, although this won't always occur. A breakout in any direction is noteworthy.
A long trade is taken if the price breaks above the top of the pattern.
A short trade is taken if the price breaks below the lower trendline.
A stop loss is typically placed just outside the pattern on the opposite side from the breakout.
A profit target is calculated by taking the height of the triangle, at its thickest point, and adding or subtracting that to/from the breakout point.
XAUUSD/GOLD NFP NEWS FORCAST 06.09.24The Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report is a monthly US labor market indicator that measures the number of jobs added or lost in the previous month. The NFP report is released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics and is usually available on the first Friday of each month.
The NFP report is a significant economic indicator that can have a big impact on the global financial markets. Here are some reasons why the NFP report is important:
Forex market
The NFP report is one of the most significant news announcements in the foreign exchange (forex) market, causing large movements in the market.
Interest rate policy
The Federal Reserve pays close attention to the NFP report when setting interest rate policy.
Economic expansion
Increasing NFP numbers may indicate economic expansion, but they may also be a sign of inflation.
Economic concerns
Decreasing NFP numbers may indicate broader economic concerns.
There are two ways to trade the NFP report:
Before the release
Use deductive reasoning to predict the market's direction before the NFP number is released.
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION 06.09.24The behavior of gold around the 20-Day line, along with the bull breakout of the triangle, the accompanying long-term bull trend breakout to new record highs, followed by a minor pullback that holds above key support, are all bullish technical signs. They point to an eventual continuation of the bull trend
XAUUSD 2560Golden Information
Gold prices fell during the North American session as traders returned to their desks following the Labor Day holiday. Data from the United States (US) hinted that business activity contracted, though traders bought the Greenback. The XAU/USD trades at $2,490, down 0.34%.
Gold prices fall despite stronger US Dollar amid economic slowdown signs.
US ISM Manufacturing PMI remains in contraction; employment sub-component improvement offers market some relief.
Despite a drop in 10-year Treasury yields to 3.84%, Gold only briefly recovers after dipping to $2,473.
Price Tag
1. >>2440>>>
2. >>2535>>>
3. >>Short-term up>>2630
#XAU End of short-term adjustments, continuing the upward trend.XAUUSD Gold Analysis for September 4, 2024:
Yesterday, September 3, 2024, the gold price adjusted down as anticipated, currently forming a bottom at 2473, with two bottoms appearing on the H4 chart, indicating a high likelihood of creating a new peak and continuing the upward trend.
Tonight, there will be news on the "FED interest rate decision," which will support a rise in gold prices. (There is a 69% chance of a 25-point decrease and a 31% chance of a 50-point decrease).
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Key price levels to watch:
BUY zone: 2483 - 2486 and 2475 - 2478.
SELL zone: 2499 - 2503 and 2510 - 2513.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 2484 - 2486
SL 2481
TP 2489 - 2495 - 2500 - 2511 - open.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 2475 - 2477
SL 2472
TP 2480 - 2490 - 2500 - open.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 2510 - 2512
SL 2515
TP 2505 - 2500.
XAUUSD 1H SELL PROJECTION 04.09.24The Union Budget's decision to reduce import duties on gold and silver has led to a significant drop in gold prices in India. While this presents challenges for existing investors who might face unrealized losses, it also opens opportunities for new investors to purchase gold at lower prices.6 Aug 2024
XAUUSD 4H SELL PROJECTION 03.09.24Interest Rate Cuts and Economic Indicators
Two Federal Reserve policymakers voiced their opinion on Tuesday, stating it would be “reasonable” to expect three interest rate cuts in the U.S. within the year. This perspective comes despite a backdrop of robust economic indicators, which have led some investors to question the feasibility of such moves. The anticipation of interest rate adjustments is a critical factor influencing financial markets and investment strategies.
#XAUUSD/H1 Adjust down or continue to move sideways?Gold XAUUSD trend analysis for September 3, 2024:
The gold price on September 2, 2024, did not break the previous sideways range. Currently, short-term investor confidence mostly predicts a deep correction towards the 243x - 244x area, followed by a continuation of the long-term upward trend. If the 248x area is broken, this correction will be officially confirmed. The PMI news tonight will determine whether there will be a downward adjustment.
Today's trading trend: SELL and wait to hold BUY at lower price levels.
Key price areas to pay attention to:
SELL ZONE: 2503 - 2508, 2517 - 2522, 2527 - 2531.
BUY ZONE: 2477 - 2482, 2460 - 2465, 2440 - 2444.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: SELL XAUUSD zone 2503 - 2505
SL 2509
TP 2500 - 2495 - 2480 - 2440.
Plan 2: SELL XAUUSD zone 2517 - 2519
SL 2523
TP 2512 - 2500 - 2490 - 2440.
Plan 3: BUY XAUUSD zone 2440 - 2443
SL 2437
TP 2450 - 2480 - 2520 - 2565.
XAUUSD Next Move Probability Lets See next week Gold analysis.
if the GOLD has sustained above the 2500 USD Support since printing its ATH last week.
if GOLD maintain an upward momentum, the price may expand upward, heading to the next psychological resistance at 2600 USD.
Conversely, failure to hold above 2500 USD could suggest a sideways continuation within the 2400-2500 USD.