GOLD - TRADING IN ASCENDING CHANNELSymbol - XAUUSD
Gold has been oscillating near the support level of 2762 since the session's opening. The probability of a retest of the all-time highs remains elevated. The dollar's current correction provides opportunities for bullish movements. Traders are experiencing profit-taking while awaiting the Federal Reserve's statements and the Trump administration's stance on trade tariffs. U.S. tariff policies, along with PMI data, continue to shape market sentiment, impacting both the dollar and gold. From an economic perspective, the upcoming week holds significant importance with key events such as the Fed's rate decision, U.S. GDP report, and PCE data release.
From a technical standpoint, gold has tested a critical support zone, though it has yet to reach the risk area where a trend reversal might be expected. It appears that less committed market participants have exited their positions, securing profits.
Resistance levels: 2760, 2790
Support levels: 2750, 2745
The primary focus at this stage is on the 2760 support level. Should gold manage to establish a sustained move above this level, a potential rise toward 2790 can be anticipated. However, this remains a pivotal zone that continues to attract the attention of speculators. We expect a retest of the ATH and anticipate a possible false breakout in the near term.
Xauusdidea
XAUUSD MONDAY MARKET OPENING PROJECTION 26.01.24he chart illustrates an analysis of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe, with a detailed projection for Monday's market opening on January 26, 2025. Key elements of the chart include:
Price Levels:
Current Price: $2,770.885.
Target Price: $2,785.816.
Stop Loss: $2,755.726.
Support Level: Around $2,766.852, marked by a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement line.
Technical Indicators:
Stochastic Oscillator (5,3): Indicates oversold conditions, with values of 16.24 and 20.94.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Shows a neutral reading of 52.22, suggesting no strong directional bias.
Projection:
The blue arrow anticipates a bullish movement from the current price toward the target price after a potential bounce near the $2,766.852 support zone.
A bearish scenario is mitigated with a stop loss at $2,755.726.
Context:
The analysis implies a buying opportunity around the support zone, aiming for a potential upward move.
This chart represents a calculated setup for traders, combining Fibonacci levels and momentum indicators to define a strategy for Monday's market session.
XAUUSD 1H SELL PROJECTION 23.01.24Reason for Sell
Looking at the year ahead and 2025 and it will no doubt be interesting. Geopolitical risk remains a threat with the Middle East still on edge and the Russia-Ukraine situation no closer to a resolution. Just yesterday there were rumors that a proposal by the incoming Trump administration to delay Ukraine joining NATO by 10 years will not be accepted by the Kremlin.
Anyone with knowledge of the situation there will know that this will not change as the main reason for the conflict (at least from a Russian perspective) is Ukraine joining NATO. These developments are likely to keep some geopolitical risk premium in play and keep safe haven demand going.
Global Central Banks were one of the main drivers of the Gold price rise in 2024. This is expected to continue in 2025. The World Gold Council survey revealed in the second half of 2024 that Central Banks are likely to purchase more Gold in the next 12 months. This should further bolster demand for the precious metal.
When it comes to risks affecting Gold prices moving forward, it does get challenging. The reason for this is the incoming Trump administration is expected to do good things for the economy but some policies could lead to higher interest rates. This could weigh on Gold prices.
This is a double-edged sword however, in that the increased risk of uncertainty from Trump policy and concern around the impact of tariffs could actually bolster the demand for safe haven assets and thus Gold.
All in all analysts are largely pricing in further gains for the precious metal in 2025, personally I do see the potential for upside as well. However, I would not rule out a deeper correction before price does actually breach the current ATH resting around the 2790 handle.
XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:7 RISK REWARD XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:7 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the marketwhich preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for breakC. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
XAUUSD - ENCOUNTERING SUPPLY AREASGold is encountering significant resistance at 2721 and has entered a correction phase, which aligns with shifts in the broader economic landscape and fundamental factors. Easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have reduced the demand for safe-haven assets like gold, the US dollar, and US bonds. Moreover, improved market sentiment is being driven by expectations of potential stimulus measures from China.
Nonetheless, the downward pressure on gold may remain limited due to the unpredictable nature of Trump's policies and the anticipation of two interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve later this year. As a result, gold prices are likely to experience short-term volatility, influenced by holiday market conditions and upcoming executive actions from Trump.
From a technical perspective, gold is currently within a symmetrical triangle pattern, which is also situated within an ascending channel. If resistance is not breached, the price may face downward pressure toward support.
Resistance levels: 2713 - 2721
Support levels: 2702 - 2690
A retest of 2702 would increase the likelihood of a breakdown of support, leading to a further decline. This could follow a retest of the resistance level. There is also the possibility of a false breakdown at one of the mentioned resistance levels before the market moves lower.
XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:7 RISK REWARD XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:7 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
XAUUSD 1H BUY PROJECTION 07.01.24Three main factors fueled the rally: large purchases by central banks, notably those in China and other emerging markets; the Federal Reserve's monetary easing, which makes non-yielding gold more appealing; and the precious metal's historical role as a safe haven amid ongoing geopolitical tensions, including wars in
XAUUSD 1H BUY PROJECTION 31.12.24Reason for Bullish
XAUUSD is a symbol used in Forex trading to indicate the number of US dollars needed to buy one ounce of gold. Gold was used to determine the value of a country's currency. Nowadays, gold is still considered a very valuable asset and is used by traders as an investment opportunity.
XAUUSD WEEEKLY BUY PROJECTION 22.12.24Central bank purchases of gold have been one of the strongest factors driving its price. This trend is likely to continue as central banks seek alternatives to US-dollar-dominated assets. Goldman analysts also believe that any escalation in trade tensions or geopolitical risks could further enhance gold's appeal.
XAUUSD/GOLD WEEKLY SELL PROJECTIONA "gold sell-side movement" refers to a situation in the gold market where there is a significant selling pressure, meaning more investors are looking to sell their gold holdings than buy, causing the price of gold to decline; essentially, the "sell side" of the market is driving the price downward due to increased selling activity.
#XAU Waiting for the adjustment rhythm, the deep drop of Gold.Market analysis for Gold (XAUUSD) on November 20, 2024:
Yesterday, the gold price continued to recover after the previous adjustment. However, when it reached the resistance zone of 2640, the price reacted by nearly 20 points, indicating that sellers have emerged in this area.
Today's trading trend: SELL.
Key price levels to watch:
🔴SELL zone: 2648 - 2653, 2662 - 2667.
🔴BUY zone: 2623 - 2627, 2611 - 2616, and 2598 - 2603.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: SELL XAUUSD zone 2651 - 2653
SL 2656
TP 2648 - 2640 - 2620 - 2600 - open.
Plan 2: SELL XAUUSD zone 2661-2663
SL 2667
TP 2658 - 2650 - 2640 - 2600 - open.
Plan 3: BUY XAUUSD zone 2601 - 2603
SL 2598
TP 2606 - 2615 - 2620 - 2630.
#XAUUSD/H4 Gold: Will it continue to recover or adjust?Market outlook for the European-American trading session on November 19, 2024:
Yesterday's trading session witnessed a strong recovery in gold prices. However, the possibility of gold continuing to rise in the long term remains uncertain. The likelihood of gold still being in a short-term correction trend is very high.
Today's trading trend: SELL.
Key price levels to pay attention to:
🔴SELL zone: 2625-2630, 2640-2645, and 2660-2665.
🔴BUY zone: 2598-2603, 2578-2583, and 2553-2558.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: SELL XAUUSD zone 2641 - 2643
SL 2646
TP 2638 - 2630 - 2620 - 2600.
Plan 2: SELL XAUUSD zone 2665 - 2667
SL 2670
TP 2662 - 2650 - 2630 - 2600.
Plan 3: BUY XAUUSD zone 2597 - 2599
SL 2594
TP 2602 - 2610 - 2620 - 2640.
#XAUUSD/H4 Gold is bottoming out or continuing to adjust?Market outlook for the European-American trading session on November 15, 2024:
The price correction of gold has been weakening, possibly forming a bottom. However, it is advisable to be patient and wait for lower price levels to find a good entry point.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Key price levels to pay attention to:
🔴BUY zone: 2550 - 2555, 2535 - 2540, and 2515 - 2520.
🔴SELL zone: 2572 - 2577, 2585 - 2590, and 2609 - 2614.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 2551 - 2553
SL 2548
TP 2556 - 2565 - 2575 - 2590.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 2538 - 2540
SL 2535
TP 2543 - 2550 - 2570 - 2590.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 2588 - 2590
SL 2593
TP 2585 - 2575 - 2565 - 2560.
#XAUUSD/H4 Gold cools down, risks and opportunities.Market analysis for XAUUSD gold trading on November 4, 2024:
At the end of last week's trading session, the gold price closed at 2735. This confirms the price adjustment trend of gold. It is likely that this adjustment will not be as deep as the previous one.
Today's trading trend: SELL.
Key price levels to pay attention to:
SELL zone: 2750 - 2755, 2765 - 2770, and 2780 - 2785.
BUY zone: 2725 - 2730, 2715 - 2720, and 2702 - 2707.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: SELL XAUUSD zone 2755 - 2757
SL 2760
TP 2752 - 2745 - 2730 - 2720.
Plan 2: SELL XAUUSD zone 2765 - 2767
SL 2770
TP 2762 - 2755 - 2740 - 2720.
Plan 3: BUY XAUUSD zone 2717 - 2719
SL 2714
TP 2722 - 2730 - 2740 - 2750.
#XAUUSDDeep adjustment rhythm, awaiting the upcoming opportunityMarket outlook for Gold trading during the European-American session on November 1, 2024:
Yesterday saw a profit-taking adjustment that was anticipated. This adjustment will be quite strong, and we should wait for a good entry point to implement our upcoming hold strategy.
Today's trading trend: SELL.
Key price levels to pay attention to:
SELL zone: 2760-2765 and 2770-2775.
BUY zone: 2725-2730, 2710-2715, and 2680-2685.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: SELL XAUUSD zone 2660 - 2662
SL 2665
TP 2657 - 2650 - 2640 - 2630 -open
Plan 2: SELL XAUUSD zone 2773 - 2775
SL 2778
TP 2770 - 2760 - 2750 - 2740 - open.
Plan 3: BUY XAUUSD zone 2711 - 2713
SL 2708
TP 2716 - 2720 - 2725 - 2730.
#XAUUSD Caution before ATH, where will the profit-taking occur?Market analysis for XAUUSD trading session in Europe - America on October 30, 2024:
The trading session yesterday and the Asian session today have continuously created all-time highs, with gold prices rising sharply towards the 2800 area. In the current trend, we can easily fall into a state of FOMO, making it difficult to find entry points for trades. Our current priority is to limit trading and prepare for an upcoming profit-taking phase.
Today's trading trend: BUY scalp.
Key price levels to pay attention to:
🔴BUY zone: 2763 - 2768, 2750 - 2755, 2735 - 2740, and 2715 - 2720.
🔴SELL zone: 2793 - 2798 and 2809 - 2814.
Recommended trades:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 2764 - 2766
SL 2761
TP 2769 - 2775 - 2780 - 2785.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 2752 - 2754
SL 2749
TP 2757 - 2762 - 2770 - 2785
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 2793 - 2795
SL 2798
TP 2790 - 2780 - 2760 - 2750 - open.
#XAUUSD/H4 Continue to adjust or create a new peak?Market analysis for XAUUSD trading session on October 29, 2024:
The first trading session of the week experienced a significant gap, and as we entered the US session, the price filled the gap and continued to rise in line with the main trend. Today, the price is expected to fluctuate within the range of 2738 - 2765. We are still trading according to the main trend, limiting attempts to catch the peak here.
Today's trading trend: BUY scalp.
Key price levels to watch:
BUY zone: 2735 - 2740, 2725 - 2730, and 2715 - 2720.
SELL zone: 2760 - 2765 and 2776 - 2781.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 2735 - 2737
SL 2732
TP 2740 - 2745 - 2755 - 2765.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 2727 - 2729
SL 2724
TP 2732 - 2740 - 2750 - 2765.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 2763 - 2765
SL 2768
TP 2760 - 2750 - 2745 - 2740.