#XAUUSD/H4 Continue to adjust or create a new peak?Market analysis for XAUUSD trading session on October 29, 2024:
The first trading session of the week experienced a significant gap, and as we entered the US session, the price filled the gap and continued to rise in line with the main trend. Today, the price is expected to fluctuate within the range of 2738 - 2765. We are still trading according to the main trend, limiting attempts to catch the peak here.
Today's trading trend: BUY scalp.
Key price levels to watch:
BUY zone: 2735 - 2740, 2725 - 2730, and 2715 - 2720.
SELL zone: 2760 - 2765 and 2776 - 2781.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 2735 - 2737
SL 2732
TP 2740 - 2745 - 2755 - 2765.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 2727 - 2729
SL 2724
TP 2732 - 2740 - 2750 - 2765.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 2763 - 2765
SL 2768
TP 2760 - 2750 - 2745 - 2740.
Xauusdidea
XAUUSD 1H SELL PROJECTION 24.1024Reason for Bearish
1. Breaked Major Support 2720 yesterday and now retesting tthe breaked Zone
2. Rsi 14 below 50 and tends to be selling confirmation
3. Stochastic Overbiught in abobe 80 and 1h Bearish Movement
Over all Projection
XAUUSD SELL 2720-23
SL 2730
TP 1 2715
TP 2 2710
TP 3 2701
XAUUSD WEEKLY BUY PROJECTION 19.10.24Reason for Bullish
Gold hit a record high last month. Goldman Sachs analysts think it's not done rising.
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The firm in a Monday note said it has a price target of $2,700 per ounce on the precious metal. That's actually a bit less bullish than before, since the bank is now targeting early next year instead of later in 2024 — but that's still an 8% premium over the $2,525 high on Aug. 27.
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CNBC. “Gold / US Dollar Spot.”
Gold futures ticked higher Wednesday to around $2,524 an ounce.
#XAUUSD:Will Further Escalation In Middle East Support The BullsGold was retested on Friday after USD data came out in support of the USD. The DXY rose back strongly, leading many USD pairs to melt heavily. Furthermore, the gold price dropped to the 2633 region and then retested a few more times before ranging between 2633 and 2658. Now, since the last three daily candles closed with strong wick rejections, we believe the price is likely to continue going up, up until 2730.
Fundamentals and technical analysis support our view since the ongoing conflict in the Middle East is likely to worsen in the coming days. That will likely raise concerns among investors worldwide.
If you like the idea, please like and comment. Let's discuss the idea in the comment box.Gold was reassessed on Friday following the release of USD data that favored the USD. The DXY experienced a significant increase, causing several USD pairs to decline sharply. Furthermore, the gold price fell to the 2633 region and underwent multiple retests before fluctuating between 2633 and 2658. Given that the last three daily candles closed with notable wick rejections, we anticipate a continued upward trend in the price, potentially reaching 2730.
Our perspective is supported by both fundamental and technical analyses. The ongoing conflict in the Middle East is expected to escalate in the coming days, potentially generating increased investor apprehension worldwide.
If you find this analysis valuable, please indicate your approval by liking and commenting. We encourage a constructive discussion of this concept in the comment section.
XAUUSD 1H BUY PROJECTION 03.10.24Reason for Bullish
Several media outlets reported that Israel delivered a harsh response to the recent Iranian attack by bombing central Beirut in the early hours of Thursday. Lebanese security officials said that three missiles also struck the southern suburb of Dahiyeh, the place of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah's killing. Lebanese health officials also reported that multiple people were injured following Israel’s strike in Beirut.
Iranian forces on Tuesday used hypersonic Fattah missiles for the first time and 90% of its missiles successfully hit their targets in Israel. Tehran said this attack was in response to Israeli killings of militant leaders and aggression in Lebanon against the Iran-backed armed movement Hezbollah and in Gaza.
Despite the increasing risks of the Israel-Iran conflict turning into a wider regional war in the Middle East, Gold price is struggling to capitalize on the risk-off flows, as diminishing odds of a 50 basis points (bps) interest rate cut by the Fed in November keep the sentiment around the US Dollar underpinned at the expense of the non-interest-bearing Gold price.
XAUUSD 1H SELL PROJECTION 01.10.24Reason for sell
Central banks hold paper currencies and gold in reserve. As central banks diversify their monetary reserves (away from the paper currencies they accumulate and into gold) the price of gold typically rises. Many of the world’s nations have reserves that are composed primarily of gold.
Bloomberg reported that global central banks have been buying the most gold since the United States abandoned the gold standard in 1971, with 2019 figures dipping just modestly from 2018’s 50-year record.
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After a downtick in central bank gold purchases in 2020, the pace picked up again in 2021 and surpassed the 50-year record again in 2022. 2023 also saw a significant growth in central bank gold reserves.
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The top gold buyer in 2022 was the central bank of Türkiye, followed by Uzbekistan, India, and Qatar. The top gold buyers in 2023 were China, Singapore, and the Czech Republic.
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Silver Bullion. "Top 5 Countries That Were Net Buyers of Gold in 2023."
GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
XAUUSD 9/25/2024 gold price continues to increase?
Looking at H1 we are witnessing an extended wave 5 with the wave 5 target I measured at the current price zone of 2665 this zone has been reached and the second price zone at the price zone of 2696 - 2699.
After the end of wave 5 we will have another ABC adjustment so these target price zones will be the price zones we choose as SELL down targets
- This adjustment will be very large and long to facilitate intraday trading I will choose target zones with a lot of demand so we can catch the recovery waves in this adjustment.
- We have 2 target price zones with high demand concentration, which are the 2565 - 2562 zone and the 2594 - 2591 zone. These are the 2 target zones we choose to BUY up.
Trading plan
SELL ZONE: 2696 - 2699
SL: 2706
TP1: 2682
TP2: 2665
TP3: 2655
BUY ZONE: 2565 - 2562
SL: 2555
TP1: 2641
Tp2: 2655
TP3: 2670
BUY ZONE: 2594 - 2591
SL: 2584
TP1: 2614
TP2: 2625
TP3: 2641
XAUUSD 9/24/2024 price increase continues?
Looking at H1 we see wave 5 is completing
- The target position of the end of wave 5 we have 2 target zones, the first zone is 2645 - 2648 and the second target zone is 2597 - 2700. For now we will choose the first target zone which is 2645 - 2648 as the target zone to SELL down
- Below after the end of wave 5 we will have a correction according to 3 ABC waves.
- We have the target zone of this correction at the price zone 2594 - 2591 and the second target zone at the price zone 2565 - 2562 we will choose these 2 target zones to BUY
Trading plan
SELL ZONE: 2645 - 2648
SL: 2655
TP1: 2625
TP2: 2606
TP3: 2593
BUY ZONE: 2594 - 2591
SL: 2584
TP1: 2606
TP2: 2616
TP3: 2645
BUY ZONE: 2565 - 2562
SL: 2555
TP1: 2570
TP2: 2589
TP3: 2603
XAUUSD 19/9/2024 Downtrend is over?
Looking at H1 we see that after the FOMC news we witnessed a strong price increase creating ATH at the 2600 area. Then there was a strong decrease to the 2547 area
- So wave 5 has completed as expected my target. now we expect an ABC correction
- Looking at the chart we see a strong decline suggesting a completed wave A, this strong decline also shows us that wave A has a 5-wave structure so this correction we expect a correction according to the ABC Zigzac correction structure
- The target of wave B I expect at the 2580 - 2583 zone or the 2579 - 2600 zone this is our SELL target
- After completing the target of wave B the price continues to decrease to complete wave C I expect the target to complete wave C at the price zone of 2528 - 2525 this will be our BUY target
- We also have a strong support zone at the price zone of 2451 - 2448 this will be our BUY scalp zone
Trading plan
SELL ZONE 2580 - 2583
SL: 2590
TP1: 2570
TP2: 2562
TP3: 2551
SELL ZONE: 2597 - 2600
SL: 2607
TP1: 2590
TP2: 2579
TP3: 2562
BUY ZONE: 2551 - 2448
SL: 2561
TP1: 2562
TP2: 2570
TP3: 2579
BUY ZONE: 2528 - 2525
TP1: 2541
TP2: 2551
TP3: 2562
XAUUSD 1H SELL PROJECTION 19.009.24Reason for Sell
With the price reaching extreme levels, there may be a significant opportunity for sellers to capitalize on profit-taking and increased selling pressure. Traders may anticipate a decline as market sentiment shifts from bullish to bearish, especially if key resistance levels hold.
XAUUSD 18/9/2024 gold price has ended the correction?
Looking at H1, we have a sharp and fast-moving wave 3, followed by a corrective wave 4
- According to the Elliot wave principle, wave 2 is simple, wave 4 is complex and takes more time, so we are in wave 4.
- I temporarily label the small waves in wave 4 so that we can predict the end of wave 4
- Currently, looking at the price target of wave 4, we have the price range of 2565 - 2562 and the second target price range is the range of 2451 - 2448
- Looking at the structure of wave 4, we have a complex structure consisting of a Flat wave combined with a zigzag structure WXY. Looking at the wave 4 structure, we see that the correction structure may be sufficient and we expect the price to continue to increase according to wave 5
- The correction process of wave 4 is confirmed to be completed when the price breaks out through the 2590.188 zone, then we have the target zones of wave 5 above, which are the 2600 - 2603 zone and the 2616 - 2619 zone
Our trading plan
BUY ZONE: 2565 - 2562
SL: 2555
TP1: 2579
TP2: 2590
TP3: 2600
BUY ZONE: 2451 - 2448
SL: 2441
TP1: 2561
TP2: 2579
TP3: 2590
SELL ZONE: 2600 - 2603
SL: 2700
TP1: 2590
TP2: 2579
TP3: 2565
SELL ZONE: 2616 - 2619
SL: 2716
TP1: 2600
TP2: 2590
TP3: 2579
XAUUSD 1H SELL PROJECTION 18.09.24old buyers regain control, as the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains comfortably above the 50 level, having eased off from near the overbought territory.
The optimism prevails so long as they defend the one-and-a-half-month-old symmetrical triangle target now support at $2,560.
That said, the immediate resistance is seen at the record high of $2,590, above which the $2,600 level will be tested.
Acceptance above that level will call for a test of the $2,650 psychological barrier.
If the Fed disappoints the doves, Gold price could witness a fresh sell-off, which could challenge the August 20 high of $2,532.
Additional declines will threaten the 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $2,522, below which the $2,500 mark will be on sellers’ radars.
XAUUSD 1H BUY PROJECTION 17.09.24XAUUSD can be influenced by global news and economic data releases, but its price does not fluctuate as rapidly as that of stocks, cryptocurrencies and other risky assets. In times of economic uncertainty, investors use gold to save their funds. Knowing their funds are safe.
XAUUSD 12/9/2024 will the gold price continue to decrease
Looking at H1, we see a complete Elliot structure has been completed including 5 main waves and 3 abc correction waves, I used purple to symbolize on the chart
- Following a complete structure is a new trend that coincides with the main trend with a 5-wave structure
- Currently, we predict that wave 1 in the new trend has been completed and wave 2 is being completed
- The target area of wave 2 I measured at the area of 2508 - 2505, we will use this price area as the target to BUY up according to wave 3
- At that time, we measure the target of wave 3 at least at the area of 2538 - 2541 and this price area will be our Sell target to catch the wave 4 correction down
- I still reserve a case that the current price wave 2 continues to adjust according to the abc structure that has not ended, then we will have a target BUY at 2494 - 2491
Trading Plan
BUY ZONE: 2508 - 2505
SL: 2498
TP1: 2516
TP2: 2525
TP3: 2532
BUY ZONE: 2494 - 2491
SL: 2484
TP1: 2500
TP2: 2508
TP3: 2520
SELL ZONE: 2538 - 2541
SL: 2548
TP1: 2531
TP2: 2525
TP3: 2517
XAUUSD 1H BUY PROJECTION Reason for Bullish
Interest Rate Cuts and Economic Indicators
Two Federal Reserve policymakers voiced their opinion on Tuesday, stating it would be “reasonable” to expect three interest rate cuts in the U.S. within the year. This perspective comes despite a backdrop of robust economic indicators, which have led some investors to question the feasibility of such moves. The anticipation of interest rate adjustments is a critical factor influencing financial markets and investment strategies.
Surge in Gold Prices
The price of gold has surged over 10% since the start of the year, cementing its status as a preferred hedge against inflation and a sanctuary amid political and economic uncertainty. This significant uptick is largely due to considerable purchases by central banks and a rising demand for safe-haven assets.
Gold and Silver Prices Today
As of April 5th, 2024, the precious metals market has observed noteworthy movements. Gold prices have reached new highs, driven by global trends and market dynamics, reflecting the continuous appeal of gold as an investment.
U.S. Economic Outlook
Recent data indicates a slowdown in the growth of the U.S. services industry for March, with a concurrent reduction in the prices businesses pay for inputs, hitting a four-year low. These developments suggest a potentially favorable outlook for inflation, influencing investment decisions and monetary policy.
XAUUSD 1H SELL PROJECTION 10.09.24Reason for Bearish
Gold prices have continued to hit fresh highs in 2024 due to a wide range of factors — from escalating geopolitical risks and the interest rate outlook to budget deficit concerns, inflation hedging and central bank buying.
Gold’s blistering rally this year was partly fueled by expectations the Federal Reserve (Fed) would cut interest rates as many as three times in 2024, as stubborn inflation started to ease. But current projections suggest only one rate cut is penciled in for the remainder of 2024.
Traditionally, a weaker U.S. dollar and lower U.S. interest rates increase the appeal of non-yielding bullion. But a significant decoupling started to emerge in early 2022 and gold’s relationship with U.S. real yields has broken down even further this year.
“Gold’s resurgence has come earlier than expected, as it further decouples from real yields. We have been structurally bullish gold since the fourth quarter of 2022 and with gold prices surging past $2,400 in April, the rally has come earlier and has been much sharper than expected. It has been especially surprising given that it has coincided with Fed rate cuts being priced out and U.S. real yields moving higher due to stronger labor and inflation data in the U.S,” said Gregory Shearer, Head of Base and Precious Metals Strategy at J.P. Morgan.
XAUUSD 15M ASCENDING TRIANGLE BUY PROJECTION 09.09.24Reason for Bullish
Key Takeaways
The trendlines of a triangle need to run along at least two swing highs and two swing lows.
Ascending triangles are considered a continuation pattern, as the price will typically break out of the triangle in the price direction prevailing before the triangle, although this won't always occur. A breakout in any direction is noteworthy.
A long trade is taken if the price breaks above the top of the pattern.
A short trade is taken if the price breaks below the lower trendline.
A stop loss is typically placed just outside the pattern on the opposite side from the breakout.
A profit target is calculated by taking the height of the triangle, at its thickest point, and adding or subtracting that to/from the breakout point.
XAUUSD/GOLD 30M BUY PROJECTION 09.09.24nternally, factors such as domestic demand, currency exchange rates, and government policies play a significant role in shaping gold's trajectory. For instance, a surge in demand for gold during cultural festivities or a weakening domestic currency can propel prices upwards
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION 06.09.24The behavior of gold around the 20-Day line, along with the bull breakout of the triangle, the accompanying long-term bull trend breakout to new record highs, followed by a minor pullback that holds above key support, are all bullish technical signs. They point to an eventual continuation of the bull trend