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Xauusdidea

XAUUSD/GOLD WEEKLY SELL PROJECTION 26.10.25Here’s a clear explanation of the 4H SELL SETUP shown in your chart 📊👇 📌 Chart Breakdown (XAU/USD — Gold 4H) Pattern: Rising wedge / structure breakdown Trendline: “4H Uptrend Line – Broken” ✅ Candle signal: Bearish Engulfing at ATH (strong reversal confirmation) 🧭 Key Levels 🟥 Stop Loss: Around 4,225.640 (above structure high) 🟡 Entry Zone: ~4,192 (below trendline break) 🟢 Targets: TP1: 4,125 TP2: 4,075 TP3: 4,031 🧠 Trading Logic Market formed a Bearish Engulfing at the top. The main trendline was broken, indicating possible trend reversal. After a retest of the broken structure, price is expected to continue downward. Multiple TPs (TP1, TP2, TP3) help scale out profits gradually. SL is placed above the previous high to protect against a fake breakout.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
XAUUSD/GOLD WEEKLY OVERVIEW PROJECTION 25.10.25“XAUUSD/GOLD WEEKLY OVERVIEW 25.10.25”: 🟡 Pair: XAUUSD (Gold vs USD) 📅 Timeframe: Weekly 📊 Chart Type: Price action with liquidity zone and retest entry plan 📌 Key Levels: Resistance / Upper Target Zone: ~4,360 – 4,400 Entry Zone / Supply-Demand Range: ~4,057 – 4,145 Support / Lower Target Zone: ~3,868 🧭 Market Structure Analysis: The price is currently consolidating inside a mid-range zone (4,057–4,145) after a strong previous down move. Liquidity zones are marked both above and below, suggesting potential breakout and retest setups. The market is showing accumulation or indecision before a big move. 🛒 Buy Scenario (Bullish Plan): Price may retest the lower boundary of the entry zone (~4,057–4,145). If a bullish retest/confirmation candle forms → Long Entry. Target: ~4,360 area (major resistance). Stop-loss likely placed slightly below 4,057. 🟢 This aligns with a potential reversal or continuation of higher timeframe bullish structure. 🐻 Sell Scenario (Bearish Plan): Price may break below the entry zone, retest it from the bottom, and reject. If a bearish retest/confirmation candle forms → Short Entry. Target: ~3,868 support level. Stop-loss likely placed slightly above 4,145. 🔴 This aligns with a continuation of the recent bearish momentum. ⚠️ Additional Notes: Watch for fake breakouts near the entry zone. Weekly candles can give strong direction but might take 1–2 weeks to fully play out. High impact news related to gold or USD can accelerate the move. ✅ Summary Plan: Buy entry: After bullish retest of 4,057–4,145 → TP 4,360 Sell entry: After bearish retest of 4,057–4,145 → TP 3,868 SL: Just outside the opposite edge of the entry zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
3
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 24, 2025) 1️⃣ Momentum D1 Timeframe: • D1 momentum is closing within the oversold zone → bearish strength has clearly weakened. • The probability of a bullish reversal is now very high. • A strong bullish D1 candle close is needed to confirm the reversal. • Once confirmed, price may enter a 5-day bullish rally. H4 Timeframe: • H4 momentum is still declining. • If the current H4 candle closes as it is now, we may see a main bearish move today (around 5 H4 candles). • Since today is Friday, a deeper decline remains possible. → Therefore, careful observation and analysis are required before entering any trades. H1 Timeframe: • H1 momentum continues to decline. • Price may drop toward the 4098 liquidity zone. • If this level breaks, the next potential target is 4050. ________________________________________ 2️⃣ Wave Structure D1 Structure: • Price has been moving sideways for several days. • In Elliott Wave theory, when price reaches its target, it often needs time symmetry before the wave completes. • Therefore, this prolonged sideways phase helps maintain time balance. • It’s still too early to confirm whether this is yellow Wave 4 or just Wave 4 within yellow Wave 3. H4 Structure: • There are two possible scenarios: 1. The blue Y wave is still unfolding. 2. The purple Wave 5 has already started forming. • To determine which scenario is valid, we monitor the current H4 bearish phase: o If price does not break the previous low, and H4 momentum enters the oversold zone, it likely indicates purple Wave 5 has begun, with an upside target near 4476. o If price breaks the previous low, the blue Y corrective wave is still in progress, or a larger corrective structure is unfolding. o In that case, we’ll watch the lower liquidity zones, with the ideal completion target for Wave Y around 3927. H1 Structure: • On the H1 chart, Wave C appears to have completed in the form of an Ending Triangle. • According to Elliott theory, after an ending triangle, price should drop sharply and quickly. • However, such a strong drop hasn’t appeared yet, so we continue to observe the price action carefully. There are two main scenarios to consider: 1. If price declines slowly toward the 4050 liquidity zone, showing overlapping waves while H4 momentum moves into the oversold region, it’s likely that Wave 5 has already started. → In this case, we’ll look for buying opportunities. 2. If price falls rapidly and steeply, it suggests that the blue Y wave is still unfolding, or that the market is inside a larger corrective phase. → In this case, price may break below 4004, and we will patiently wait for buy setups around 3953 or 3927. ________________________________________ 3️⃣ Trading Plan • Sell Setup: o Yesterday’s sell zone at 4149 has already reached about +400 pips. o No new ideal sell zone for now → wait for liquidity breaks to look for the next sell setup. • Buy Setup: o Monitor potential buy reactions at:  4050  3953  3927 ⚠️ Note: Price is currently at a sensitive zone, with each candle showing a range over 200 pips. → Therefore, limit orders are highly risky at the moment and could easily get stopped out.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 23, 2025) 1️⃣ Momentum D1 Timeframe: • The D1 momentum is now in the oversold zone, suggesting a potential bullish reversal at any moment. • Once we see a D1 candle close with a bullish confirmation, it could trigger 3–5 consecutive bullish days ahead. H4 Timeframe: • The H4 momentum is currently overbought, indicating a possible downward correction during today’s session. H1 Timeframe: • The H1 momentum is now turning upward, meaning price may rise slightly or move sideways in the short term. • Watch two key liquidity zones: 4098 and 4143. If H1 momentum reaches the overbought zone around these levels, it will align with the H4 bearish momentum, creating a strong resistance area. ________________________________________ 2️⃣ Wave Structure D1 Structure: • The D1 momentum is preparing to reverse, showing that the current decline is weakening. • A short-term recovery wave is likely to appear soon. • As discussed in yesterday’s plan, we must observe the upcoming bullish move to confirm whether the recent downtrend has completed. H4 Structure: • The H4 momentum is overbought, meaning a bearish reversal may happen soon. • Price movement is slow and overlapping, suggesting that the next decline could be either: o Wave 4 of Wave Y (blue), or o A larger corrective phase if momentum fully shifts downward. H1 Structure: • The current formation may be developing as a Flat or a Triangle correction. o If it’s a Flat, the 4143 level is a potential completion zone for Wave C (black), after which price could resume its decline. o If it’s a Triangle, the pattern is not yet complete — confirmation will come when price breaks below the lower boundary, offering a Sell opportunity. 🎯 Target zone if the decline unfolds: • Based on the H4 momentum cycle (typically lasting 4–5 candles), • And according to Fibonacci projection, Wave 5 of Wave Y (blue) targets around 3927. ________________________________________ 3️⃣ Trading Plan • The current H1 candle range is very wide (300–400 pips), while my typical stop-loss size is 100–150 pips. • This makes limit orders risky in the current environment. • Therefore, it’s better to wait for clear confirmation before entering trades, rather than placing early limit orders. 🔹 Sell Zones: • 4143 and 4190 – expected top areas of this correction. • Additionally, if price breaks above liquidity zones and then retests, these can serve as Sell entries aligned with the H4 downward momentum.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical AnalysisAnalysis: Gold is currently trading around 4,120, showing a minor bullish correction within a descending channel. The price has bounced from the support buy zone (4,040–4,060), indicating buyer activity at this level. However, the structure remains bearish in the short term as long as the price stays below the descending trade line. A possible scenario is a short-term pullback toward the upper trade line before another retest of the support zone. If the support holds again, a bullish reversal could target the 4,383 level, aligning with the upper boundary of the previous high. Key Levels: Support Zone: 4,040 – 4,060 Resistance (Trade Line): 4,180 – 4,200 Target (Bullish): 4,383 Outlook: Neutral-to-bullish in the medium term if the support zone remains intact. A break below 4,040 would invalidate the bullish setup and signal further downside continuation. KSE:GFH KSE:AGLTY KSE:SENERGY KSE:KFH KSE:CLEANING KSE:NCCI KSE:EKTTITAB KSE:EQUIPMENT KSE:NIH KSE:THURAYA KSE:FUTUREKID KSE:ALEID KSE:URC KSE:URC KSE:ARKAN
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MR_NARCOS_ANALYSIS
Gold Rebounds from Extreme POI – Bullish Move Building UpAnalysis: Gold (XAU/USD) has shown a strong recovery after tapping into the Extreme Point of Interest (POI) zone, signaling the potential start of a bullish reversal. The chart indicates an SMC Trap (Smart Money Concept Trap), where liquidity was swept below previous lows to trigger sell stops before reversing upward — a classic smart money accumulation pattern. Price reacted sharply from the Extreme POI, forming higher lows, which confirms renewed buyer interest. The immediate target area lies around $4,180 – $4,200, aligning with the projected bullish arrow. Below, the High Probability POI remains as a deeper demand zone — a strong confluence area if price retests. 📊 Conclusion: Gold is showing signs of bullish structure recovery after liquidity sweep. Holding above the Extreme POI zone strengthens the case for continued upside movement toward $4,200 and possibly higher.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
Gold Breakout Potential: Descending Wedge Signals Bullish ReversAnalysis: The XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) chart on the 45-minute timeframe shows price action forming a descending wedge pattern, a typically bullish reversal formation. The price has been compressing between lower highs and lower lows but is now testing the upper trendline resistance, indicating a possible breakout. Key observations: Trendline Breakout Zone: The narrowing wedge suggests weakening bearish momentum. A confirmed breakout above the trendline could trigger strong upward momentum. Targets: The projected upside targets are around 4,300, 4,400, and 4,500, aligning with previous resistance zones. Support Zone: Immediate support remains near 4,050–4,000, where the lower wedge boundary provides buying interest. Momentum Indicator: Gradual bullish recovery and decreasing downside pressure indicate renewed buyer strength.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 22, 2025) 🔹 1. Momentum D1: The D1 momentum is preparing to turn bullish, signaling the start of a new upward trend. → We can expect at least 3–5 consecutive bullish days ahead. H4: We need to wait for the H4 candle to close to confirm the reversal signal. If confirmed, there’s a strong possibility that today will form an intraday uptrend. H1: H1 momentum has already turned upward, but it’s now in the overbought zone. Therefore, the current rise won’t be strong, and a minor pullback is needed to bring momentum back to the oversold area — creating a foundation for a more stable bullish move. ________________________________________ 🔹 2. Wave Structure D1 Timeframe: Yesterday saw a sharp decline, but D1 momentum is now preparing to reverse upward. Counting the correction candles, we already have five candles, suggesting that the market may soon enter a new bullish phase lasting 3–5 days or more. During this recovery phase, we need to monitor two key scenarios: • If wave movements overlap and lack strength, and when D1 momentum returns to the overbought zone but price fails to break the previous high, then the Wave 4 (yellow) scenario is still in play. • If price rises sharply and decisively, the recent correction might only be part of Wave 3 (yellow), meaning the bullish trend is continuing. H4 Timeframe: Yesterday’s structure was identified as a Flat correction, and it remains valid. Price has retraced into the Wave 4 zone of the smaller degree structure, reaching the 2.0 Fibonacci extension of Wave A. If Wave 5 (purple) is now developing, the ideal target would be around 4476. However, if price rises with overlapping waves, this could instead represent a corrective move within Wave 4 (yellow), targeting the previous high zone between 4381 and 4476. H1 Timeframe: Within Wave W, there is a small Flat correction, where Wave C extended to twice the length of Wave A. Now, Wave Y (blue) has also declined to 2× Wave W, suggesting weakening buying power. Even so, in the short term, we still expect an intraday bullish move today. → The trading bias remains buy-side until H4 momentum reaches the overbought area and reverses. ________________________________________ 🔹 3. Trading Plan Buy Zone: 4101 – 4098 Stop Loss (SL): 4088 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 4190 ________________________________________ 🔹 4. Notes Liquidity and resistance zones are already marked on the chart. → Wait for price to break and retest those areas to confirm a valid Buy setup.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
7
technical analysis for XAU/USD (Gold) based on your chart:Chart Summary Current Price: Around $4,140 Trend Lines: A descending trade line shows the overall short-term bearish trend. Support Zone: Clearly marked between $4,080 – $4,120 (“SUPPORT BUY ZONE”). Target: The upside target is labeled near $4,383. Technical Outlook 🔹 Support Zone Reaction Price recently dipped into the support buy zone, forming a potential bullish reversal wick. This area is acting as a strong demand zone, attracting buyers around $4,100. 🔹 Downtrend Channel The pair remains under a downward-sloping trade line, suggesting the short-term market bias is still bearish. However, a breakout above this trendline could trigger bullish continuation toward the $4,383 target. 🔹 Short-Term Scenario Bullish Case (Primary Plan): If gold holds above the support zone ($4,080–$4,120) and breaks the trendline resistance (~$4,200), → next target area: $4,300–$4,383. Confirmation comes with a clear candle close above $4,200. Bearish Case (Alternative Plan): If price fails to break the descending trade line and drops below $4,080, → possible continuation toward $4,040 – $4,000. Key Levels Type Level (USD) Description 🎯 Target 4,383 Major resistance / profit zone ⚔️ Resistance 4,200 Descending trendline zone 🛒 Support Zone 4,080–4,120 Demand / Buy zone ❌ Invalid Below 4,080 Break below = bearish continuation Summary 📈 Gold (XAU/USD) is currently retesting its support zone, showing early signs of a bullish rebound. A confirmed breakout above the trendline could lead to a rally toward $4,380. However, losing support below $4,080 would invalidate the bullish setup and reintroduce downside risk. EUREX:FDAX1! ICEEUR:BRN1! ICEEUR:WBS1! EUREX:FESX1! EUREX:FGBL1! EUREX:FDXM1! ICEEUR:GWM1! ICEEUR:Z1! EUREX:FDXS1! EUREX:FGBM1! ICEEUR:W1! ICEEUR:RC1!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MR_NARCOS_ANALYSIS
Gold (XAU/USD) Potential Bullish Reversal Setup – Entry Zone For**Analysis:** The chart illustrates a possible bullish reversal scenario after a recent downward move in Gold (XAU/USD). The marked *Change of Character (ChoCH)* indicates an early sign of a trend shift from bearish to bullish momentum. Price has entered a **consolidation zone** near the support area, where the **entry level** is highlighted. This zone suggests accumulation and potential preparation for an upward move. The setup shows: * **ENTRY:** Around current support, within the highlighted range. * **STOP:** Below the recent low, providing risk control if the reversal fails. * **TARGET:** The projection points to a **100% measured move**, aligning with a strong bullish continuation potential toward 4,700 levels. If price maintains structure and confirms a breakout above the short-term resistance, it may initiate a new **bullish impulse phase**.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 21, 2025) 🔹 1. Momentum H4: H4 momentum is currently turning bearish, indicating that the main trend for today is downward. H1: H1 momentum is stuck in the oversold zone, suggesting that price could continue to fall, but at the same time, there’s a risk of a short-term bullish reversal — this should be monitored carefully. M15: M15 momentum is also turning bearish, confirming the potential for short-term downside continuation. 🔹 2. Wave Structure H4 timeframe: The current price structure likely forms a Flat correction (W–X–Y in blue) as part of wave 4 (in purple). The X wave appears completed, and price is now in the declining phase of wave Y. Wave Y may develop in three possible forms: Zigzag 5-wave impulsive Triangle 👉 In Zigzag or 5-wave formations, the target is usually equal to wave A. 👉 In a triangle, price may build higher lows, respecting the upper boundary connecting wave 3 and wave X. H1 timeframe: The H1 structure mirrors H4, but note that H1 momentum remains in the oversold zone, meaning an upward reversal could occur anytime. M15 timeframe: Used mainly for entry timing. Since H4 momentum trend is bearish, we will prioritize Sell setups, especially after liquidity retests or breakdowns on the M15 chart. 🔹 3. Trading Plan Main bias: Bearish (following H4 momentum) Strategy: Focus on Sell setups when price retests or breaks below liquidity zones. Consider Buy setups only if price reaches the 4190 support area, signaling a potential end of wave 4 (purple) and the start of wave 5 (bullish). Buy setup (if wave 4 completes): Buy zone: 4193 – 4190 Stop loss: 4180 Take Profit: 4236 🔹 4. Alternative Scenarios If price breaks sharply above 4381, the current wave count will be invalidated, and price could head toward 4451. If price forms a triangle, with 4381 as the upper boundary and higher-low supports forming the lower edge, a breakout above 4381 would signal a Buy opportunity.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – October 19, 2025 1️⃣ Momentum D1 Timeframe: Daily momentum is showing early signs of bearish reversal. As mentioned in the previous plan, a daily reversal could occur on Friday or Monday. The strong bearish D1 candle on Friday reinforces this signal. If another bearish D1 candle appears on Monday, it will confirm that the main trend for the coming week is likely to turn bearish, pushing D1 momentum toward the oversold zone. H4 Timeframe: H4 momentum is preparing to turn upward, suggesting that the initial downside movement on Monday may not be too strong. A short-term recovery bounce is likely. However, if this bounce fails to break the previous high and momentum reverses downward again, it will confirm the start of a more stable downtrend. H1 Timeframe: H1 momentum is currently in the overbought zone, which indicates a short-term pullback may occur early in Monday’s session. 2️⃣ Wave Structure D1 Structure: We can see a strong bearish candle — the largest since the beginning of the uptrend, signaling the first warning of exhaustion. Together with the D1 momentum reversal, this suggests the yellow wave 3 is likely coming to an end, and yellow wave 4 is starting to form. In terms of time, wave 4 could take more than a week to complete. H4 Structure: A sharp decline has pushed the price back inside the ascending channel, indicating that the extended wave 5 may have already ended. If confirmed, the market could continue down toward at least the previous blue wave 4 area. However, because H4 momentum is preparing to rise, a short-term upward correction may occur early Monday. If this upward move is slow and overlapping, fails to break the previous high, and H4 momentum turns down again, that will confirm the completion of blue wave 5. H1 Structure: On the H1 chart, the blue wave 5 from H4 is detailed into five smaller red waves. The recent steep and fast decline suggests a five-wave bearish pattern, possibly wave 1 of a new downtrend or wave A of a corrective move. There is also a possibility of a Flat correction, where wave C extends to 1.618 × wave A (as discussed in the October 17 plan). Overall, the market may present a short-term recovery bounce, providing a buy opportunity early in the week. 3️⃣ Trading Plan Buy Zone: 4153 – 4151 Stop Loss: 4141 Take Profit: 4193 Alternative Scenario: If price fails to break below 4193, monitor H1 momentum as it enters the oversold zone and turns upward — that will be a potential buy signal. In that case, key support areas to watch include: 4243 – 4226 – 4207 – 4194.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD/GOLD WEEKLY SELL PROJECTION 19.10.25(XAUUSD/GOLD 4H Weekly Sell Projection — 19.10.25): 🟡 Chart Overview Instrument: XAUUSD (Gold/USD) Timeframe: 4H (4-hour) Projection: Bearish/Sell Pattern Date: 19 October 2025 📊 Key Technical Structure Trend Channel: The price has been moving in an upward trend channel. It reached the upper boundary near the 4,448.371 level (All-Time High/Resistance R2). Reversal Formation: A Three Black Crows candlestick pattern is formed at the top — a classic bearish reversal signal indicating potential downtrend continuation. Strong Bearish Momentum followed this pattern. Breakout Zone: Price broke below the ascending channel. “Breakout Zone Retest & Obey” suggests the price tested the previous support as new resistance. Support & Resistance Zones: R2 / ATH: 4,448.371 R1 / Fair Value Gap: ~4,281.132 Last Week Low Support S1: ~4,175–4,225 zone Support S2: ~4,093.117 Potential final target around the lower support zone. 📉 Trade Projection Entry Zone: Around 4,281–4,321 (after retest confirmation). Stop Loss: Above 4,321 (previous resistance area). Take Profit Target: ~4,093 (Support S2 zone). Risk/Reward: Favorable short setup if bearish momentum continues. 🧭 Additional Notes “Three Black Crows” near the ATH level adds high probability for a deeper retracement. If support at 4,175 breaks cleanly, continuation to 4,093 is expected. Watch for lower-high formations confirming the bearish structure. A failure to break S1 may lead to a short-term range or bullish pullback.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
1
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (17/10/2025)🔹 1. Momentum D1 Timeframe: The D1 momentum is now fully in the overbought zone → the probability of a reversal is very high. A corrective move could occur either today or on Monday next week. H4 Timeframe: H4 momentum has been sticking together in the overbought zone. Currently, there are about 5 candles holding the oscillator at this level — typically, 5 to 8 candles mark a potential reversal cycle. H1 Timeframe: H1 momentum is still rising → price may extend slightly higher or move sideways to accumulate before a clearer signal appears. ________________________________________ 🔹 2. Wave Structure D1 Chart: The recent D1 candles are steep and impulsive, showing strong bullish pressure — indicating we are likely in Wave 3 (yellow). I’ve adjusted the wave labels for better accuracy with current price structure. Once D1 momentum reverses, we can expect the start of Wave 4 (yellow) correction. H4 Chart: • Waves (1) and (3) in blue are similar in length → suggesting Wave (5) blue may become an extended wave. • Since price has broken above the Elliott channel, we should wait for a strong downward reaction together with momentum reversal on H4 to confirm: ✅ Wave (5) blue is complete, ✅ and Wave (3) purple has also finished. ⇒ Then, the market would begin Wave (4) purple correction. 💡 Note: During an extended Wave (5), avoid selling against the trend. Be patient and wait for the first downward move — if it’s not deep, then buying from the next pullback would be a more reasonable strategy. H1 Chart: Within the blue Wave (5) on H1, we can see a five-wave red structure developing, and price is now in red Wave (3). Inside red Wave (3), there’s another five-wave black sub-structure, currently in black Wave (4). By drawing the Elliott channel, we can see that black Wave (4) is likely forming a flat correction, and one final small drop may still occur to complete the structure. 🎯 Ideal Target Zone: • The high-liquidity area around 4297. • This is a likely completion zone for the current flat pattern. • If price doesn’t reach that level, we’ll use channel support confluence to identify the next valid entry area. ________________________________________ 🔹 3. Trading Plan Buy Zone: 4298 – 4296 Stop Loss: 4276 Take Profit 1: 4363
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold Maintains Upward Channel Toward $4320 TargetAnalysis: The XAU/USD 45-minute chart shows gold continuing its steady rise within a well-defined ascending channel. The price action maintains higher highs and higher lows, confirming a sustained bullish trend. Currently, gold is testing the midline of the channel, suggesting a possible minor pullback before resuming upward momentum toward the projected resistance near $4320. This level aligns with the upper boundary of the channel, acting as the next potential target zone for buyers. As long as the price remains above the lower channel support, the bullish structure remains intact. A breakout above $4320 could open further upside potential, while a drop below the channel could signal early weakness or short-term consolidation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
1
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (16/10/2025) 🔹 MOMENTUM D1: Currently, the daily momentum has formed five consecutive bullish candles and is now approaching the overbought zone. 👉 This indicates a high probability of a correction within the next 1–2 days. H4: Momentum on H4 is still rising. Today, the price may continue to climb slightly or move sideways to push H4 momentum into the overbought zone before a potential reversal. H1: Momentum on H1 is also nearing the overbought zone, suggesting that a short-term pullback could occur during the Asian session. ________________________________________ 🔹 WAVE STRUCTURE D1 Chart: The structure remains within an extended Wave (5). With D1 momentum about to enter the overbought area and this bullish phase already lasting for five candles, there is a strong chance of a correction today or tomorrow. H4 Chart: The price is currently in orange Wave (5), while purple Wave (3) is still unfolding. Since H4 momentum is rising, price may extend slightly higher or consolidate sideways before a possible reversal. H1 Chart: Price is now in yellow Wave (5), where five minor blue waves have been completed. The price zone around 4242.89 corresponds to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of blue Waves 1–3. Within blue Wave (5), we can also count five smaller black sub-waves, and interestingly, 4242.89 again aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci level of black Waves 1–3. ➡️ This creates a strong resistance area, from which a deep correction forming purple Wave (4) is highly possible. ________________________________________ 🔹 TRADING PLAN • Avoid holding long positions for too long — this stage is best suited for short-term scalp trades. • Focus on observing price action and waiting for a confirmed top formation before planning any Swing setups. • Sometimes, staying on the sidelines is the best strategy. 👉 I will update the Swing signal once a clearer confirmation appears.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
Gold Pullback Opportunity Within Strong Bullish MomentumAnalysis: The XAU/USD chart shows that gold has maintained a powerful upward trajectory, breaking out of its previous consolidation channel (highlighted in purple). After the breakout, price surged to new highs near 4,120, confirming strong bullish momentum. Currently, the market is showing a minor pullback toward the 4,090–4,060 zone — a region aligning with previous resistance turned support. This retracement appears healthy and could provide buyers a chance to re-enter before another leg up. The bullish continuation setup is supported by: Previous breakout retest: The price is testing the prior resistance area, which could now act as strong support. Momentum structure: Higher highs and higher lows remain intact. Favorable risk-reward ratio: The long position targets around 4,180, with stops below 4,060 support.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (15/10/2025) 1. Momentum D1: Daily momentum is currently rising and still has room to move into the overbought zone. ➡️ Therefore, the main trend on the D1 timeframe remains bullish until D1 momentum reaches the overbought area and shows signs of reversal. H4: Momentum on H4 is also rising strongly. ➡️ The upward move is likely to continue until H4 enters the overbought zone and starts to turn down. H1: H1 momentum is showing slight bearish divergence, suggesting a possible minor corrective pullback in the short term. 2. Wave Structure D1 Structure: Price is currently in wave 5 (yellow). A larger correction is only expected once D1 momentum enters the overbought zone, signaling the end of wave 5. For now, momentum remains bullish → further upside movement is still likely. H4 Structure: Price is retesting the previous high. There are two possible scenarios: 1️⃣ Formation of a corrective flat or triangle pattern. 2️⃣ Wave 5 (yellow) — which belongs to wave 3 (purple) — is still extending upward. H1 Structure: After a strong correction, price has rallied back toward the previous high around 4193, which serves as a key resistance zone. If 4193 holds and price reverses downward, we may see: • Flat correction: Targeting the 4102 zone – this will be the potential buy area. • Triangle correction: Price will consolidate narrowly, not dropping deeply toward 4102. If price breaks above 4193, the next target could be 4234, which may complete wave 5 (yellow). Since D1 momentum is still rising, it’s not ideal to counter-trade the trend at this stage. 3. Trading Plan Buy Zone: 4103 – 4101 Stop Loss: 4091 Take Profit: 4151
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | October 14, 2025📊 ________________________________________ 🔹 1. Momentum D1: Daily momentum has started to turn upward from the oversold zone, suggesting that the bullish pressure may continue throughout the week. H4: On the H4 chart, momentum is stuck together in the overbought zone, indicating that a reversal could occur at any moment. Currently, there have been 13 consecutive bullish candles in the H4 momentum cycle — a typical length before a reversal often appears. 👉 Therefore, avoid chasing long positions (Buy) at this stage. H1: H1 momentum is also deep in the overbought area, which means a short-term correction could take place soon. ________________________________________ 🔹 2. Wave Structure D1: The current pattern shows that Wave 5 is extending, which makes it difficult to project the exact target using Fibonacci ratios. However, an extended fifth wave usually ends with a sharp and decisive decline, which serves as a confirmation that Wave 5 has completed. H4: Price is currently forming Wave 5 (yellow), which also represents Wave 3 (purple) in the higher degree. Thus, the uptrend is still intact for now. Once Wave 5 (yellow) — equivalent to Wave 3 (purple) — finishes, the market will likely enter a corrective phase (Wave 4 purple), which would align with a momentum reversal on H4. H1: On the Elliott channel drawn from Wave 2 → Wave 4 → Wave 3 (yellow), price has broken above the upper boundary, which could be a throw-over pattern. If price returns and closes back inside the channel, it would confirm the completion of Wave 5. Connecting Wave 1 and Wave 3 highs, we can see that price is now above this trendline, and the 4157 zone coincides with the 0.618 Fibonacci extension of Waves 1–3 — forming a strong confluence area where a correction is likely to begin. ________________________________________ 🔹 3. Trading Plan At the moment, price is sitting around a major top, where the Monthly Wave 3 and the Weekly Wave 5 structures converge. 👉 This means volatility could be high and unpredictable. For now: • Avoid swing trades, • Focus only on short-term scalp opportunities with tight targets, • Wait for a clear confirmation signal at the top zone before entering new positions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
2
Gold breaking new highs has become the norm, 4100 is within reacGold continues its bullish trend, breaking new highs as expected. Breaking new highs has become the norm for gold recently. So far, gold has reached a high of 4080 and is fluctuating around it. It is likely to reach 4100 tonight, and the current level of 4100 is within reach. Breaking new highs from above has become commonplace. Don't expect bears to hold out. After all, bulls are the main force. Looking at the hourly chart, various indicators are driving the bulls, and international news is also positive for gold prices. Therefore, we must maintain a bullish outlook for gold. Mr. Tian will also prioritize long positions. Keep an eye on the support at 4000. Trading strategies should focus on buying on dips. Based on the 4-hour market trend, short-term support is currently at 4095-4100, with a focus on key support at 4075-4085. The bulls are rallying strongly and there is no end in sight. Trading strategies should prioritize buying on dips. In the intermediate range, be cautious and follow orders carefully, patiently waiting for key entry points. I will provide detailed trading strategies during the trading session, so stay tuned. Gold Trading Strategy: 1. Buy gold at 4070-4080. Add to long positions if it dips back to 4060-65. Stop loss at 4060. Target at 4130-4150. Hold if it breaks through.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by son571
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (13/10/2025) ________________________________________ 🔹 1. Overview In the previous plan, I predicted an upward correction after a panic sell-off, which was identified by an unusually extended blue wave C on H1. ________________________________________ 🔹 2. Momentum D1 Momentum is currently reversing downward, however, since price and momentum are diverging, the bullish pressure remains strong. H4 Momentum has now entered the overbought zone, so within the next 1–2 H4 candles, a corrective decline may occur. H1 Momentum is currently falling, while price is moving sideways, so we should continue observing this zone carefully. ________________________________________ 🔹 3. Wave Structure D1 Chart: • Price is still within the yellow wave 5. • Although D1 momentum is declining, the extended wave 5 structure suggests that once a correction begins, the first drop will likely be steep and deep. • The divergence between D1 candles and D1 momentum only signals weakening bullish strength, not yet a confirmed reversal. H4 Chart: • Price is currently moving along the upper boundary of the channel. • Earlier, a blue ABC structure completed, and now price is forming three consecutive peaks near the previous high. • This setup hints at a WXY pattern, where wave Y may develop as either: 1️⃣ A Flat (5-wave) pattern, or 2️⃣ A Triangle. H1 Chart: • A blue ABC correction has been completed, followed by a rally back to the previous top. • Price is now moving sideways around this zone. • Given that the ABC correction is done, there are two possible outcomes: o (1) The correction is complete, and price is now in a 5-wave impulsive rally, meaning further upside. o (2) The correction is still developing, and price may continue to drop as described in the H4 scenarios. ________________________________________ 🔹 4. Additional Notes • The current wave structure shows significant overlap, and given the previous panic sell, this slow recovery makes sense — it likely represents a leading diagonal (wave 1 triangle). • In such a case, once price breaks out of the channel, it should accelerate sharply into a strong wave 3. • However, since price remains sideways, this scenario may instead represent wave X of a continuing correction. ⚠️ Important: Unlike the Friday Buy setup, which had strong confluence, the current scenario presents two conflicting possibilities, so the probability is not high. ________________________________________ 🔹 5. Trade Plan Sell Setup (Short-Term): • Sell Stop: 4040 • SL: 4058 • TP1: 4010 Risk Management: If price rises strongly above, confirming wave 3 behavior, then cancel the Sell setup. As mentioned, this signal has lower probability and a relatively wide stop, so it’s better to either observe or enter with a small position size.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
1
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (10/10/2025) ________________________________________ 🔹 1. Momentum In the October 9th plan, based on H1 momentum and wave structure, I anticipated a strong bearish move, which indeed occurred during yesterday’s late session. D1 Momentum: Currently turning downward, meaning the main trend in the coming sessions remains bearish to bring D1 momentum into the oversold zone. H4 Momentum: Now showing signs of reversal from the oversold area, suggesting that a short-term recovery wave may appear soon. H1 Momentum: Currently approaching the oversold zone, so within the next 1–2 hours, a minor corrective upward move could take place. ________________________________________ 🔹 2. Wave Structure D1 Wave Structure: We can now see a confirmed bearish reversal candle, whose body is larger than previous bearish candles. This indicates that the yellow wave ⑤ has likely completed, and I expect a deeper corrective move to unfold — potentially reaching the 3700 area. H4 Wave Structure: As mentioned yesterday, we use the price channel for observation, and now the price has closed back inside the channel. This gives us additional confirmation that wave ⑤ has completed. With H4 momentum preparing to turn upward, the market is likely to form a corrective upward wave on this timeframe. H1 Wave Structure: Currently, a blue ABC correction has formed after yesterday’s strong decline. Notably, wave C is twice the length of wave A, showing that the panic selling yesterday may have exhausted the sellers. Combining this with the H4 momentum reversal, it suggests a potential upward move ahead. Furthermore, after a complete ABC structure, according to Elliott theory, the market often forms another ABC pattern or a 5-wave structure in the opposite direction, → therefore, we will now look for Buy opportunities. ________________________________________ 🔹 3. Liquidity Zones Observing the liquidity areas on the chart, there are two key zones to focus on: • 3953 • 3933 These are the two zones where we will look for Buy setups. Yesterday’s oversold decline (an irregular wave C) suggests, by Elliott principles, that a strong rebound from the 0.618 retracement up to the previous high is likely — this will be important for determining our Take-Profit levels. ________________________________________ 🔹 4. Trading Plan Buy Zone 1: • Entry: 3956 – 3953 • SL: 3943 • TP: 3989 Buy Zone 2: • Entry: 3934 – 3931 • SL: 3922 • TP: 3953 ________________________________________ 💡 Note: This rebound is a technical correction after an oversold sell-off, so it’s recommended to monitor price reaction near TP and consider moving SL to breakeven to secure profits.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold (XAU/USD) Rebound Setup – Support Holding Strong!Analysis: Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of bullish strength after testing the $4,000–$3,970 support zone, where buyers are stepping back in. The recent consolidation above support suggests a potential reversal and continuation of the uptrend. The setup highlights: Support Zone: Around $3,970 – $4,000, acting as a key accumulation area. Bullish Trigger: A breakout above minor resistance could drive momentum higher. Targets: 🎯 Target 1: $4,101 🎯 Target 2: $4,150 🎯 Target 3: $4,200 Stop Loss: Below $3,970 to protect against a downside breakout. 📈 Outlook: As long as price sustains above support, Gold remains bullish, aiming for a breakout towards $4,150 and $4,200 levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
2