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Gold Maintains Bullish Momentum Within Ascending ChannelAnalysis: The XAU/USD (Gold Spot) 1-hour chart shows a strong upward trend within a well-defined ascending channel. Price action continues to form higher highs and higher lows, indicating sustained bullish momentum. Currently, gold is trading near $3,959, staying comfortably above the trendline support, which has repeatedly acted as a dynamic base for buyers. The projected movement (blue arrow) suggests a potential short-term retracement toward the lower channel boundary, followed by a rebound toward the upper resistance zone around $4,000–$4,035. As long as gold remains above the trendline, the bullish structure remains intact. A breakout above the upper boundary could signal further upside potential, while a drop below the trendline may lead to short-term consolidation. Summary: Trend: Bullish Support: $3,915 – $3,925 (trendline zone) Resistance: $3,995 – $4,035 Bias: Buy on dips near trendline support for potential continuation toward new highs.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
"Gold 'Buy the Dip' Opportunity Targeting the $4,000 Level"Technical Analysis This is a classic bullish continuation setup. Here's a breakdown of the key elements: Prevailing Trend: The chart shows a strong bullish impulse wave, indicated by the series of large green candles. This establishes the short-term trend as upward. Corrective Pullback: After reaching a local high (around $3,980), the price is currently in a corrective phase, pulling back towards a potential support level. This is normal and healthy price action in an uptrend. Support Zone: The red rectangle you've highlighted from approximately $3,950.00 to $3,956.00 is a well-defined area of potential support. This zone represents a previous level of consolidation and the base of the last major push upwards, making it a likely area for buyers to step back in. Trade Idea: The projected path you have drawn suggests an expectation that the price will dip into this support zone, find buying pressure, and then continue its upward trajectory. This is often referred to as a "buy the dip" strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 7, 2025)📊 ________________________________________ 🔹 Momentum D1 Timeframe: Yesterday’s D1 candle closed and confirmed that the upward move is still continuing. However, momentum has started to turn in the overbought zone, indicating that the upside move may not last long — this is a typical overextension signal, often seen at the top of a wave. H4 Timeframe: Momentum on H4 is reversing in the overbought zone, meaning the short-term uptrend can still continue today, but traders should be cautious as this is a sensitive area for potential reversals. H1 Timeframe: Momentum on H1 is turning upward, suggesting there could be one more short-term bullish push before exhaustion. ➡️ Conclusion: Over the past few days, price has diverged from momentum across multiple timeframes — a classic sign of a potential top formation. 👉 Be extremely cautious with long-term positions. ________________________________________ 📈 COT (Commitment of Traders) Analysis Commercials: Currently 18% Long / 82% Short — this means hedgers are heavily shorting to protect against downside risk. This behavior is typically seen at major tops. Institutional Traders: Holding 83% Long / 17% Short, showing extreme bullish sentiment among large funds. Such sentiment often appears near market peaks. Retail Traders: 69% Long / 31% Short, indicating that retail traders are FOMO-buying, which reflects a classic crowd behavior at the top. 🧭 Summary: The current COT data strongly warns of a potential top formation in the market. Notes: • Commercials: Hedgers trading against the main trend to reduce business risk. • Institutionals: Large speculative funds trading with the main trend. • Retail Traders: Small investors, usually following market emotion. ________________________________________ 🌊 Wave Structure D1 Timeframe: Price remains within wave 5 (yellow). Momentum is in the overbought zone, so a correction could occur anytime. → For now, use the wave structure and price channel to observe potential topping reactions. H4 Timeframe: Wave 5 (purple) is approaching the Fibonacci 0.618 target around 3986. Combined with D1 momentum still slightly rising within the overbought zone, price may continue higher for 1–2 more days before turning down. According to additional H1 measurement, the second target lies at 4006. H1 Timeframe: The 5-wave (black) structure has been relabeled based on the latest data. Calculated projection shows Wave 5 = 0.618 of Waves 1–3, targeting 4006. → The potential target zone is 3985 – 4006. Currently, momentum divergence against price is developing — this typically happens in the final wave of a trend. Combined with COT’s top warning, the market is now slow and choppy, consistent with a distribution and topping phase. ________________________________________ 🧭 Trading Plan • Maintain strict discipline at this stage. • Reduce position size and avoid holding long-term trades. • Wait for clear top confirmation before planning the next swing setup. ________________________________________ 👉 Summary: Wave 5 is likely completing. Both momentum and COT warn of a potential top — stay patient, observe reactions, and avoid large positions until a confirmed reversal appears.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
“Gold Price Action: Bullish Momentum with Key Correction ZonesAnalysis of XAU/USD (Gold Spot) The chart shows a clear uptrend channel, supported by higher highs and higher lows. Price recently pulled back after testing the $3,915 zone, which is acting as a short-term resistance. Multiple support zones are highlighted (around $3,760 and $3,700), which can provide strong buying opportunities on retracement. The structure suggests impulse–correction–impulse movement, aligning with bullish continuation patterns. Bullish Scenario If price holds above the $3,760–$3,780 support, continuation towards $3,915 (previous high) is expected. A breakout above $3,915–$3,920 will open the door for further upside, targeting $3,960–$3,980. Bearish Scenario If price breaks below the trendline support (~$3,760), deeper correction is possible toward $3,680–$3,640 (TP1 zone). That zone is mentioned on the chart as a strong re-entry point for long positions. ✅ Suitable Target (Bullish): Immediate Target: $3,915 (previous high) Extended Target: $3,960 – $3,980 ⚠️ Correction Target (Bearish Pullback): $3,680 – $3,640 (strong buy zone for re-entry)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
1
Gold Maintains Bullish Momentum Above Uptrend SupportAnalysis: The 1-hour chart of XAU/USD shows a strong upward trendline, which has been consistently respected by price action. After a clear bullish momentum breakout around September 25th, gold has continued to post higher lows, confirming buyers’ control of the market. Currently, gold is trading at $3,878, consolidating just below the $3,924–$3,935 resistance zone. The chart suggests two possible scenarios: Continuation: If the price respects the upward trendline and breaks above the $3,924–$3,935 resistance, gold could aim for new highs, extending the bullish run. Short-Term Pullback: A minor correction to retest the trendline is possible, but as long as the trendline holds, the bullish structure remains intact. Technical Outlook: Support: $3,855 / $3,785 Resistance: $3,924 – $3,935 Trend: Strongly bullish, supported by ascending trendline Bias: Buy on dips towards the trendline, targeting a breakout above $3,935
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 6, 2025) ________________________________________ 🔹 1. Momentum D1 Timeframe • Daily momentum is currently declining, with both lines starting to converge inside the overbought zone. • Today is a critical day: o If the daily candle closes strongly bullish, price may extend the upside for another 2–3 days. o If the daily candle closes bearish, momentum will continue to decline, suggesting the correction may extend further. ➡️ Therefore, today’s daily close will be important to determine the mid–term trend direction. H4 Timeframe • H4 momentum lines are stuck together in the overbought zone, indicating a potential reversal could happen at any moment. H1 Timeframe • H1 momentum is turning upward, but since it’s already near the overbought area, the current push may not be sustainable. ➡️ A short-term pullback is likely to occur within the next 1–2 H1 candles. ________________________________________ 🔹 2. Wave Structure D1 Timeframe • On the daily chart, price has broken above 3877, which is the second target of the yellow wave 5. • Given the strong move, this could simply be a liquidity sweep, not necessarily the end of wave 5 yet. ➡️ We need to observe the daily close to confirm whether momentum continues to weaken or stabilizes. H4 Timeframe • After a 3-wave ABC correction (in blue), the price is now moving within purple wave 5. • Based on the current price channel, two possible targets for purple wave 5 are: o 🎯 Target 1: 3923 o 🎯 Target 2: 3986 H1 Timeframe • The structure shows a 5-wave pattern (in black) inside purple wave 5. • The 0.618 projection of wave 5 has already been reached near 3926, which also aligns with the 0.382 retracement level of the H4 structure — creating a strong confluence zone suitable for a potential short setup. • If price closes decisively above 3926, it may continue to extend toward 3986. ➡️ In that case, it’s better to wait for a clear reversal signal near 3986 rather than shorting too early. ________________________________________ 🔹 3. Trading Plan 📍 Setup: • Sell Now: 3925 – 3926 • Stop Loss: 3936 • Take Profit: 3899 📌 Safer Option: Wait for a bearish H1 confirmation candle before entering the trade. ⚠️ Note: This is a potential topping phase, so it’s essential to manage positions carefully — avoid loose stop losses or unprotected exposure.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD/Gold Weekly Buy Projection (05.10.25) chartXAUUSD/Gold Weekly Buy Projection (05.10.25) chart. Here’s a clear technical summary of what your chart shows: 🔹 Overall Structure The chart projects a bullish move for XAUUSD (Gold). Title: Weekly Buy Projection – 05 Oct 2025 Main trend: Ascending continuation pattern (marked by blue upward trendlines). Current price zone: around $3,886.45. 🔹 Key Levels Support S2: around $3,838 – $3,846 Support S1: around $3,870 – $3,878 Resistance 1: around $3,900 – $3,910 Resistance 2 (New ATH): around $3,939 – $3,970 🔹 Pattern & Projections Golden Ratio (0.618 Fibonacci) formed near $3,874, signaling a retracement support. Bullish engulfing candle noted at Support S1, confirming buying interest. Possible Double Top highlighted near Resistance 1, indicating a short-term pullback risk before continuation. Fair Value Gap (FVG) exists between $3,875–$3,890, suggesting potential liquidity refill before next le
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 10/03/2025📊 ________________________________________ 🔹 Momentum • D1 timeframe: Momentum is currently declining → the corrective process is likely to continue until D1 enters the oversold zone and reverses. • H4 timeframe: Momentum is preparing to turn upward → today we may see a bullish move. • H1 timeframe: Momentum is heading into the oversold zone → the current H1 decline is weakening, which may lead to a bullish move aligned with H4. This potential rally could last for about 4–5 H4 candles. ________________________________________ 🔹 Wave Structure • D1: Price is still within the wave 5 target zone without a clear breakout. However, D1 momentum suggests that a corrective decline may continue. • H4: An ABC structure has formed → the current rebound may be: o The start of a new uptrend. o Or part of a more complex correction. • H1: Showing a rebound, which could be: o Wave 1 of a new uptrend. o Or wave A of a corrective 3-wave ABC move. ⏩ In either case, the current decline can be identified as wave 2 (purple) or wave B (blue). • Downside targets: o Zone 1: 3842 o Zone 2: 3830 Afterward, the market is expected to rise: • If it is wave C → target equals wave A at 3885 (after 3842 support) or 3874 (after 3830 support). • If it is wave 3 (purple) → minimum target = 1.618 of wave 1 (purple). ________________________________________ 🔹 Trading Plan Scenario 1 • Buy Zone: 3843 – 3841 • SL: 3833 • TP1: 3862 • TP2: 3874 • TP3: 3885 Scenario 2 • Buy Zone: 3831 – 3829 • SL: 3818 • TP1: 3862 • TP2: 3874 • TP3: 3885 ________________________________________ 👉 Main strategy: Look for buy entries around 3842 or 3830 support zones, targeting 3874 – 3885.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD 2/10/2025🔎 ________________________________________ Momentum • D1 timeframe: Momentum is preparing to reverse → this signals that the bullish trend is becoming very weak. • H4 timeframe: Momentum is turning upward → today we may see a recovery move, with price either rising further or moving sideways to push H4 momentum into the overbought zone. • H1 timeframe: Momentum is about to enter the overbought zone → the recovery continues for now, but once H1 reverses inside the overbought zone, the next downward move may begin. ________________________________________ Wave Structure • D1 timeframe o Price reached the second target yesterday. o Momentum on D1 is showing signs of reversal → if today closes with a bearish candle, it may confirm that the yellow wave 5 top has been completed. o In that case, a 3-wave correction on D1 will unfold. o The duration of this correction will likely be longer than the previous yellow wave 2 and wave 4 corrections. • H4 timeframe o A downward move has completed, and momentum is turning upward. o If H4 enters the overbought zone without creating a new high, it provides strong evidence that the purple wave 5 has been completed. o The current structure shows the confluence of multiple wave 5s, fulfilling the condition of an ending diagonal triangle:  Features: new highs and new lows are created, but they become progressively smaller, forming a rising triangle.  Once completed → a sharp decline is expected. • H1 timeframe The structure is noisy, so we consider 2 scenarios: Scenario 1 – Black wave 5 has already completed o Price is currently in a corrective structure. o Combined with H4 momentum reaching the overbought zone and reversing:  If price fails to break above 3897, then: 1. Price drops from the current level 3866 → toward 3830. Then retraces back to 3865 → this offers a very good shorting opportunity. 2. Price rallies to 3885 → but only if H4 momentum is in the overbought zone and starts to weaken → this also provides a great short setup. Scenario 2 – Price breaks the high o In this case, we consider the possibility of an ending diagonal triangle, combining channel structure and H4 momentum to find the short entry. ________________________________________ Trading Plan • Although we already have potential targets, placing limit orders at this stage is not effective. • The key condition to wait for: H4 momentum must reach the overbought zone and reverse → that will provide a clearer and safer entry. • I will update the entry point once H4 momentum reaches the overbought zone, to avoid the same situation as yesterday: correct wave direction, but wide volatility caused stop-loss hits.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
ATH $3871: Shutdown Fear & 97% Fed Cut Fuel Gold Surge Hello, investors and traders! Gold continues to show phenomenal strength, setting a new ATH at $3,871.45/oz (on Sept 30), and closing at $3,843.43/oz. This gain confirms the strongest September since 2011, solidly confirming the explosive growth trend for the yellow metal. Fundamental Analysis: Politics and the Fed Drive Buying Wave Two core drivers are pushing gold prices higher, making any attempt to short (call the top) extremely risky: Political Instability: The risk of a looming US Government shutdown is ratcheting up uncertainty and strongly boosting safe-haven demand. Low-Rate Expectations: Weakening US jobs data has nearly locked in the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates in October. The market is currently pricing in a 97% chance of a Fed rate cut. Technical Analysis & Trading Strategy After a recent shock drop of 70 points, Gold quickly absorbed the selling pressure and created a new ATH, proving that buying pressure is overwhelming. The strong upward bias is undeniable. Outlook: Continue to Prioritize Buy given the powerful trend and supportive fundamentals. Only attempt Sell strategies near psychological resistance levels with an extremely tight Stop Loss (SL). Key Resistance: $3894, $3904, $3914, $3924 Key Support: $3869, $3843, $3834 Suggested Trading Strategy (Absolute Risk Management): BUY SCALP Zone: $3870 - $3868 / SL: $3864 TP: $3875 - $3885 - $3900 BUY ZONE Zone: $3834 - $3832 / SL: $3824 TP: $3842 - $3862 - $3892 SELL SCALP (High Risk) Zone: $3904 - $3906 / SL: $3910 TP: $3901 - $3891 - $3876 SELL ZONE (High Risk) Zone: $3925 - $3927 / SL: $3935 TP: $3917 - $3907 - $3897 - $3887 - $3877 - $3867 The market is running on fear and rate-cut anticipation. Are you betting on the $3900 mark this week? 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #ATH #Fed #GovernmentShutdown #TradingView #InterestRates #FinancialMarkets
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
1
GOLD ATH: US Shutdown Drama! Buy The Dip, Yaar? Gold just smashed a new record at $3,833.37/oz (Sept 29) on high safe-haven demand due to the impending US Govt shutdown (Oct 1) and solid FED rate cut hopes. USD pullback (0.2%) also playing its part. The sudden dip to $3,794 looks like pure end-of-month profit-booking, not a proper reversal. If US tensions worsen, the Buy opportunity is still very much active! 📈 Technical View & Intraday Trade Setup Gold has done a major flush, stopping out the weak hands. Selling pressure is there, but the drop without big news suggests caution. Look for a technical bounce to fill the FVG before a potential continuation lower. Key Levels: Resistance: $3827 / $3846 / $3870 Support: $3787 / $3778 / $3763 Detailed Trading Strategy (US Session): 1. BUY Zone (Aggressive Dip Buy): Entry: $3784 - $3782 SL: $3774 TP: $3792 / $3812 / $3832 2. SELL Scalp (Quick Short): Entry: $3827 - $3829 SL: $3833 TP: $3824 / $3814 / $3804 3. SELL Zone (Main Short Entry): Entry: $3866 - $3868 SL: $3876 TP: $3858 / $3838 / $3818 ⚠️ Alert! The US Government Shutdown news is the main event. If budget talks are positive, Gold might see a sharp fall. Manage risk (SL) like a boss! Kya lagta hai? Will Gold fly to $4K or take support near $378x? 👇 #XAUUSD #Gold #MCX #TradingStrategy #USShutdown #FED #TechnicalAnalysis #Intraday #MarketUpdate #Commodities
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 01/10/2025📊 ________________________________________ 🔹 Momentum • D1: Momentum is still rising but already entering the overbought zone → buying power is weakening. Price may continue to rise or move sideways in the short term, but the risk of reversal is increasing. • H4: Momentum is still pushing upward. Until it reaches the overbought zone and reverses, price can continue to rise or consolidate sideways. • H1: Momentum is moving into oversold territory and preparing to turn upward. This aligns with H4, suggesting another short-term push higher. ________________________________________ 🔹 Wave Structure • D1 Wave: Price is still within Wave 5. Yesterday it reached the second target zone – a strong resistance area and potential top. Once D1 momentum reverses in overbought territory, a major correction will be confirmed. Note: If a correction occurs on D1, it will likely last longer than Wave 2 and Wave 4 → avoid catching swing bottoms too early. • H4 Wave: A strong drop yesterday gave sellers momentum, but price quickly recovered and is now testing highs. With both D1 and H4 momentum showing more room to rise, price may still push higher. → Use the H4 price channel as a key observation tool. • H1 Wave: A 5-wave structure (12345 black) is forming. Wave 5 is usually the hardest to predict due to FOMO-driven buying. As warned yesterday, long swing trades are risky. After a sharp drop, price rebounded but momentum signals weakness. Multiple Wave 5 structures are converging near 3885, making this a high-probability reversal zone. ________________________________________ 🔹 Trade Plan • Sell Zone: 3885 – 3887 • Stop Loss: 3895 • Take Profit: o TP1: 3830 📌 Notes: • This is a sensitive potential top zone → volatility is usually unpredictable. • If selling at 3885, use small position size and strict SL discipline. • Best approach: wait for further confirmation before committing heavily.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
The Unstoppable Rise of GoldTechnical Analysis (XAU/USD): Gold is trading around $3,816, showing continued bullish strength along the upward trend line. Price has respected higher lows, confirming buyers remain in control. Key short-term support levels are visible at $3,797, $3,759, and $3,718. As long as price stays above the $3,718 zone (major support), the bullish structure remains intact. The chart indicates two bullish scenarios: A direct continuation higher from current levels. A potential retest of the $3,797 – $3,759 zone before another push upward. Upside targets in the coming sessions stand between $3,860 – $3,900, with further momentum potentially extending beyond $3,925. Fundamental Analysis: Safe-Haven Demand: Persistent geopolitical uncertainties and global economic slowdown fears are keeping gold attractive as a safe-haven asset. Central Bank Policies: If the Fed maintains a dovish stance or signals rate cuts, real yields may decline, further boosting gold. Inflation Hedge: Despite cooling in some regions, sticky inflation supports long-term gold demand. Central Bank Purchases: Record gold buying by global central banks continues to provide a solid floor under prices. Conclusion: Gold remains in a strong bullish phase, with technicals showing steady upward momentum and fundamentals reinforcing demand. Any dips toward $3,759–$3,718 may offer buying opportunities as long as the trendline holds, while the broader outlook points toward further gains.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 30, 2025📊 ________________________________________ 🔥 Momentum • D1 timeframe: Momentum is currently bullish. We have 3 consecutive bullish candles so far, meaning there may be only 1–2 more daily candles before momentum reaches the overbought zone → risk of reversal. • H4 timeframe: Momentum is stuck in the overbought zone with 4 consecutive bullish candles. This signals that the bullish force is weakening. • H1 timeframe: Momentum is reversing inside the overbought zone. This shows the bullish force is fading, and price may reverse downward within 1–2 hours. ________________________________________ 🌊 Wave Structure • D1 timeframe: Price is moving inside the Elliott channel drawn from wave 2 – wave 4 and wave 3 (yellow). There is not much room left before hitting the upper channel. This matches D1 momentum and the second target zone of wave 5 (yellow). • H4 timeframe: As mentioned in the previous plan, price broke the old high at 3793, confirming wave 5 (purple). However, H4 momentum has been overbought for 4 consecutive candles, signaling that wave 5 (purple) is nearing its end. • H1 timeframe: Currently forming a 5-wave structure (1–2–3–4–5) in black inside wave 5 (purple). All timeframes are showing signals that price is approaching a major top. Although the trend is still bullish, sharp pullbacks of over 100 pips happen frequently, making it very difficult to trade with tight stop-losses. ________________________________________ 🎯 Key Price Levels • Price is now testing the 2.618 Fibonacci extension of wave 1 (black) at 3865. • Upper channels from D1, H4, and H1 converge around 3885. 👉 This is the critical area to look for reversal signals and consider a Sell entry. ________________________________________ 📌 Trading Plan • Swing trades: Be patient, wait for clear signals before entering. • Scalp trades: Possible, but avoid holding positions too long. • Risk management: Strictly apply safe trade management as price is at a potential top zone.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
“Gold (XAU/USD) – Breakout Play from Resistance (1-Hour View)Chart Structure & Key Levels You’ve drawn a resistance zone above current price. The label “this is the resistance area here if break we will hold” points to a horizontal resistance line or zone. You also show a descending trendline acting as dynamic resistance. On the lower side, you mark LL (Lower Low) and LH (Lower High) points, implying the prior structure was in a downtrend or consolidation. Your trade setup (green = target area, red = stop area) suggests you are expecting a break above resistance and a move upward with three target levels:  • TP1 at ~ 3,759.74  • TP2 at ~ 3,779.03  • TP3 at ~ 3,799.67 What Your Setup Implies (and Risks) Bullish Bias on Breakout You are expecting that if price breaks above the resistance zone + trendline, that resistance may flip into support, allowing the price to rally further. This is a classic breakout reversal expectation. If the breakout is confirmed (with strong candle close above, ideally with volume), then the path is “clearer” for your targets. Stop / Risk Control Your red zone (stop area) is placed below the resistance/trendline region. If price fails and falls back below this, your trade idea would be invalidated. Target Levels Logic TP1 is relatively conservative, just above resistance. TP2 and TP3 stretch further to capture the upside momentum if the breakout has strength. Additional Considerations & Technical Tips Confirm the Breakout Don’t just enter on a quick wick above resistance. Wait for a sustained close above the zone (on your timeframe) to reduce the chance of a false breakout. Check volume: higher-than-average volume on the breakout gives it more credibility. Watch for Retest Often after a breakout, price returns to retest the broken resistance (which now may act as support). This retest can offer a better entry with lower risk. Manage Risk Aggressively The more distant your TP3, the more room for price to reverse. Consider scaling out of the trade (taking partial profits as price hits TP1, TP2) to lock in gains. Keep an Eye on Macro / Fundamental Factors Gold (XAU/USD) is sensitive to U.S. monetary policy, the strength of the U.S. dollar, inflation expectations, and geopolitical risk. For example, stronger U.S. data or hawkish Fed statements could work against a bullish breakout in gold. Divergences & Momentum Indicators Use RSI / MACD / ADX to check whether momentum supports your breakout idea. If momentum is weak or showing divergence, be cautious. Timeframe Alignment Make sure that higher timeframes (4H, daily) are not giving strong bearish signals conflicting with your breakout bias on the 1-hour chart.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KingProTrader
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 28/09/2025 ________________________________________ 🔹 Momentum • D1: Momentum is still declining → next week we may continue to see sideways movement or further downside following D1 momentum. • H4: Momentum is also decreasing → on Monday, we expect a continuation of the downtrend. • H1: Momentum is oversold and preparing to rise → during the Asian session on Monday, a short-term upward move is likely. ________________________________________ 🔹 Wave Structure • D1 timeframe: o Price is still within wave 5 (yellow). o If D1 momentum enters the oversold zone and then turns upward, but price remains sideways without reaching 3632, then wave 5 (yellow) may still extend toward the second target at 3887. • H4 timeframe: o A corrective WXY structure is forming. o With H4 momentum turning down, it is likely that wave Y is unfolding. • H1 timeframe: o A declining ABC (blue) structure appeared, followed by a rising ABC (blue) structure toward 3784. o Within this, wave B formed a triangle abcde (red). o This shows two ABC (blue) corrective structures developing within the adjustment, suggesting multiple possibilities for wave Y: 1️⃣ Flat 3-3-5: Wave Y may unfold as a 5-wave sharp decline, with an ideal target around 3713 → this is the expected Buy zone. 2️⃣ Triangle: Price may consolidate sideways above 3718 → patience is required to wait for the pattern to complete. 3️⃣ Large-scale Triangle: If the entire correction is a triangle, price will also sideway above 3718 → wait for completion before acting. • Note: If price breaks above 3792, it may confirm that the corrective structure is complete → next upside target would be 3810. ________________________________________ 🔹 Trade Plan • Buy Zone: 3714 – 3711 • SL: 3703 • TP: 3733 ________________________________________ 👉 Conclusion: The optimal approach is to wait for confirmation: • Either the triangle structure completes, • Or price declines into the 3713 – 3711 zone to set up a Buy entry.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader thank you
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by tradergyan01
Jobs vs. Inflation: Gold Steady Before PCE ShowdownHello, investors! Gold saw only a marginal 0.1% gain, closing at $3,739.42/oz on September 25. This struggle was due to better-than-expected US jobs data (jobless claims dropped sharply), which slightly pared back the market's expectation for a Fed rate cut in October (down to 85%). However, Gold maintains support from dovish Fed comments and potential political instability (like Trump's proposed 100% drug tariff). The entire market focus now shifts to today's (Sept 26) PCE Inflation Report. Expert Alert: If the PCE data is hotter than anticipated, Gold could face sharp, temporary downward pressure. Technical Analysis & Strategy Gold is currently consolidating within a triangle pattern and has yet to break the $375x resistance. While more selling pressure is possible before the PCE release, the long-term trend remains bullish. Outlook: Prioritize Buy if the price maintains above the Key Level $373x. If the news causes the price to break $373x, be ready to flip the strategy to Sell. Key Resistance: $3755, $3768, $3778 Key Support: $3738, $3727, $3712 Suggested Trading Strategy (Strict Risk Management): BUY SCALP Zone: $3739 - $3737 SL: $3733 TP: $3742 - $3747 - $3752 - $3757 - $3767 BUY ZONE Zone: $3704 - $3702 SL: $3694 TP: $3712 - $3722 - $3732 - $3742 - $3762 SELL ZONE Zone: $3776 - $3778 SL: $3786 TP: $3768 - $3758 - $3748 - $3728 - $3708 The market is at a critical juncture. What is your game plan for today? 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #PCE #Fed #Inflation #TradingView #ATH
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 26, 2025 ________________________________________ 🔹 Momentum • D1: Currently decreasing → the corrective trend is likely to continue. It may take about 2 more D1 candles for momentum to enter the oversold zone, after which a reversal could occur. • H4: Momentum is rising → today we may see a bullish move or sideways range. • H1: About to enter the oversold zone → a short-term bullish reversal is likely. ________________________________________ 🔹 Wave Structure • D1: o As analyzed previously, wave 5 (yellow) has already reached its first target at 3789. o It may take around 2 more D1 candles for momentum to enter oversold → showing that the bearish leg is weakening. o Considering depth and time, the market is likely within wave 4 of wave 5. Once the correction completes, the uptrend should resume toward the second target. • H4: o A WXY corrective structure is developing. o The ABC (blue) has completed wave W → the market may now be in wave X, followed by a Y-wave decline to finish the correction. • H1: o Wave X appears to be forming a triangle, currently in the final wave e. o However:  If price rises sharply above 3762, it would suggest the corrective phase is already completed.  The target area for wave e is around 3752 → potential Sell zone.  If price breaks below 3729, it confirms wave Y is in play, targeting 3713 and 3698 → potential Buy zones. ⚠️ Note: If the Buy target is reached first, the Sell setup will be canceled. ________________________________________ 🔹 Trading Plan 🔻 Sell Zone • Entry: 3751 – 3753 • SL: 3761 • TP: 3729 ________________________________________ 🔺 Buy Zone 1 • Entry: 3714 – 3712 • SL: 3704 • TP: 3751 ________________________________________ 🔺 Buy Zone 2 • Entry: 3699 – 3696 • SL: 3686 • TP: 3751
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold "Cools Down": A Sign of a Coming Downturn? Hello, investors! Gold saw a notable correction on September 24, closing at $3,762.73/oz after reaching a historic high of $3,790.82/oz just one day earlier. Gold futures also dropped 0.5% to $3,795.80/oz. Is this a sign of a deeper correction or just a short-term profit-taking before key news? Fundamental Analysis: Market "Holds Its Breath" Before the PCE Inflation Report Yesterday's drop in gold seems to have little to do with the released U.S. economic data, as the USD index only had a slight rebound and housing data wasn't strong enough to cause such a major move. Instead, the most likely reasons are: Cautious Profit-Taking: Investors are taking profits after a rapid run-up, aiming to mitigate risk before the upcoming PCE inflation report on September 26. Fed Expectations: Despite short-term volatility, the market holds firm on its expectation that the Fed will cut rates in October and December with a high probability (94% and 77%). A low-rate environment and geopolitical concerns remain the core drivers supporting gold's price in the long term. Technical Analysis: "Sell" or "Wait to Buy"? Gold had a significant correction from the $3,770 area, indicating that a large number of profit-taking sell orders were triggered. However, the downtrend has paused and is now looking for a new balance point. Outlook: With the current cautious sentiment, there's a chance gold may see further selling pressure in the short term. However, any deeper drop would be an excellent opportunity to buy back at a better price, as the long-term bullish momentum is still intact. Suggested Trading Strategy (Strict Risk Management): Sell Zone: Zone $3766 - $3768, SL $3776 Buy Zone: Zone $3702 - $3700, SL $3692 The market is highly sensitive. Do you think this correction is a buying opportunity or a time to step back? Share your thoughts! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #GoldAnalysis #TradingView #InterestRates #Inflation #PCE #USD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jeremy_NPC
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 25, 2025 ________________________________________ 🔹 Momentum • D1: Momentum on the daily chart has turned bearish, indicating that the main downtrend may continue. • H4: Momentum on H4 is about to turn bullish, suggesting a possible upward move today. However, if this bullish reversal fails to break the previous high, the downtrend will remain intact. • H1: Momentum on H1 is declining and about to enter the oversold zone. This downward move may need around 2 more H1 candles before entering oversold territory and reversing. ________________________________________ 🔹 Wave Structure • D1: o The first target of wave 5 (yellow) was reached at 3789. o Price is currently reacting at this level. With D1 momentum turning bearish, there is a strong possibility that wave 5 (yellow) has already completed, meaning price could move towards 3632 and potentially break below it. • H4: An ABC corrective structure (blue) has formed, opening three scenarios: 1. The correction is complete → price rallies strongly, breaking the previous high to continue the uptrend. 2. Price rallies but with overlap, forming a Flat 3-3-5 pattern → price may rise toward the previous high at 3793. 3. Price remains in a zigzag structure → another decline may occur to complete wave C. 👉 Given the bearish momentum on D1, I lean more towards scenario 2 and 3. 👉 Note: In scenarios (1) and (2), price must hold above 3729, then break 3752, which could lead to a minimum rally towards 3777. • H1: Under scenario 3 (further decline to complete wave C): o Price may break below 3718. o Wave 5 (black) targets:  3713 (first target).  3698 (second target). ________________________________________ 🔹 Trade Plan • Buy Zone 1: 3729 – 3726 o SL: 3717 o TP: 3751 • Buy Zone 2: 3714 – 3711 o SL: 3703 o TP: 3751 ________________________________________ ⚠️ Important Note The market is likely in a corrective wave at a higher structure. • Characteristic: Price often shows overlapping moves. • Therefore: Manage trades carefully, avoid over-risking, as reversals can happen at any time – this is typical of corrective waves.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARDXAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the marketwhich preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for breakC. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader thank you
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by tradergyan01
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 24, 2025📊 ________________________________________ 🔹 Momentum D1 • Daily momentum is currently rising. • So far, we have counted 4 bullish candles, which is the minimum requirement to complete a momentum cycle. • There may be 1–2 more daily candles before momentum enters the overbought zone and reverses. H4 • H4 momentum is in the oversold zone and about to reverse. • The upcoming H4 bullish swing is critical: o If it breaks the previous high → the uptrend continues, and we can expect another 1–2 daily bullish candles before reversal. o If it fails to break the high → we must prepare for a reversal scenario. H1 • H1 momentum is also heading into the oversold zone. • This creates a confluence between H4 and H1, signaling a possible bullish move ahead. ________________________________________ 🔹 Wave Structure D1 • The yellow wave ⑤ has reached its first target at 3789. • This is a strong resistance zone because: o It aligns with the 0.382 Fibo retracement of waves ①–③ yellow. o Wave ⑤ equals the length of wave ① yellow. • If D1 momentum enters the overbought zone and price fails to break 3789, this may mark the top of wave ⑤ yellow, potentially triggering a sharp and prolonged decline. H4 • Price has already seen a 5-candle decline on H4, with momentum in the oversold zone → this correction is near completion. • Two possibilities: 1. It is wave ④ of wave ⑤ yellow. 2. It is the start of wave ① of a new bearish structure. • If the next bullish move fails to break the previous high, the bearish wave ① scenario is confirmed, leading to a wave ③ decline with strong and steep characteristics. H1 • A deeper and longer correction than previous ones has appeared, which is unusual, especially since price already reached the first target of wave ⑤ yellow. • However, we should not rush to catch the top, as this unusual behavior is only visible on H1, while H4 and D1 still look normal. • If this is wave ④, or wave ① of a bearish structure, or even just wave A → the next move should still bring a bullish swing confluence, providing an opportunity to look for Buy entries. ________________________________________ 🔹 Key Support Zones • 3747 – 3737 • 3729 ________________________________________ 🔹 Trading Plan Scenario 1: • Buy Zone: 3747 – 3744 • SL: 3735 • TP: 3774 Scenario 2: • Buy Zone: 3730 – 3727 • SL: 3720 • TP: 3767
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX