Gold increases sharply: Investors look for a safe place
The US dollar rallied early Wednesday as risk-off sentiment dominated the market. Asian shares came under pressure after disappointing tech earnings reports from major companies such as Alphabet and Tesla. Alphabet achieved good revenue and profits but needed time to see results from its investment in artificial intelligence, while Tesla dropped 7% due to profits not meeting expectations and postponing the Robotaxi event. Fears of a Chinese economic slowdown also supported safe-haven demand for the greenback.
On Tuesday, the US dollar rebounded significantly on market jitters ahead of important earnings reports from US companies and a sharp rise in Treasury yields. Investors take profits on USD short positions ahead of Wednesday's preliminary Global Manufacturing and Services PMI data. Weak PMI data could spark recession fears, creating fresh demand for the US dollar.
Gold prices could benefit from this scenario if concerns about the US economy reinforce dovish Fed expectations. The market is currently pricing the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates in September at a 97% probability. All eyes are on the US Q2 GDP report on Thursday and June PCE inflation data on Friday to monitor gold price movements.
Note price range:
Sell zones: 2424 - 2426
Stop loss: 2430
Take profit 1: 2414
Take profit 2: 2400
Sell zones: 2440 - 2442
Stop loss: 2446
Take profit 1: 2430
Take profit 2: 2420
Xauusdideas
Gold hesitates amid opposing market signals
Gold prices (XAU/USD) struggled to gain during the Asian trading session Tuesday, although still above the lowest level of the past week. Joe Biden's withdrawal from the 2024 election has increased Donald Trump's chances, suggesting a looser regulatory environment. At the same time, the People's Bank of China (PBoC) unexpectedly cut interest rates on Monday, which supported upbeat market sentiment and created a drag on gold, a safe-haven precious metal. .
Dovish Fed expectations also played an important role in limiting losses for gold. The market currently believes that the Fed will begin lowering interest rates in September and could cut twice more by the end of the year. These predictions have led to a decline in US bond yields, putting pressure on the dollar and thereby supporting the price of gold, a non-yielding asset.
Against this backdrop, investors should cautiously wait for further sell-offs before positioning for an extended pullback from recent record highs. Uncertainty about monetary policy and global economic factors continue to strongly influence gold prices, and investment decisions should be based on careful analysis of the current situation.
Interesting price areas:
Buy zone: 2367 - 2365
Stop loss: 2361
Take profit 1: 2375
Take profit 2: 2385
Sell zone: 2418 - 2420
Stop loss: 2424
Take profit 1: 2410
Take profit 2: 2400