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XAUUSD H1 – Liquidity Draw Above 5,200 with FVG Support Below1️⃣ Market Structure A strong bearish displacement created imbalance (FVG). Price formed a base and began printing higher lows and higher highs, signaling short-term bullish structure. Current consolidation is occurring just below a liquidity pool. 2️⃣ Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) Liquidity rests above the recent equal highs near 5,190–5,210. This area is a magnet for price. A sweep of this liquidity is highly probable before any deeper retracement. Bias: Short-term bullish toward liquidity. 3️⃣ Key Level (~5,140–5,150) Acting as intraday support. Price respected this level after tapping into the FVG. Holding above this keeps bullish continuation valid. If price breaks and closes below it decisively → expect retracement into lower imbalance. 4️⃣ FVG (Imbalance Zone ~5,115–5,130) This zone remains partially unmitigated. Acts as demand in current structure. A revisit here could provide bullish continuation setups. Scenarios ✅ Bullish Scenario (Higher Probability) Hold above 5,140 Break recent highs Sweep buy-side liquidity above 5,200 Possible continuation toward 5,240+ 🔄 Bearish Scenario (If Structure Fails) Break below 5,140 with displacement Full mitigation of FVG Potential move toward 5,080–5,060
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
1
XAUUSD 30M – Liquidity Sweep and Bearish Continuation Setup1️⃣ Liquidity Grab at the High Price swept above the previous intraday highs (marked resistance zone). This created a liquidity grab / stop hunt. Rejection followed immediately after tapping the supply area (upper red zone). This suggests smart money distribution. 2️⃣ Strong Bearish Impulse After the sweep, price delivered a strong bearish displacement. This move broke short-term structure to the downside. Indicates shift in momentum from bullish to bearish. 3️⃣ Bearish Order Block / Supply Zone The upper red zone represents a supply area. Price reacted cleanly from it. Structure now favors continuation lower unless this zone is reclaimed. 4️⃣ Current Setup Price retraced upward after the drop but failed to break previous highs. Market is forming a potential lower high. The blue area marks the projected downside target. 🎯 Target Levels 50% TP: Mid-range support around 5,360 area. Final Target: Previous demand imbalance around 5,300–5,280 zone. This aligns with internal liquidity and prior reaction levels. 📉 Bias Short-term bias: Bearish As long as price remains below the supply zone (~5,400–5,420), Expect continuation toward the lower liquidity pool. ⚠️ Invalidation A strong close above the supply zone would invalidate the bearish structure That would suggest deeper continuation upward.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
XAUUSD 45M – Rejection at Key Supply Zone, Short Bias Toward 516🔎 1. Market Structure Overview Price previously rallied strongly and formed a swing high near 5,235–5,240. Since then, the market has been consolidating in a range. Recent move shows a retest of the marked “Key Level” supply zone (≈5,205–5,220). A lower high appears to be forming inside that zone. This suggests distribution behavior rather than continuation strength. 🧱 2. Key Zones 🔹 Supply / Resistance: 5,205 – 5,220 Multiple rejections Labeled “Key Level” SMT divergence noted (suggesting weakening bullish momentum) 🔹 Intraday Support: 5,155 – 5,165 Marked as TP1 zone Previous reaction area 🔹 Major Range Support: 5,100 Bottom of current range If 5,160 breaks cleanly, this becomes the next magnet 📉 3. Bias & Scenario Bearish Scenario (Primary Bias): Rejection from 5,205–5,220 holds Break below minor structure near 5,180 Move toward TP1 at 5,160 Extended target: 5,100 range low Bullish Invalidation: Strong close above 5,220 Acceptance above supply zone Would likely target 5,235+ again 🧠 Technical Reasoning Lower high inside supply Weak follow-through after retest Range environment → edge favors fading extremes Clear risk-to-reward short setup toward range midpoint / lows 🎯 Trade Idea (Based on Chart Markup) Entry: Rejection inside 5,205–5,215 Stop: Above 5,225 TP1: 5,160 TP2 (runner): 5,100
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DrForexPhd
Gold (XAU/USD) Pullback Into Supply – Bearish Continuation Setup1️⃣ Market Structure Clear bullish trend leading into Feb 23–24. Price created a strong impulsive breakout above consolidation. A sharp wick rejection near ~5,240–5,250 suggests supply pressure. Current structure shows a lower high forming intraday, indicating short-term weakness. 2️⃣ Key Zones 🟥 Resistance / Supply Zone: 5,200 – 5,240 Multiple rejections Previous breakout base Now acting as supply 🟫 Mid Support / Reaction Zone: 5,150 – 5,165 Intraday demand Currently being tested 🟩 Major Support Target: 5,030 – 5,050 Strong demand base Prior consolidation before breakout Logical liquidity draw 3️⃣ Trade Idea Illustrated (Bearish Bias) The chart suggests: Short entry within supply (red box) Stop above 5,240–5,250 Target toward 5,030 support This provides: Good risk-to-reward profile Retracement into imbalance Liquidity sweep potential before continuation 📉 Bias Assessment Short-Term (Intraday): Bearish Rejection from highs Weak bounce structure Lower high formation Momentum slowing Medium-Term: Still Bullish Overall trend remains upward This could be a healthy pullback before continuation ⚠️ What Invalidates the Bearish Setup? Strong bullish close above 5,240 Break and hold above recent swing high High volume continuation breakout If that happens, next expansion could target 5,280+.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DrForexPhd
Gold increases sharply: Investors look for a safe place The US dollar rallied early Wednesday as risk-off sentiment dominated the market. Asian shares came under pressure after disappointing tech earnings reports from major companies such as Alphabet and Tesla. Alphabet achieved good revenue and profits but needed time to see results from its investment in artificial intelligence, while Tesla dropped 7% due to profits not meeting expectations and postponing the Robotaxi event. Fears of a Chinese economic slowdown also supported safe-haven demand for the greenback. On Tuesday, the US dollar rebounded significantly on market jitters ahead of important earnings reports from US companies and a sharp rise in Treasury yields. Investors take profits on USD short positions ahead of Wednesday's preliminary Global Manufacturing and Services PMI data. Weak PMI data could spark recession fears, creating fresh demand for the US dollar. Gold prices could benefit from this scenario if concerns about the US economy reinforce dovish Fed expectations. The market is currently pricing the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates in September at a 97% probability. All eyes are on the US Q2 GDP report on Thursday and June PCE inflation data on Friday to monitor gold price movements. Note price range: Sell zones: 2424 - 2426 Stop loss: 2430 Take profit 1: 2414 Take profit 2: 2400 Sell ​​zones: 2440 - 2442 Stop loss: 2446 Take profit 1: 2430 Take profit 2: 2420
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by mswhitetrader
Gold hesitates amid opposing market signals Gold prices (XAU/USD) struggled to gain during the Asian trading session Tuesday, although still above the lowest level of the past week. Joe Biden's withdrawal from the 2024 election has increased Donald Trump's chances, suggesting a looser regulatory environment. At the same time, the People's Bank of China (PBoC) unexpectedly cut interest rates on Monday, which supported upbeat market sentiment and created a drag on gold, a safe-haven precious metal. . Dovish Fed expectations also played an important role in limiting losses for gold. The market currently believes that the Fed will begin lowering interest rates in September and could cut twice more by the end of the year. These predictions have led to a decline in US bond yields, putting pressure on the dollar and thereby supporting the price of gold, a non-yielding asset. Against this backdrop, investors should cautiously wait for further sell-offs before positioning for an extended pullback from recent record highs. Uncertainty about monetary policy and global economic factors continue to strongly influence gold prices, and investment decisions should be based on careful analysis of the current situation. Interesting price areas: Buy zone: 2367 - 2365 Stop loss: 2361 Take profit 1: 2375 Take profit 2: 2385 Sell zone: 2418 - 2420 Stop loss: 2424 Take profit 1: 2410 Take profit 2: 2400
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by mswhitetrader