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Xauusdshort

Trump Davos Warning Keeps Gold in Strong UptrendMarket Context (News → Flow) Comments from Trump at Davos, including renewed threats and pressure around Greenland, have escalated geopolitical uncertainty during the Asian session. Markets reacted in classic risk-off mode: USD weakens amid political uncertainty Equities hesitate, risk appetite fades Safe-haven flows rotate into Gold, driving momentum higher Gold is not moving on speculation — it is reacting to capital seeking protection. Technical Structure (H1 – SMC) Overall structure remains bullish, confirmed by multiple BOS Price is trending inside a well-defined ascending channel Recent pullback respected the bullish FVG, showing strong demand No bearish acceptance below structure at this stage ➡️ FVG respected → continuation remains in play Key Decision Zones Upper FVG: 4,765.425 Mid support: 4,727.188 Current impulse high: 4,883.900 These are reaction zones, not chase levels. Scenarios (If – Then) Primary Scenario – Trend Continuation If price holds above 4,765.425 Bullish structure remains intact Gold can continue advancing toward higher channel resistance Alternative Scenario – Technical Pullback If price loses 4,765.425 A pullback toward 4,727.188 is possible for rebalancing Only a clear H1 close below 4,727.188 would weaken the bullish bias Summary Geopolitical rhetoric is accelerating volatility, but structure still leads the narrative. Gold is not reacting emotionally — it is pricing risk.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jeremy_NPC
Gold (XAUUSD) Restistance @ 4710 - 4720 | Will it fall?Gold (XAUUSD) has shown a strong rally due to geopolitical situation between US and Europe but it's approaching resistance zone 4710 - 4720 and also overbought. We are looking for sell on rise opportunity as this area is strong supply zone, and fall is likely to happen. 📉 Trade Idea: Look for sell opportunities in the 4710 – 4720 zone. Targets and risk levels are clearly outlined on the chart. ⚠️ This is a counter-trend / pullback trade, best suited for intraday or short-term traders. Manage risk accordingly. 📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always manage risk and follow your trading plan. Your feedback drives our content and keeps everyone trading smarter. Let’s make those pips together! 🚀 Happy Trading, – The InvestPro Team
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by InvestPro_India
2
XAUUSD Consolidation Below Resistance!Chart Analysis (XAUUSD – 1H) Market Structure: Price is ranging just below a major resistance / supply zone (~4,630–4,640). Multiple rejections here show distribution rather than clean breakout strength. Higher Time Frame Context: A bullish higher-timeframe trendline is rising from below. There is a higher-timeframe FVG (Fair Value Gap) resting beneath current price (~4,520–4,560 area). This suggests bullish bias overall, but short-term pullback is likely before continuation. Liquidity & POI: Equal highs / resting liquidity above the range. A marked POI (Point of Interest) sits just below current price inside the supply zone. Red dotted path suggests a fake breakout or liquidity grab, followed by a drop into demand Sell Scenario (Short-Term / Intraday) Bias: Short-term bearish (pullback) Sell Entry Options: Rejection sell from supply zone Entry: 4,625 – 4,640 Confirmation: bearish candle / long upper wick / momentum lo Liquidity sweep sell Price spikes above range highs → fails to hold → sell on breakdown back below 4,620 Stop Loss: Above recent high: 4,660 – 4,680 Targets: TP1: 4,590 TP2: 4,560 TP3: 4,520 (HTF FVG + trendline confluence) Buy Scenario (High-Probability Swing Setup) Bias: Medium- to higher-timeframe bullish Buy Entry Zone: 4,520 – 4,560 HTF FVG Rising trendline Prior demand zone Confirmation (Preferred): Bullish engulfing / strong impulsive candle Liquidity sweep of lows then reclaim Stop Loss: Below FVG & trendline: 4,480 Targets: TP1: 4,600 TP2: 4,640 TP3: 4,680 – 4,700 (range highs / breakout extension) Summary Short-term: Expect rejection or fake breakout → sell opportunity. Mid-term: Look for deep pullback into HTF FVG → strong buy setup. Key Idea: Sell the premium, buy the discount in an overall bullish structure.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by KingProTrader
2
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H SELL LIMIT PROJECTION 19.01.26✅ XAUUSD / GOLD (1H) – SELL LIMIT PROJECTION (19.01.26) Gold is currently respecting the 1H downtrend line, and price is moving in a bearish structure. Even though we saw a bullish engulfing reaction from demand, this move is likely a pullback before bearish continuation. 📌 Key Levels 🔴 Supply / Resistance Zone: 4615.608 This level is acting as a premium zone + resistance area. ⚫ Key Mid Support/Resistance: 4585.679 Important reaction level. Price must reclaim & hold above this for further upside push. 🔵 Demand / Support Zone: 4576 – 4578 Strong demand region where buyers previously entered and formed engulfing. 📍 Current Market Price: 4596.320 📉 Trade Idea (Sell Limit Setup) ✅ Sell Limit Entry: 4610 – 4615 (inside supply + trendline confluence) 🛑 Stoploss: 4628 – 4630 (above supply highs) 🎯 Targets: TP1: 4585.679 TP2: 4576 – 4578 (Demand zone) 📊 Risk-Reward: 1:2 🧠 Setup Logic ✔ 1H trendline still bearish ✔ Entry at premium / supply zone (4615.608) ✔ Target into support/demand zone (4576 – 4578) ✔ High probability continuation after pullback ⚠️ Confirmation: Watch for bearish rejection / wick near 4615 zone
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by kripsonfx97
3
XAUUSD No breakout today, only liquidity and structure🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan 📈 Market Context Gold remains structurally bullish on the higher timeframe (HTF), but intraday price action is currently transitioning into a controlled corrective phase after buy-side liquidity has already been delivered. With ongoing USD volatility, U.S. yield fluctuations, and Fed rate-cut speculation, Smart Money is not pushing aggressive continuation today. Instead, price is being engineered around premium and discount liquidity zones. Ahead of U.S. macro events, Gold is behaving typically near extremes: inducement → liquidity sweep → mean reversion, rather than impulsive trend extension. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (H1–M15) Current Phase: HTF bullish bias remains intact, while intraday structure shows rotation and consolidation following the completion of buy-side liquidity grabs. Key Idea: • Look for short opportunities from premium supply • Or long re-entries from discount demand aligned with the higher-timeframe trend Structural Notes: • HTF BOS confirms bullish dominance • Buy-side liquidity already taken • Price is rotating, not expanding impulsively • Internal FVG acting as a downside magnet • Discount demand aligns with prior order block (OB) support 💧 Liquidity Zones & Trade Ideas 🔴 SELL GOLD 4618 – 4620 | SL 4628 🟢 BUY GOLD 4578 – 4576 | SL 4568 🧠 Institutional Flow Expectation Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → OB/FVG retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules 🔴 SELL GOLD 4618 – 4620 | SL 4628 Entry Conditions: ✔ Price taps premium supply ✔ Buy-side liquidity taken above recent highs ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Clear downside BOS ✔ Entry via bearish FVG or supply OB Targets: • 4595 — internal reaction • 4578 — liquidity pool • Trail aggressively (distribution setup) 🟢 BUY GOLD 4578 – 4576 | SL 4568 Entry Conditions: ✔ Liquidity sweep into discount demand ✔ Confluence with OB + FVG ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Strong upside BOS with displacement ✔ Entry via refined bullish order block Targets: • 4618 – 4620 — first reaction • 4670 — internal liquidity • 4700+ — continuation if expansion resumes ⚠️ Risk Notes • Premium zones are liquidity traps • Expect fake breaks during news volatility • No entry without MSS + BOS confirmation • Reduce position size near extremes 📍 Summary Gold remains bullish by structure, but today is about execution, not prediction: • 4618 – 4620 may offer a Smart Money distribution short • 4578 – 4576 is the key discount zone for long reloads
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Anna_Laurent
Gold isn’t trending today — it’s rotating to engineer liquidity.🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Trading Plan 📈 Market Context Gold remains structurally bullish on the higher timeframes, following a strong expansion into previous highs. However, today’s price action is not impulsive. Momentum has slowed, and the market is transitioning into a rotation and rebalancing phase. With USD volatility, shifting Treasury yields, and ongoing rate-cut speculation, Smart Money is no longer chasing price. Instead, liquidity is being manufactured between premium and discount zones through inducement, stop hunts, and controlled pullbacks. Today is about execution, not prediction. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (H1–M15) Market Phase: HTF bias: Bullish (BOS confirmed) Intraday: Corrective rotation after buy-side liquidity delivery Key Observations: Buy-side liquidity has already been taken Price is rotating, not expanding impulsively Internal FVG acts as a downside magnet Discount demand aligns with HTF EMA + order blocks 💧 Liquidity Zones & Trade Scenarios 🔴 SELL XAUUSD 4643 | SL 4648 Narrative: Premium Distribution Price may retrace into a premium zone where Smart Money looks to distribute positions after inducing late buyers. Entry Conditions: ✔ Price taps the 4643 premium zone ✔ Liquidity sweep above recent highs ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Clear downside BOS ✔ Entry via bearish FVG or supply OB Targets: 4610 — internal reaction 4585 — main liquidity pool Trail aggressively (distribution setup) 🟢 BUY XAUUSD 4580 | SL 4574 Narrative: Discount Accumulation A deeper pullback into discount may be used to reload long positions before the next expansion phase. Entry Conditions: ✔ Sell-side liquidity sweep into 4580 ✔ Confluence with discount zone + OB + FVG ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Strong upside BOS with displacement ✔ Entry via refined bullish order block Targets: 4620 — first reaction 4680 — internal liquidity 4720+ — ATH continuation if expansion resumes 🧠 Expected Institutional Flow Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → Displacement → OB/FVG retest → Expansion No sweep → no trade No structure → no entry ⚠️ Risk Management Notes Highs are liquidity traps, not breakout zones Expect false breaks during news volatility No entry without confirmation (MSS + BOS) Reduce size near premium extremes 📍 Summary Gold is bullish by structure, but today’s movement is rotational: 4643 may deliver a Smart Money sell 4580 may reload longs for the next push higher Let liquidity move first. Let structure confirm second. Smart Money controls the game. ⚡️
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Anna_Laurent
3
Technical Analysis on goldGold has recently experienced a strong upside move, primarily driven by heightened geopolitical tensions, which fueled safe-haven demand. This aggressive move resulted in a gap-up opening, leaving an unfilled gap around the 4508 level, which remains an important technical magnet. From a technical perspective, price is currently trading within an ascending structure but is showing signs of compression near the upper boundary, suggesting potential exhaustion. A short-term triangle / consolidation structure is forming, indicating that a decisive move may be imminent. The key level to watch is 4565. A sustained break and acceptance below 4565 would confirm a shift in momentum and strengthen the bearish case. If the rising trendline is broken, it would signal bearish continuation, with increased downside momentum likely to follow. In such a scenario, price could retrace further to fill the unfilled gap near 4508, which aligns with prior demand and liquidity. From a fundamental standpoint, while gold initially rallied on geopolitical stress, recent developments suggest some easing in risk sentiment. Reduced escalation and a softer geopolitical tone have slightly cooled safe-haven flows, supporting a short-term bearish bias unless new risk catalysts emerge. That said, the bullish scenario remains valid if geopolitical tensions escalate again. In such a case, renewed safe-haven demand could push gold higher, with a potential breakout above the previous ATH and extension toward the 4670 zone. Summary Bullish above trendline & resistance break → potential ATH continuation toward 4670 Bearish below 4565 & trendline break → downside continuation toward 4508 gap fill Market currently at a decision point, awaiting confirmation ⚠️ As always, wait for confirmation and manage risk accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by freeforexcommunities
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BULLISH ENGULFING BUY PROJECTION 07.01.26Falling Wedge pattern (Bullish Reversal) on XAUUSD – 1H timeframe. Why this is a Falling Wedge 👇 Price is making lower highs and lower lows Both trendlines are converging Selling pressure is reducing Pattern forms after an uptrend → healthy pullback What it indicates 📈 Bullish reversal / continuation High probability of upside breakout Best used for BUY setups Your chart logic is correct because: Entry is near wedge support Stop-loss placed below structure support Target toward previous resistance / ATH Risk–Reward ≈ 1:2 (good trade management) Trade idea summary: Pattern: Falling Wedge Bias: Bullish Action: Buy on breakout / confirmation Target: Resistance / ATH zone SL: Below wedge + support
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
2
“Gold Base Holds — Ready for Breakout?”📊 Technical Chart Analysis (XAU/USD) 📌 Key Levels Strong Support Zone (Red Box) – Price has been respecting this area and has bounced multiple times — signaling accumulation/support. Mitigated FVG & CHoCH Area (Green Zone) – This area shows prior imbalance and a possible change of character, now acting as resistance. Higher Resistance Region (Dark Grey) – A key supply zone the price may target if bullish momentum continues. Important Horizontal Levels: • Around ~4300—support (green line) • Around ~4258—deeper support (red horizontal) 📈 Bullish Scenario (Preferred) ✔ Price is holding above support. ✔ A potential CHoCH (Change of Character) indicates buyers may be stepping in. ✔ The mitigated FVG zone above ~4375/4400 is a logical target if bullish momentum resumes. ✔ The black dashed path on your chart suggests a retest of the support before continuation. Bullish Path: Retest support Bounce and clear local resistance Rally up toward the grey supply zone above ~4400–4500 📉 Bearish Alternative If support breaks decisively: Price could revisit the deeper support ~4258 (red horizontal) Then possibly resume higher momentum from that level (red dashed path) 🧠 Fundamental Reasons Supporting Bullish Gold (2026) Here are core macro drivers that could push gold prices higher: ✔ 1. Central Bank Buying & Safe-Haven Demand Major central banks have been accumulating gold reserves aggressively, reinforcing structural demand and reducing available supply. The Times of India ✔ 2. Anticipated Monetary Easing Markets increasingly expect interest rate cuts or easier policy from major central banks in 2026. Lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold (which doesn’t yield interest). State Street Global Advisors ✔ 3. Weakening U.S. Dollar Gold is priced in USD — a weaker dollar typically boosts gold due to increased purchasing power for foreign buyers. State Street Global Advisors ✔ 4. Geopolitical & Economic Uncertainty Inflation risk, geopolitical tensions, and global macro instability have historically driven capital into gold as a hedge and safe-haven asset. Financial Times ✔ 5. Portfolio Diversification & ETF Inflows Record flows into gold ETFs and strategic institutional allocations have supported price strength. Morgan Stanley 🟢 Bullish Fundamental Summary Gold’s fundamentals point to a continued structural bull cycle — even if price consolidates in the short term. Central bank demand, possible rate cuts, USD weakness, and geopolitical uncertainty all provide strong backing for a continued uptrend into 2026. State Street Global Advisors +1 📌 Technical + Fundamental Confluence Bullish Scenario is stronger if: • Support holds above ~4300–4258 • Price breaks above mitigation zone around ~4400 • Volume increases on upward moves
OANDA:XAUUSD
by KingProTrader
XAUUSD (Gold) TECHNICAL OUTLOOK | 6th Jan'2026Gold is trading near 4,450, consolidating after a strong bullish rally. Price remains well above key moving averages, keeping the overall trend firmly bullish across intraday to higher timeframes. Bullish View: As long as gold holds above 4,445–4,450, upside momentum remains intact. A move above 4,470 can push prices toward 4,490 and 4,505–4,515, with 4,550 as a major resistance zone. Bearish View: A break below 4,445 may trigger a short-term pullback toward 4,430 and 4,410–4,395. Unless these levels break decisively, dips are likely corrective. Intraday Focus: Prefer buy-on-dips near support, while watching 4,500–4,515 for possible rejection. Conclusion: Trend remains strongly bullish. Expect volatility, but bias favors buyers unless key supports fail.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by tradewith_ritik
XAUUSD H1 Main Trend for the Weekend Gold failed to confirm a sustainable upward momentum after yesterday's price reaction, prioritizing a short-term adjustment scenario before reassessing the trend PRIORITY SCENARIO Strategy to sell based on reactions at large volume areas, suitable for the current short-term structure Focus sell area: 4332 – 4342 Technical basis: these are areas concentrated with volume according to the Volume Profile, where price is likely to show distribution reactions after a weak recovery Expected movement: price recovers to the large volume area for distribution, then continues the adjustment phase Daily target: Heading towards the 4275 area, coinciding with the Fibonacci retracement area and underlying support Position management: Sell should only be held short-term. If the price surpasses and stabilizes above 4342, risk should be reduced and avoid holding sell orders. ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO Monitor price reactions at deeper support areas to reassess trading opportunities Strong support area: around 4275 Technical context: this is the convergence area between structural support and Fibonacci retracement, likely to show defensive buying force Expected movement: if the price reacts well at this area, the market may enter a re-accumulation state MAIN REASON On H1, the previous upward phase failed to maintain a clear upward structure, indicating weakening buying force Volume Profile helps identify the 4332 – 4342 areas as advantageous entry points for the sell reaction scenario The 4275 area serves as a reasonable adjustment target in the context of a typically momentum-lacking weekend market MACRO CONTEXT AND MEDIUM-TERM OUTLOOK While short-term fluctuations lean towards adjustment, major institutions still maintain a positive outlook for gold in the medium and long term. Goldman Sachs forecasts gold prices could reach $4,900/oz by the end of 2026, supported by strong buying demand from central banks and positive impacts from the Fed's interest rate cut cycle. This suggests that short-term declines may be more of a technical adjustment rather than a reversal of the long-term trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
2
XAUUSD (H1) – Friday Weekend Lana prioritizes the adjustment phase towards the POC area, looking to Sell in the liquidity zone 💛 Quick Summary Context: Friday, the market often tends to take profits and sweep liquidity before the week closes Monitoring Frame: H1 Main Viewpoint: Prioritize a decrease during the day (adjustment phase) Key Point to Note: 4308 has reacted multiple times, a sensitive point in the structure Market Context The weekend is usually a time when the cash flow is “lighter” and price behavior tends to lean towards profit-taking. Therefore, an adjustment phase to gain more liquidity is the scenario Lana prioritizes today. From a medium-term perspective, some large institutions still maintain a positive view on gold. However, in intraday trading, Lana still prioritizes following the current price behavior and trading according to the liquidity zone. Technical View H1 On H1, the price is fluctuating around the accumulation zone, and the POC/VAL area indicates this is a market zone that has been “back and forth” for quite a while. When the price returns to these areas, there is usually a clear reaction. The 4308 area is noteworthy because the price has reacted multiple times, so this is a point that could determine whether the adjustment phase continues. Today's Trading Scenario Main Scenario – Sell at POC/VAL area (large liquidity) Sell: 4335 – 4340 Lana prioritizes waiting for the price to rebound to this area to sell according to the adjustment phase. This is a large liquidity zone, suitable for finding a downward reaction during the day. Alternative Scenario – Buy scalping at near support Buy: 4284 – 4289 This Buy order is only for scalping when the price hits the support area and a bounce reaction appears. If the market continues to be weak, Lana will not hold the Buy for too long. Session Notes If the price continues to be rejected around resistance areas and cannot surpass the supply zone, the adjustment scenario will have an advantage. For Friday, Lana prioritizes light trading, quick closing, avoiding holding positions too long over the weekend. Lana's Notes 🌿 Each scenario is just a probability. Lana always sets a stop loss first, chooses the appropriate volume, and is ready to skip if the price does not reach the waiting area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lana_M2
2
GOLD 4H | Liquidity Harvest Done… Now the Slide BeginsPrice engineered liquidity above the previous swing high and immediately delivered a sharp rejection, confirming a buy-side liquidity grab and the start of distribution. Structure has now shifted bearish with a clear BOS from the premium zone. I’m expecting a mitigation leg before continuation lower. The draw on liquidity sits inside the 4100–4080 demand imbalance, which aligns with unmitigated bullish orders from the prior accumulation phase. If 4100 fails to hold on mitigation, the next liquidity pools rest at: 4022 (clean sell-side pocket) 3998 (final downside liquidity target)
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by YCGH_Capital
XAUUSD – Brian | Volume Profile before FedXAUUSD – Brian | Volume Profile before Fed: watch for a rebound to sell down Market snapshot Ahead of the Fed's interest rate announcement, gold is moving sideways within a fairly wide range, not yet choosing a clear direction. In the H1 timeframe, the price fluctuates around the value area, making it very suitable for short-term trading according to the Volume Profile instead of trying to predict the meeting outcome. Volume Profile – Key price areas Nearest VAL: around 4.197 – the bottom of the current value area, where there was previous buying support. Above, the FVG area + VAH/POC cluster is around 4.210 – this is an "air pocket" area where selling pressure can easily appear when the price fills the liquidity gap. Below, the target for a downward wave if the Fed is not too dovish is around 4.13x (area 4.130–4.135) – coinciding with the old buy zone on the chart. Trading scenario according to Volume Profile Watch for a light Buy reaction at VAL 4.197 If the price slides to 4.197 and a nice rejection candle appears on H1/M15, a short scalp buy can be considered: Idea: capture the rebound from VAL back to the middle/top of the value area, do not hold the position long. Sell when the price fills FVG around 4.210 (priority scenario) After the rebound from VAL, the FVG area 4.210 will be where Brian prioritizes watching for a Sell: Reference sell entry: around 4.208–4.212 TP1: 4.185–4.180 TP2: 4.165–4.160 TP3: area 4.13x (4.130–4.135) if a strong sell-off occurs after the Fed SL should be placed neatly above the FVG/VAH area (e.g., 4.218–4.220), avoid setting it too far. Fed context – Why trade cautiously? The focus this week is the FOMC meeting: The market is waiting to see if Chairman Powell can create enough consensus to continue cutting interest rates with very few members opposing, similar to the previous 25 bps cut. If the Fed maintains a dovish tone → USD weakens, yields cool down, gold is likely to bounce back after the sweep. If Powell signals a "hawkish rate cut" (concern about inflation, cut less – talk tough) → yields rise, gold may complete a deep decline to the 4.13x area before stabilizing again.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD - Gold Spot US Dollar Technical Analysis🟢 BUY zones + buy confirmation levels 🔴 SELL zones + sell confirmation levels 🚫 NO-TRADE zone 🎯 TP (Take Profit) levels 🛑 SL (Stop Loss) levels 📌 Why buy / why sell (Price-Action logic) ✅ 1. NO-TRADE ZONE (as on chart) The shaded middle area 4,150 – 4,210 is a NO-TRADE ZONE. ❌ Why no trade here? Price is compressing sideways. No fresh demand or supply. Buyers/sellers both weak → liquidity building. Best area to wait for breakout above or below. 🟢 2. BUY SETUP (Bullish Scenario) ✔ Buy Trigger Buy ONLY above: 4,265 → clean breakout from supply When price breaks and closes above 4,265, it confirms: Supply removed Trend continuation Buyers taking control 🛑 Buy Stop-Loss Place SL below the breakout candle or safe level: SL = 4,198 – 4,210 zone (mid-zone) Because if price falls back inside zone → fake breakout. 🎯 Buy Take Profit Levels TP1 → 4,320 – 4,350 TP2 → 4,449 (major supply zone) TP3 → 4,550+ if strong momentum continues 📌 Why Buy? Break above previous high Clean imbalance above (room to move) Price action pattern → Break of Structure (BOS) Market in bullish expansion when above 4,265 🔴 3. SELL SETUP (Bearish Scenario) Sell only when price breaks below NO-TRADE ZONE. ✔ Sell Trigger Sell below: 4,096 (break of demand) This confirms: Demand removed Trend shift to bearish Sellers active after taking liquidity from the range 🛑 Sell Stop-Loss SL above failed demand zone: SL = 4,150 – 4,170 🎯 Sell Take Profit Levels Use the marked blue lines: TP1 → 3,991 TP2 → 3,952 TP3 → 3,901 TP4 → 3,762 (extended target) 📌 Why Sell? Break of key structure level (4,096) Below range → trend continuation short Liquidity targets below (equal lows + imbalances) Price action → Lower Low + Lower High continuation 🔥 PRICE ACTION LOGIC (Simple Explanation) ✔ Buy Logic Market is accumulating in the NO-TRADE zone Break above 4,265 = buyers win Price targets previous supply zones ✔ Sell Logic If price breaks below 4,096, demand collapses Market enters markdown phase Lower supports become liquidity targets
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Skalpfi
XAUUSD – Ahead of NFP: Buy with Wolfe Wave, Watch for Sell ...XAUUSD – Ahead of NFP: Buy with Wolfe Wave, Watch for Sell Setup at the Extension Zone Gold continues its upward momentum as the USD weakens sharply, breaking the descending trendline and forming a Wolfe Wave pattern on the H1 chart. Price is currently rotating around the POC – VAH cluster of the previous distribution zone, making it very likely to react before the NFP release. At this stage, I prioritise buying with the main trend, but I also prepare a short-term sell setup if the market becomes “overstretched” before the news. 🎯 Scenario 1 – Priority BUY at POC/VAH Buy: 4,209 – 4,212 SL: 4,205 TP: 4,233 – 4,260 – 4,299 Reason: Price is retesting the POC – VAH cluster right after breaking above the descending trendline. The Wolfe Wave structure points toward higher targets, aligning with the continuation of the bullish trend. The 4,209–4,212 zone offers good liquidity, allowing a tight stop loss while maintaining an attractive R:R. 🔁 Scenario 2 – SELL Reaction at the Upper Extension Zone Sell (only if a clear reversal signal appears): 4,323 – 4,325 SL: 4,333 TP reference: 4,299 – 4,260 – 4,233 Reason: The 4,323–4,325 zone is an upper extension area, overlapping with the Wolfe Wave resistance and a previous supply zone. If price is “pushed” into this region before NFP, and H1 candles show long upper wicks or weakening volume, I will consider it a counter-trend sell opportunity back toward the POC/support areas. This is a counter-trend trade, so position size should be smaller and execution must be clean and quick. 1️⃣ Fundamental View Before NFP The USD is attempting to recover from its late-October lows but is restricted by expectations of the Fed turning dovish soon. Recent data shows a cooling U.S. economy and a slowing labour market—raising the probability of a 25bps rate cut at the upcoming FOMC meeting. Additional developments: The Government Accountability Office has launched an investigation involving a “Fed critic.” Kevin Hassett stated that he believes the Fed may cut rates soon. These factors strengthen the narrative that the interest rate peak is behind us. Although Challenger job cuts dropped sharply compared to the previous month, the overall economic picture still suggests slowing growth, which supports gold in the medium term. Summary: Fundamentals remain supportive for gold. NFP will only determine how deep or how fast the next correction will be—not a trend reversal unless the numbers are extremely out of expectations. 2️⃣ Technical Outlook from the Chart On H1, gold has broken the descending trendline and moved back above the POC area of the previous downmove. A Wolfe Wave pattern has formed, projecting targets higher than current price. Price is currently hovering around POC – VAH: If it holds above 4,209–4,212, the next targets are likely 4.26x–4.29x. If price gets strongly rejected near 4.32x before or after NFP, this becomes a valid zone to look for sell reactions. 3️⃣ Trading Plan & Risk Management Priority: BUY at 4,209–4,212, SL 4,205, TP 4,233–4,260–4,299 Sell setup at 4,323–4,325 is activated only when reversal signals appear If NFP causes excessive volatility, prioritise waiting for price to stabilise around the POC before re-entering new setups.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LA_Trader_Fx
Key-Resistance Liquidity Grab → FVG ShortIdea: Price has reached a key resistance zone — a common place where smart money or institutions may hunt liquidity (stop-losses above resistance before reversing). There is an unfilled Fair Value Gap (FVG) / imbalance zone drawn below (green “POI / FVG” zone). In price-action trading, these FVGs often act like magnets: after a rapid move, price tends to retrace and “fill” the gap. The plan: wait for a rejection at resistance (signaling liquidity grab is done), then short — target the FVG/POI zone where the market may come back to fill imbalance. 🎯 Trade Plan (Entry / Exit / Risk-Reward) Parameter Plan Entry After a bearish rejection (e.g. long upper-wick candle) near the resistance zone. Stop-Loss Slightly above the resistance / recent swing high (to avoid being stopped by a false breakout). Take-Profit (TP) Around / within the FVG / POI zone (green zone on chart) — where imbalance may be filled. Risk–Reward Aim for at least 1 : 2 — ideally more, depending on how far the FVG is below resistance. ⚠️ What Makes This Setup Valid (and What to Watch) FVGs mark market inefficiencies / liquidity gaps created by rapid moves, which often get revisited. A reversal or rejection at a well-defined resistance zone gives signal that the liquidity hunt may be done and a move downward may begin. But — if price breaks cleanly and strongly above the resistance (with momentum), the short trade becomes invalid. Also, FVGs don’t always get filled. Entry should ideally wait for a clear rejection or confirmation, not just assume a fill.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by KingProTrader