Gold Takes a Breather.. Retracement or Reversal?Price action between 2600 and 2750 will decide future of Gold, Whether it will continue to remain bullish or Witness a healthy correction.
Below 2750, 2600 will remain a decent possibility.
Sustaining Below 2600 will open Doors to 2400.
See You out of the Range Again
Xauusdshort
Plan Trading day : 31.10.2024 with Gold"I think today I will trade within the M15 range as shown.
I see that H4 is showing hesitation from both the buying and selling sides. Yesterday, the information seemed to support gold's rise, but fundamentally it is overbought, so it may need to slightly decrease to allow liquidity to enter and push the price up. This phase does not seem to be promising for traders.
I will wait for a signal to enter a SELL around 2790 and look for a signal to BUY around the 2773 area.
Good luck to you all!"
SHORT TRADE IDEA IN GOLD - XAUUSDSymbol - XAUUSD
XAUUSD is currently trading at 2733
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on sell side.
Shorting XAUUSD at CMP 2733
I will add more quantity at 2747, If comes. Holding with SL 2760
Targets I'm expecting are 2704 - 2687 & 2674
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
GOLD - BEAR ATTACK SOON ?GOLD is growing unpredictably towards ATH. The market did not react in any way to last week's US fundamental data and now the price is not reacting to strong levels and liquidity zones. Ahead of ATH after 3 weeks of forming.
Investors remain cautious as the US Fed is expected to follow a path of moderate interest rate cuts (skipping a cut in November, or a 0.25% cut).
The gold price is actively supported by the tense situation in the Chinese markets and lower US Treasury yields, which helps the gold price to take another leap towards the ATH.
Now all eyes will be on Thursday when China holds a press conference and the US retail sales report is released.
Resistance Zone : 2680 - 2688
Support Levels : 2664,2658,2645
Technically, I don't think that the market will let the resistance breakout happen the first time. The pullback from 2685, formed 3 weeks ago, was made on the back of strong economic data, so the huge pool of liquidity above 2685 can be defended quite aggressively by the bears.
Technically, there are no signs for the continuation of growth. They may appear after the retest, but it will become clear after the fact.
P.S. : My short position is open at CMP 2680 with SL 2702.
XAUUSDENTRY TARGET SL Mention in the chart.
ALWAYS TAKE TRADE WITH CONFIRMATION
Note : Trading in any financial market is very risky. I post ideas for educational purpose only. It is not financial advice. Do not hold us responsible for any potential loss you may incur. Please consult your financial adviser before trading.
XAUUSDENTRY TARGET SL Mention in the chart.
ALWAYS TAKE TRADE WITH CONFIRMATION
Note : Trading in any financial market is very risky. I post ideas for educational purpose only. It is not financial advice. Do not hold us responsible for any potential loss you may incur. Please consult your financial adviser before trading.
Today Trend of Gold is bearishMy Analyze all things i calculate here today trend is gold and many things i anlayze with last closing of gold with NFP data monday today trend is weak my level of Gold sell around 2645.00
and stock loss 2652.00 taarget around 2628.00.
SELL NOW 2645.00
TP 1 2640.00
TP 2 2635.00
TP 3 2628.00
SL 2652.00
Update XAU : 03.10.2024After corrected Plan BUY XAU 2626 ( Last week )
An Overview of the Gold Plan on the H1 Chart
✍️ After gold reached the 2626 level, it experienced a strong recovery. Based on the current chart, gold has officially reversed the short-term correction and is continuing its upward trend.
✍️ From my perspective, yesterday, the second corrective wave was completed, and gold is now in the process of building the third impulsive wave.
✍️ To properly complete the third wave in this phase, gold will likely try to form a full Wyckoff re-accumulation range, meaning it might consolidate (sideways) for the rest of today to prepare for tomorrow’s NFP (Non-Farm Payrolls) report. Of course, there may be shakeouts when the news is released, so caution is advised.
✍️ Regarding volume, we observe that when the price rises, there's volume alignment, whereas during price declines, volume steadily decreases. There are only occasional spikes in volume, but they don't significantly impact the market's upward momentum.
👉 As for the detailed NFP trading plan, I'll update that tomorrow. For today's plan, I'm focusing on the BUY trend at 2649.5.
XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARDXAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the marketwhich preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for breakC. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
XAUUSDENTRY TARGET SL Mention in the chart.
ALWAYS TAKE TRADE WITH CONFIRMATION
Note : Trading in any financial market is very risky. I post ideas for educational purpose only. It is not financial advice. Do not hold us responsible for any potential loss you may incur. Please consult your financial adviser before trading.
Plan GOLD Short Term "I’m updating the gold plan.
I expect a short-term distribution phase, adjusted as in the chart. Currently, we are just at the UT phase (Phase B). We need to wait for gold to form a full range, which might complete by this Friday or the first half of next week.
In the smaller range (red zone), I’m also expecting a distribution phase to form (currently in Phase B, just beginning).
There might be UTAD moves (whether they happen or not). If not, we can get a SELL point around 81, 82. But if UTAD forms, it will likely hover around 92, 94.
For today’s trading, just trade within the red range (buy at the lower boundary, sell at the upper boundary).
The long-term trend is still up, I’m only expecting a short-term correction, not aiming for a SWING trade.
The desired zones to watch for opportunities: 2624 - 2560."
Plan trading XAU 23.09.20214➡️ Technical Analysis:
Over a long period of time, Gold has formed a reaccumulation structure, and based on cyclical timing, Gold has broken upwards, creating a SOS (Sign of Strength). I've discussed the cyclical nature of Gold in live sessions multiple times.
On the H4 chart, we can see that it has created a SOS, and currently, we have a Backup/LPS zone around 2523 - 2530 that hasn't been retested yet. It might not happen in the coming week, but Gold will soon return to retest this level.
On a smaller timeframe, like M15, Gold is also forming a reaccumulation range.
There is synchronization across timeframes, so I prioritize a BUY strategy with a full target for this week at 2644.
A key area to focus on is the Swap Point, which I’ve noted at 2600.
Pay attention as the price moves higher and breaks the ATH (All-Time High); there will be increasing selling pressure. If there are sharp drops with large volumes, avoid jumping in immediately. Wait for stable signals before entering trades!
Plan XAU 20.09.2024✔️ I think gold will move within a wide sideways range today. If you're looking to SELL, aim for the top at 2597 - 2598.
✔️ The lower points will be BUY zones. For these points, manage your capital carefully and gradually with every 1/2R, guys.
✔️ Gold's movement yesterday was quite surprising. Those who SOLD at the FOMC peak likely got stopped out, and the same for those who BOUGHT. This range is quite wide and difficult to trade, so make sure to trade with consistent and stable volume. Don’t double your position size out of frustration from a single stop-loss and let it affect your mindset!
✔️ It's Friday today, wishing you successful trading!
XAUUSD 1H SELL PROJECTION 19.009.24Reason for Sell
With the price reaching extreme levels, there may be a significant opportunity for sellers to capitalize on profit-taking and increased selling pressure. Traders may anticipate a decline as market sentiment shifts from bullish to bearish, especially if key resistance levels hold.
Update PLAN XAU After FOMCAs I have updated everyone on the Gold Plan through previous trading plans (check in the trading idea section). Currently, gold has reached the 2544 - 2548 zone and is showing a reaction, but I feel it is not very strong.
The FED's 0.5% interest rate cut could have a short-term impact.
At the moment, gold is forming a short-term distribution range, and for now, I will look for sell entries toward the BUY Swing zone - as shown in the chart!
"Update on the upcoming before the Fed - interest rate cutsMany people have asked me about my view on how the Fed's interest rate cuts will impact the market.
I have a few thoughts on this, but please note that these are just my personal opinions and should not be considered as trading recommendations!
In the chart, I’m displaying two lines:
- Red: Federal Funds Rate
- Blue: Unemployment Rate
If you look back at history, each time the Fed cuts rates, it typically coincides with economic troubles, although the signs may not be immediately apparent in the early stages.
Initially, Powell’s objective was to combat inflation and achieve a soft landing, but in his most recent speeches, the focus has shifted to stabilizing the economy. This indicates a change in the Fed's assessment of the economic situation, which concerns me as it suggests that we could be heading towards a recession.
History supports this perspective, as the unemployment rate is one of the clearest indicators of recession. Other accompanying metrics, such as GDP, also matter, but during this period, the CPI holds less value for assessing the economic landscape.
In my opinion, it’s just a matter of when the recession will occur. We’ll need to wait for a few key indicators over the next two to three months.
This article is meant for everyone to evaluate the current economic situation. The next article will update on asset classes like Gold, BTC, and stocks, and how they might perform during a recession."
Let me know if you need further assistance!
Update plan XAU before FOMC p.2"We can see that the level of 2560, which I identified yesterday, has been filled completely. Currently, the gold price is at...
Pay attention to the buy entry: 2544 - 2548, everyone! Stoploss: 2542.
If this order reacts strongly upwards, then move the stoploss to the entry point to break even and hold the position through today's FOMC."