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Xauusdshort

“Gold Base Holds — Ready for Breakout?”📊 Technical Chart Analysis (XAU/USD) 📌 Key Levels Strong Support Zone (Red Box) – Price has been respecting this area and has bounced multiple times — signaling accumulation/support. Mitigated FVG & CHoCH Area (Green Zone) – This area shows prior imbalance and a possible change of character, now acting as resistance. Higher Resistance Region (Dark Grey) – A key supply zone the price may target if bullish momentum continues. Important Horizontal Levels: • Around ~4300—support (green line) • Around ~4258—deeper support (red horizontal) 📈 Bullish Scenario (Preferred) ✔ Price is holding above support. ✔ A potential CHoCH (Change of Character) indicates buyers may be stepping in. ✔ The mitigated FVG zone above ~4375/4400 is a logical target if bullish momentum resumes. ✔ The black dashed path on your chart suggests a retest of the support before continuation. Bullish Path: Retest support Bounce and clear local resistance Rally up toward the grey supply zone above ~4400–4500 📉 Bearish Alternative If support breaks decisively: Price could revisit the deeper support ~4258 (red horizontal) Then possibly resume higher momentum from that level (red dashed path) 🧠 Fundamental Reasons Supporting Bullish Gold (2026) Here are core macro drivers that could push gold prices higher: ✔ 1. Central Bank Buying & Safe-Haven Demand Major central banks have been accumulating gold reserves aggressively, reinforcing structural demand and reducing available supply. The Times of India ✔ 2. Anticipated Monetary Easing Markets increasingly expect interest rate cuts or easier policy from major central banks in 2026. Lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold (which doesn’t yield interest). State Street Global Advisors ✔ 3. Weakening U.S. Dollar Gold is priced in USD — a weaker dollar typically boosts gold due to increased purchasing power for foreign buyers. State Street Global Advisors ✔ 4. Geopolitical & Economic Uncertainty Inflation risk, geopolitical tensions, and global macro instability have historically driven capital into gold as a hedge and safe-haven asset. Financial Times ✔ 5. Portfolio Diversification & ETF Inflows Record flows into gold ETFs and strategic institutional allocations have supported price strength. Morgan Stanley 🟢 Bullish Fundamental Summary Gold’s fundamentals point to a continued structural bull cycle — even if price consolidates in the short term. Central bank demand, possible rate cuts, USD weakness, and geopolitical uncertainty all provide strong backing for a continued uptrend into 2026. State Street Global Advisors +1 📌 Technical + Fundamental Confluence Bullish Scenario is stronger if: • Support holds above ~4300–4258 • Price breaks above mitigation zone around ~4400 • Volume increases on upward moves
OANDA:XAUUSD
by KingProTrader
XAUUSD H1 Main Trend for the Weekend Gold failed to confirm a sustainable upward momentum after yesterday's price reaction, prioritizing a short-term adjustment scenario before reassessing the trend PRIORITY SCENARIO Strategy to sell based on reactions at large volume areas, suitable for the current short-term structure Focus sell area: 4332 – 4342 Technical basis: these are areas concentrated with volume according to the Volume Profile, where price is likely to show distribution reactions after a weak recovery Expected movement: price recovers to the large volume area for distribution, then continues the adjustment phase Daily target: Heading towards the 4275 area, coinciding with the Fibonacci retracement area and underlying support Position management: Sell should only be held short-term. If the price surpasses and stabilizes above 4342, risk should be reduced and avoid holding sell orders. ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO Monitor price reactions at deeper support areas to reassess trading opportunities Strong support area: around 4275 Technical context: this is the convergence area between structural support and Fibonacci retracement, likely to show defensive buying force Expected movement: if the price reacts well at this area, the market may enter a re-accumulation state MAIN REASON On H1, the previous upward phase failed to maintain a clear upward structure, indicating weakening buying force Volume Profile helps identify the 4332 – 4342 areas as advantageous entry points for the sell reaction scenario The 4275 area serves as a reasonable adjustment target in the context of a typically momentum-lacking weekend market MACRO CONTEXT AND MEDIUM-TERM OUTLOOK While short-term fluctuations lean towards adjustment, major institutions still maintain a positive outlook for gold in the medium and long term. Goldman Sachs forecasts gold prices could reach $4,900/oz by the end of 2026, supported by strong buying demand from central banks and positive impacts from the Fed's interest rate cut cycle. This suggests that short-term declines may be more of a technical adjustment rather than a reversal of the long-term trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
2
XAUUSD (H1) – Friday Weekend Lana prioritizes the adjustment phase towards the POC area, looking to Sell in the liquidity zone 💛 Quick Summary Context: Friday, the market often tends to take profits and sweep liquidity before the week closes Monitoring Frame: H1 Main Viewpoint: Prioritize a decrease during the day (adjustment phase) Key Point to Note: 4308 has reacted multiple times, a sensitive point in the structure Market Context The weekend is usually a time when the cash flow is “lighter” and price behavior tends to lean towards profit-taking. Therefore, an adjustment phase to gain more liquidity is the scenario Lana prioritizes today. From a medium-term perspective, some large institutions still maintain a positive view on gold. However, in intraday trading, Lana still prioritizes following the current price behavior and trading according to the liquidity zone. Technical View H1 On H1, the price is fluctuating around the accumulation zone, and the POC/VAL area indicates this is a market zone that has been “back and forth” for quite a while. When the price returns to these areas, there is usually a clear reaction. The 4308 area is noteworthy because the price has reacted multiple times, so this is a point that could determine whether the adjustment phase continues. Today's Trading Scenario Main Scenario – Sell at POC/VAL area (large liquidity) Sell: 4335 – 4340 Lana prioritizes waiting for the price to rebound to this area to sell according to the adjustment phase. This is a large liquidity zone, suitable for finding a downward reaction during the day. Alternative Scenario – Buy scalping at near support Buy: 4284 – 4289 This Buy order is only for scalping when the price hits the support area and a bounce reaction appears. If the market continues to be weak, Lana will not hold the Buy for too long. Session Notes If the price continues to be rejected around resistance areas and cannot surpass the supply zone, the adjustment scenario will have an advantage. For Friday, Lana prioritizes light trading, quick closing, avoiding holding positions too long over the weekend. Lana's Notes 🌿 Each scenario is just a probability. Lana always sets a stop loss first, chooses the appropriate volume, and is ready to skip if the price does not reach the waiting area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lana_M2
2
GOLD 4H | Liquidity Harvest Done… Now the Slide BeginsPrice engineered liquidity above the previous swing high and immediately delivered a sharp rejection, confirming a buy-side liquidity grab and the start of distribution. Structure has now shifted bearish with a clear BOS from the premium zone. I’m expecting a mitigation leg before continuation lower. The draw on liquidity sits inside the 4100–4080 demand imbalance, which aligns with unmitigated bullish orders from the prior accumulation phase. If 4100 fails to hold on mitigation, the next liquidity pools rest at: 4022 (clean sell-side pocket) 3998 (final downside liquidity target)
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by YCGH_Capital
XAUUSD – Brian | Volume Profile before FedXAUUSD – Brian | Volume Profile before Fed: watch for a rebound to sell down Market snapshot Ahead of the Fed's interest rate announcement, gold is moving sideways within a fairly wide range, not yet choosing a clear direction. In the H1 timeframe, the price fluctuates around the value area, making it very suitable for short-term trading according to the Volume Profile instead of trying to predict the meeting outcome. Volume Profile – Key price areas Nearest VAL: around 4.197 – the bottom of the current value area, where there was previous buying support. Above, the FVG area + VAH/POC cluster is around 4.210 – this is an "air pocket" area where selling pressure can easily appear when the price fills the liquidity gap. Below, the target for a downward wave if the Fed is not too dovish is around 4.13x (area 4.130–4.135) – coinciding with the old buy zone on the chart. Trading scenario according to Volume Profile Watch for a light Buy reaction at VAL 4.197 If the price slides to 4.197 and a nice rejection candle appears on H1/M15, a short scalp buy can be considered: Idea: capture the rebound from VAL back to the middle/top of the value area, do not hold the position long. Sell when the price fills FVG around 4.210 (priority scenario) After the rebound from VAL, the FVG area 4.210 will be where Brian prioritizes watching for a Sell: Reference sell entry: around 4.208–4.212 TP1: 4.185–4.180 TP2: 4.165–4.160 TP3: area 4.13x (4.130–4.135) if a strong sell-off occurs after the Fed SL should be placed neatly above the FVG/VAH area (e.g., 4.218–4.220), avoid setting it too far. Fed context – Why trade cautiously? The focus this week is the FOMC meeting: The market is waiting to see if Chairman Powell can create enough consensus to continue cutting interest rates with very few members opposing, similar to the previous 25 bps cut. If the Fed maintains a dovish tone → USD weakens, yields cool down, gold is likely to bounce back after the sweep. If Powell signals a "hawkish rate cut" (concern about inflation, cut less – talk tough) → yields rise, gold may complete a deep decline to the 4.13x area before stabilizing again.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD - Gold Spot US Dollar Technical Analysis🟢 BUY zones + buy confirmation levels 🔴 SELL zones + sell confirmation levels 🚫 NO-TRADE zone 🎯 TP (Take Profit) levels 🛑 SL (Stop Loss) levels 📌 Why buy / why sell (Price-Action logic) ✅ 1. NO-TRADE ZONE (as on chart) The shaded middle area 4,150 – 4,210 is a NO-TRADE ZONE. ❌ Why no trade here? Price is compressing sideways. No fresh demand or supply. Buyers/sellers both weak → liquidity building. Best area to wait for breakout above or below. 🟢 2. BUY SETUP (Bullish Scenario) ✔ Buy Trigger Buy ONLY above: 4,265 → clean breakout from supply When price breaks and closes above 4,265, it confirms: Supply removed Trend continuation Buyers taking control 🛑 Buy Stop-Loss Place SL below the breakout candle or safe level: SL = 4,198 – 4,210 zone (mid-zone) Because if price falls back inside zone → fake breakout. 🎯 Buy Take Profit Levels TP1 → 4,320 – 4,350 TP2 → 4,449 (major supply zone) TP3 → 4,550+ if strong momentum continues 📌 Why Buy? Break above previous high Clean imbalance above (room to move) Price action pattern → Break of Structure (BOS) Market in bullish expansion when above 4,265 🔴 3. SELL SETUP (Bearish Scenario) Sell only when price breaks below NO-TRADE ZONE. ✔ Sell Trigger Sell below: 4,096 (break of demand) This confirms: Demand removed Trend shift to bearish Sellers active after taking liquidity from the range 🛑 Sell Stop-Loss SL above failed demand zone: SL = 4,150 – 4,170 🎯 Sell Take Profit Levels Use the marked blue lines: TP1 → 3,991 TP2 → 3,952 TP3 → 3,901 TP4 → 3,762 (extended target) 📌 Why Sell? Break of key structure level (4,096) Below range → trend continuation short Liquidity targets below (equal lows + imbalances) Price action → Lower Low + Lower High continuation 🔥 PRICE ACTION LOGIC (Simple Explanation) ✔ Buy Logic Market is accumulating in the NO-TRADE zone Break above 4,265 = buyers win Price targets previous supply zones ✔ Sell Logic If price breaks below 4,096, demand collapses Market enters markdown phase Lower supports become liquidity targets
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Skalpfi
XAUUSD – Ahead of NFP: Buy with Wolfe Wave, Watch for Sell ...XAUUSD – Ahead of NFP: Buy with Wolfe Wave, Watch for Sell Setup at the Extension Zone Gold continues its upward momentum as the USD weakens sharply, breaking the descending trendline and forming a Wolfe Wave pattern on the H1 chart. Price is currently rotating around the POC – VAH cluster of the previous distribution zone, making it very likely to react before the NFP release. At this stage, I prioritise buying with the main trend, but I also prepare a short-term sell setup if the market becomes “overstretched” before the news. 🎯 Scenario 1 – Priority BUY at POC/VAH Buy: 4,209 – 4,212 SL: 4,205 TP: 4,233 – 4,260 – 4,299 Reason: Price is retesting the POC – VAH cluster right after breaking above the descending trendline. The Wolfe Wave structure points toward higher targets, aligning with the continuation of the bullish trend. The 4,209–4,212 zone offers good liquidity, allowing a tight stop loss while maintaining an attractive R:R. 🔁 Scenario 2 – SELL Reaction at the Upper Extension Zone Sell (only if a clear reversal signal appears): 4,323 – 4,325 SL: 4,333 TP reference: 4,299 – 4,260 – 4,233 Reason: The 4,323–4,325 zone is an upper extension area, overlapping with the Wolfe Wave resistance and a previous supply zone. If price is “pushed” into this region before NFP, and H1 candles show long upper wicks or weakening volume, I will consider it a counter-trend sell opportunity back toward the POC/support areas. This is a counter-trend trade, so position size should be smaller and execution must be clean and quick. 1️⃣ Fundamental View Before NFP The USD is attempting to recover from its late-October lows but is restricted by expectations of the Fed turning dovish soon. Recent data shows a cooling U.S. economy and a slowing labour market—raising the probability of a 25bps rate cut at the upcoming FOMC meeting. Additional developments: The Government Accountability Office has launched an investigation involving a “Fed critic.” Kevin Hassett stated that he believes the Fed may cut rates soon. These factors strengthen the narrative that the interest rate peak is behind us. Although Challenger job cuts dropped sharply compared to the previous month, the overall economic picture still suggests slowing growth, which supports gold in the medium term. Summary: Fundamentals remain supportive for gold. NFP will only determine how deep or how fast the next correction will be—not a trend reversal unless the numbers are extremely out of expectations. 2️⃣ Technical Outlook from the Chart On H1, gold has broken the descending trendline and moved back above the POC area of the previous downmove. A Wolfe Wave pattern has formed, projecting targets higher than current price. Price is currently hovering around POC – VAH: If it holds above 4,209–4,212, the next targets are likely 4.26x–4.29x. If price gets strongly rejected near 4.32x before or after NFP, this becomes a valid zone to look for sell reactions. 3️⃣ Trading Plan & Risk Management Priority: BUY at 4,209–4,212, SL 4,205, TP 4,233–4,260–4,299 Sell setup at 4,323–4,325 is activated only when reversal signals appear If NFP causes excessive volatility, prioritise waiting for price to stabilise around the POC before re-entering new setups.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
Key-Resistance Liquidity Grab → FVG ShortIdea: Price has reached a key resistance zone — a common place where smart money or institutions may hunt liquidity (stop-losses above resistance before reversing). There is an unfilled Fair Value Gap (FVG) / imbalance zone drawn below (green “POI / FVG” zone). In price-action trading, these FVGs often act like magnets: after a rapid move, price tends to retrace and “fill” the gap. The plan: wait for a rejection at resistance (signaling liquidity grab is done), then short — target the FVG/POI zone where the market may come back to fill imbalance. 🎯 Trade Plan (Entry / Exit / Risk-Reward) Parameter Plan Entry After a bearish rejection (e.g. long upper-wick candle) near the resistance zone. Stop-Loss Slightly above the resistance / recent swing high (to avoid being stopped by a false breakout). Take-Profit (TP) Around / within the FVG / POI zone (green zone on chart) — where imbalance may be filled. Risk–Reward Aim for at least 1 : 2 — ideally more, depending on how far the FVG is below resistance. ⚠️ What Makes This Setup Valid (and What to Watch) FVGs mark market inefficiencies / liquidity gaps created by rapid moves, which often get revisited. A reversal or rejection at a well-defined resistance zone gives signal that the liquidity hunt may be done and a move downward may begin. But — if price breaks cleanly and strongly above the resistance (with momentum), the short trade becomes invalid. Also, FVGs don’t always get filled. Entry should ideally wait for a clear rejection or confirmation, not just assume a fill.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by KingProTrader
XAUUSD – LANA TRACKS MID-TERM WAVE 5 TOWARDS THE ATH ZONE AT ...XAUUSD – LANA TRACKS MID-TERM WAVE 5 TOWARDS THE ATH ZONE AT 4360 1. Fundamental Analysis On the geopolitical front, President Putin has once again reiterated the conditions for a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine. While the possibility of a peace agreement remains uncertain, his firm stance suggests the conflict is unlikely to end soon. This keeps gold supported as a mid-term safe-haven asset. On the US side, Donald Trump continues to emphasise that the stock market will keep making new all-time highs, and even mentioned the potential removal of most income taxes, replacing them with tariff-based revenue. These comments fuel “risk-on” sentiment for equities and the USD, creating short-term fluctuations for gold. Overall, Lana expects gold to maintain a mid-term bullish bias over the next 1–2 weeks, though short-term volatility is likely as the market constantly re-prices geopolitical risks and US policy expectations. 2. Technical Analysis On the D1 timeframe, gold is forming a mid-term Elliott Wave 5 structure. Wave (4) has completed at a key support region, accompanied by a bullish market structure shift (MSS), signalling the start of Wave (5). Using the Fibonacci extension tool, the theoretical target for Wave (5) lies around the 2.618 extension at 4360 — a strong psychological level and close to the potential ATH zone, where significant profit-taking from buyers may appear. On the way up, the 4246 level is a major resistance zone: If price breaks this level decisively and closes above it on D1, the bullish trend strengthens, confirming buyers are willing to push price to new highs. The descending trendline has already been broken. After the breakout, price retested the line and bounced, showing buyers have regained control. A pullback towards the trendline zone at 4133–4139 would give Lana a clean opportunity to join Wave 5 with a better risk-to-reward ratio. 3. Key Price Levels to Watch Major Resistance / Mid-term Take-Profit Zones: 4240 – 4246: Intermediate resistance; needs a clear breakout to reinforce the bullish trend. 4360: Fibonacci 2.618 extension & potential ATH target for Wave 5. Support / Potential Buy Zones: 4133 – 4139: Near the trendline; Lana’s preferred buy zone if price pulls back. 4124: Technical stop-loss level; a break below may weaken the short-term bullish wave structure. 4. Trade Setup BUY: 4133 – 4139 SL: 4124 TP: 4240 – 4280 – 4350 👉 Follow Lana on TradingView for the earliest gold analysis updates. 💛
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lana_M2
XAU/USD Near Breakdown – Bears Eying Liquidity SweepGold remains under pressure after a stronger-than-expected NFP print reduced near-term Fed rate-cut expectations. The USD stays moderately supported, while weak risk sentiment keeps gold in a cautious, defensive phase. 📊 Technical Snapshot (H1–M30) Price continues to reject the descending trendline and the supply zone 4,054–4,078. Lower highs structure intact → bearish momentum remains dominant. Liquidity pockets sit at 4,013 and especially 3,989, a key downside magnet. Any pullback toward 4,054 is likely just a retest before continuation lower. 🎯 MMF Intraday Plan Primary Bias: SELL – follow the trend Sell 4,054–4,078 SL: 4,090 TP: 4,013 → 3,989 → 3,975 Countertrend BUY (only at deep liquidity): Buy 3,985–3,990 SL: 3,972 TP: 4,013 → 4,054 ⚡️ MMF View As long as price stays below the trendline and lower-high structure, gold remains in distribution. A sweep of the 3,99x liquidity zone is highly likely before any meaningful reversal can form.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD: Gold's Final Correction Before a Strong Rebound📊 Market Structure – Elliott Wave + SMC Gold has completed impulse wave 1–5 at the peak of 4,207 USD and is entering an Elliott correction phase in the form of ABC . Wave A : bottomed at Demand Zone 4,008 – 4,020 USD Wave B : retraced upwards, creating consecutive Equal Highs and small BoS but has not broken the larger structure Wave C : is forming, may extend down to the Demand Zone if the price loses 4,030 SMC signals reinforce the scenario of a completed correction: A series of Equal Lows → the market still has liquidity below to "sweep" towards the Demand Zone The area BoS – 4,076 is the decisive structure: if not broken upwards, the correction trend continues The area FVG + Resistance 4,152 USD is the target for a major retracement wave after completing wave C => In summary: the market is in the final phase of correction. Once wave C is completed, gold is likely to rebound strongly in the larger trend. 💎 Key Technical Zones 🔹 Demand Zone – Main BUY area 4,008 – 4,020 USD → Strong Demand confluence + Elliott wave C + liquidity below. → High probability of reversal. 🔹 Reaction Zone – Temporary reaction area 4,030 – 4,040 USD → If the price retraces early but hasn't swept the bottom → the correction may still continue. 🔹 Supply & FVG Zones (Strong resistance) 4,152 – 4,207 USD → Main target of the retracement wave after the ABC pattern is completed. 🎯 Trading Plan – Vincent’s Execution Map 1️⃣ BUY Setup – According to Wave C (top priority) Wait for the price to complete wave C at the Demand Zone: Entry: 4,012 – 4,020 SL: below 3,984 TP1: 4,076 TP2: 4,128 TP3: 4,152 TP4: 4,207 → This is the main setup of the day, confluence of both SMC + Elliott. 2️⃣ BUY Aggressive – Early buy according to Break of Structure If the price breaks BoS 4,076 before reaching Demand: Entry: 4,070 – 4,076 SL: 4,040 TP: 4,128 – 4,152 – 4,207 → Setup for those who want to catch the impulsive wave early. 3️⃣ SELL Scalp – Small trend (not the main trade) Only enter when the price retraces to Fibo: Entry: 4,092 – 4,106 SL: 4,116 TP: 4,040 → 4,020 → Short-term scalp, aiming to complete wave C. 🧠 Vincent’s View The overall trend still leans towards Bullish Reversal after correction. As long as the price holds Demand Zone 4,008 – 4,020 , gold can rebound strongly back to the target of 4,152 – 4,207. “Liquidity always shows the way – patience is the real advantage.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 21/11/2025 ✍️ Analyzed by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
BTC strong down trend and high RnR sell scenario..BTC is in strong down trend and broke ~ 90K level and targeting further downside levels of 82K and 75K. Price is continuously forming lower highs and BoS. Price has formed a BOS on hourly chart and approaching 1h FVG. We may expect a rejection pattern in LTF inside FVG and further downfall. 1. Price is in strong down trend and formed 1H FVG after creating BOS. 2. FVG is formed on weekly quadrant level, making it more significant, 3. Price is now approaching FVG 4. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG/RDRB level and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF. 5. Price should show rejection/reversal in respective LTF (5m/15m) at FVG zone. 6. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF All these combinations are signalling a high probability and ~8R trade scenario. Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it. Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas. Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share. Join me on live stream for real time update. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by HareeyMarketMantraah
1
Gold (XAUUSD) – Bears Eye the 4045 Wall! Short Setup AheadGold is currently trading within a tight range of 3980 – 4045, and price action is now approaching the crucial resistance zone at 4035 – 4045. 📈 This area has acted as a strong supply zone in recent sessions — and could once again attract sellers. 💡 Trading Plan: 🔸 Sell Zone: 4035 – 4045 🎯 Targets: 4021 and 4012 🛑 Invalidation: View remains valid below 4051.5 — a sustained break above this level would negate the short setup and could open the door for further upside momentum. 📊 Bias: Bearish near resistance until confirmed breakout above 4051.5 💬 Watch for rejection signals or bearish candles in this zone before entering. ⚠️ Disclaimer This is for educational purposes only — not financial advice. Always manage your risk and use proper position sizing. Your feedback drives our content and keeps everyone trading smarter. Let’s make those pips together! 🚀 Happy Trading, – The InvestPro Team
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by InvestPro_India
XAUUSD | Gold to drop 2000PIPS, where is the best sell zone?🔍 Market Context After breaking the medium-term upward structure at the main Trendline , gold has formed a distinct series of Lower High – Equal Low (EqL) , indicating a phase shift from bullish to bearish. Currently, the price is fluctuating around the 3,960–3,970 USD zone – this is a temporary liquidity accumulation area before moving up to retest the resistance at 4,015–4,050 USD , which was previously a Demand Zone now turned into Supply Zone . If a strong bearish reaction occurs here, the price is likely to extend its decline towards the Order Block 3,945–3,960 USD zone, or even deeper to the Premium Zone 3,884 USD . 💎 Key Technical Structure Main Trendline: broken, confirming a structural change (ChoCH). Resistance Zone: 4,010–4,015 → quick reaction resistance. Supply Zone: 4,043–4,060 → strong technical retracement zone. Premium Zone: 3,884–3,900 → discount zone, potential temporary bottom. 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ SELL Zone 1 – Scalp Reaction at Resistance Zone Entry: 4,010 – 4,015 SL: 4,025 Take Profit : 4,005 - 3,995 - 3,975 - 3,965 - Open ➡️ Quick scalp reaction at nearby resistance – suitable for trading during London/NY sessions. 2️⃣ SELL Zone 2 – Major Retest at Supply Zone Entry: 4,043 – 4,060 SL: 4,065 Take Profit : 4,050 - 4,040 - 4,030 - 4,020 - 4,010/Open ➡️ Main setup – retest of confluence supply zone with broken trendline, high probability if strong rejection on H1/H4. 3️⃣ SELL Continuation – Break & Retest below 3,945 USD Entry: 3,945 – 3,950 SL: 3,965 TP: 3,884 ➡️ Setup breaks EqL bottom confirming continuation of downtrend, targeting Premium Zone. 4️⃣ BUY Setup – Reversal at Premium Zone 3,900 USD Entry: 3,900 SL: 3,880 TP1: 3,910 - 3,920 - 3,930 - 3,940 - 3,950/Open ✅ Condition: Only buy when a strong reaction candle appears (long-tail rejection / ChoCH bullish on M15–H1). ➡️ This is the final discount zone before major capital can return to the market – technical reversal setup, low risk / high reward. ⚠️ Risk Management Prioritise SELL at supply zones, BUY at Premium – avoid trading in the middle of the range. Reduce volume on scalp setups (Sell 1). If price closes above 4,070 → short-term downtrend is invalidated. 💬 Conclusion Gold is still under short-term bearish pressure, however, the 3,884–3,900 USD zone may serve as strong support. The appropriate strategy is to utilise the two resistance zones for Selling and observe technical Buying at the Premium bottom. 👉 Comprehensive Strategy: Sell 4,010–4,015 | SL 4,025 | TP 4,005 → 3,965 🎯 Sell 4,043–4,060 | SL 4,065 | TP 4,050 → 4,010 🎯 Buy 3,900 | SL 3,880 | TP 3,910 → 3,950 🎯 🔥 “Trade with patience, react at precision zones — that’s how consistency is built.” ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Update: 28/10/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
XAUUSD SELL TRADE | WILL 4150 ACT AS A BARRIER?Yesterday, Gold experienced a significant sell-off after breaking below our previously identified positional sell level at 4185, triggering a sharp decline down to 4004. Currently, Gold is showing signs of a retracement. The 4150 level is now acting as a strong resistance. Trade Idea: Sell Gold near 4150 Stop Loss: 4157.6 Target Levels: 4121, 4111, and 4101 Note: Monitor price action around these levels closely and manage risk accordingly. Do you agree with this bearish outlook? 👍 Like if you’re ready to short! 💬 Comment your take or questions below — let’s build a powerful, informed trading community! Your feedback drives our content and keeps everyone trading smarter. Let’s make those pips together! 🚀 Happy Trading, – The InvestPro Team
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by InvestPro_India
GOLD - ENTERS COREECTION PHASESymbol - XAUUSD Gold is currently undergoing a corrective phase following approximately six weeks of aggressive upward movement. Price action is forming a consolidation range while continuing to pressure the support zone. The recent record breaking rally became overheated, prompting profit-taking and long liquidation. Additionally, a gradual shift in market sentiment and macroeconomic backdrop is contributing to capital outflows. However, ongoing US–China trade negotiations, the US government shutdown, and heightened geopolitical uncertainty, including the cancellation of Trump’s meeting with President Putin, continue to pose economic risks that could provide underlying support for the precious metal. Overall, the current pullback appears to be a healthy corrective pause within the broader structure. The 4000 level remains a critical support area. A sustained recovery above 4110 would indicate that buyers are interested, though further momentum largely depends on developments surrounding global trade policies. Resistance levels: 4100, 4110, 4163 Support levels: 4058, 4000 A decisive breakdown of the lower boundary of the trading range could trigger a deeper corrective wave. The 4000 level is the primary focus, as strong volatility may occur around this zone. Given the current market conditions - with declines matching the previous intensity of the rally, patience is warranted until momentum stabilizes, enabling more informed technical decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by akshit_official
2
XAUUSD Analysis - Levels and Pridiction#Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis - October 27, 2025 Current Market Status: Retracement on Higher Time Frame, Lower Timeframe Bearish Breakdown⚠️ Gold is trading at 4,033.67, having broken down from the previous #consolidation zone. The market has violated key support levels and is now showing clear bearish momentum with multiple technical confirmations. Critical Technical Developments: 1️⃣ Triangle Pattern Breakdown (1H Chart) The 1-hour chart reveals a confirmed triangle #pattern breakout to the downside. After breaking below the triangle support, price attempted a retest of the breakdown level around 4,093-4,144 but was rejected, confirming the pattern's validity. This is a classic bearish continuation signal. 2️⃣ Demand Zone Invalidation A crucial demand level that previously held multiple tests has now been completely invalidated. The chart explicitly notes: "Demand Level to be invalidated to move the Price Further Down" - this condition has been met, opening the path for deeper downside movement. 3️⃣ Minor Trend Shift Level Breach Price has broken below the **Minor Trend Shift Level** at approximately 4,093, confirming a shift from bullish to bearish short-term structure. This level now acts as resistance. Target Zones (High Probability): 🎯 Immediate Targets: - 3,945 - Next support cluster (current proximity) - 3,845 - 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level (PRIMARY TARGET) - 3,719 - 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (EXTENDED TARGET) The Fibonacci levels in green boxes, are the key magnetic zones for price action. 📉 Bearish Continuation (70% Probability) Price continues lower toward 3,845, potentially extending to 3,719 if selling pressure intensifies. This move would represent a healthy correction within the broader uptrend from the yearly lows. 📈 Bullish Reversal (30% Probability) Requires reclaiming 4,144 with strong momentum AND holding above it on daily timeframe. Only then would the bearish structure be invalidated. Conclusion: Gold remains in a confirmed downtrend on lower timeframes with clear downside targets visible. The invalidation of demand zones and triangle breakdown provide strong bearish confirmation. Traders should focus on the 3,845-3,719 zone as the primary area of interest for potential reversal setups. Until price reclaims 4,150+, the path of least resistance remains **DOWN**. Risk Management: Use proper position sizing as volatility remains elevated. The 3,845 level will be crucial - watch for buyer reaction there.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDShort
by earnwhileulearn
1
XAU/USD – 15-Minute Timeframe Analysis (Short Bias)Market Overview Following the latest round of China–U.S. trade negotiations, market sentiment has shifted toward a more risk-on environment, reducing demand for safe-haven assets such as gold. As optimism surrounding the talks strengthens the U.S. dollar, gold prices have continued to decline during the Asian and early European sessions. Technical Outlook On the 15-minute timeframe, XAU/USD maintains a clear short-term bearish structure, characterized by consecutive lower highs and lower lows. The pair is currently trading below key moving averages, reinforcing the prevailing downward momentum. A potential retracement toward intraday resistance could present a favorable opportunity for short positions, provided that bearish price action confirms rejection at that level. Key Resistance: 2360 – 2365 zone (previous support turned resistance) Immediate Support: 2348 – 2350 zone Extended Support Target: 2338 – 2340
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Akhilrajfx
XAUUSD, Whats the Trend? If Pattern Breaks out?#Gold (#XAU/USD) Technical Analysis - October 24, 2025 Current Market Bias: **BEARISH** Gold is currently trading at 4,109.12, positioned within a critical decision zone. The price action shows a developing #Descendingtriangle pattern with a clear resistance trendline connecting the recent highs around 4,150-4,200. Key Observations: The market has failed to break above the dynamic resistance multiple times, indicating weakening bullish momentum. Price is currently hovering near the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (4,153.81) but struggling to maintain above it. The horizontal support around 4,015 has been tested multiple times, forming the base of this triangle pattern. #Breakout Scenarios: 📉 Bearish Breakdown (Higher Probability) If the horizontal support at 4,015 breaks decisively: - First Target: 3,918 (1.272 Fibonacci extension) - Second Target: 3,865 (1.414 Fibonacci extension) - Extended Target: 3,791 (1.618 Fibonacci extension) - Major Support: 3,652 (2.0 Fibonacci extension) This breakdown would represent a continuation of the corrective move from the all-time highs, potentially triggering significant selling pressure as stop-losses are triggered below 4,000. 📈 #Bullish Breakout (Alternative Scenario) If price breaks above the descending resistance trendline AND reclaims 4,150-4,200: - First Target: 4,250 - Extended Target: 4,300 (previous highs) This would invalidate the bearish triangle pattern and could trigger a rally back toward recent highs. #Risk Management The pattern suggests a #risk-reward favoring short positions on breakdown confirmation. Traders should wait for a decisive close below 4,015 with increased volume before entering bearish positions. Stop-loss above 4,150 would be prudent for short positions. Current stance: Monitor the 4,015 support closely - a break here opens the door to significant downside.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDShort
by earnwhileulearn
1
SELLOFF IMMINENT GOLD TRAPP Final Warning Before $4000 COLLAPSEWelcome Traders! The Gold market (XAU/USD) is tightly constrained, and the pressure from the USD, combined with the technical breakdown risk, makes the SHORT scenario our highest conviction trade! 1. Sharp Technical Analysis The H1 chart confirms a Bearish Consolidation structure after the steep drop from $4,370$. The price is locked in a high-stakes "No-Trade Zone". Dominant Trend: BEARISH (following the breakdown of the Double Top pattern at $4,100$). Consolidation Range (No-Trade Zone): Price is squeezed between $4,005 (Support) and $4,159 (Resistance). Bear Flag Warning: A highly probable Bear Flag pattern is forming, suggesting an explosive downside move upon breakout. Action Mandate: WAIT FOR THE BREAKDOWN CONFIRMATION! 2. Fundamental Analysis: USD Fueling the Drop USD Strength: The USD sustained its upward momentum, increasing the burden on Gold. While a slight pullback occurred at the US open, the overall positive USD momentum remains a significant bearish factor. Impact: Consistent USD demand makes a decisive break above $4,159$ highly unlikely. This heavily favors the scenario where Gold breaches the critical $4,000$ support. 3. MAIN TRADING PLAN: Breakdown Scenario (SHORT) We are setting the trap to execute the SELL trade immediately upon the decisive breach of the $4,005$ Support. Activate SHORT: Breakdown below $4,005$. Confirm with an H1 candle closing decisively beneath this level. STOP-LOSS (SL): $4,159$. Placed safely above the No-Trade Zone Resistance. TAKE-PROFIT 1 (TP1): $3,955.772. The next structural support target. TAKE-PROFIT 2 (TP2): $3,889.251. The final objective, aligning with the larger pattern target. Contingency Scenario (LONG) Activate LONG: ONLY if Gold decisively breaks $4,159$ (Breakout Zone) and targets $4,332.127. Note: This is a counter-trend, high-risk trade requiring massive news to justify. Community Interaction 🚀 Are you ready for the break? Will Gold collapse to $3,889$ or surprise us with a break of $4,159$? Drop your priority scenario NOW! 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo