Gold Short Trade Idea - Gold is currently trading in a bearish trend
- Do not trade either side market can deleverage you
- Keep a close watch on DXY
- Let Gold mitigate 2035-2050 first
- This can be a zone to pull off some good shorts in Gold
- Wait for the execution and do not rush over it
- I am bearish on GOLD
Xauusdshort
Bearish Analysis for XAUUSD at 2075-2080 LevelsXAUUSD pair is currently trading in a critical price range, specifically between 2075 and 2080. This analysis aims to provide a bearish perspective on the market conditions within this price bracket.
Technical Analysis:
Resistance Levels:
The price range of 2075-2080 has historically acted as a significant resistance zone. Multiple attempts to breach this level have been met with strong selling pressure, indicating a notable barrier for upward movement.
Bearish Candlestick Patterns:
Recent candlestick patterns, such as shooting stars or bearish engulfing patterns, signal potential weakness in the current uptrend. These patterns suggest that sellers are gaining control, and a reversal might be in play.
Overbought Conditions:
Examining various technical indicators, it becomes evident that the market is in an overbought state. Indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) or stochastic oscillators highlight the potential for a correction or reversal.
Fundamental Analysis:
Dollar Strength:
The strength of the US dollar should not be overlooked. Any signs of a strengthening dollar could add further downward pressure on gold prices. Monitoring economic indicators and Federal Reserve statements can provide insights into the USD's trajectory.
Inflation Concerns:
With the global economy recovering, there are growing concerns about inflation. While gold is often seen as a hedge against inflation, excessively high inflation expectations could lead to a shift in investor sentiment and capital allocation.
Market Sentiment:
Speculative Positioning:
Analyzing the positioning of market participants, especially institutional traders and hedge funds, provides valuable insights. A significant buildup of short positions in this price range could signal a broader market sentiment leaning towards a bearish outlook.
News and Events:
Keep a close eye on economic news and geopolitical events. Any developments that could impact risk sentiment or the perceived safe-haven status of gold may influence the market's direction.
Risk Management:
Considering the potential for market volatility, it's crucial for traders to implement effective risk management strategies. Setting stop-loss orders and closely monitoring the trade as it progresses can mitigate potential losses.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, the 2075-2080 price range for XAUUSD presents a compelling bearish opportunity based on both technical and fundamental factors. However, prudent risk management and continuous monitoring of market conditions are essential for successful trading.
Remember that actual market conditions can change rapidly, and it's important to stay updated with the latest information and adjust your analysis accordingly. Additionally, individual trading decisions should be based on a comprehensive understanding of your risk tolerance, financial goals, and market conditions.
trading strategy after gold surges due to volatilityGold rose higher after the fund bought 13 tons
Gold will likely continue to rise on November 21 but there will be a recovery
Data released last week raised hopes that the Fed could begin easing monetary conditions sooner than expected after the job market slowed and price inflation showed signs of cooling. Lower interest rates put downward pressure on the dollar and bond yields, increasing the appeal of non-interest-bearing bullion.
In the short term, experts say that precious metals have lost momentum and need new fundamental motivation to recover. However, according to Daniel, senior commodity strategist at TD Securities, the impending recession combined with the Fed's interest rate cuts will push gold to new all-time highs in the first half of 2024.
XAUUSD : Today gold will recover slightly Yesterday gold completely broke through the parallel price increase channel and the SPDR fund yesterday had no move to trade gold. Today we will have news from the FED due to Mr. Powell's speech. This is a very important speech. greatly affects gold. On the D1 chart, the stochastic is falling sharply and the histogram has a decreasing trend, so today our SELL zone is in the 1975-1978 zone and the BUY zone is in the 1960-1962 zone.
Technical analysis and news for today's gold trading strategyOn the 1D chart, gold has formed a doji candle, and the FED still maintains the interest rate at 5.50%. In yesterday's press conference, Mr. Powell continued to bring inflation down to 2%, and when the FED has not brought inflation down to 2-2.5%, they still did not reduce interest rates. Mr. Powell emphasized that short-term monetary policy The regime currently in place will continue until inflation and other data dissuade the Fed from maintaining the current interest rate, at which point they will begin to think about reducing interest rates, he also said that the restrictive policies The currency has not yet brought inflation down to 2%. The SPDR fund started buying in small quantities. According to technical analysis, gold is likely to increase and the immediate target is that gold will break the EMA 20, then gold can go up to retest the price increase channel. Currently, daily Stochastic is falling, the histogram has also shown signs of decreasing, RSI has also left the overbought area and is at 64. On the H4 frame, stochastic is in the oversold area and is trending up. Histogram has begun to grow negative. On the H1 chart, the histogram is growing negative and the stochastic is pointing up, showing that it is recovering, showing that gold today will sideway from about 1985-1975 and 1975-1991.
XAUUSD Short Term IdeaShort Position with SL and 3 TPs.
All ideas are my own analysis. For educational Purpose only. Any Loss on taking this trade is not my responsibility. Taking position off my idea is own responsibility, Users are responsible for their our actions. Tip: Always trade with Risk Management
XAUUSD: Gold trend after breaking the upward price channelToday we will have very important USD news: ISM Manufacturing PMI, JOLTS Job Openings, ISM Manufacturing Prices and in the early morning of November 2 there will be 3 more news: Federal Funds Rate, FOMC Statement, FOMC Press Conference but This news is likely to have a big impact on gold, so we need to pay attention to orders when the news comes out
According to technical analysis, October is a month of strong growth for gold. On the monthly chart, histogram and stochastic have a divergence, RSI does not see a divergence.
Yesterday gold broke through the upward price channel so our trend will be to sell and the H1 stochastic frame is already in the oversold area so it is likely that gold will have a rebound to 1990, the price range from 1990-1992 we can sell stochastic The H4 frame still tends to go down, so the possibility of gold decreasing is very large
AUDUSD ShortFOREXCOM:AUDUSD - 4H Analysis
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
Hustle hard
Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!!
XAUUSD ShortFOREXCOM:XAUUSD Risky Trade
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
Hustle hard
Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!!
XAUUSD amid rising political tensions Gold prices (XAU/USD) hovered around $1,950 after retreating from the two-month high of $1,962 in early Asian trading on Thursday. The precious metal's rebound was bolstered by escalating political tensions in the Middle East, driving the flow towards safe-haven assets.
Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY), measuring the USD against six major currencies, rose to 106.55. US Treasury yields surged, with the 10-year Treasury bond yield reaching 4.911%, the highest since 2007, while the 2-year Treasury bond yield remained at 5.229%.
On Wednesday, Federal Reserve officials reiterated their stance on maintaining interest rates. These comments pushed US bond yields higher, reflecting strong growth prospects in the US. Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller stated that it's too early to determine if there's a need for further policy rate actions, suggesting a wait-and-see approach. New York Fed President John Williams emphasized the central bank's need for a gradual monetary policy to curb inflation, indicating that the policy trajectory depends on data.
Moreover, the ongoing political conflict between Israel and Hamas remains a focal point. Gaza authorities reported Israeli airstrikes killing 500 people at a Palestinian hospital on Tuesday, while Israel claimed the casualties resulted from a Palestinian attack. Escalating political tensions in the Middle East and market instability might drive demand for traditional safe-haven assets like gold.
Gold traders will monitor the US Unemployment Claims and Philly Fed Index, as well as Existing Home Sales data later on Thursday. Additionally, Fed Chair Powell is expected to deliver a speech. Market participants will interpret signals from the data, seeking trading opportunities around gold prices.
XAUUSD SellFOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
Hustle hard
XAUUSD: what is going on?From a short-term technical perspective, nothing seems to have changed for Gold price, as a correction from a seven-month trough remains on the table.
The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator stays heavily oversold, justifying a case for a Gold price rebound anytime soon.
Should Gold price stage a decent comeback the initial support-turned-resistance at the $1,850 level will be challenged. The next upside barrier is aligned at the September 28 and 29 highs of $1,880 on the road to recovery.
However, if Gold buyers fail to find a strong foothold above the $1,850 mark, the downtrend could gather steam once again. Gold price will need to crack the previous day’s low of $1,815 to tale on the crucial support at the $1,810 level, where the March 8 low is registered.
The $1,800 threshold will be the level to beat for Gold sellers.
The 100-Daily Moving Average (DMA) is looking to cross the 200 DMA from above, suggesting that any pullback in Gold price from multi-month lows could prove temporary.
XAUUSD: Today!Gold could stage a rebound if $1,810 support holds
Gold is currently consolidating its losses from the past week and is trading at its lowest level in seven months, below $1,820. Despite this, the overall bullish sentiment surrounding the United States Dollar (USD) remains strong, primarily due to the significant increase in US Treasury bond yields. As a result, the XAU/USD price is experiencing further downward pressure.
Pressure is increasingly weighing on gold pricesXAU/USD ended Wednesday's trading session at its lowest price in three weeks, hitting a new low of $1,905 as the inflationary backdrop in the US continued to frustrate gold investors.
Gold continues to be rejected from $1,940.00 after last week's action saw the yellow metal fall back as US Treasury yields and the US Dollar (USD) continued to trouble scarf on the Gold chart. The precious metal has broken away from yearly highs above $2,060.00.
The US consumer price index (CPI) rose 0.6% in August, up sharply from 0.2% the previous month, and inflation concerns weighed on XAU/USD. Annual CPI increased 3.7% compared to market estimates of 3.6%.
Rising inflation in the US is causing the market to reassess the possibility that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will raise interest rates further, although the Fed seeks to keep interest rates stable at its interest rate meeting next week.
The Fed maintains its hawkish stanceGold prices extended the previous day's healthy recovery from $1,900 or above three-week lows and gained stronger traction for the second straight day on Friday. Momentum lifted XAU/USD to three-day highs around the $1,915-$1,916 region during the Asian session, although a meaningful upside move still seems unlikely.
The US Dollar (USD) has pulled back from its highest since March reached on Thursday and is seen as a key factor driving some of the flows towards US Dollar-denominated Gold prices. The decline in USD may be due to profit-taking amid a slight weakening of United States (US) government bond yields. However, strong expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep interest rates higher for longer will be a driver of US bond yields and the Greenback.
Gold price forecast todayGold prices ended five straight days of decline, trading higher at around $1,920, up 0.20% in Thursday's Asian session. However, precious metals are facing downward pressure as traders consider the possibility that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will increase interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) until the end of 2023. .
Hawkish sentiment surrounding the Fed's policy decision at the upcoming September meeting continues to support US Treasury interest rates. This strengthens investors' confidence in the US Dollar (USD). The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note rose to 4.28%, up 0.05% at press time. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is around 104.80, measuring the value of the Greenback against six major currencies.
Gold is trying to recoverGold prices traded around $1,920 per troy ounce in the first hours of trading during Monday's Asian session. The precious metal managed to hold on to its previous weekly close, receiving some support from the weakening US Dollar (USD).
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the Greenback's performance against six major currencies, is currently trading around 104.80, slightly below its peak since April. However, US Treasury bond yields are rising, which could put pressure on the yellow metal's price. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note increased to 4.29%, up 0.52%.
Gold is waiting to accumulateGold yesterday opened the weekly trading session with an upward trend from 1916 to 1930 when the USD experienced declines and corrections after the Bank of Japan's move caused the market to increase expectations for the future. The Yen negative interest rate period will soon end.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) fell to around 104.60, trying to offset losses thanks to positive developments in United States (US) bond yields. The US 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.30% at the time of writing.
Strong economic data in August put pressure on gold prices. Although the labor market has shown weakness over the past few weeks, it recently experienced a pullback with two strong reports including the ISM Services PMI and Initial Jobless Claims, both all exceeded market expectations. As long as data continues to show a mixed outlook, market participants can expect prices to stabilize