Xauusdshort
News of geopolitical instability still existsGold prices continued to increase in the early trading sessions of the week thanks to escalating tensions in the war in the Middle East.
Gold experienced a steady rise near the weekend thanks to geopolitical tensions and weakness in the US dollar. The coordinated attack between the US and UK on the Houthi rebels in Yemen in recent days has made the market concerned that the war situation may gradually get worse.
In addition, US government bond yields have also decreased slightly in the past month as the market continues to expect the Fed to cut interest rates in the near future.
XAU/USD -Medium term Sell-off post US & UK attackIt looks likely that Gold will experience sell off From 2053 to 2036 Level, Before trying to make a new leg high, The reason is Movemtum driven response to gold and bond market due to the war at yemen.
Fed officials, economic data in focus for rate-cut cues
The dollar index surged 0.5% on Tuesday, with demand for the greenback increasing ahead of an address by Fed Governor Christopher Waller later on Tuesday. His comments on the potential for a spring rate cut will be closely watched, after consumer and producer inflation data for December offered somewhat mixed cues to markets.
U.S. industrial production and retail sales data readings are due on Wednesday and are set to provide more signals on the economy. Any signs of economic resilience gives the Fed more headroom to keep rates higher for longer.
Traders were seen slightly trimming bets on a March 2024 rate cut, according to the CME Fedwatch tool . Expectations of early interest rate cuts were a key driver of a gold rally in recent weeks, given that the yellow metal benefits from a low-rate environment.
XAUUSD Extaday trade setupI entry after huge moment there have fvg the anyway market touching fvg that's true.
My entry 5 mint fvg touching and market shift the I enter there target is touching 1hr fvg and stop loss is above the 5 min fvg .
* Market travel liquidity to fvg or ob but my entry are safe for save money
XAUUSD/ GOLD SHORT TRADE IDEA SETUP- GOLD IS CURRENTLY TRADING AT A WEEKLY SUPPLY
- Before initiating shorts wait for retracement back to 2055-2068
- I think that can be a safe swing short
- Wait for the short base to get matured and then the targets could easily range from 1950-2000
- Avoid trading FOMC and other data days
dxy analysisTrade Idea:
📍 Entry: 🎯 Target: ⛔ Stop Loss: (MARKED IN CHART)
💡 RISK REWARD 1 : 3 ,5 ,10
💰 Risk 1% of your trading capital.
⚠️ Markets can be unpredictable; research before trading.Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Elliott Wave analysis and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions.Informational onLY !!!!
XAUUSD Gold Scalp Long Setup- Gold is currently trading at a crucial supply zone
- It's interesting to even watch whether we can witness and cover the leftover upside or not
- We also need to wait for the price to keep consolidating here if we are favoring a bullish move
- However, if we are on the bearish side then it's important for us to see a good reaction from the supply
recovery after sharp decline of XAUafter the US Federal Reserve signaled interest rate cuts are coming next year
In addition to central bank meetings, investors will likely keep an eye on the European Union leaders' summit in Brussels, starting next Thursday.
The summit comes at a critical time for Ukraine, as the Biden administration has so far failed to get a $60 billion aid package through Congress and the war against Russia is entering a skirmish brutal winter.
The Fed has recognized cooling inflation and this has increased expectations of interest rate cuts, but has led to a sharp decline in bond yields and the USD. These are all factors supporting gold prices
XAUUSD ShortThis analysis was based on the symmetrical triangle pattern after a long period of order building the market was sideways for too long leaving the candle stick pattern in the triangle pattern which usually has a breakout but since it was New York opening hours and the weekend the movement in the market was so aggressive that the sell was very profitable
Mistakes: the mistake I made on this trade was the lower profit margin that was set i should have anticipated the aggressive movement and should have kept more pips for take profit
Gold Short Trade Idea - Gold is currently trading in a bearish trend
- Do not trade either side market can deleverage you
- Keep a close watch on DXY
- Let Gold mitigate 2035-2050 first
- This can be a zone to pull off some good shorts in Gold
- Wait for the execution and do not rush over it
- I am bearish on GOLD
Bearish Analysis for XAUUSD at 2075-2080 LevelsXAUUSD pair is currently trading in a critical price range, specifically between 2075 and 2080. This analysis aims to provide a bearish perspective on the market conditions within this price bracket.
Technical Analysis:
Resistance Levels:
The price range of 2075-2080 has historically acted as a significant resistance zone. Multiple attempts to breach this level have been met with strong selling pressure, indicating a notable barrier for upward movement.
Bearish Candlestick Patterns:
Recent candlestick patterns, such as shooting stars or bearish engulfing patterns, signal potential weakness in the current uptrend. These patterns suggest that sellers are gaining control, and a reversal might be in play.
Overbought Conditions:
Examining various technical indicators, it becomes evident that the market is in an overbought state. Indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) or stochastic oscillators highlight the potential for a correction or reversal.
Fundamental Analysis:
Dollar Strength:
The strength of the US dollar should not be overlooked. Any signs of a strengthening dollar could add further downward pressure on gold prices. Monitoring economic indicators and Federal Reserve statements can provide insights into the USD's trajectory.
Inflation Concerns:
With the global economy recovering, there are growing concerns about inflation. While gold is often seen as a hedge against inflation, excessively high inflation expectations could lead to a shift in investor sentiment and capital allocation.
Market Sentiment:
Speculative Positioning:
Analyzing the positioning of market participants, especially institutional traders and hedge funds, provides valuable insights. A significant buildup of short positions in this price range could signal a broader market sentiment leaning towards a bearish outlook.
News and Events:
Keep a close eye on economic news and geopolitical events. Any developments that could impact risk sentiment or the perceived safe-haven status of gold may influence the market's direction.
Risk Management:
Considering the potential for market volatility, it's crucial for traders to implement effective risk management strategies. Setting stop-loss orders and closely monitoring the trade as it progresses can mitigate potential losses.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, the 2075-2080 price range for XAUUSD presents a compelling bearish opportunity based on both technical and fundamental factors. However, prudent risk management and continuous monitoring of market conditions are essential for successful trading.
Remember that actual market conditions can change rapidly, and it's important to stay updated with the latest information and adjust your analysis accordingly. Additionally, individual trading decisions should be based on a comprehensive understanding of your risk tolerance, financial goals, and market conditions.
trading strategy after gold surges due to volatilityGold rose higher after the fund bought 13 tons
Gold will likely continue to rise on November 21 but there will be a recovery
Data released last week raised hopes that the Fed could begin easing monetary conditions sooner than expected after the job market slowed and price inflation showed signs of cooling. Lower interest rates put downward pressure on the dollar and bond yields, increasing the appeal of non-interest-bearing bullion.
In the short term, experts say that precious metals have lost momentum and need new fundamental motivation to recover. However, according to Daniel, senior commodity strategist at TD Securities, the impending recession combined with the Fed's interest rate cuts will push gold to new all-time highs in the first half of 2024.
XAUUSD : Today gold will recover slightly Yesterday gold completely broke through the parallel price increase channel and the SPDR fund yesterday had no move to trade gold. Today we will have news from the FED due to Mr. Powell's speech. This is a very important speech. greatly affects gold. On the D1 chart, the stochastic is falling sharply and the histogram has a decreasing trend, so today our SELL zone is in the 1975-1978 zone and the BUY zone is in the 1960-1962 zone.
Technical analysis and news for today's gold trading strategyOn the 1D chart, gold has formed a doji candle, and the FED still maintains the interest rate at 5.50%. In yesterday's press conference, Mr. Powell continued to bring inflation down to 2%, and when the FED has not brought inflation down to 2-2.5%, they still did not reduce interest rates. Mr. Powell emphasized that short-term monetary policy The regime currently in place will continue until inflation and other data dissuade the Fed from maintaining the current interest rate, at which point they will begin to think about reducing interest rates, he also said that the restrictive policies The currency has not yet brought inflation down to 2%. The SPDR fund started buying in small quantities. According to technical analysis, gold is likely to increase and the immediate target is that gold will break the EMA 20, then gold can go up to retest the price increase channel. Currently, daily Stochastic is falling, the histogram has also shown signs of decreasing, RSI has also left the overbought area and is at 64. On the H4 frame, stochastic is in the oversold area and is trending up. Histogram has begun to grow negative. On the H1 chart, the histogram is growing negative and the stochastic is pointing up, showing that it is recovering, showing that gold today will sideway from about 1985-1975 and 1975-1991.