GOLD - RESISTANCE RETEST BEFORE THE DROPSymbol - XAUUSD
Gold is currently undergoing a corrective phase, retesting a significant resistance and liquidity zone within the broader context of a prevailing downtrend. The global trend appears to be approaching a critical juncture, potentially signaling a reversal.
Ahead of the forthcoming US inflation report, gold prices have stabilized following a 3% decline, trading steadily around the 3250 level. This consolidation is occurring against a backdrop of a weaker US dollar. Market participants are awaiting the release of US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which is expected to provide clearer direction for both monetary policy expectations and asset flows.
Support for gold prices is being derived from a combination of factors, including optimism surrounding the US-China trade dialogue, signs of easing geopolitical tensions, and profit-taking on long dollar positions. However, the market remains cautious, closely evaluating the potential implications of inflation data on Federal Reserve policy and the demand for safe-haven assets.
Despite the current stabilization, skepticism persists regarding the sustainability of any upward momentum. Technical conditions suggest the possibility of a sharp reversal, with attention focused on key inflection points that could trigger renewed selling pressure.
Key Resistance Levels: 3269, 3284
Key Support Levels: 3246, 3200, 3167
Should the CPI report fail to deliver any major surprises, a false breakout within the 3260-3270 resistance zone followed by price consolidation could serve as a catalyst for a decline toward the 3200-3150 range.
Xauusdtrade
XAU/USDBearish Trade Setup Supply Zone Rejection to Target $3050Trend Overview
📉 Downtrend in Play
Price has reversed from the peak near $3,354
Currently trading below the 70 EMA (📍$3,299.86)
Forming lower highs – indicating bearish momentum.
Key Zones & Levels
🔶 Supply Zone (Resistance)
📍 $3,290.72 – $3,353.41
Strong selling pressure expected here
Possible short entry if price gets rejected
🟦 Support Zone (Previous Support)
📍 Around $3,254 – $3,210
Price has previously bounced here
🎯 Target Point (Take Profit)
📍 $3,050
Clear support level – used as a profit target
Trade Setup – Bearish Bias
🟩 Entry Point
📉 Sell near $3,290.72 (inside supply zone)
🛑 Stop Loss
❌ Above $3,354.69 (above resistance line)
✅ Take Profit
💰 Target $3,050
⚖️ Risk-Reward Ratio
Approx. 1:3 – Favorable for short trades.
Summary
🔍 Watch for a rejection in the supply zone
💼 Setup is ideal for short sellers
📊 Downtrend is supported by structure and EMA
GOLD EYEING A BOUNCE - BULLS PUSH BACK AS DOLLAR DIPSSymbol - XAUUSD
CMP - 3260
Gold is currently forming a local bottom and is not poised to continue its downward trajectory. The price is breaking through downward resistance, driven by a weakening US dollar and a complex fundamental environment.
At the start of the week, gold stabilized above the 3250 mark as investors gravitated toward defensive assets in response to ongoing uncertainties surrounding US trade negotiations with China and Japan, coupled with escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine.
The dollar’s weakness, ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting, alongside diminishing expectations for an interest rate cut, is further supporting gold’s demand. The market’s focus remains on developments regarding US trade policies and the potential for a more hawkish stance from the Fed in the coming week.
From a technical standpoint, gold is testing the bottom of the trading range as resistance. Should there be no significant reaction to a false breakout and the price continues to challenge the 3268 level, a breakout and subsequent consolidation above this point could pave the way for further gains, with potential targets at 3292 and 3314
Resistance levels: 3269, 3294, 3314
Support levels: 3243, 3222, 3204
The price is currently undergoing a second test of the 3269 resistance level since the session commenced. Buyers are actively testing this resistance for a potential breakout. If the bulls manage to break through 3269 and establish a solid consolidation above the 3271 level, the outlook for further growth would be favorable. However, a retest of the liquidity zone at 3243 remains a possibility before any sustained upward movement.
> "Gold (XAU/USD) - Demand Zone Bounce Targeting 3500 "Current Price: $3,319.59
Indicator: 70 EMA at $3,324.95 ➡️ 📈 (still slightly above price = bearish pressure)
---
Main Observations:
🔵 Demand Zone (📦 Buyers' Area):
Between $3,253 - $3,280
Every time price dips here ➡️ buyers react!
✏️ Descending Trendline:
⬇️ Short-term trend is bearish
Price is trying to break above it now (watch closely!)
🎯 Target Point:
$3,500 🏹 (Big upside if breakout succeeds!)
🛡️ Stop-Loss:
$3,253 🔥 (just below the demand zone = good protection)
Trade Idea:
✅ Buy near demand zone 🔵 after breakout confirmation 📈
✅ Target: $3,500 🎯
✅ Stop-Loss: $3,253 🛡️
Quick Dots Summary:
🔵 Demand zone is strong (buyers defending)
🔻 Still under 70 EMA (bearish until breakout)
✏️ Watching for breakout of trendline = key signal
🎯 Massive Risk:Reward ratio if it works
⚡ If no breakout and price falls, stop-loss saves capital.
4-hour price projection for XAUUSD (Gold vs. US Dollar) on MarchKey Observations:
Current Market Price:
The price is around $3,046.450 at the time of analysis.
The high and low of the period are $3,053.485 and $3,045.005, respectively.
Technical Analysis & Patterns:
Rising Wedge Pattern has been identified.
A Bullish Engulfing Candlestick has formed, indicating potential upward momentum.
Break and Retest Strategy:
The chart suggests a breakout zone retest while respecting the trendline before further upward movement.
Key Levels:
Resistance 1: Around $3,054.264.
Target Price 1: Between $3,054 - $3,070.
Resistance 2 & Trendline Resistance: Near $3,076 - $3,080.
Stop-Loss: Set at a weekly low around $3,025 - $3,016.
Price Projection:
Expected price movement suggests a pullback to support levels before continuing its bullish trajectory.
A potential move toward $3,076+ is anticipated.
This chart analysis suggests a buying opportunity, with key resistance levels to monitor for profit-taking.
Gold (XAU/USD) 1H Chart Analysis: Bullish Continuation Towards $This chart represents the XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) on a 1-hour timeframe, and it includes key technical levels and projections. Here’s an analysis of what it suggests:
Key Observations:
Current Price: $2,983.43 📍
H1 Support Zone: Marked in purple, showing a key short-term support level where buyers may step in.
Previous All-Time High (ATH): The black horizontal line below the support level indicates a former record high, which now acts as a psychological support level.
Target Levels:
First target: $2,998.65 (Blue line)
Final target: $3,020.97 (Higher blue line) 📈
Potential Price Action:
If price holds the H1 support, there is a bullish setup, targeting $2,998 first and then $3,020 if momentum continues. 🚀
If support breaks, price could retest the previous ATH before bouncing back or moving lower.
Market Sentiment:
The overall trend is strongly bullish, indicated by the sharp breakout seen around March 14-15.
A small consolidation is happening, likely forming a base for the next move up.
Conclusion:
Bullish bias remains intact as long as price stays above the H1 support zone.
A break above $2,998 could accelerate movement toward $3,020.
Watch out for any breakdown below previous ATH, as it may indicate a short-term reversal.
GOLD STUCK IN A RUT - A MAJOR CORRECTION LIKELY? POSITIONAL VIEWSymbol - XAUUSD
CMP - 2907
Gold is currently consolidating and trading sideways within a defined support zone of 2892 and resistance at 2921. The metal is showing no signs of further growth as it remains stuck within this range. While there has been an aggressive sell-off in the US dollar, a typical scenario that would support gold, the precious metal has failed to show any upward momentum, suggesting a lack of bullish sentiment in the market.
From a technical perspective, the larger time frames indicate strong resistance levels at 2921, 2942 and 2954. These levels are acting as significant barriers to any substantial upward movement, and it appears that gold is attempting to make lower lows in its price action - A bearish indication in the current trend. This behavior supports the notion that the market may be gearing up for further downward pressure.
Furthermore, there is an expectation of a rebound in the US dollar from its current level around 104. Such a rebound would exert additional downward pressure on gold, reinforcing the ongoing bearish structure. Market participants are also anticipating the upcoming NFP (Non-Farm Payroll) data release, which could have a significant impact on the trajectory of the dollar, gold and, by extension, Fed policy. Should the data point toward a stronger labor market, it could trigger a rally in the dollar, further dampening gold's potential upside.
Despite the weaker dollar and expectations of potential Fed policy easing, gold has struggled to capitalize on these factors, likely due to the pause in Trump's tariff measures. The absence of significant external catalysts for growth means gold remains largely range-bound. If the bearish structure continues, a larger correction toward the 2800 levels could be on the horizon positionally.
However, if gold manages to break through the resistance zone at 2921 and move upward due to any unexpected news, there is potential for a rise towards the 2960 and even 3000 levels. That said, this scenario seems less likely given the current market conditions, with the overall outlook remaining tilted towards further downside.
Key Support Levels: 2892, 2881
Key Resistance Levels: 2921, 2942, 2954,
Overall, the market remains in a corrective phase, with the risk of further downside outweighing the chances of a breakout to the upside unless significant catalysts arise.
1H Buy Projection for XAUUSD (Gold/USD) on March 4, 20251H Buy Projection for XAUUSD (Gold/USD) on March 4, 2025. It highlights a bullish setup based on a V-shaped reversal pattern.
Key Observations:
Bullish Signals:
V-Pattern Formation: Indicates strong buying pressure and a potential trend reversal.
Uptrend Line: Price is following a bullish structure.
Buying Zone: Identified around 2,885 - 2,891.
Support & Resistance:
Support S1: Strong demand zone where price bounced.
Resistance R1: Around 2,900, first major hurdle.
Resistance R2: 2,919, higher resistance level and second target.
Trade Setup:
Entry (Buying Zone): Around 2,885 - 2,891.
Stop Loss: Placed at 2,879.35 (below key support).
Target Price 1: Around 2,905.
Target Price 2: Around 2,919.
Possible Trade Strategy:
Buy near the buying zone (2,885 - 2,891).
Stop Loss below 2,879 to manage risk.
Take Profits at 2,905 (first target) and 2,919 (second target).
Risk & Considerations:
If price fails to hold above the buying zone, a break below 2,879 may invalidate the bullish setup.
Price may face resistance near 2,900 before moving higher.
GOLD - BULLISH STRUCTURE SHAKING - WHAT'S NEXT?Symbol - XAUUSD
CMP - 2910
Gold has transitioned from a locally bullish trend to a neutral, sideways market. Despite this shift, bullish forces continue to defend key support levels. What can we anticipate for the precious metal in the near term?
Investor sentiment has gravitated back toward safe-haven assets amid concerns surrounding President Trump's tariff policies and disappointing U.S. economic data. On Tuesday, gold experienced a pullback from its record high of $2,956 due to profit-taking and a decline in Chinese imports. However, a weaker-than-expected U.S. consumer confidence index facilitated a recovery in gold prices.
The upward movement in gold is currently constrained by a strengthening U.S. dollar and rising bond yields, but ongoing trade war concerns continue to fuel demand for the metal.
Key resistance levels: 2921, 2929, 2942
Key support levels: 2905, 2888
As a result, gold is likely to remain within a sideways trading range. There is potential for a short-term decline to retest support in the 2905-2888 range before resuming upward movement. Alternatively, a breakout above resistance levels could signal further gains.
If the bulls manage to sustain trading above the 2921-2929 zone, the metal could resume its upward trajectory.
GOLD - BREAKDOWN OF RISK ZONE 2880 MAY TRIGGER TREND CHANGESymbol - XAUUSD
Gold is deviating from its recent trend and is now testing the panic and risk zone at 2880 as part of a corrective phase. A retest of this level would increase the likelihood of a potential trend reversal.
The recent loss in gold's upward momentum can be attributed to the uncertainty surrounding President Trump's tariff plans and ongoing economic challenges in the United States. Conflicting statements from the president are providing support for the dollar, while rising bond yields are exerting downward pressure on gold prices.
Market participants are closely monitoring the upcoming US GDP data. Should the results fall short of the forecasted 2.3% there is potential for gold to appreciate. Additionally, speeches from Federal Reserve officials will be crucial, but the key factor remains President Trump's remarks, which could significantly influence market sentiment.
From a technical standpoint, the market structure is currently bearish, suggesting that a continuation of the decline is likely after a brief corrective phase.
Support levels: 2878, 2888
Resistance levels: 2890, 2907
A false breakdown of the aforementioned support levels, following a significant decline, could lead to a correction. Initially, the price may move toward the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, and after a brief pullback, the 0.7 Fibonacci level could be tested. However, market participants should closely observe the price action at these levels.
If gold continues its downward movement, attention will be focused on the 2880 level. Conversely, if the price struggles to move lower and begins testing resistance, there is a possibility that, amidst heightened risks, the market could shift back into a growth phase.
GOLD ON THE EDGE- WILL SUPPORT HOLD OR WILL THE BEARS TAKE OVER?Symbol - XAUUSD
CMP - 2912
Gold is currently testing a key level, bouncing off previously tested trend support, which opens up a potential for upside movement. As global economic risks remain high, gold continues to be in demand as a safe haven. This demand is especially pronounced amid ongoing geopolitical tensions, including the upcoming US-Russia talks in Saudi Arabia, where a potential resolution of the Ukraine conflict could alter market sentiment. These talks could significantly impact the outlook for risk assets and the demand for safe-haven investments like gold.
Market participants are also cautious as the US Federal Reserve remains vigilant over inflation. Despite gold’s recent rally, weak risk appetite is boosting the dollar, and the hawkish tone from Fed officials continues to fuel concerns over inflation. They have voiced their preference for caution in cutting rates, especially with inflation still above target levels. This has led to expectations of a single rate cut this year, which in turn is influencing bond yields and investor sentiment. In terms of technical analysis, gold is trading within a critical risk zone.
Resistance Levels: 2915, 2928, 2942
Support Levels: 2897, 2880, 2855
A false break below the support level at 2897 could signal a continuation of bullish momentum, while maintaining price levels above 2920-2928 could open the path towards 2942, 2960, and potentially even 3000. Conversely, if gold fails to hold above the support levels and breaks below 2880, liquidation could occur, it could lead to a significant retracement and further downside risks.
GOLD - BEARSIH STRUCTURE FORMING. WILL IT BREAK CHANNEL SUPPORT?Symbol - XAUUSD
Gold has recently tested lower levels of rising channel and is now engaging with trend support, creating volatility in the market. The strengthening of the U.S. dollar is exerting downward pressure on the precious metal. Gold appears to be entering a corrective phase, with the market gradually shifting from a bullish to a bearish outlook due to increasing demand for the dollar, driven in part by concerns over potential trade wars arising from U.S. policies under former President Trump's administration.
The issue of tariffs imposed by the U.S. remains unresolved. Meanwhile, traders are closely monitoring U.S. economic data, including durable goods orders and consumer confidence, as well as the Federal Reserve's upcoming meeting, with its outcome expected to be released on Wednesday.
From a technical perspective, after the breakdown of the bullish market structure, the price is currently testing the support of the established channel. It is unlikely that this support level will be breached on the first attempt, and the price may experience a corrective move towards 2745 or potentially the imbalance zone, such as the 2750-2760 range, before resuming its downward trajectory due to selling pressure.
Key resistance levels: 2745, 2751, 2760
Key support levels: 2735, 2718
If the price fails to breach the 2745 resistance level and retreats to 2735, this could signal a potential break of trend support. In that scenario, an impulsive move towards 2718 may materialize. However, if the 2745 resistance level is overcome, gold could test the 2750-2760 range before continuing its downward movement which is more likely.
GOLD - TRADING IN ASCENDING CHANNELSymbol - XAUUSD
Gold has been oscillating near the support level of 2762 since the session's opening. The probability of a retest of the all-time highs remains elevated. The dollar's current correction provides opportunities for bullish movements. Traders are experiencing profit-taking while awaiting the Federal Reserve's statements and the Trump administration's stance on trade tariffs. U.S. tariff policies, along with PMI data, continue to shape market sentiment, impacting both the dollar and gold. From an economic perspective, the upcoming week holds significant importance with key events such as the Fed's rate decision, U.S. GDP report, and PCE data release.
From a technical standpoint, gold has tested a critical support zone, though it has yet to reach the risk area where a trend reversal might be expected. It appears that less committed market participants have exited their positions, securing profits.
Resistance levels: 2760, 2790
Support levels: 2750, 2745
The primary focus at this stage is on the 2760 support level. Should gold manage to establish a sustained move above this level, a potential rise toward 2790 can be anticipated. However, this remains a pivotal zone that continues to attract the attention of speculators. We expect a retest of the ATH and anticipate a possible false breakout in the near term.
XAUUSD 1H SELL LIMIT PROJECTION 24.01.24Key Components of the Chart:
Channel Analysis:
The price is moving within a clearly defined parallel upward trend channel.
The channel is marked with two parallel trendlines: an upper resistance trendline and a lower support trendline, indicating the prevailing short-term bullish momentum.
Resistance Zone (R1):
A major resistance level is identified near 2788-2790, which aligns with the upper boundary of the trend channel.
This area is marked as a potential entry zone for a sell limit order, based on the expectation of a rejection from this resistance level.
Support Zone (S1):
A support level is marked near 2780, acting as the take profit (TP1) for the proposed trade. This is also in line with the midline of the channel, suggesting a likely pullback target.
Entry & Stop Loss (SL):
Entry zone: 2788–2790 (at resistance R1).
Stop loss (SL): 2798, placed just above the resistance zone to account for false breakouts.
Take profit (TP1): 2780, aiming for a move back toward the support level.
Trendlines and Candlestick Interaction:
The chart highlights how price action respects both the upper resistance trendline and lower support trendline through previous touchpoints, indicating strong adherence to the channel.
Bearish Projection:
The setup assumes a short-term bearish reversal from the resistance zone, as the price is anticipated to test the lower levels within the channel.
XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:7 RISK REWARDXAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:7RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
Gold trading Strategy for 3rd January 2025Trading Strategy
Buy Condition Entry Point:
Buy above the high of the 15-minute candle that closes above 2662. Ensure that the candle has fully closed before entering the trade to confirm the breakout.
Targets: Target 1: 2670, Target 2: 2680, Target 3: 2699
Stop-Loss: Place your stop-loss below the low of the breakout candle or below a recent support level, depending on your risk tolerance.
Sell Condition Entry Point:
Sell below the low of the 1-hour candle that closes below 2647. Ensure that the candle has fully closed before entering the trade to confirm the breakdown.
Targets: Target 1: 2636, Target 2: 2627, Target 3: 2621
Stop-Loss: Place your stop-loss above the high of the breakdown candle or above a recent resistance level, depending on your risk tolerance.
Important Notes on Stop-Loss and Trailing Stop-Loss:
Protect Your Capital:
Always use a stop-loss to protect your trading capital from significant losses. Never trade without a predetermined stop-loss level.
Secure Profits:
As the trade moves in your favor and reaches the first target, consider moving your stop-loss to breakeven. For additional targets, use a trailing stop-loss to lock in profits while allowing the trade to run further. This can be done manually or by setting a dynamic trailing stop in your trading platform.
Disclaimer:
Risk of Trading:
Trading in financial markets involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Losses can exceed your initial investment.
Educational Purposes Only:
The strategies provided above are intended for educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial or investment advice.
No Guarantees:
Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is no guarantee that the strategies mentioned will result in profits or avoid losses.
Due Diligence Required:
Always perform your own analysis before entering a trade. It is essential to understand the technical and fundamental factors influencing the market.
Seek Professional Advice:
Consult with a licensed financial advisor or trading professional to ensure your trading activities align with your financial goals and risk tolerance.
Use Risk Capital:
Only trade with funds you can afford to lose. Avoid using money allocated for essential living expenses.
GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:8 RISK REWARDGOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:8 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
#XAU Waiting for the adjustment rhythm, the deep drop of Gold.Market analysis for Gold (XAUUSD) on November 20, 2024:
Yesterday, the gold price continued to recover after the previous adjustment. However, when it reached the resistance zone of 2640, the price reacted by nearly 20 points, indicating that sellers have emerged in this area.
Today's trading trend: SELL.
Key price levels to watch:
🔴SELL zone: 2648 - 2653, 2662 - 2667.
🔴BUY zone: 2623 - 2627, 2611 - 2616, and 2598 - 2603.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: SELL XAUUSD zone 2651 - 2653
SL 2656
TP 2648 - 2640 - 2620 - 2600 - open.
Plan 2: SELL XAUUSD zone 2661-2663
SL 2667
TP 2658 - 2650 - 2640 - 2600 - open.
Plan 3: BUY XAUUSD zone 2601 - 2603
SL 2598
TP 2606 - 2615 - 2620 - 2630.
#XAUUSD/H4 Gold: Will it continue to recover or adjust?Market outlook for the European-American trading session on November 19, 2024:
Yesterday's trading session witnessed a strong recovery in gold prices. However, the possibility of gold continuing to rise in the long term remains uncertain. The likelihood of gold still being in a short-term correction trend is very high.
Today's trading trend: SELL.
Key price levels to pay attention to:
🔴SELL zone: 2625-2630, 2640-2645, and 2660-2665.
🔴BUY zone: 2598-2603, 2578-2583, and 2553-2558.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: SELL XAUUSD zone 2641 - 2643
SL 2646
TP 2638 - 2630 - 2620 - 2600.
Plan 2: SELL XAUUSD zone 2665 - 2667
SL 2670
TP 2662 - 2650 - 2630 - 2600.
Plan 3: BUY XAUUSD zone 2597 - 2599
SL 2594
TP 2602 - 2610 - 2620 - 2640.
After the adjustment is completed, the recovery process begins.Market analysis for XAUUSD trading on November 18, 2024:
Last week's trading session saw a significant correction in gold prices. However, by the end of last week, selling pressure weakened and buying interest re-emerged. It is highly likely that gold prices will begin to recover this week.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Key price levels to watch:
BUY zone: 2535 - 3540, 2551 - 2556, and 2525 - 2530.
SELL zone: 2595 - 2600 and 2615 - 2620.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 2556 - 2558
SL 2653
TP 2561 - 2670 - 2580 - 2600.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 2539 - 2541
SL 2536
TP 2544 - 2550 - 2560 - 2580 - 2600.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 2595 - 2597
SL 2600
TP 2592 - 2580 - 2570 - 2560.