Get started

Crypto market

Bitcoin (BTC): technical and fundamental analysis. Altseason. The price of Bitcoin has declined following the release of labor market data (JOLTS) and the FOMC meeting minutes, where Fed officials expressed concerns about the impact of Donald Trump's policies on the U.S. economy. BTC's price has once again fallen below the 200 EMA line and is currently retesting the support block at 90,000–91,000, which it has repeatedly bounced off over the past month. If Bitcoin breaks below this level under selling pressure, we anticipate a continued correction into the 4H Imbalance zone, located between the 0.5 and 0.61 Fibonacci levels. In this area, reversal patterns can be sought for building short-term long positions in the 87,000–82,000 range. The likelihood of further decline is indicated by the crossing of the EMA 200 and EMA 50 moving average lines. At the same time, the RSI indicator is already near its lower limits, offering hope for a quick end to the correction if the support levels of 87,000 and 80,000 hold against the sellers' pressure. For Bitcoin to resume its upward trend, it needs to break above the dynamic resistance of the 200 EMA and hold above the psychological level of 100,000. In that case, we would expect further growth with a retest of the resistance block at 108,000–110,000 and a potential update of the all-time high. 📉 Bitcoin market global analysis. When does the altseason start? On the daily logarithmic chart, the RSI indicator has crossed below the midline, suggesting a continued correction is likely. During Bitcoin’s rapid growth in November 2024, an Imbalance 1D zone formed in the 77,000–85,000 range, characterized by significant gaps at horizontal trading volume levels that need to be filled through consolidations. After the correction is complete, the next target for Bitcoin's price growth could be the global trendline, drawn based on the two peaks of the previous growth cycle. This line may be tested around the 120,000 level, as confirmed by the analysis of large order blocks in exchange order books. Meanwhile, the crypto market is gearing up for the much-anticipated altseason—a period when altcoins outperform Bitcoin in returns. Altseason typically follows Bitcoin's new all-time high and its consolidation within that range, as investors reinvest profits into other coins to maximize gains. However, the upcoming altseason will likely differ from previous ones due to the influx of institutional funds via Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs and the tightening regulation of crypto assets. Historically, in 2017 and 2021, the start of altseason coincided with a decline in Bitcoin's market dominance. A drop in Bitcoin's share of total market capitalization below 50% could signal the beginning of altseason. Additionally, altseason often aligns with moments when Bitcoin reaches the upper boundary of the Bollinger Bands on the weekly chart. 💠 Analysis of liquidity zones and levels The Fear and Greed Index remains in the Greed Zone - 69. The total cryptocurrency market capitalization has fallen to $3.19 billion, while the Bitcoin Dominance Index has risen to 57.94. According to the analysis of the accumulation of large order blocks in the order books, the supply and demand zones are located at the following levels: 🟢 Demand Zone: 80,000 - 91,000 🔴 Supply Zone: 105,000 - 120,000 Levels for long positions: 90,000 - psychological support level 87,000 - 88,000 - large support block 80,000 - large support block Levels for short positions: 105,000 - largest resistance block 110,000 - largest resistance block 120,000 - ascending trend line of resistance 📊 Fundamental analysis At the December meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) discussed various topics, ranging from inflation risks to the anticipated slowdown in rate cuts. Fed officials expressed concerns that Trump’s proposed trade and immigration policies could intensify inflationary pressures. Meanwhile, fresh U.S. labor market data may push the Fed to abandon further rate reductions. The cryptocurrency market reacted sharply, with significant price declines. At the same time, financial analysts predict that the current bull market could become the longest in the history of the cryptocurrency industry. Investor optimism regarding a continued crypto rally surged after Bitcoin reclaimed levels above $100,000, following news that the largest BTC investor among public companies, MicroStrategy, resumed its coin purchases. The company acquired 1,070 Bitcoins for $101 million, bringing its total holdings to 447,470 BTC. Experts believe the cryptocurrency market’s peak will occur in mid-2025, followed by a steep decline. Net liquidity of $57 billion, expected to flow into the market in the first quarter, may temporarily support the bull market. However, economic pressures are likely to trigger a correction. These projections are based on an analysis of market liquidity and the impact of political events, as U.S. dollar liquidity remains a critical factor in crypto market dynamics. Changes in Fed policy and U.S. Treasury operations could lead to significant volatility. 🌐 Upcoming Events in the Global Economy We expect increased volatility in both stock and cryptocurrency markets on the following dates: ➤ 01/15, 16:30 - U.S. Core Consumer Price Index (CPI). ➤ 01/16, 16:30 - U.S. Initial Jobless Claims. ➤ 01/29, 22:00 - New Fed Interest Rate Decision. ➤ 03/19, 22:00 - New Fed Interest Rate Decision. 📈 Statistics of signals from our AI trading indicator: In December 2024, the price of Bitcoin updated its historical maximum, then a correction began. Our trading indicator, as always, warned about this in advance! And even during the flat period it gave good entry points. Thanks to the latest updates, all signals have become profitable, and built-in Anti-Flat System prevented losses from manipulative market movements. 😎 Total price movement by all signals: + 45.09% Maximum price movement: + 11.17% Average price movement: + 5.01% In addition, I would like to share the forecast of the latest Bitcoin price action by our AI, which not only indicates the direction, but also builds the trajectory of further price movement:
by TradeINEX
Bitcoin push-Could it be "Buy the New, Sell the Event" ? Maybe..Using the fractel chart again as it is the most Bullish chart I have and yet, in the back of my head, in all the Euphoria of the latest crypto rush, I am feeling a warning bell in my head. I do like to consider Both Bullish and Bearish AT ALL TIMES - that way, I am ready for all events, nearly. Anyway, I have been going on about a pull back for ages and if we are following this Fractel from 2013-2017 ATH, then we are due one. And we aRE LATE for it. But, apart from the Bitcoin Weekly MACD which maybe turning Bearish, PA has strength to continue pushing higher The Fractal has a -30% pull back in it, a sharp fall that was bought back up., which we are already late for. Now, I also have been talking about a date that is coming up in a number of charts as a date of interest. that date is 23rd January. Given a tolerence of error, that could point towards 20th - the day Trump gets appointed President. As the media will have us understand, He is a Crypto friendly Man But who is to say that will avoid the "Buy the News, Sell the Event" type moment. The most bullish Crypto coins have suffered sharp pull backs after "events", including BTC in the past. So, Maybe just have this in mind and have a plan in place. There is NO guarantee that if BTC pulls back, that ALTS will run. I doubt I will get many Boosts on this... But, It is a possible outcome and you are well advised to have precautions...because, at some point, BTC will begin to pull back Get that plan ready now, it may happen on Monday
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
3
Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis january 16Hello It's a Bitcoinguide. If you have a "follower" You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections. If my analysis is helpful, Please would like one booster button at the bottom. This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart. Nasdaq indicators will be announced at 10:30 in a little while. In the 3-hour chart, where there is MACD dead cross pressure, Nasdaq has a possibility of a vertical rise in real time, and Tether Dominance has a possibility of a vertical fall from the current position. As you can see from this week, it just opened its mouth and went up to about $11,000, right? Looking at the candle shape and cost-effectiveness, I could miss the entry point, so I set a short stop loss and operated aggressively. *Red finger movement path One-way long position strategy 1. Pursuit purchase at $98,982 / When the purple support line is completely broken Or when the 2nd section is touched, stop loss price 2. Top section 101,883.5 dollars 1st target -> Good 2nd target price Since it is touching the expected support line first today, I am going to see the outcome. The purple finger 99.7K at the top is the best short position entry point for today. Since the 2nd section is the center line touching section of the 2-hour Bollinger Band chart The short-term pattern can be broken, It is best to raise it from the purple support line if possible From the perspective of a long position. The convergence section of the 1st and 2nd sections is a sideways market The 3rd section is the 1+4 major support line. Up to this point, I ask that you simply use my analysis for reference and use only. I hope that you operate safely with the principle of trading and cut-off price. Thank you.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by BitCoinGuide
Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis january 14Hello It's a Bitcoinguide. If you have a "follower" You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections. If my analysis is helpful, Please would like one booster button at the bottom. Here is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart. The Nasdaq indicator will be announced at 10:30 shortly. The purple finger at the bottom left, $91,217, maintained the position after entering the long position yesterday, and connected today's strategy. Also, Bitcoin is currently in the process of a 12-hour + daily chart MACD golden cross, but it is watching the Nasdaq while the candle is overlapping the 12-hour Bollinger Band and the center line of the daily chart. *One-way long position strategy when the red finger moves 1. $95,811.5 long position entry section / When the purple support line is broken or When the bottom section is touched, the stop loss price 2. $99,966.5 long position 1st target -> Good -> Great in that order I marked the 1st section with the purple finger at the top. Because I calculated that there will be an adjustment in Nasdaq, If Bit touches section 1 first, The probability of success of today's strategy increases. Cut the loss in section 1 and operate an autonomous short position. If the strategy is successful, you can use it as a long position re-entry section after tomorrow. The orange resistance line at the top and the bottom sky blue support line convergence section are sideways sections. Also, the current position is in the Bollinger Band 12-hour chart, and the daily chart's center line The candle is breaking through. Since it is the second touch, not the first, I expected an upward trend, and the reason I set the target price at Top is It is difficult for one candle to touch the center line -> resistance line at once on the daily chart. Lastly, in the case of the current Bitcoin and Tether Dominance, since the 5-minute chart support line or resistance line was not touched, I bet on a vertical rise as the Tether Dominance vertically declined and the Bitcoin 12-hour + daily chart MACD golden cross was imprinted. The Nasdaq movement will be important today as well. Up to this point, I ask that you simply use my analysis for reference and use, and I hope that you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices. Thank you.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by BitCoinGuide
Bitcoin 1D Commentary and Bull Run Technical Analysis - Bitcoin is currently trading at 99,779$ - Bitcoin kept behaving choppy and the Price Behaviour was very sluggish in January - We saw BTC printing a candle 4000$, which helped BTC cross 100,000$ after a long time. - Coming back to the current Price Action of BTC we are currently trading at a crucial zone and if we flip a weekly candle close above 102,686$ then the Market structure will change to Bullish - However, if we do not close above 102,000$ then we can see BTC revisiting 85,000-90,000$ - Trump's inaugural is due next week and will bring in a lot of volatility. - I am leaning more on the Bullish side, however, if we don't see supporting Macros then we might have a rough time chopping out and getting distributed the whole month.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by VKtradesimbalance
BTC#2 : Summary of things to watch out for in the current uptren🔥 The previous plan helped you make a profit. Leave a comment and share the joy. 🔥 Today I will continue to bring everyone a perspective on BTC and the next trading plan. 1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:** 📊 🔴US CPI rose slightly more than expected in December as energy costs rose, suggesting inflation is still rising ▫️ In addition, a recovery in Bitcoin was supported by the release of December PPI on Tuesday, which showed weaker-than-expected inflation data. 2️⃣ **Technical analysis:** 🔹 **D Frame**: Yesterday's candle close shows strong market confidence in BTC rising. However, the price has reacted when touching the trendline. This is the area we need to pay attention to 🔹 **H4 frame**: The bearish price structure was broken when the price crossed 968xx and went straight to the trendline, which caused the bullish momentum to slow down somewhat. It is likely that we will need a slight correction to gain momentum to break the resistance area above 🔹 **H1 frame**: Looking at the price structure, you can see more clearly. The bullish wave has not shown any signs of ending, but the important resistance area requires us to be more patient if we want to find profits. 3️⃣ **Trading plan:** ✅ If you want to have a BUY position at the moment, my advice is that we can patiently wait for the price to test the support area of ​​958xx as I marked on the chart. Don't be hasty, when the R:R ratio of the important resistance area is always low. The bullish price structure also needs confirmation by a higher bottom than the previous bottom. FOMO at this time is not a wise choice ⛔ The resistance zone will always make you want to stop the ship. However, wait for the bearish price structure in the small time frame M5. M15 to make sure your judgment is correct. If you have a good position, you should not expect high profits when the bearish price structure is temporarily broken, closing part of the profit when the price touches support and leaving SL positive will be a wise choice. 💪 **Wish you successful trading!** 🚀
by TonyL0ng
Bitcoin Price Analysis: Key Zones to Watch on the 4-Hour ChartWhat is Happening in the Chart? 1. Resistance and Supply Zone (Order Block): Bitcoin is approaching a significant bearish order block (red zone) near the $100,000 mark. This area represents resistance where sellers may take control, pushing the price downward. 2. Potential Retracement: Before continuing its upward trend, Bitcoin may retrace to fill the fair value gap (FVG) and test the 0.5-0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels. These zones are historically strong areas for buyers to re-enter the market. 3. Support and Demand Zone: The bullish order block (green zone) near $92,000 aligns with the retracement zone. This is where Bitcoin might find strong support before resuming its upward trajectory. Outlook for BTC/USDT The chart predicts a potential pullback to $92,000-$95,000, followed by a bullish rally aiming to break through resistance at $100,000. If Bitcoin clears the bearish OB, the price could target new highs, potentially surpassing $105,000. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: $100,000 (Bearish OB) Support: $92,000-$95,000 (Bullish OB and Fibonacci zone) --- Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, and trading involves significant risks. Always conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Long
by Trade_lyst
5
BTCUSDT (Bitcoin) will move towards 100K$Scenario 1: Buy/Long Position ✅ Conditions for Entry: BTC needs to hold the Demand H4 zone (91,000 - 92,500 USDT). Wait for a pullback to the Demand zone with confirmation signals (e.g., Pin Bar, Bullish Engulfing, or a strong Breakout). 📌 Buy Order Details: Item Value Entry Point 92,000 - 93,000 USDT Stop Loss (SL) 89,000 USDT Take Profit 1 (TP1) 97,500 USDT Take Profit 2 (TP2) 100,000 USDT Take Profit 3 (TP3) 102,000 USDT 📝 Explanation: Entry: Wait for the price to pull back to the Demand H4 zone before entering a long position. Stop Loss: Place the Stop Loss below the Demand H4 zone to protect your capital if the price breaks the support. Take Profit: Take partial profits at key resistance levels (97,500 - 102,000 USDT). 📈 Risk-Reward Ratio (R:R): For an Entry at 92,500 USDT and Stop Loss at 89,000 USDT: TP1 (97,500) = 1:1.4 R:R TP2 (100,000) = 1:2 R:R TP3 (102,000) = 1:2.7 R:R 🧩 Scenario 2: Sell/Short Position ✅ Conditions for Entry: BTC must face strong resistance at the Supply Zone (98,000 - 100,000 USDT). Look for rejection signals (e.g., Doji, Shooting Star, or Bearish Engulfing) in this zone. The price should fail to break above the descending trendline. 📌 Sell Order Details: Item Value Entry Point 98,000 - 99,000 USDT Stop Loss (SL) 101,000 USDT Take Profit 1 (TP1) 95,000 USDT Take Profit 2 (TP2) 93,000 USDT Take Profit 3 (TP3) 91,000 USDT 📝 Explanation: Entry: Wait for the price to hit the Supply Zone and show rejection signs before entering a short position. Stop Loss: Place the Stop Loss above the Supply Zone to protect your capital if the price breaks the resistance. Take Profit: Take partial profits at key support levels (95,000 - 91,000 USDT). 📉 Risk-Reward Ratio (R:R): For an Entry at 98,500 USDT and Stop Loss at 101,000 USDT: TP1 (95,000) = 1:1.4 R:R TP2 (93,000) = 1:2.2 R:R TP3 (91,000) = 1:3.0 R:R Good luck!
Long
by Homnaytradegi