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EUR/USD: The Game Speeds Up Ahead of Fed’s Crucial HourEUR/USD is currently in a “pressure-cooker” phase as the price climbs to 1.11677, approaching the critical resistance level at 1.11916. The bullish momentum is like an arrow shot straight upward, but will it have enough strength to break through and reach 1.12444? Or is this the moment when the market prepares for a “reversal” towards the support at 1.11225? The EMA 34 and 89 are still holding the bullish trend intact, but don’t forget that this afternoon’s Fed meeting is a “ticking time bomb” for major volatility. With each interest rate announcement, the EUR/USD pair could either be “propelled” higher or experience a sharp “reversal.” Traders need to buckle up, as this event could trigger a strong breakout or potentially signal the end of the current upward movement.
by Romio_pro
USDJPY: Sellers remain in driver’s seat despite BoJ’s status quoEarly Friday, USDJPY reverses the previous day’s run-up to the highest level in a fortnight as the Bank of Japan (BoJ) leaves monetary policy unchanged, as expected. Oscillators, technical hurdles push back buyers within falling wedge USDJPY recently reversed from a six-week resistance level, and the RSI is pulling back while the MACD shows signs of a bearish crossover, which keeps sellers optimistic. Additionally, the price remains below the 200-Exponential Moving Average, making it harder for Yen buyers. However, a bullish falling wedge pattern that has formed since early August could encourage buyers. Technical levels to watch The USDJPY pair's drop from a key resistance level, along with weak indicators, suggests sellers will target below 142.00. Key levels to watch are the psychological mark at 140.00 and the monthly low around 139.55. If buyers can’t hold above the falling wedge's bottom near 139.30, the price could drop to the mid-2023 low around 137.20. On the flip side, the 1.5-month-old horizontal resistance area near 143.70-144.00 appears a tough nut to crack for the USDJPY bulls. Following that, the quote’s quick jump toward the stated bullish wedge’s top line around 145.00 can’t be ruled out. If the price stays above 145.00, it could aim for 156.00, but breaking the 200-EMA at 145.30 is essential for that rally. What next? Given the monetary policy divergence between the US Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ), as well as the quote’s sustained trading below the key resistances, the USDJPY sellers are likely to have some more days to cheer.
by MTradingGlobal
GBP/USD Breakout Anticipation Near Resistance 1.33553GBP/USD is on the verge of a dramatic breakout! Currently trading around 1.32760, it's hovering just below the critical resistance level of 1.33553. If GBP/USD fails to break through this resistance, it may retreat to the support level of 1.32396 – a moment where the market holds its breath, awaiting decisions from the Fed and the Bank of England. Alternatively, the next target could be the high of 1.33893 – where investors are eagerly hoping for a leap forward. The game is heating up by the minute, and any news from these meetings could be the 'trigger' for significant volatility! Investors should stay vigilant as the market is about to enter a high-stakes scenario full of surprises!
Long
by Romio_pro
USD/JPY Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern: A Bullish Reversal The inverse head and shoulders (also known as the “head and shoulders bottom” or “reverse head and shoulders”) is a powerful chart pattern used in technical analysis. Here’s what you need to know: Formation: The inverse head and shoulders pattern forms at the end of a downtrend. It consists of three successive troughs: The first trough (the left shoulder) occurs after a downtrend, followed by a rally to a higher point. The second trough (the head) is deeper than the left shoulder, signaling increased selling pressure. The third trough (the right shoulder) occurs but doesn’t drop as low as the head. These troughs create a pattern that resembles an inverted human head with shoulders. Neckline: A trendline connects the high points (or “peaks”) formed after the right shoulder and the head. This trendline serves as a level of resistance that the price must break through to confirm the pattern. Psychology Behind the Pattern: The inverse head and shoulders pattern reflects changing sentiment among traders and investors: Left Shoulder: Pessimism dominates as the price makes a low and then rallies slightly. Head: Selling pressure intensifies, resulting in a
Long
by Faizgazi
EUR/USD Awaits Fed Signals, Potential for CorrectionEUR/USD paused its short-term rally on Tuesday, remaining hesitant above 1.1100 as traders anticipate Wednesday’s Fed meeting. EURUSD is currently trading around 1.11302 after peaking at 1.11455. If it fails to break the strong resistance at 1.11455, the price may correct towards the support level at 1.10741, before recovering back to 1.11135. The EMA 34 (1.11029) and EMA 89 (1.10841) continue to support the uptrend, but indicators show signs of weakening. MACD convergence signals a potential short-term correction.
Long
by Romio_pro
USD/JPY Under Pressure, Facing Risk of CorrectionUSD/JPY is facing strong downward pressure, hovering around 141.56, with a downward trendline and key resistance at 142.541. The EMA 34 (141.56) and EMA 89 (142.97) are reinforcing the short-term bearish trend. If the price fails to break through this resistance, USD/JPY is likely to correct towards the support area and potentially drop further to 138.37. In terms of news, USD/JPY earlier dropped to 141.00 during the Asian session as the BoJ forecasted a rate hike, contrasting with the Fed's expected easing. This policy divergence places the pair at risk ahead of the Fed event.
Short
by Romio_pro
GBPUSD: Post-FOMC optimism stays intact despite pre-BoE retreatGBPUSD consolidates Fed-induced gains as traders await monetary policy announcements from the Bank of England (BoE). That said, the Cable pair reached a fresh 30-month high after the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) 0.50% rate cut that drowned the US Dollar across the board. Buyers stay optimist Although the Pound Sterling struggles to hold at a 2.5-month high, not to forget its failure to provide sustained breakout of a month-old horizontal resistance, the quote defends the mid-month breakout of a descending resistance line from late August, now support. Also keeping buyers hopeful is the pair’s recent rebound from the 100-SMA and steady RSI conditions. It’s worth noting, however, that the bearish MACD signals and a likely status-quo of the BoE could join the key upside hurdle to challenge the bulls. Technical levels to watch For GBPUSD buyers, the immediate resistance to watch is a month-old range between 1.3230 and 1.3240 if the BoE sounds hawkish. After that, the focus will shift to the 1.3300 level. If the Cable price stays above 1.3300, the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci Extension (FE) levels around 1.3305 and 1.3375 could attract buyers. On the flip side, GBPUSD sellers need a clear break below the 1.3150-45 support zone, which includes the 100-SMA and a month-old previous resistance line, to weaken buyer’s confidence. If they succeed, the next tests will be the 1.3100 level and the 200-SMA at 1.3025, as well as the key psychological level of 1.3000. Upward bias seems favorable Whether due to an expected hawkish pause from the BoE or the market's response to the Fed's dovish surprise, along with GBPUSD trading above the 1.3150-45 resistance-turned-support, the pair is likely to stay bullish unless the UK central bank surprises traders.
by MTradingGlobal
USDINR By KRS ChartsDate: 3rd July 2024 Time: 7:40 PM Why USDINR? 1. Everyone know INR is getting weaker against USD day by day, and same thing happened here since Oct 2022 but inside Rising Wedge Pattern in Weekly TF. 2. In Bigger view This Rising Wedge Pattern has formed around resistance line off Bigger Flag in Monthly TF. (Red Doted Line) 3. This pattern can either Breakout or Breakdown any side but after considering above both points its likely to Breakdown rather than Breakout till green dotted support line. Currencies movements are on many Factors so Thats my view on USDINR is Slightly more bearish than Bullish. But I will appreciate your views on this too, what you guys are thinking?
Short
by KRSCharts
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