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EURUSD Faces Critical Resistance – Will the Bearish Channel HoldThe EURUSD pair continues to trade within a well-defined descending price channel, with price action consistently respecting both upper and lower trendlines over the past several sessions. This channel structure underscores the strength of the ongoing bearish trend dominating the market. Currently, EURUSD is showing a mild technical pullback, but the recovery remains limited. Price has yet to break above the 34 and 89 EMA, while a critical resistance zone near 1.1740 stands in the way. If a reversal candlestick pattern forms at this level — such as a bearish engulfing or pin bar — it could offer a high-probability short setup. In that scenario, sellers may aim for a retest of 1.1660 or even a drop toward the lower boundary of the channel. However, traders should remain cautious. A clear breakout above 1.1750, followed by sustained price action outside the channel, would invalidate the bearish bias. This could trigger a deeper corrective rally and put open short positions at risk. The downtrend remains dominant, but this is a technical turning point. Traders should wait for confirmation signals before committing to new positions. Share your thoughts below – and remember, smart trading always starts with risk control.
Short
by Smith_TradingFX
3
EURUSD – Rebounding from Trendline, Targeting 1.18500EURUSD has bounced off the ascending trendline and key support zone around 1.16900. The price action suggests a potential continuation of the uptrend, with the next target near the 1.18500 resistance zone. The current structure is forming higher lows, indicating bullish momentum. As long as the price holds above 1.16900, the bullish scenario remains valid. From a fundamental perspective, the euro is supported by expectations that the ECB will keep interest rates steady, while the USD faces pressure if the upcoming FOMC minutes strike a less hawkish tone. This creates a favorable backdrop for the EURUSD uptrend.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
EUR/USD Slides as Trade Tensions WeighThe EUR/USD pair extended its steady decline on Thursday, approaching the weekly lows as global financial markets remained under pressure from aggressive U.S. tariff announcements. The U.S. President unveiled new tariffs on copper — a key industrial commodity — and signalled upcoming restrictions on the pharmaceutical sector. A mix of inflation concerns, supply chain disruptions, and continued strength in the U.S. dollar has put the euro under visible pressure. From a technical standpoint, EUR/USD remains in a downward correction phase after pulling back from multi-year highs, with bearish momentum holding firm. Unless a surprise emerges from economic data or monetary policy shifts, the short-term bias is likely to remain tilted to the downside.
Short
by Kevinn_Nguyen
LAST POST GOOD BYE INSTITUTIONAL TRADER Why i am posting trade = improve my self and strategy why iam not posting = kyuki mai yaha pe improve karne aaya hu na ki kisi ko dekhane ki mai kaisa trade karta hu ab mujhe lagta hai ki improve jo karna hai wo mai kar liya hu mujhe youtube trader nahi banana hai aapka bahut support mila dil thank bro i allways miss U ❤ ALL THE BEST ALL MY FOLLOWER THIS TIME TO UNFOLLOW ME. TIP: ALWAYS FOCUS ON LOSS I).ONE TRADE II)ONE SETUP III)ONE PAIR find the reason every trade loss
by TheBankerstudent
EURUSD – Failed Breakout, Bearish Momentum Takes OverEURUSD attempted to break out of the upper edge of a consolidation triangle but was swiftly rejected around the 1.17450 region, forming a classic “failed breakout” — a pattern that often precedes strong reversals. The pair is now pulling back and appears to be heading toward the 1.16800 support zone. On the news front, the market is under pressure from rising expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain higher interest rates for longer, following stronger-than-expected U.S. job data. This has driven a notable recovery in the U.S. dollar, putting downward pressure on the euro. In this context, EURUSD risks a deeper correction if the 1.1700 support fails to hold. Keep a close eye on price action — this pullback could be the start of a new bearish leg.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
EURUSD – Rebounding from supportEURUSD is forming a small rounded bottom after testing the support zone around 1.1670. If this level holds and price breaks above the nearby FVG area, the pair may continue its recovery toward the 1.1820 target, as shown in the projected path. Fundamentally, the euro is supported by stronger-than-expected Eurozone retail sales and rising inflation expectations ahead of this week’s CPI data (scheduled for July 10–11). Meanwhile, the USD is under pressure due to uncertainty over U.S.–EU trade policy and a lack of clarity from U.S. trade decisions, which favors a EURUSD rebound. As long as EURUSD holds above 1.1670, the bullish outlook remains valid. However, a break below this zone could send the pair back toward the 1.1600 area.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
Caution Prevails as EUR/USD Tests Downtrend LimitsToday, EUR/USD continues to hover around 1.1780, following a mild downtrend amid ongoing economic uncertainty. With a light economic calendar and looming deadlines surrounding U.S. trade tensions—particularly with Europe—traders are steering clear of aggressive positions. Despite the structurally weak U.S. dollar due to expectations that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates, there is no clear bullish momentum for the euro, largely because of mixed signals from the European Central Bank (ECB). As long as the pair fails to break through the technical resistance near 1.1760—the upper boundary of the current price channel—sellers maintain the upper hand.
Short
by Kevinn_Nguyen
EURUSD - Sideways Action Sparks Reversal SpeculationHello traders, what are your expectations for EUR/USD? Today, EUR/USD continues to move sideways around the 1.1800 mark during Thursday’s European session. The pair is showing signs of caution as the US Dollar gains ground amid optimism over a US–Vietnam trade deal. From a technical perspective, the bullish trend still dominates as the price remains within an upward channel. However, a short-term pullback could be on the horizon, especially with buying momentum fading as EUR/USD approaches the upper boundary of the channel. What do you think—could a reversal be forming from this zone? Drop your thoughts in the comments! Happy trading, everyone!
Short
by Kevinn_Nguyen
EUR/USD Forming a Clean Liquidity Trap Before Reversal ?🧠 EUR/USD Short Setup – Sell Limit Plan Breakdown The recent rally on EUR/USD shows signs of exhaustion, with a potential 5-wave Elliott structure completing on the H4 chart. Price is currently re-testing the 1.1796 – 1.1801 supply zone, where a Sell Limit has been placed in anticipation of a corrective leg down. 📊 Technical Breakdown – Elliott Wave Confluence Wave III has peaked around the 1.1811 level. Wave IV was a classic correction with strong displacement to the downside. Wave V formed a double-top-like structure, failing to close strongly above the previous high → a sign of exhaustion. The current bullish move is re-testing an Order Block left behind at 1.1796, providing ideal sell-side liquidity for institutional traps. 🔺 Sell Zone: ( 1.17960 – 1.18013 ) 📍 Entry: 1.17962 🛑 Stop Loss: 1.18113 🎯 TP Target: 3R – 6R - 10R (targeting the OBS zone around 1.1712 and possibly lower) 🧠 Macro Context – Why This Reversal Makes Sense The week is packed with red folder news from both the USD and EUR sides. Here's what to expect: ⚠️ Major USD Events: NFP Jobs Report (Fri): Forecasted at 147K with Unemployment Rate at 4.1% – any surprise can cause USD volatility. ISM PMI & Powell Speech: Likely to reinforce or challenge rate cut expectations. ⚠️ Key EUR Catalysts: CPI Flash Estimates: Could hint at the ECB’s next move. President Lagarde Speeches: Watch for any tone shift after weak Eurozone data. 👉 A hawkish Fed + weak Euro CPI = strong downside potential for EUR/USD. 💡 Why This Trade Setup Makes Sense Perfect Liquidity Grab Setup: Price is luring breakout buyers at wave V high. Risk-Reward Ratio: The setup targets 5R – 10R, making it a clean asymmetric opportunity. Macro Confluence: USD strength likely into the week → ideal for bearish continuation. Technical OB & Rejection Zone: Supply aligns perfectly with prior imbalance. ⚠️ Trading Notes Only execute if price taps 1.1796–1.1801 zone cleanly. Avoid entry during high-impact news — wait for reaction. Secure partials if price reaches 1.1740 to lock in 2R–3R gains.
Short
by EliseLunaTraders
1
USDJPY – Is the Downtrend Taking Shape?On the H4 chart, USDJPY shows signs of weakening as it repeatedly fails to break above the long-term descending trendline. Despite a recent recovery toward the 147.000 level, buying momentum appears to be fading. The price structure suggests the possibility of a false breakout before a reversal toward the 144.300 support zone—an area with multiple unfilled FVGs. From a news perspective, traders are awaiting today’s upcoming U.S. CPI report. If inflation data comes in hotter than expected, the USD may gain short-term strength. However, a weaker CPI reading could trigger a quick reversal in USDJPY, confirming the bearish setup. The 147.000 level remains the critical zone to watch for any potential rejection or breakout.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
EURNZD Bulls Accelerate Within Steep Ascending ChannelOANDA:EURNZD continues to climb within a steep ascending channel, maintaining a well-defined bullish structure. There are currently no signs of exhaustion, as bullish momentum remains strong and price action consistently respects both the median line and the lower boundary of the channel. This ongoing strength suggests that buyers are still in control, and unless we see a clear structural shift—such as a breakdown below the channel support or a significant loss in momentum—the uptrend remains intact. 🟢 Directional Bias: I remain bullish on EURNZD as long as price stays within this channel. Recent pullbacks to the channel's lower boundary or the previous breakout zone offer potential continuation opportunities. 🎯 Target: My upside target is 1.983, which aligns with the projected upper boundary of the channel and provides a solid technical objective if the structure continues to hold. 🟥 Invalidation: A confirmed breakdown below the channel, accompanied by follow-through, would challenge this bullish bias and suggest the potential for a deeper corrective move. For now, the structure favors continuation over reversal. This is simply my view on support and resistance and does not constitute financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage risk appropriately.
Long
by Smith_TradingFX
EUR/USD Breaks Downtrend – Is a Reversal on the Horizon?The EUR/USD pair has officially broken above the descending trendline on the 1-hour (H1) chart — a structure that has exerted downward pressure over several recent sessions. Notably, this breakout is accompanied by a clear retest, signaling a potential confirmation of a trend reversal. At the time of writing, EUR/USD is trading around 1.17335, while the next major resistance lies near 1.17850 — a level that aligns with a significant volume accumulation zone as shown by the Volume Profile indicator. This increases the likelihood of a strong price reaction in that area. If EUR/USD holds above the broken trendline and continues to print bullish confirmation signals — such as bullish engulfing candles or a successful breakout-retest pattern — the market could potentially aim for the 1.17850 target in the short term. However, if price faces rejection around this level, we might see a reversal back down or a shift in current positioning. What do you think about this setup? Share your analysis in the comments below and let’s discuss strategy together!
Long
by Smith_TradingFX
CADCHF Rejected at Key Resistance – Is 0.57300 the Next Stop?The market remains firmly in a strong downtrend, moving cleanly within a steep and clearly defined descending channel. Recently, price retraced into a previous support-turned-resistance zone, a common area where institutional sellers tend to re-engage. This pullback appears corrective, not impulsive – hinting that sellers are waiting patiently for signs of exhaustion before striking again. At the moment, price is reacting to the resistance zone and showing early signs of rejection, reinforcing the bearish bias. Should we see a retest of this level without a strong bullish close above, combined with bearish confirmation signals (such as pin bars or bearish engulfing candles), that would offer a high-probability short setup. If that plays out, the next logical step would be a continuation toward the midline of the descending channel, with projected downside target around 0.57300. This would align with both technical structure and momentum flow. However, if price fails to hold beneath resistance and instead closes firmly above the zone, the bearish setup would be invalidated — suggesting a potential shift in trend or at least a deeper correction. In summary: Sellers are watching for a clean break–retest pattern around resistance, aiming to ride the momentum toward 0.57300. The overall bearish structure remains intact as long as this resistance level holds and bearish signals continue to develop. Just sharing my perspective — not financial advice. Always validate your setups and manage your risk accordingly.
Short
by RyderForex
Bad News Piling Up – EURUSD Under Heavy PressureEURUSD is slipping fast as a wave of negative news hits the Eurozone. Service PMIs in both Germany and France have weakened, signaling a clear slowdown in the region’s economy. This has sharply reduced expectations of further rate hikes from the ECB. Meanwhile, Fed officials are doubling down on their hawkish tone, stressing that U.S. inflation remains sticky and interest rates may need to stay higher for longer. The growing policy divergence between the ECB and the Fed is becoming undeniable – and that’s exactly why EURUSD continues to slide.
Short
by Kevinn_Nguyen
EUR/USD: Waiting for the Next Move – What’s Your Take?Hello traders, let’s dive into EUR/USD with Kevinn! 📈 Market Update: The euro is currently under pressure following dovish remarks from ECB officials, which have increased expectations that interest rates will remain unchanged for a prolonged period. Meanwhile, the US dollar is showing mild weakness as markets begin pricing in potential Fed rate cuts later this year — though the shift hasn't been strong enough to trigger a breakout in EUR/USD. Upcoming CPI reports will be crucial in shaping future monetary policy expectations and could define the short-term direction of this currency pair. 🧠 Personal Take: EUR/USD is trading around the 1.0720 zone, with market momentum currently lacking. A short-term pullback toward the support zone near the 34 and 89 EMA is possible. However, from a technical standpoint, the long-term bullish structure remains intact — at least for now. So what do you think about EUR/USD's direction? Drop your opinion below!
by Kevinn_Nguyen
GBP/JPY Rejection from Resistance Zone GBP/JPY Rejection from Resistance Zone 🧱📌 | Bearish Setup In Play 🔻💹 📌 Technical Analysis Overview: The chart illustrates a clear rejection from the resistance zone around 198.460, where previous price action formed a double-top pattern (🔴 red arrow). This suggests a strong supply area with selling pressure building. 🔍 Key Observations: 📏 Trendline Break: The upward trendline (blue) has been decisively broken. This break signals a loss of bullish momentum. 🧱 Resistance Zone @ 198.000–198.460: Price tested this zone multiple times but failed to break above. Acts now as a strong resistance zone. 🟠 Support Turned Resistance: Former support has now turned into resistance (highlighted in blue text: "SUPPOT"). 📉 Bearish Projection: The projected path indicates a possible retest of the resistance zone before a sell-off continuation. Target area: around 194.500, marked as “TAEGET FAXS” (typo: should be “TARGET ZONE”). 🔄 Possible Scenarios: ✅ Bearish Continuation: If price rejects again near 198.000, expect a bearish move toward 194.500. ⚠️ Invalidation: A strong breakout above 198.460 would invalidate the bearish thesis and may resume bullish momentum. 🔚 Conclusion: The pair is currently under pressure with a confirmed break in trend structure. As long as price remains below 198.460, the bias remains bearish with a target toward the 194.500 zone. 📉👀
Short
by MrStellanSight
GBP/USD Weekly Plan – 8th to 12th July 2025GBP/USD is currently approaching a major resistance zone near 1.37898, right at the top of its recent bullish range. While the structure still looks positive in the short term, this week’s macroeconomic events could cause a shift in trend, offering good opportunities both for short and long setups. 📉 Technical Overview – H4 Chart Price has shown strong bullish momentum with multiple BOS (Break of Structure) and CHoCH (Change of Character) signals. However, the current move is testing the 1.37703–1.37898 supply zone, where previous highs were formed. Strong buyer activity was noted around 1.33927, forming a potential order block with fair value gap (FVG) confluence. Liquidity lies below at 1.35013, suggesting short setups could trigger a deeper correction. 🔁 Trade Setups ✅ SELL GBP/USD Entry: 1.37703 Stop Loss: 1.38000 Target 1: 1.37100 Target 2: 1.36513 Target 3: 1.35013 Reason: Supply zone + near weekly high. Good risk-reward for reversal trade. ✅ BUY GBP/USD Entry: 1.33927 Stop Loss: 1.33600 Target 1: 1.34500 Target 2: 1.35237 Target 3: 1.36900 Reason: Strong order block and OB/FVG confluence. Ideal zone for bullish continuation. 🧠 Macro Events to Watch 🇬🇧 GBP Drivers: BOE Governor Bailey Speaks (twice) – Any policy hint can move the pound. 🇺🇸 USD Drivers: Fed Chair Powell’s Speech – Market-sensitive, can set USD tone. Non-Farm Payroll (Friday): Forecast: 147K → Strong print = stronger dollar. Unemployment Claims / Rate – Direct influence on USD strength or weakness. 💡 If US data is strong and Powell sounds hawkish, GBP/USD could face downside pressure. 📊 Key Price Zones Price Level Role Comment 1.37898 Weekly High High liquidity area, potential trap for buyers 1.37703 Sell Entry Zone Inside a strong supply area 1.33927 Buy Entry Zone Strong support area, OB + FVG 1.35013 Major Target Liquidity below structure, BOS confirmation area ⚠️ Execution Strategy Confirm trade setups on H1 or H4 charts using CHoCH or FVG rejection signals. Avoid entries during red folder events (NFP, Powell, Bailey). Book partial profits once Target 1 is achieved and trail the stop loss for further safety.
Long
by EliseLunaTraders
GOOD EVENING INSTITUTIONAL TRADERDATE 04-07-2025 USD= HOLIDAY Direct entery trade but msrket goes to consolidation because of no liquid in market USD HOLIDAY NOT A GOOD TRADE BUT I CONSIDERED EVERY TRADE IS UNICQ AND BEST TRADE IN MY LIFE 😂🤣 Let's see what happen in future SL= BREAK EVEN TP = YOU CAN SEE MY TP ON CHART HAPPY TRADING ALL OF YOU MY MEMBER 1. One Strategy 2. Never change setup just you need to improve add some cnf to imrove you strategy 3. Only Focus on loosing trade on your stratey 4. i Grantee you if you find 20 losing trade mistake you will be profitable if you ask any thing in comment below ( sorry my english is not good😁)
Short
by TheBankerstudent