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EUR/AUD ENTER after confirmation only do not rush the trade use proper stoploss You TRENDLINE BREAKOUT Watching for trendline breakouts can be a thrilling part of trading. When the price breaks through a trendline, it can signal the start of a new trend or a significant move. Here's what to look out for: Volume Spike: A high volume can confirm the breakout. Retest: Sometimes, the price comes back to test the broken trendline before continuing in the breakout direction. This retest can be a good entry point. Other Indicators: Combine with other technical indicators like RSI or MACD for additional confirmation.
by Faizgazi
1
USD/JPYSUPPORT RESISISTANCE Support and resistance zones are key concepts in technical analysis1 . They represent price levels on a chart where the probabilities favor a pause or reversal of a prevailing trend1 . Support Zone: This is where a downtrend is expected to pause due to a concentration of demand1 . Buyers step in, preventing the price from falling further1 . Resistance Zone: This is where an uptrend is expected to pause due to a concentration of supply1 . Sellers step in, preventing the price from rising further1 . These zones can be identified using trendlines, moving averages, and previous price levels where the asset has reversed direction1 2 . When the price reaches these levels, it often bounces back, but if it breaks through, it can lead to a significant move in the direction of the breakout3 .
by Faizgazi
USD/JPY Daily & H4 Analysis: Sell Setup Near Strong Supply ZoneOn the Daily timeframe, USD/JPY is currently trading near a strong Supply zone around 149.50 - 150.00, which has previously acted as a significant resistance level. This area is historically known for providing strong selling pressure, making it a potential zone to watch for bearish opportunities. Technical Insights: Daily Supply Zone: Price is testing a critical supply area, indicating that the upward momentum may be stalling as it approaches this resistance. The previous interactions with this zone have resulted in price rejections. Bearish Divergence on H4: On the H4 timeframe, the Awesome Oscillator (AO) is showing bearish divergence. While price has been making higher highs, the AO is printing lower highs, signaling weakening buying momentum and increasing chances of a reversal. Trade Plan: Entry: Look for a bearish reversal pattern (e.g., bearish engulfing, pin bar) on lower timeframes (H4 or H1) to confirm entry. Ideally, wait for a strong rejection from the supply zone. Stop Loss: Above the 150.00 level, just beyond the supply zone, to minimize risk from potential false breakouts. Target: Initial target around 148.00, with potential to extend toward 147.00 if momentum continues in favor of sellers. This setup aligns with both technical signals and price action, offering a good opportunity to short the pair if the conditions are met. FX:USDJPY OANDA:USDJPY FOREXCOM:USDJPY
Short
by Trading_Zone_3773
GBPUSD: Testing key support as Cable traders await major UK dataGBPUSD pokes a three-month support region as pressure builds ahead of the UK employment and inflation data, as well as the US Retail Sales, set to release this week. Pound Sterling bears flex muscles Despite several technical levels testing the GBPUSD sellers, a potential bear cross between the 100-bar and 200-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) keeps the bears optimistic. The weakening bullish momentum in the MACD and a steady RSI support the downside outlook. Additionally, a sustained break below an ascending support line from early August, now acting as resistance, favors the bears. Key technical levels to watch The GBPUSD pair is currently held up by a three-month support zone around 1.3040-30, just above the psychological level of 1.3000. If it drops below 1.3000, a quick decline to the late July swing high around 1.2940 and then to early August peaks near 1.2870-60 could follow. In a case where the Pound Sterling remains bearish past 1.2860, it becomes vulnerable to slump toward August’s bottom of near 1.2665. On the flip side, GBPUSD recovery remains elusive below the 100 and 200 EMAs, currently near 1.3145 and 1.3150. A seven-week horizontal resistance zone near 1.3230-40 and a previous support line around 1.3330 also pose challenges for Cable buyers. If bulls can push past 1.3330, a rally toward the last monthly high near 1.3435 is possible. Sellers stay in control While robust technical support is challenging GBP/USD sellers, a dovish outlook for the Bank of England and anticipated weak UK data, alongside rising hawkish sentiment from the Fed, may keep bears in control. Upcoming data could create some volatility, but the bearish sentiment remains strong.
by MTradingGlobal
USD/JPY: Will it break out of the current range?A new day has begun. Have you all updated the news on the USD/JPY pair yet? Let’s catch up together! The recovery of the Japanese Yen (JPY) remains quite fragile due to concerns about the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) monetary policy and the global risk environment. On the other hand, the USD continues to be supported by expectations that the Fed will maintain high interest rates in the near future. This makes the USD more attractive compared to the JPY, limiting the upward momentum of the USD/JPY pair. Looking at the technical chart, the USD/JPY pair is fluctuating around 149.63 in a downtrend. Although there is support at the 141.86 level, the pair has not been able to sustain its upward momentum. However, investors must be more cautious with their decisions, especially as the market is being influenced by multiple uncertainties. What are your thoughts on this pair? Leave a comment and let me know!
by Alisa_Rokosz
EUR/USD: Will the ECB's Decision Determine the Future?Hello everyone! A new week is starting. Today, let’s join Alisa in predicting the EUR/USD currency pair. The EUR/USD pair continues to face downward pressure amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Fears of a large-scale conflict in the region have increased demand for the USD, while reducing the appeal of risk assets like the Euro. The ECB’s upcoming policy decision on Thursday also adds to the selling pressure on this currency pair. Looking at the 1-hour technical chart, the pair is fluctuating around the 1.0918 level, in a downtrend. With resistance at 1.0943 acting as a barrier, the EUR/USD pair is unlikely to break upward in the short term. If the pair breaks the 1.0920 support level, selling pressure could intensify, pushing the price to lower levels. What are your thoughts on the EUR/USD pair today?
by Alisa_Rokosz
Yen to go bulls till 162... Greetings fellow traders! I have always been majorly bullish on the Yen. I expect to see it tap 200.000 some time in the future. But that's just a weak expectation and not a proper forecast. Let's get into what 'my' forecast is. Yen swept the sellside liquidity below 140.000 , which was Dec'23 swing low, in Sep'24. The structure shifted on the weekly timeframe (marked as wmss) with a strong bullish marubozu type bar, showing the excitement and strength of the market. The seasonality of Yen tells us that the pair tends to peak around November-December . Now, if we club this with the current scenario and data, we can expect market to hit 162.000 before New Year 2025 . Is that a necessity? Of course, no. But that is what we expect after reading the market. What does @I_Am_ICT always say? The market does not have to get to where we want it to go, to be profitable. The major concept that I've applied in the whole analysis is Purge and Revert on the monthly timeframe & clubbed it with various other scenarios and timeframes to conclude to this analysis. There are certain levels and imbalances which can be of value and have been marked on the charts attached. One may refer to them for more info. Trading conversations are welcome. PS- It can be expected, looking at the daily and LTFs, that some retracement into discount prices is possible before a rally. Have an insightful trading week ahead! Disclaimer- All content is for educational purposes only and not trading advice.
Long
by SatyajeetSahai
1
USD/JPY: Will It Continue to Rise Next Week?Hello everyone, Alisa here! Today, let’s update the information on the USD/JPY currency pair! The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond continues to climb, reaching 4.104%, which has driven the growth of the USD/JPY exchange rate. The USD/JPY pair quickly rose to 149.13, increasing by 0.37% in the last trading session. The widening interest rate differential between the U.S. and Japan is attracting investment flows into the U.S. dollar, boosting the uptrend of this currency pair. Looking at the 1-hour chart, the resistance level of 149.268 is playing a crucial role. If the USD/JPY pair, supported at the 148.450 level, can gain momentum and break through this resistance, it is expected to surge towards the 150.00 mark. Once it surpasses the 150.00 level, we can anticipate further buying pressure, pushing the price higher. What do you think about this currency pair?
by Alisa_Rokosz
Russian-Ukraine conflict and U.S. inflation hold back EUR/USDHello everyone. Today, let's take a look at the EUR/USD pair! The EUR/USD pair continues to face downward pressure as the U.S. inflation index came in higher than expected on Thursday, providing some support for the U.S. dollar and limiting the pair's upward momentum. This, combined with concerns over the European economic situation and the ongoing Russian-Ukraine conflict, has made the Euro less attractive. In the short term, EUR/USD could continue to decline if U.S. economic data remains positive. Looking at the 4-hour chart, the pair is defending around the 1.093 level, still in a downtrend. Despite support at 1.090, the pair has been unable to break through the resistance at 1.099. The price of the pair is likely to reverse and move downward. At the same time, the EMA has also turned bearish, further reinforcing this analysis. What about you? What do you think of this currency pair?
by Alisa_Rokosz