As per the history fed fund effective rate are going down Market down 40% to 60% . 2024 mid fed start a rate cut it is a bearish signal of l off global market according to history because 2000 crash 2008 2020 crash are right according to fed fund effective rate down fall
The unemployment rate is defined as the percentage of unemployed workers in the total labor force. The unemployment rate includes workers who currently do not work, although they can do so. For 2021, the global unemployment rate is estimated to be between 6.3-6.5%, depending upon the source. The unemployment rate is a lagging indicator, meaning it responds (rises...
A gold reserve is the gold held by a national central bank, intended mainly as a guarantee to redeem promises to pay depositors, note holders (e.g. paper money), or trading peers, during the eras of the gold standard, and also as a store of value, or to support the value of the national currency.
The World Gold Council estimates that all the gold ever mined, and...
Gross domestic product (GDP) is a monetary measure of the market value of all the final goods and services produced in a specific time period by a country or countries. GDP is most often used by the government of a single country to measure its economic health. Due to its complex and subjective nature, this measure is often revised before being considered a...
The balance of trade, commercial balance, or net exports (sometimes symbolized as NX), is the difference between the monetary value of a nation's exports and imports over a certain time period. Sometimes a distinction is made between a balance of trade for goods versus one for services. The balance of trade measures a flow of exports and imports over a given...
The velocity of money measures the number of times that the average unit of currency is used to purchase goods and services within a given time period. The concept relates the size of economic activity to a given money supply, and the speed of money exchange is one of the variables that determine inflation. The measure of the velocity of money is usually the...
I don't know if technicals can be applied on this data . RSI is showing positive divergence. DATA is showing bullish wedge type pattern. If technicals are to be followed then it should rise. It's just a test.
For your reference is the Sn P 500 chart...... Notice carefully on a Monthly basis..... even though prices have broken down since the TOP..... the 12 MA hasn't crossed BELOW the 21 yet. Doesn't look tooo Bad to Me. TV provides the SnP chart @ LINE CHART so cant help it. Will give the Targets a few days later on this One.
Enclosed is the chart of the S&P 500 for your understanding. Trading View does not provide a Candle Stick chart as per the US indice policies. The chart is self explainatory as to where we are headed and the BOTTOM formation as per Me
Net Liquidity: It's calculated as:
⬆️ Size of the Fed's Balance Sheet (WALCL)
⬇️ Minus how much of that has been sucked out into the Treasury (WTREGEN)
⬇️ Minus how much has been sucked out into Reverse Repo (RRPONTSYD)
Apparently predicts direction of SP500 with high accuracy
India Inflation has formed triple top @7.88 , as visible on charts
which signifies that inflation could come down.
Also, RSI divergence is visible which indicates loss in strength
from resistance level and suggest retracement in inflation.
Below 5.81 inflation would be optimum and will favor stock market
and economy.
These vertical rectangles are RECESSION PERIODS occurred during last 50 years, this happened whenever "10- Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity" is negative or at Zero
Will the History repeat once again?
The two sets of curve structures bounded by a one-year period deviate significantly, and the real interest rate also stands at the limit of zero. If long-term nominal interest rates sag (falling inflation expectations), the situation will be worse than it is now
