Us inflation is going up again Copper is leading indector of us inflation rate copper up 50% last 2 month high probability chance us inflation follow copper Longby Lokendrakumar0
Fud fund effective rate analysis corelation with crash As per the history fed fund effective rate are going down Market down 40% to 60% . 2024 mid fed start a rate cut it is a bearish signal of l off global market according to history because 2000 crash 2008 2020 crash are right according to fed fund effective rate down fall Shortby Lokendrakumar1
Unemployment in various countriesThe unemployment rate is defined as the percentage of unemployed workers in the total labor force. The unemployment rate includes workers who currently do not work, although they can do so. For 2021, the global unemployment rate is estimated to be between 6.3-6.5%, depending upon the source. The unemployment rate is a lagging indicator, meaning it responds (rises and falls) to changing economic conditions rather than influencing or predicting them. When the economy grows at a healthy rate, the job market is plentiful and the unemployment rate drops. When the economy is experiencing a recession or other turbulence, the job market tends to retract and the unemployment rate rises in responseby vijaycarneiro0
Gold Reserves of major countriesA gold reserve is the gold held by a national central bank, intended mainly as a guarantee to redeem promises to pay depositors, note holders (e.g. paper money), or trading peers, during the eras of the gold standard, and also as a store of value, or to support the value of the national currency. The World Gold Council estimates that all the gold ever mined, and that is accounted for, totalled 190,040 metric tons in 2019 but other independent estimates vary by as much as 20%. At a price of US$1,250 per troy ounce ($40 per gram), reached on 16 August 2017, one metric ton of gold has a value of approximately $40.2 million. The total value of all gold ever mined, and that is accounted for, would exceed $7.5 trillion at that valuation and using WGC 2017 estimates.by vijaycarneiro0
GDP comparison of major countriesGross domestic product (GDP) is a monetary measure of the market value of all the final goods and services produced in a specific time period by a country or countries. GDP is most often used by the government of a single country to measure its economic health. Due to its complex and subjective nature, this measure is often revised before being considered a reliable indicator.by vijaycarneiro0
Balance of trade of various counntriesThe balance of trade, commercial balance, or net exports (sometimes symbolized as NX), is the difference between the monetary value of a nation's exports and imports over a certain time period. Sometimes a distinction is made between a balance of trade for goods versus one for services. The balance of trade measures a flow of exports and imports over a given period of time. The notion of the balance of trade does not mean that exports and imports are "in balance" with each other.by vijaycarneiro0
Velocity of moneyThe velocity of money measures the number of times that the average unit of currency is used to purchase goods and services within a given time period. The concept relates the size of economic activity to a given money supply, and the speed of money exchange is one of the variables that determine inflation. The measure of the velocity of money is usually the ratio of the gross national product (GNP) to a country's money supply. If the velocity of money is increasing, then transactions are occurring between individuals more frequently. The velocity of money changes over time and is influenced by a variety of factors. Because of the nature of financial transactions, the velocity of money cannot be determined empirically.by vijaycarneiro0
Comparison of interest rates of countries.Comparison of interest rates of countries with historical eventsby vijaycarneiro0
A Comparison of money supply of USA India CNY and Russia.A Comparison of M1 money supply of USA China India and Russiaby vijaycarneiro0
A comparison of inflation rates of major countriesA comparison of inflation rates of major countries. Will add more details on further reserch.by vijaycarneiro2
Will it rise ?I don't know if technicals can be applied on this data . RSI is showing positive divergence. DATA is showing bullish wedge type pattern. If technicals are to be followed then it should rise. It's just a test. Longby TukkaNomistUpdated 1
SnP 500For your reference is the Sn P 500 chart...... Notice carefully on a Monthly basis..... even though prices have broken down since the TOP..... the 12 MA hasn't crossed BELOW the 21 yet. Doesn't look tooo Bad to Me. TV provides the SnP chart @ LINE CHART so cant help it. Will give the Targets a few days later on this One. by deepgups5
S & P 500Enclosed is the chart of the S&P 500 for your understanding. Trading View does not provide a Candle Stick chart as per the US indice policies. The chart is self explainatory as to where we are headed and the BOTTOM formation as per Meby deepgups3
Fed Net LiquidityNet Liquidity: It's calculated as: ⬆️ Size of the Fed's Balance Sheet (WALCL) ⬇️ Minus how much of that has been sucked out into the Treasury (WTREGEN) ⬇️ Minus how much has been sucked out into Reverse Repo (RRPONTSYD) Apparently predicts direction of SP500 with high accuracyShortby Grynn114
OUT of the BOX chart !!!India Inflation has formed triple top @7.88 , as visible on charts which signifies that inflation could come down. Also, RSI divergence is visible which indicates loss in strength from resistance level and suggest retracement in inflation. Below 5.81 inflation would be optimum and will favor stock market and economy. by Chaser308
US Inflation Rate: On verge of Falling trendline BOUS inflation rate is on the verge of falling trendline BO. A rejection from there can bring some relief for equity market. Need to watch closely.by khulvenaveen225
stock remake for marketerslay out an internal profit that is baste on profit markets in the US and around the boarder that is located closer to oil markets and retail markets. by alvarezt3030113
Will be there any Economic Recession in year 2022-2023 ????These vertical rectangles are RECESSION PERIODS occurred during last 50 years, this happened whenever "10- Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity" is negative or at Zero Will the History repeat once again?by uma_mrg5
Interest rate curve changesThe two sets of curve structures bounded by a one-year period deviate significantly, and the real interest rate also stands at the limit of zero. If long-term nominal interest rates sag (falling inflation expectations), the situation will be worse than it is nowby SLZB_Trader0
US Unemployment Analysis Feb 2021Peaks on SPX are marked seems when ever the US employment rate falls and comes close to zero its time for markets to FALL.by silenThunderrUpdated 2
PART 1/2 Connecting the dots: QE, MMT and inflation Inflation is a tough one to get your head around, and QE, MMT and fiscal spending is popular terms these days. I will try to connect the dots short and sharp in two posts. I’ll use gold as an inflation metric, i.e. higher gold price equals higher inflation. First, "inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon", Milton Friedman once said. There are many inflation terms (e.g. cost pull and demand pull), but in terms of Friedman, real inflation must come from a rise in money. Where do money come from? The only entity that can print US dollars is the US government, but do US dollars have to come from the government? During the great inflation, government spending was low, but the effective Federal funds rate went from 3% to almost 20% in order to deal with the inflation. If government spending was low, and interest rates (IR) was high, how could the money be flooding the streets? The answer is the private banking system. QE are bank reserves the private banks CAN use in order to make new loans (US dollars). I write can in capital letters, because that’s the important point. If the private banks don’t use the banks reserves to make new loans, every single dollar of bank reserves printed by the Federal Reserve never enter the real economy, and, hence, can’t be inflationary. Bottom line: QE can be inflationary but is NOT as long as the private banks don’t want to take on more risk and make new loans (US dollars). If the private banks can’t make the US dollars needed, MMT is a popular solution these days. MMT brings the money creation from the private banks back to the US government. If MMT is a good or a bad idea is not the purpose of this post, but put simple, this is what you need to know: MMT is a response to the private banks not making sufficient US dollars the global economy (USD = world reserve currency) needs in order to grow. Summary: QE is potentially inflationary but it’s not as long as the private banks don’t use the bank reserves to make US dollars. MMT is the response to the insufficient flows of US dollars from the private banking system. by eirikb0072
US Bond yield topping. LONG US bondsUS bond yields should start falling soon for many years as monthly chart shows. Time to buy US bonds.Longby ashutoshgoyal114