jamiesonpa

Growth Stock Arbitrage Indicator [@PierceARK]

This indicator takes advantage of the fact that when the 10 and 5 year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus Federal Funds rates (T10YFF/T5YFF) go down sharply, investors tend to rotate into stocks. This arbitrage works great for growth stocks, since growth stocks are higher beta by virtue of their lower market cap and more speculative nature in general. This script identifies the moving-average convergence/divergence of the average of the 10y and 5y treasury rates and then finds the variance of that macd line. By averaging that variance with the macdline's inverse, an analog output of treasury -> stock rotation can be identified. The upper and lower thresholds bring buy and sell windows into focus.


Open-source script

In true TradingView spirit, the author of this script has published it open-source, so traders can understand and verify it. Cheers to the author! You may use it for free, but reuse of this code in a publication is governed by House Rules. You can favorite it to use it on a chart.

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.

Want to use this script on a chart?