Unemployment Momentum Model — Strategy by Stable_Camel

unemployment unrate fred momentum relativestrengthindex econometric

This model uses a Smoothed RSI to measure the momentum of the Civilian Unemployment Rate as published by FRED. The behavior of the unemployment rate makes it ideal for applying momentum-based timing techniques because it tends to rise sharply in a short time period and then declines gradually over a longer period. Using other basic momentum-based timing techniques also works well (e.g., EMA crossover, MACD, ROC, etc.)

Please note that you cannot trade the unemployment rate directly. This model is meant to help you understand the state of the current economy in the context of unemployment.

Kory Hoang (stably.io)

Open-source script

In true TradingView spirit, the author of this script has published it open-source, so traders can understand and verify it. Cheers to the author! You may use it for free, but reuse of this code in a publication is governed by House Rules. You can favorite it to use it on a chart.

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.

Want to use this script on a chart?

//@version=2
strategy("Unemployment Momentum Model", overlay=true)

price = close

basis = rsi(price, input(3))
rsiema = ema(basis, input(6))
trigger = input(50)

strategy.risk.allow_entry_in(strategy.direction.long)

if (crossover(rsiema, trigger))
    strategy.entry("RISING", strategy.long, comment="RISING")

if (crossunder(rsiema, trigger))
    strategy.entry("FALLING", strategy.short, comment="FALLING")