BuyTheDipWell, I often had arguments in online forum with a guy who claimed to time the market perfectly without any technical analysis or prior experience. He often claimed that technical analysis does not work and it only works when you trade on other's emotions. He also argued that algorithmic trading isn't profitable - if so, everyone would do that. Hence, I thought I will convert his idea to algorithm.
In his own words, the strategy is as below:
Chose an instrument which is in full uptrend.
Wait for the panic sell and buy the dip
Once market recovers back exit immediately
It seems to do just fine with indexes. But, not so good when it comes to stocks.
Trend Analysis
Ichimoku with MACD/ CMF/ TSI This is a strategy made from ichimoku cloud , together with MACD, Chaiking Money FLOW and True Strenght Index.
It can be adapted to any timeframe and any type of financial markets.
The idea behind its very simple,
We combine the long / short strategy from ichimoku, like cross between lines and below/above cloud together with histogram from MACD for positive/negative level. We use the same criteria for TSI and CMF, to check if its above or below 0 level.
Based on that we have a long or a short entry. The exit happens when the next options triggers, like for example we had long signal, we exit when we receive the short signal and viceversa.
It can be adapted with a risk management to apply a tp/sl level.
For any suggestion or details , let me know.
London breakout GBPUSD daytradeHello,
First I want to WARN THAT YOU NEED A MINIMUM OF 30X LEVERAGE FOR THIS STRATEGY IN ORDER TO WORK.
THE REASON IS THAT THE SIZE IS CALCULATED BASED ON A VERY SHORT STOP LOSS LEVEL IN PIPS
UTILIZE IT AT YOUR OWN RISK
This is a daytrading strategy, that's suited for GBPUSD 1H timechart.
It a very simple strategy that utilizes 2 moving averages : a very fast one and a very slow one.
It will always enter only at the beginning candle of London session, and it will always exit at the candle at the finish of London session.
So the rules are simple :
If its 8 am GMT and the candle close or high cross the slow moving average and we are above at the same over the slow moving average we make a long movement. The oposite condition is applied for short.
At the same time we always use a very small stop loss = 50-100 points ( 5-10 pips).
We dont have a take profit, in our case the trade ends always at the end of London session. In this case at 15h GMT
It might work on other currencies aswell, but it has to be tested first.
For any questions or suggestions, please let me know.
Y-Profit Maximizer Strategy with Exit PointsThis script based on KivancOzbilgic 's PMax indicator. I modified a bit. Added Filters, Exit (TP) Levels and few indicator in it. This script opening only Long Positions.
I have used this indicators in this strategy:
-Moving Stop Loss (Most) by ceyhun
-PMax Explorer STRATEGY & SCREENER
-Bollinger Bands on Macd
-Tillson T3 Moving Average by KIVANÇ fr3762
I am open to suggestions for improve this script.
PS: Script is in Turkish Language.
BB21_MA200_StrategyThis strategy follows the trend and keeps you in the trend until it breaks SMA 200
SMA setting is 200
BB setting is 21
BUY
====
when BB is (lower band and upper band) above SMA 200 and price crossing above BB middle line
Partial Exit
==========
When Lower BB crossing down SMA200 , exit 30%
Total Exit
=========
When BB middle band crosses down SMA200 , exit ALL
Stop Loss
======
default is set to 5%
Risk Management
================
This is new parameter I have introduced in my strategies. Default value is 10% . That means , if your capital is 10000 , you are willing to risk 10% of it ... i.e 1000.
It doesnot mean that you are buying shares/units for 1000 only. It is different ...see below
Your trade size is calculated based on Risk% .... capital x risk 5 / stop Loss units
for further explanation you can check Alexander Elder's risk management rule. He mentioned 2% rule for 100K account. But most of us dont have 100K accounts .. . so I have defaulted 10% on 10K account. You can change this values and see the results. It wont change the number of trades or profit factor. It will increase the net profit.
Warning
=======
For educational purposes only
Combo Backtest 123 Reversal & FX Sniper: T3-CCI This is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal.
First strategy
This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The
Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies.
The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow Oscillator is lower than 50.
The strategy sells at market, if close price is lower than the previous close price
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Fast Oscillator is higher than 50.
Second strategy
This simple indicator gives you a lot of useful information - when to enter, when to exit
and how to reduce risks by entering a trade on a double confirmed signal.
You can use in the xPrice any series: Open, High, Low, Close, HL2, HLC3, OHLC4 and ect...
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
EMA_HMA_RSI_StrategyThis strategy BUYS when HMA is below EMA (default setting is 200) and HMA turning to green and RSI 13 is below 70
Adds to existing position when current price is below BUY price and RSI crossing above 30 or 40
Exits the long position when HMA crosses down EMA
when you select Take Profit setting , partial profits are taken when current price > BUY price and RSI 13 crossing down 80
Bar color changes to purple when RSI13 is above 80 (if only in Long position exists)
Tested for SPY QQQ AAPL on hourly and 30 mins chart
Warning : For educational purposes only
Combo Backtest 123 Reversal & Volatility Finite Volume ElementsThis is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal.
First strategy
This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The
Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies.
The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow Oscillator is lower than 50.
The strategy sells at market, if close price is lower than the previous close price
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Fast Oscillator is higher than 50.
Second strategy
This is another version of FVE indicator that we have posted earlier
in this forum.
This version has an important enhancement to the previous one that`s
especially useful with intraday minute charts.
Due to the volatility had not been taken into account to avoid the extra
complication in the formula, the previous formula has some drawbacks:
The main drawback is that the constant cutoff coefficient will overestimate
price changes in minute charts and underestimate corresponding changes in
weekly or monthly charts.
And now the indicator uses adaptive cutoff coefficient which will adjust to
all time frames automatically.
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
Triple EMA Scalper low lag stratHi all,
This strategy is based on the Amazing scalper for majors with risk management by SoftKill21
The change is in lines 11-20 where the sma's are replaced with Triple ema's to
lower the lag.
The original author is SoftKill21. His explanation is repeated below:
Best suited for 1M time frame and majors currency pairs.
Note that I tried it at 3M time frame.
Its made of :
Ema ( exponential moving average ) , long period 25
Ema ( exponential moving average ) Predictive, long period 50,
Ema ( exponential moving average ) Predictive, long period 100
Risk management , risking % of equity per trade using stop loss and take profits levels.
Long Entry:
When the Ema 25 cross up through the 50 Ema and 100 EMA . and we are in london or new york session( very important the session, imagine if we have only american or european currencies, its best to test it)
Short Entry:
When the Ema 25 cross down through the 50 Ema and 100 EMA , and we are in london or new york session( very important the session, imagine if we have only american or european currencies, its best to test it)
Exit:
TargetPrice: 5-10 pips
Stop loss: 9-12 pips
Aroon Oscillator StrategyThis is simple strategy based on Aroon Oscillator. I have found that using length 144 or 169 on hourly chart shows excellent results.
Tested on SPY , QQQ and AAPL. Especially when you look at AAPL results , it has 60% profitable in recent trades. ( Dont assume this will be same for other stocks or ETFs)
Aroon Oscillator setting : 169 ( 169 is square root of 13 ... you can also use fib level 144 , which is square root of 12 )
BUY
When Aroon Oscillator crosses above zero line
Add
if Long position is already opened, and current close is less than BUY price and RSI 13 crossing above 30 line
Exit
when Aroon Oscialltor crosses below zero line
Stop Loss
default stop loss has been set to 5%
Note: I have not plotted RSI to the chart. Please include RSI 13 to see how position gets added ... Also add ema 169 to see how the price is aligned with the Aroon Oscillator
Warning
For the educational purposes only
TrendMaAlignmentStrategy - Long term tradesThis is another strategy based on moving average alignment and HighLow periods. This is more suitable for long term trend traders and mainly for stocks.
Candle is colored lime if : Lookback Period has at least one bar with moving averages fully aligned OR None of the bars in Lookback periods has negatively aligned moving averages (More than half are positively aligned).
Candle is colored orange if : Lookback Period has at least one bar with moving averages fully aligned in negative way OR none of the bars in lookback has positively aligned moving averages (More than half are negatively aligned).
If either of above conditions are met, candle is colored silver.
Moving average alignment parameters:
Moving Average Type : MA Type for calculating Aligned Moving Average Index
Lookback Period : Lookback period to check highest and lowest Moving Average index.
HighLow parameters:
Short High/Low Period: Short period to check highs and lows
Long High/Low Period: Longer Period to check highs and lows.
If short period high == long period high, which means, instrument has made new high in the short period.
ATR Parameters:
ATR Length: ATR periods
StopMultiplyer: To set stop loss.
ReentryStopMultiplyer: This is used when signal is green buy stop loss on previous trade is hit. In such cases, new order will not be placed until it has certain distance from stop line.
Trade Prameters:
Exit on Signal : To be used with caution. Enabling it will allow us to get out on bad trades early and helps exit trades in long consolidation periods. But, this may also cause early exit in the trend. If instrument is trending nicely, it is better to keep this setting unchecked.
Trade direction : Default is long only. Short trades are not so successful in backtest. Use it with caution.
Backtest years : limit backtesting to certain years.
Part of the logic used from study's below:
Other strategies based on these two studies are below (which are meant for short - medium terms):
Combo Backtest 123 Reversal & FSK (Fast and Slow Kurtosis) This is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal.
First strategy
This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The
Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies.
The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow Oscillator is lower than 50.
The strategy sells at market, if close price is lower than the previous close price
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Fast Oscillator is higher than 50.
Second strategy
This indicator plots the Fast & Slow Kurtosis. The Kurtosis is a market
sentiment indicator. The Kurtosis is constructed from three different parts.
The Kurtosis, the Fast Kurtosis(FK), and the Fast/Slow Kurtosis(FSK).
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
Easy System 420In this strategy, 15 indicators are used, each giving its results as a numerical value, which then is added or subtracted from the total points, gathered from all 15 indicators.
Many thanks to RafaelZioni for his great work making the EasySys1 script which i modified to create this script.
Onchart is drawn some of the indicators, but not all, a info panel is drawn showing the value each indicator has calculated. The info panel can be turned on or off.
Many of the indicator settings can be changed by user, and this is recommended, to tune the strategy to users chosen pair/timeframe.
Therefore any pair or timeframe can be used, the strategy tester results showing possible results, remember to set commission to match your broker. example chart settings here have common crypto exchange commission value: 0.25%
indicator list : SAR + STT + ZigZag + ROC + DMI + CCI + Weis + SMA + AO + MOM + Hist + BB + Ichimoku + HMA
Profit Maximizer StrategyFirst I would like to thank to @KivancOzbilgic for developing this indicator.
All the credit goes to him.
I just created a strategy, in order to try to find the perfect parameters, timeframe and currency for it.
I will provide below the same description like he has in the publish of profit maximizer
Profit Maximizer - PMax combines the powerful sides of MOST (Moving Average Trend Changer) and SuperTrend (ATR price detection) in one indicator.
Backtest and optimization results of PMax are far better when compared to its ancestors MOST and SuperTrend. It reduces the number of false signals in sideways and give more reliable trade signals.
PMax is easy to determine the trend and can be used in any type of markets and instruments. It does not repaint.
The first parameter in the PMax indicator set by the three parameters is the period/length of ATR.
The second Parameter is the Multiplier of ATR which would be useful to set the value of distance from the built in Moving Average.
I personally think the most important parameter is the Moving Average Length and type.
PMax will be much sensitive to trend movements if Moving Average Length is smaller. And vice versa, will be less sensitive when it is longer.
As the period increases it will become less sensitive to little trends and price actions.
In this way, your choice of period, will be closely related to which of the sort of trends you are interested in.
We are under the effect of the uptrend in cases where the Moving Average is above PMax;
conversely under the influence of a downward trend, when the Moving Average is below PMax.
Built in Moving Average type defaultly set as EMA but users can choose from 8 different Moving Average types like:
SMA : Simple Moving Average
EMA : Exponential Movin Average
WMA : Weighted Moving Average
TMA : Triangular Moving Average
VAR : Variable Index Dynamic Moving Average aka VIDYA
WWMA : Welles Wilder's Moving Average
ZLEMA : Zero Lag Exponential Moving Average
TSF : True Strength Force
Tip: In sideways VAR would be a good choice
You can use PMax default alarms and Buy Sell signals like:
1-
BUY when Moving Average crosses above PMax
SELL when Moving Average crosses under PMax
2-
BUY when prices jumps over PMax line.
SELL when prices go under PMax line.
Breakout Trend Trading Strategy - V2This is an alternate version of Breakout Trend Trading Strategy - V1
Only difference is, this strategy places stop orders based on calculated targets whereas V1 waits for price to close target levels and then places market orders. Hence, you will receive the target prices before trade executes in strategy.
Parameters are same as that of Breakout Trend Trading Strategy - V1
There is one additional parameter on Trade Type - which permits user to allow only breakout, pullback or reverse trading or combination of all.
Backtesting parameters remain same :
Capital and position sizing : Capital and position sizing parameters are set to test investing 2000 wholly on certain stock without compounding.
Initial Capital : 2000
Order Size : 100% of equity
Pyramiding : 1
Test cases remain same :
Positive : AAPL , AMZN , TSLA , RUN, VRT , ASX:APT
Negative Test Cases: WPL , WHC , NHC , WOW, COL, NAB (All ASX stocks)
Special test case: WDI
Negative test cases still show losses in back-testing. I have attempted including many conditions to eliminate or reduce the loss. But, further efforts has resulted in reduction in profits in positive cases as well. Still experimenting. Will update whenever I find improvements. Comments and suggestions welcome :)
Breakout Trend Trading Strategy - V1Strategy in nutshell:
This strategy is made to be used in daily time-frames. Works better on trending instruments where volume is available. Hence, this is more suitable for trending shares rather than currencies, commodities and indexes where volume data is either not present or not reliable.
Breakout signifies the continuation of trend. Hence, trade in the direction of breakouts. Breakouts are calculated based on high volume and price movement in a day. This will be combined with few other conditions to generate buy and sell signals along with stop and compound targets. Supertrend is used for trend bias. Our buy and sell targets do not directly depend on the bias. But, entry criteria in opposite trend is made much difficult than that of trend direction. Further explanation of method and input parameters are explained below.
Backtesting parameters :
Capital and position sizing : Capital and position sizing parameters are set to test investing 2000 wholly on certain stock without compounding.
Initial Capital : 2000
Order Size : 100% of equity
Pyramiding : 1
ExitOnSignal : If unchecked exit is triggered solely on trailing stop
Trade Direction : Long, Short or All. Short condition is riskier than long conditions and often results in losses as per my observation. On most of the stocks trending up, strategy will not generate any short signals. This is achieved by comparing yearly high lows to previous two years to decide whether to allow short or long entries.
allowImmediateCompound : Applicable only if compounding/pyramiding is enabled in trade. If checked allows to place compounding orders immediately. If unchecked, it waits for stopline to cross order price before placing next compound.
Display Mode :
Targets : Whenever breakout happens, show marker for upTarget and downTarget
TargetChannel : Show up target and downtarget as a channel
Target With Stop : Along with targets, show also stop levels for breakouts
Up Channel : Channel created from UpTarget and respective stops
Down Channel : Channel created from DownTarget and respective stops
ShowTrailingStop : Shows trailing stop and compound lines when there is a trading position.
ShowTargetLevels : Shows Buy Sell target levels along with stop and compound lines. Trades are done as market orders. Hence, target levels are displayed after strategy makes the trade. Since only one order allowed per side without compounding, target, stop and compound levels are shown sometimes even without trade being made. These can be considered as entry levels if there is no existing position.
ShowPreviousLevels : Shows previous buy/sell target levels. When enabled, layout can look messy.
StopMultiplyer: To Set trailing stop loss.
BacktestYears: Number of years to include in backtest
So far my test cases are:
Positive : AAPL, AMZN, TSLA, RUN, VRT, ASX:APT
Negative Test Cases: WPL, WHC, NHC, WOW, COL, NAB (All ASX stocks)
Special test case: WDI
Negative test cases still show losses in backtesting. I have attempted including many conditions to eliminate or reduce the loss. But, further efforts has resulted in reduction in profits in positive cases as well. Still experimenting. Will update whenever I find improvements. Comments and suggestions welcome :)
AlignedMA and Cumulative HighLow Strategy V2Based on earlier strategy published - AlignedMA and Cumulative HighLow Strategy. Adjustments are done in entry and exit criteria to make it work for shares.
Modified to preserve existing entry criteria + additional MA shift condition. Exit criteria is set based on supertrend and trailing stops.
Most of the parameters are already optimized. You only need to alter SupertrendMult for individual shares based on individual share volatility. Usually works within 2-4.
There might be bit of repainting. I am unable to understand if there is any. Any suggestions on further improvements welcome :)
Note to moderators : I have used 1000 as initial capital with 100% on each trade. As strategy does not compound - I believe this is reasonable. I have kept this setting as this makes it easier to compare with buy and hold return.
Soldiers Pattern ModifiedThis can be perceived as modified 3 soldiers, relaxed NR4 or even extended harami candlestick pattern.
Works for any instrument and any timeframe.
The idea is to find out any number of candles having their individual highs and lows, all within high and low range of base candle.
The count of soldiers and if they must be of same color, both can be configured.
Additional configurable settings is to add further check of having body of soldiers as well within body of base candle.
Trading strategy: Trade high or low breakout of base candle, having other as stop loss, for a risk reward ratio of 1:2.
Custom Triple Moving Average Strategy | Auto BacktestingCreate your own MA Strategy set of up to three moving averages!
Auto Backtesting.
Cloud between MA1 and MA2.
Many different MA types to choose from.
Totally Custom!
Happy Trading, and algorithm analysis!
AlignedMA and Cumulative HighLow StrategyCombining the indicators:
1. Aligned Moving Average Index :
2. Cumulative High Low Index :
3. Supertrend
Works best in long only for crypto and precious metals.
My scenario is to present how much you can earn by investing 1000 for full 10 years. Hence, I am using fixed 1000 initial deposit and 100% equity per trade without any pyramiding. This allows us to compare gains to buy and hold.
PMax Explorer STRATEGY & SCREENERProfit Maximizer - PMax Explorer STRATEGY & SCREENER screens the BUY and SELL signals (trend reversals) for 20 user defined different tickers in Tradingview charts.
Simply input the name of the ticker in Tradingview that you want to screen.
Terminology explanation:
Confirmed Reversal: PMax reversal that happened in the last bar and cannot be repainted.
Potential Reversal: PMax reversal that might happen in the current bar but can also not happen depending upon the timeframe closing price.
Downtrend: Tickers that are currently in the sell zone
Uptrend: Tickers that are currently in the buy zone
Screener has also got a built in PMax indicator which users can confirm the reversals on graphs.
Screener explores the 20 tickers in current graph's time frame and also in desired parameters of the SuperTrend indicator.
Also you can optimize the parameters manually with the built in STRATEGY version.
PMax indicator :
Profit Maximizer - PMax is a brand new indicator developed by me.
It's a combination of two trailing stop loss indicators;
One is Anıl Özekşi's MOST (Moving Stop Loss) Indicator
and the other one is well known ATR based SuperTrend
Profit Maximizer - PMax tries to solve this problem. PMax combines the powerful sides of MOST (Moving Average Trend Changer) and SuperTrend (ATR price detection) in one indicator.
Backtest and optimization results of PMax are far better when compared to its ancestors MOST and SuperTrend. It reduces the number of false signals in sideways and give more reliable trade signals.
PMax is easy to determine the trend and can be used in any type of markets and instruments. It does not repaint.
The first parameter in the PMax indicator set by the three parameters is the period/length of ATR.
The second Parameter is the Multiplier of ATR which would be useful to set the value of distance from the built in Moving Average.
I personally think the most important parameter is the Moving Average Length and type.
PMax will be much sensitive to trend movements if Moving Average Length is smaller. And vice versa, will be less sensitive when it is longer.
As the period increases it will become less sensitive to little trends and price actions.
In this way, your choice of period, will be closely related to which of the sort of trends you are interested in.
We are under the effect of the uptrend in cases where the Moving Average is above PMax;
conversely under the influence of a downward trend, when the Moving Average is below PMax.
Built in Moving Average type defaultly set as EMA but users can choose from 8 different Moving Average types like:
SMA : Simple Moving Average
EMA : Exponential Movin Average
WMA : Weighted Moving Average
TMA : Triangular Moving Average
VAR : Variable Index Dynamic Moving Average aka VIDYA
WWMA : Welles Wilder's Moving Average
ZLEMA : Zero Lag Exponential Moving Average
TSF : True Strength Force
Tip: In sideways VAR would be a good choice
You can use PMax default alarms and Buy Sell signals like:
1-
BUY when Moving Average crosses above PMax
SELL when Moving Average crosses under PMax
2-
BUY when prices jumps over PMax line.
SELL when prices go under PMax line.
Donchian Channels Strategy - Long Term TrendFor Educational Purposes. Results can differ on different markets and can fail at any time. Profit is not guaranteed.
This only works in a few markets and in certain situations. Changing the settings can give better or worse results for other markets. This is a longer term trend following strategy that uses Donchian Channels for trend following and uses the upper and lower bands to find price breakouts to enter the market and then uses the middle band as a trailing stop to exit. DCs are known as the original trend following strategy made by Richard Donchian.
Usually the middle band uses the same length of the upper and lower bands in its calculation but I included the default option of using a middle band that is double the length of the other bands, but also an option to use the regular input length that most Donchian strategies use if needed. If long term trends are somehow found, this longer middle band lets the profits run longer and lets you see where the long trends were at if the market had any. The double lengthed middle band looks surprisingly very similar to a 3x ATR trailing stop, which is the recommended setting Wilder suggested for trend following. If a good ATR stop or other trailing stop can't be found, this longer middle band can act as a substitute for it.
For some reason I can't seem to find anything related to Donchian strategies on here despite the popularity and simplicity of it, not even a single working one to my liking, so I made my own. It seems this strategy only works in trending markets. I intentionally handpicked a market that the backtest does well on to illustrate the potential it might have for other markets where trending following strategies might work on and what to expect the results in those might be. Trend following strategies are said to have high profits but at the same time lower accuracy due to the failure rate of being able to catch the right trend. If you all got any suggestions or feedback please let me.
Combo Backtest 123 Reversal & Fractal Chaos Oscillator This is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal.
First strategy
This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The
Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies.
The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow Oscillator is lower than 50.
The strategy sells at market, if close price is lower than the previous close price
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Fast Oscillator is higher than 50.
Second strategy
The value of Fractal Chaos Oscillator is calculated as the difference between
the most subtle movements of the market. In general, its value moves between
-1.000 and 1.000. The higher the value of the Fractal Chaos Oscillator, the
more one can say that it follows a certain trend – an increase in prices trend,
or a decrease in prices trend.
Being an indicator expressed in a numeric value, traders say that this is an
indicator that puts a value on the trendiness of the markets. When the FCO reaches
a high value, they initiate the “buy” operation, contrarily when the FCO reaches a
low value, they signal the “sell” action. This is an excellent indicator to use in
intra-day trading.
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
