Gold Guinea Eye Breakout – Bulls Test Crucial ₹78,500 ResistanceMCX Gold Guinea shows a strong bullish recovery back toward a key resistance zone near ₹78,400, after bottoming out around ₹77,000. The recent rally has been steady, forming higher lows and higher highs—indicating short-term bullish momentum is building up. The price action has now reclaimed the consolidation range it was stuck in earlier (between ₹77,500 and ₹78,500), suggesting buyers are regaining control.
However, ₹78,500–₹78,800 remains a crucial resistance area, as it previously acted as a supply zone before the breakdown on June 24th. The current candles are small-bodied and forming near resistance, hinting at buying exhaustion or profit booking. If the price manages to close above ₹78,800 with strength and volume, it may open up a fresh leg toward ₹79,200 and eventually ₹79,800.
On the flip side, failure to break and hold above ₹78,500 could lead to a pullback to ₹77,800 or even ₹77,500, which now acts as immediate support. Until a breakout above the resistance range is confirmed, the structure remains cautiously bullish but not yet in a full uptrend.
XAUUSD1! trade ideas
Gold trading in narrow range sell on rise will continue How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below :
Recent High or Low :
D-0% is our recent low or high
Profit booking zone: D13% -D15% is
range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed
SL reversal zone : SL 23% and SL 25% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade
Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and .
Are our Target zone
Gold Struggle – Bearish Grip Tightens Near ₹77,500Unless the price decisively closes above ₹78,000–₹78,200, the current movement should be considered a pullback within a larger downtrend. A renewed breakdown below ₹77,400 may trigger fresh selling pressure, with the next key downside level likely near ₹76,900.
Trend: Bearish
Resistance: ₹78,000 – ₹78,200
Support: ₹77,400 → ₹76,900
Bearish unless price reclaims ₹78,200 with strength
Gold as said earlier negative move , sell on rise 95100, 94300, How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below :
Recent High or Low :
D-0% is our recent low or high
Profit booking zone: D13% -D15% is
range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed
SL reversal zone : SL 23% and SL 25% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade
Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and .
Are our Target zone
[Commodity] Intraday Gold Buy IdeaNote -
One of the best forms of Price Action is to not try to predict at all. Instead of that, ACT on the price. So, this chart tells at "where" to act in "what direction. Unless it triggers, like, let's say the candle doesn't break the level which says "Buy if it breaks", You should not buy at all.
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I use shorthands for my trades.
"Positional" - means You can carry these positions and I do not see sharp volatility ahead. (I tally upcoming events and many small kinds of stuff to my own tiny capacity.)
"Intraday" -means You must close this position at any cost by the end of the day.
"Theta" , "Bounce" , "3BB" or "Entropy" - My own systems.
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I won't personally follow any rules. If I "think" (It is never gut feel. It is always some reason.) the trade is wrong, I may take reverse trade. I may carry forward an intraday position. What is meant here - You shouldn't follow me because I may miss updating. You should follow the system I share.
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Like -
Always follow a stop loss.
In the case of Intraday trades, it is mostly the "Day's High".
In the case of Positional trades, it is mostly the previous swings.
I do not use Stop Loss most of the time. But I manage my risk with options as I do most of the trades using derivatives
MCX GOLD Petal - market indecisionThe recent candles are choppy, with mixed direction and long wicks, reflecting market indecision and low conviction from both buyers and sellers. Price is hovering around the mid-range of the fall, indicating a range-bound structure with no clear breakout or breakdown yet. If the price breaks below ₹9740, it could retest the major support at ₹9651. Conversely, a breakout above ₹9850 with volume may invite a retest toward ₹9940 and ₹10000. Until then, the bias remains neutral-to-bearish, with volatility compressing inside a sideways band.
MCX Gold Guinea overall sentiment remains bearish to neutralMCX Gold Guinea July Futures are currently exhibiting signs of bearish consolidation after a steep sell-off from the ₹80670 levels, where strong resistance led to a decisive breakdown. The price has since retraced to the ₹78580 zone but failed to sustain above it, leading to a phase of tight range-bound movement between ₹77750 and ₹78580. Recent candlestick formations on the 2-hour chart show low volatility, narrow bodies, and compressed ranges, suggesting a potential build-up for a breakout. However, this consolidation resembles a bearish flag or rectangle—typically a continuation pattern favoring the prevailing downtrend. A break below ₹77750 could trigger a sharp move toward ₹77300 and ₹76900, while any breakout above ₹78580 with volume could invalidate this setup and push the price toward ₹79050–₹79230.
Momentum indicators also align with the bearish structure. The Money Flow Index (MFI) is currently at 28.64, indicating oversold territory, but without divergence or recovery—reflecting weak buying pressure and the risk of further downside. The MACD histogram, though flattening, still trades in the negative zone with no bullish crossover, suggesting that the selling momentum has cooled but buyers are not yet taking control. Together, these indicators suggest a market in pause mode, awaiting a decisive move.
From a fundamental standpoint, the gold market remains under pressure globally. Stronger U.S. macroeconomic data, particularly around jobs and inflation, has led to a delay in rate cut expectations by the Federal Reserve. This has strengthened the U.S. dollar and kept Treasury yields elevated, both of which are traditionally bearish for non-yielding assets like gold. Furthermore, safe-haven demand is subdued due to the absence of immediate geopolitical shocks. On the domestic front, the Indian rupee remains stable, and seasonal gold demand has softened post-Akshaya Tritiya, contributing to the muted movement in MCX prices. Jewelry demand has not picked up significantly, and speculative positions are cautious.
In conclusion, Gold Guinea July Futures are caught between technical compression and macroeconomic resistance, with bias tilted toward the downside unless ₹78580 is decisively breached. Traders should watch for a breakdown below ₹77750 for bearish continuation or a breakout above ₹78580 for any bullish relief. Until then, the overall sentiment remains bearish to neutral, supported by both price action and macro fundamentals.
Gold MCX levels for next week Range bound to Negative biase How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below :
Recent High or Low :
D-0% is our recent low or high
Profit booking zone: D13% -D15% is
range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed
SL reversal zone : SL 23% and SL 25% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade
Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and .
Are our Target zone
GOLDPETAL JULY – RANGE PLAY BEFORE DECISION MOVEThe 2-hour chart of Gold Petal July shows a classic range-bound structure between ₹9729 (support) and ₹9882 (resistance) after a steep drop from the ₹10064 zone. Post sell-off, the price staged a recovery but has repeatedly faced rejection near ₹9882, forming lower highs. The current candles around ₹9800 are small and indecisive, indicating a lack of momentum. The narrow consolidation zone with reduced volume suggests that the market is waiting for a breakout trigger. Traders should watch for a breakout above ₹9882 for a potential short-term bullish move, or a breakdown below ₹9729 to resume the downtrend.
Fundamentally, Gold remains influenced by global macro data and U.S. rate expectations. Recent hawkish tones from the Federal Reserve, coupled with stronger-than-expected economic resilience, have pressured precious metals. This has kept speculative interest low, evident in the low-volatility zones like the one seen here. In India, weak festive demand and a stable rupee are limiting upside in MCX Gold Petal. However, if geopolitical risks or U.S. job data weaken the dollar, gold could break higher. Until then, range trading remains the most probable scenario with tight stop-losses.
Gold Guinea Show Signs of Short-Term Weakness Amids ConolidationThe 2-hour candlestick chart of Gold Guinea July Futures indicates a strong bearish sentiment. After facing resistance near the 78450–78500 zone, the price faced a steep fall, forming consecutive bearish candles. The recent candles are consolidating near the 77950–78000 support level, suggesting a potential pause or indecision after the sharp drop. The presence of long lower wicks shows buying interest at lower levels, but the lack of bullish follow-through suggests that bears are still in control. The absence of higher highs and consistent lower lows confirm a short-term downtrend. A break below 77950 could open the gates to test 77700, while resistance remains near 78250.
Fundamentally, gold is currently under pressure due to a combination of rising US Treasury yields and expectations that the Federal Reserve may delay rate cuts amidst sticky inflation. Investors are preferring dollar-backed assets, leading to outflows from precious metals. Additionally, global risk sentiment remains relatively stable, reducing safe-haven demand. However, geopolitical tensions and potential recessionary fears continue to provide a long-term bullish backdrop for gold. In the Indian context, rupee movement and import policies also impact local gold futures pricing. Until clarity emerges on US economic direction, gold may remain choppy with a short-term bearish bias.
Gold Petal Futures Coil Near ₹9829 – Calm Before the Move?Gold Petal July Futures is currently showing signs of range-bound consolidation after a sharp recovery from the recent low of ₹9651. The price surged aggressively in the last leg but is now hovering around ₹9829 with multiple small-bodied candles, indicating indecision and balance between bulls and bears. Previous sessions show a strong bullish impulse followed by a flattening structure, suggesting that momentum is cooling off. This tight consolidation just below recent swing highs indicates that buyers are hesitant to push higher without a fresh trigger, while sellers are also not aggressively stepping in.
A breakout above ₹9840 with strong volume could trigger a fresh upward rally, while a fall below ₹9780 may lead to a minor correction. This current price action resembles a bullish flag or base-building phase, and traders should wait for a clear directional move before entering. Until then, the structure is neutral with a slight bullish bias.
This consolidation comes at a time when global gold markets are reacting to mixed signals—rising geopolitical tensions are offering support, while strong US economic data and hawkish Fed commentary are limiting upside. Domestic festive demand and favourable rupee movement are lending local strength, but the market remains cautious ahead of key macro data. Until clearer global triggers emerge, this zone between ₹9,826 and ₹9,880 may act as a supply ceiling, with traders needing confirmation before betting on the next leg.
Gold mcx buy given at 96050 , book profit now at 97550, How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below :
Recent High or Low :
D-0% is our recent low or high
Profit booking zone: D13% -D15% is
range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed
SL reversal zone : SL 23% and SL 25% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade
Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and .
Are our Target zone
Gold mcx 99500 to100300 upside target until Friday low not brekaHow My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below :
Recent High or Low :
D-0% is our recent low or high
Profit booking zone: D13% -D15% is
range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed
SL reversal zone : SL 23% and SL 25% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade
Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and .
Are our Target zone
Gold retains a bearish trend after breaching support.Weekly Technical Analysis for Gold
Chart for the reference
- Disclaimer --
This analysis is based on recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources. It is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before trading.
#Boost and comment will be highly appreciated
Double Top Breakdown at Resistance ZoneThe chart reveals a classic Double Top pattern formation near the 3,360–3,480 resistance zone, followed by a clear bearish rejection (highlighted with red arrows). This confirms the presence of strong supply pressure in that region.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
🔺 Double Top Pattern
The price formed two swing highs near the resistance zone, failing to break above.
After the second peak, the price started declining, confirming the reversal pattern.
📉 Bearish Channel
The recent downtrend is contained within a descending channel, with consistent lower highs and lower lows.
Price broke below the neckline of the double top pattern around 3,270.
🎯 Target Projection
Based on the height of the double top pattern, the projected downside target is near 3,207.5, aligning perfectly with the support zone marked below.
🟠 Historical Support Areas
The large orange circles indicate key reaction points, confirming that the 3,207–3,220 area has acted as support in the past.
📊 Outlook:
If the current bearish momentum continues, price is likely to head towards the support target zone at 3,207.5. Any pullback toward 3,320–3,350 could provide a shorting opportunity with stops above the recent highs.
🔧 Bias: Bearish
📍 Resistance: 3,360–3,480
📍 Support: 3,207–3,220
📍 Target: 3,207.5
Gold to loose its shine! Let's see how muchAfter a Fantastic Bull run for Gold.
I see it's loosing it shine to some extent.
It's time to kiss EMA20 (Monthly) after 2 Year when Gold last touches EMA 20 of Monthly time frame in OCT 2023 @ 62500. About 2 Years back.
Today Gold Future in MCX is 95500 There is a good support @ 93500 but if it breaks this convincingly it should loose its shine till 85000 where it would meet the EMA20 (Monthly).
This should happen in next 1-2 months.
In case it can't hold 85000 then the next level of support it would find @ 75000 to make it fair and lovely again.
Gold Futures Bearish Breakdown Alert – 1D Chart (MCX)Gold Futures have breached a crucial support level around the ₹96,000–₹95,800 zone, indicating a potential shift in momentum. The breakdown below this horizontal support, confirmed by a strong red candle, opens the gates for a deeper correction.
🔻 Bearish Observations:
Price has broken down from a consolidation range.
The support zone marked by the blue line has failed to hold, triggering selling pressure.
Bearish engulfing structure suggests sellers are gaining control.
📌 Next Key Level to Watch:
Downside target lies near the ₹93,850 zone — marked by the green support block — which may act as the next demand area.
💡 Outlook:
As long as Gold sustains below the ₹96,000 resistance, the bias remains bearish. Traders may look for shorting opportunities on pullbacks with a tight stop-loss above the breakdown zone.
Gold Petal Futures Near Major Demand Zone – BUYING OPPORTUNITYGold Petal Futures (MCX, 2H) continue to trend lower, now hovering around ₹9,752 after a steep decline from the ₹10,028 resistance zone. The price has broken multiple support levels, including the critical ₹9,902 zone, and is now approaching the next major support near ₹9,671. The repeated lower highs and bearish candles reflect strong short-term selling, but the momentum is slowing, and price is nearing a potential accumulation zone. If ₹9,671 holds, it could act as a springboard for a reversal or at least a technical pullback.
From a macro perspective, this dip presents a value-buying opportunity for long-term investors. While the short-term weakness is driven by a stronger U.S. dollar, stable crude prices, and easing geopolitical tensions, the long-term fundamentals for gold remain robust. Central bank gold purchases, persistent inflation concerns, and upcoming festival-driven demand in India add to the bullish outlook. With gold now available at a discount from recent highs, staggered accumulation near ₹9,700–₹9,670 could offer favorable risk-reward for medium- to long-term portfolios.