BTCMINI trade ideas
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – Full Technical Breakdown - Timeframe: 1DBitcoin (BTC/USDT) – Full Technical Breakdown - Timeframe: 1D
Market Structure & SMC (Smart Money Concepts)
✅ CHoCH (Change of Character) confirmed from $105K top → current lower high around FWB:88K zone.
📉 Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside occurred at $91K.
🟠 Bearish Order Block (OB): $86K– FWB:88K (price currently reacting here).
Liquidity Levels:
Sell-side: Swept at $76K
Buy-side: Sitting above FWB:88K
Fair Value Gap (FVG): Unfilled zone between $81K– GETTEX:82K may act as magnet for price.
ICT Model Alignment
Judas Swing: Sharp liquidity grab below $76K → followed by rebound — classic manipulation before real move.
PD Array Setup:
Resistance: FWB:88K (bearish OB + buy-side liquidity)
Support: $81K (discount zone + FVG)
Elliott Wave Outlook
Wave 1: July–Sept 2024
Wave 3: Nov–Feb rally to $105K (extended wave)
Wave 4: Correction to $76K likely complete
Wave 5 Target: Potential $115K+ if structure holds
Fractal Observation
🔹 Current price structure is mimicking Nov 2023–Jan 2024 pattern
🔹 If history rhymes: consolidation → breakout → retest → parabolic rally
Key Levels to Watch
🔼 Bullish Confirmation: Daily close above FWB:88K → targeting GETTEX:92K –$100K
🔽 Bearish Rejection: Drop below $81K → next support at $74K–$76K
Strategy Summary
🔹 Short-Term Bias: Cautiously Bullish
🔹 Entry Zone: Retest near GETTEX:82K (FVG + OB)
🔹 SL: Below $79.5K
🔹 TP Zones: FWB:88K → GETTEX:92K → GETTEX:98K
📈 R:R = Minimum 1:5 (High confluence)
Keep your eyes on HTF closures and manage risk. Liquidity traps are in play.
Will Bitcoin Test $65000 level soon ?🚨 #BTC/USDT SMC Update and Fresh Analysis 🚨
Our previous short setup played out perfectly with a solid -21% move from the $94,000 region, catching the local top and dumping all the way to $75,000.
What’s next?
From a Smart Money Concepts (SMC) perspective, current PA suggests another local top might be in.
🔹 Bearish Order Block just got tapped
🔹 Strong Resistance seen near the $86,000 level
🔹 Price forming LL (Lower Low) and LH (Lower High) structure
If this setup plays again, we may see a new low below $75,000.
Key Level to Watch:
If a HTF candle closes above $88,200, the short thesis is invalidated — and in that case, we may be looking at a bullish continuation toward the $100,000 zone.
Reminder:
Don’t enter blindly. Wait for confirmations and respect risk management—protect your capital at all costs.
Bitcoin short term fall possible avoid any fresh buy 82300 comeHow to take trades using Harmonic pattern projection Trade setup is explained below :-
Entry : 1st SL point : 0% is recent top or bottom.
Trailing D: 11.4% is work as trailing SL of buy or sell trade if hit then we have to book profit
.If price goes below 2nd D 21.4% to 23.6% range then early traders can make fresh reversals trade after breaking 1st D 11.4% safe traders can reversal trade after breaking Point D 21.4% to 23.6% range
Targets :
Target T1 : 35.1% to 38.3%
Target T3 : 49.1% to 53.2%
T3: 60.9% to 64.8% is our 3rd Target since this is reversal zone so must book profit if break then take fresh trade again
Target T4 : 76.4% to 79.7%
Next Targets are 100% , 127.2% ,141.4% and final Target 161.8%.
How to take reversal trade :
If price going upside/ downside then then buy or sell levels appear on Chart ( Automatically show when price reach any reversal zone of harmonic projection pattern based .
After showing reversal levels wait for confirmation until 21.4% or 28.3 % level not break if break then exit from current buy / sell trade and take fresh reverse trade buy/ sell .
Trailing SL:
After reach 1st Target trail SL to just above or below cost ( for example we are holding sell trade from 100 1st Target 110 hit then move trailing sl to 104-105 and move SL as price move upside or Downside)
Re- Entry :
For Re-entry in any pull back Point D ( 11.4% ) is used for re-entry then SL recent high or low Point SL ( 0% ) .
Blue Line is 1st support/ Resistance
Green line is 2nd support/ resistance
Red line is 3rd Support/ resistance
Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis April 14 Hello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
If my analysis is helpful,
Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
Here is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
There is no Nasdaq indicator announcement today.
I created a strategy based on the possibility of a strong decline in Tether dominance centered on the Gap section at the bottom of Nasdaq and Bitcoin.
*One-way long position strategy when the red finger moves
1. 83,690.8 dollars long position entry section / cut-off price when the green support line is broken
2. 85,772.3 dollars long position 1st target -> Top 2nd -> Good 3rd target.
If the strategy is successful, I have indicated the long position re-entry section.
Today, it is best to maintain the purple support line
because it maintains the mid-term pattern and the daily candle bottom section.
The mid-term pattern can be broken from the 1st section,
and it can be a sideways market until the 2nd section,
and it can decline step by step from the bottom -> 3rd section.
Up to this point, I ask that you simply use my analysis for reference and use only.
I hope that you operate safely with the principle of trading and cut-off price.
Thank you.
BTCUSD READY TO FLY 3500 POINTS..CHECK IT WORLD CLASS ACCURACY??BTCUSD strong zone above only 85550
there is no resistance upto 89000..3500++ point
wait for active mode
Buy above 85550
Stoploss.............84600......950 points
Target1.............87000........1500 points
Target2.............89000++......3500 points
Disclaimer - This level only for education purpose . Do ur own analysis
Magic Indicator - private only script ( any one want 1 week demo for dm me in tradingview. Sent ur username )
Bitcoin Daily Outlook — April 14, 2025Bitcoin is holding firm after breaking the falling trendline and is now playing inside a tight consolidation range. Today’s close is going to be crucial. If it closes above this range cleanly, a strong upside push is expected, aiming towards the next big target near 110k. Right now, it’s clearly in a build-up phase — this is where smart money accumulates before the breakout. The momentum looks positive, and with risk-on sentiment returning across markets plus ETF inflows supporting crypto, bulls have the edge. Also, with halving hype picking up and broader weakness in the dollar, Bitcoin is well-positioned for a drive higher. If price fails to close above this range today, the move might delay, but the bias remains bullish as long as price holds steady and doesn’t slip back into the lower zones.
Complete Beginner’s Guide to Fibonacci, AutoFibGaugeTitle:
Complete Beginner’s Guide to Fibonacci, AutoFibGauge, and How to Plan Perfect Trades! 🎯
⸻
Many traders hear about Fibonacci but don’t really know what it is or how to use it properly.
Here’s a full beginner-friendly guide covering everything — from the math basics to real trading strategies!
What is Fibonacci?
The Fibonacci Sequence is a set of numbers where each number is the sum of the two numbers before it.
It looks like this:
0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144…
This simple rule creates a pattern that we see everywhere in nature:
• In the way flowers bloom
• In the spiral of seashells
• In the structure of hurricanes
• Even in galaxies
Nature follows Fibonacci.
Markets, which are built by human emotions (fear, greed, hope), also often follow Fibonacci behavior.
That’s why Fibonacci is important in trading.
⸻
The Special Golden Ratio — 61.8%
From the Fibonacci sequence, if you divide a number by the next one (e.g., 21 ÷ 34), you get approximately 0.618 — or 61.8%.
This is called the Golden Ratio.
The Golden Ratio shows up in art, architecture, music, human faces, and… yes, financial markets.
In trading, the 61.8% retracement is considered the strongest potential turning point.
If a price pulls back by around 61.8%, there’s a high chance it will bounce and continue the trend.
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What is Fibonacci Retracement in Trading?
In trading, after a big move (up or down), the market rarely moves in a straight line.
It pulls back (corrects) before continuing.
Fibonacci Retracement levels help us predict where the pullback might end and the trend might continue.
Commonly Used Fibonacci Levels:
• 23.6% — Very shallow retracement
• 38.2% — Healthy pullback
• 50.0% — Halfway mark (not a Fibonacci number, but widely watched)
• 61.8% — Golden zone (high probability area)
• 78.6% — Deep retracement before a reversal
Traders look at these levels as support and resistance zones.
⸻
What is AutoFibGauge?
Normally, drawing Fibonacci manually takes time — you have to find correct swings and plot retracement.
AutoFibGauge does it automatically:
• Detects swing highs and swing lows
• Plots Fibonacci retracement levels instantly
• Keeps updating live as price moves
✅ Saves time
✅ Reduces human error
✅ Keeps your chart clean and professional
It’s built for traders who want speed, simplicity, and reliability.
⸻
My Default Settings for AutoFibGauge:
• Swing Length: 25
• Fib Levels Displayed: 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8%, 78.6%, 100%
• Mode: Automatic (finds swings without needing to adjust)
• Visual: Bands instead of just thin lines (for easier viewing)
Adjustment Tip:
• 15 min chart: Swing Length 20–25
• 1 Hour chart: Swing Length 25–30
• 4 Hour chart: Swing Length 30–40
Higher timeframes = Slightly bigger swing lengths.
⸻
How to Plan Entry:
1. Wait for price to approach a major Fibonacci level (especially 38.2%, 50%, or 61.8%).
2. Watch how the candles behave:
• If you see a bullish engulfing candle, hammer, or strong bounce from the level → Good sign to buy.
• If price hesitates or gives bearish reversal → Could signal continuation of downtrend.
3. Combine with trend confirmation tools (QMA, Parabolic SAR, moving averages).
✅ Remember: Confirmation is key.
Don’t just blindly buy or sell because price touched a level.
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How to Plan Exit:
• Set first target at the next major Fibonacci level.
Example:
• If you enter near 61.8%, target 38.2% or 23.6%.
• Another method: Trail your stop-loss behind swing highs/lows as price moves in your favor.
✅ This way you lock profits even if the market reverses later.
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When Fibonacci Works Well:
✅ In trending markets (clear uptrend or downtrend)
✅ When combined with price action or indicators
✅ After strong impulsive moves followed by natural pullbacks
⸻
When Fibonacci Might Not Work Well:
❌ In sideways (rangebound) markets
❌ During extreme news events or unexpected volatility
❌ When used alone without confirmation
Always remember — Fibonacci levels are not magical.
They are guidelines, not exact rules.
You need to combine them with market structure and momentum for best results.
⸻
Real Example (BTC/USD 1H Chart):
• After a rally, price retraced into the 50%-61.8% zone.
• Bullish candles appeared showing price respecting the zone.
• This was an excellent opportunity to plan a long entry with Fibonacci guidance.
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Final Words:
• Fibonacci is not only for “professional” traders — anyone can learn it.
• AutoFibGauge makes using Fibonacci simple and automatic, even if you’re just starting out.
• If you respect the levels, wait for confirmation, and follow a disciplined plan, Fibonacci becomes one of your best trading tools.
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Found this helpful? Tap LIKE ❤ & FOLLOW ➕ for more beginner-to-advanced trading guides every week!
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#Fibonacci #AutoFibGauge #FibonacciRetracement #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #TradingTools #LearnTrading #CryptoTrading #ForexStrategy #SwingTrading #BeginnersGuide
BTCUSD ANALYSIS!As we get closing candle above mentioned lvl our trade is active It has taken SL for safe traders, I have given another lvl for risky traders which is still intact and after hitting sl for safe traders we get our target 🎯 zone. Unfortunately safe traders have to book lose it happens sometimes we can't do anything as BTCUSD is highly volatile so always try to give proper sl and take small lots. I will post new analysis soon if there is good set is available. Happy trading 🤗
Bitcoin buy on dip recommended 86700-87000 then 91700 targetHow to take trades using Harmonic pattern projection Trade setup is explained below :-
Entry : 1st SL point : 0% is recent top or bottom.
Trailing D: 11.4% is work as trailing SL of buy or sell trade if hit then we have to book profit
.If price goes below 2nd D 21.4% to 23.6% range then early traders can make fresh reversals trade after breaking 1st D 11.4% safe traders can reversal trade after breaking Point D 21.4% to 23.6% range
Targets :
Target T1 : 35.1% to 38.3%
Target T3 : 49.1% to 53.2%
T3: 60.9% to 64.8% is our 3rd Target since this is reversal zone so must book profit if break then take fresh trade again
Target T4 : 76.4% to 79.7%
Next Targets are 100% , 127.2% ,141.4% and final Target 161.8%.
How to take reversal trade :
If price going upside/ downside then then buy or sell levels appear on Chart ( Automatically show when price reach any reversal zone of harmonic projection pattern based .
After showing reversal levels wait for confirmation until 21.4% or 28.3 % level not break if break then exit from current buy / sell trade and take fresh reverse trade buy/ sell .
Trailing SL:
After reach 1st Target trail SL to just above or below cost ( for example we are holding sell trade from 100 1st Target 110 hit then move trailing sl to 104-105 and move SL as price move upside or Downside)
Re- Entry :
For Re-entry in any pull back Point D ( 11.4% ) is used for re-entry then SL recent high or low Point SL ( 0% ) .
Blue Line is 1st support/ Resistance
Green line is 2nd support/ resistance
Red line is 3rd Support/ resistance
BTCUSD LONG?Hello traders, once again I'm back to do some chart analysis I usually like to Post swing trades in higher TF rather than smaller TF still right now I just want to ride the trend which is ongoing so I'm posting this advance trade set-up. As you can see BTCUSD has come to previous support zone our entry will be initiate if price close above 84800 lvl in 5min or 15min TF (both are valid) with sl of 84250 and tp of 85600-86000 lvl. Entry will only be valid if it's closing above mentioned lvl other wise trade won't active. This set up give almost 1:2 RR which is good enough for intraday and after you get 1:1 RR don't forget to trail your sl near entry to make it totally risk free, risky traders can put SL near support zone low of 84067 area👍
This is just my personal view, I might go wrong do your own research before taking any trades. and consult your financial advisor before taking trades.
Recommendation to sell BTC (2nd time) TP1 83.500 TP2 82.000Recommendation to sell BTC (2nd time) with the expectation that price will pull back to:
TP1: 83,500
TP2: 82,000
Some key highlights from the chart:
EMA 33 and EMA 38 are acting as support around the 81,200 and 79,245 levels.
There is a strong resistance zone around 85,000 - 85,700, where price has been rejected multiple times.
A clear accumulation zone exists between 82,000 – 83,000, suggesting that if broken, price could drop further.
A long-term descending trendline intersects the current price area → this is a very noteworthy resistance level.
If you are recommending a short position around 84,900, with a stop loss above 85,700 and targets at TP1: 83,500 and TP2: 82,000, the risk/reward ratio looks quite solid, especially if the price fails to break above the strong resistance zone.
✅ Trade Idea Summary:
Position: Short
Entry zone: ~84,900
TP1: 83,500
TP2: 82,000
Stop Loss: Above 85,700
BTCUSD READY TO 1800 POINTS FALL CHANCE BTCUSD if break below 84810
there is no suport upto 83000
curent mkt price 84990
Wait for active zone
Sell below ...............84810
Stoploss...................85150...........340 points
Target1...................84150..........660 points
Target2...................83000...........1800 points
Disclaimer - This level only for education purpose.. Do ur own analysis
BTCUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD BTCUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
BTC/USD) breakout up trand analysis Read The ChaptianMr SMC Trading point update
bullish analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe, showing a potential breakout and rally scenario. breakdown:
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1. Market Structure:
Downtrend Channel: Price has been moving within a falling channel.
Double Bottom Pattern: Marked by two green arrows — a bullish reversal signal.
Breakout Attempt: Price is testing the upper trendline and 200 EMA (~$83,952), suggesting possible breakout.
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2. Key Zones:
FVG (Fair Value Gap): Around $78,678 — a demand zone where price could retest before moving higher.
Breakout Confirmation Zone: ~$85,130 — breaking above this with volume signals strength.
Target Point: $95,206 — an upside target projecting ~31.77% gain from the breakout.
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3. Indicators:
200 EMA: Currently acting as resistance. Break above it confirms bullish momentum.
RSI: Around 60 — pointing upward with bullish divergence from recent lows, showing increasing buying pressure.
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4. Scenarios:
Scenario 1 (Bullish Continuation):
Breaks above trendline and 200 EMA.
Retest (optional) and then heads toward $95,206 target.
Scenario 2 (Retest First):
Price dips into the FVG/demand zone.
Finds support and launches upwards, confirming a strong base.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary of the Idea:
This is a buy setup on breakout or on pullback:
Aggressive Entry: Break and close above $85,130.
Safe Entry: Pullback into $78,678 area (FVG).
Target: $95,206
Risk Zone: Below $78,000 (invalidates bullish structure).
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
BTC Selling Recommendation Target Price: $83,0001. Sell Order
Sell Price Range: $84,900 - $85,000
Volume: (Adjust based on your capital allocation)
2. Target
Target Price: $83,000
Expected Timeframe: Today and tomorrow
3. Stop Loss (STP)
Stop Loss Level: $85,500
This will help limit losses if the market moves against your position.
4. Technical Analysis
Resistance: $84,900 - $85,000
Support: $83,000
EMA: Showing a downtrend
Volume: Watch for increasing selling pressure
5. Monitoring
Continuously monitor price movements and adjust your orders as needed.
Stay alert for news that may impact BTC market conditions.
"Bitcoin Bearish Reversal Setup: Supply Zone Short Strategy"🔵 SUPPLY ZONE (Resistance Area)
💥 Strong selling area around 85,800 - 87,800 USD
Historically, price got rejected here
Expect sellers to step in again
✍️ ENTRY POINT
📍 Just below the supply zone (~85,889.89)
Ideal for short position setup
Watch for bearish candlestick patterns for confirmation
🛑 STOP LOSS
❌ Placed above the supply zone at 87,796.97
Keeps risk under control if breakout happens
🎯 TARGET POINT (Support Area)
📉 Around 78,000 USD
Marked by previous support and structure
Great Risk-to-Reward ratio
📐 PATTERN WATCH
Looks like a harmonic pattern (maybe Gartley or Bat) 🦇
Suggests reversal from point D
Also resembles a rising wedge, which is bearish
📊 EMA (9-period)
🧭 Price hovering above the 9 EMA (84,704)
A break below it = bearish confirmation
Summary
🔻 Bearish bias
🛒 Short near supply zone
❌ SL above 87,800
🎯 TP around 78,000
Bitcoin trading at Resistance level so What Next?🚨 Bitcoin 4H Chart Update
CRYPTOCAP:BTC is now trading right at the trendline resistance on the 4H chart
So what’s next?
1️⃣ Breakout and blast toward $100K?
2️⃣ Or another rejection down below $70K?
The decision point is HERE.
This breakout could change the game.
👇 Drop your thoughts –