BTCMINI trade ideas
Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis March 4Hello
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This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
There is no Nasdaq indicator announcement.
In the analysis I left today,
I would be grateful if it moves sideways without breaking the green support line.
Today's two main points of view are
Whether the 12-hour chart MACD dead cross is in progress
and
The Tether Dominance 4-hour chart center line is above
The thin section of the cloud (possibility of a crash).
I thought it would be complicated if I explained it in both directions,
so I approached it very simply.
It is an ambiguous position before the decline in Tether Dominance (tail section when taking a short position in a plunge)
Bitcoin also touched the support line of the 2-hour Bollinger Band chart today
(additional downtrend or sideways section)
Since there was no short position entry position today,
we proceeded with the final sweep (plunge) of Tether Dominance in line with the 12-hour chart MACD dead cross imprint from 9 PM to 9 AM when the 12-hour candle is created.
If you don't understand, please read it repeatedly.
*When the blue finger moves,
it is a short position strategy
short->long switching strategy.
1. $85,584.5 short position entry section / stop loss price when breaking through the pink resistance line
(The pink resistance line section is the center line of the 4-hour Bollinger Band chart based on Tether Dominance,
but since it is the order of the 4-hour chart MACD dead cross and the positive cloud is maintaining thin,
you should be careful because it can rise strongly when breaking through this section.)
2. $80,103 long position switching section / stop loss price when breaking through the blue support line
(A strong rebound before and after breaking through the blue support line is sweeping through Tether Dominance -> a crash condition.)
3. $86,935.5 long position 1st target
-> After the 12-hour chart MACD dead cross is imprinted, the 2nd target price is the top section
Currently, in Tether Dominance, the 6+12 pattern has touched the daily center line, so the mid-term pattern It's broken.
From reaching the top section, continue to maintain a long position
If the condition is Tether Dominance
Based on the recovery of the 12+ daily pattern
You can see the resistance line of the Bollinger Band 12-hour chart -> near the daily central line.
(Here, take profit and final short switching depending on the situation)
If there is no rebound in the bottom section today
You should look at the 2nd section from Gap7 at the bottom
And if it continues to fall, this week's major rebound section
I will organize it again later.
Please use my analysis article for reference and use only
I hope you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices.
Thank you.
Bitcoin bought at 83000 booked at 94400 again bought 8560000How to take trades using Harmonic pattern projection Trade setup is explained below :-
Entry : 1st SL point : 0% is recent top or bottom.
Trailing D: 11.4% is work as trailing SL of buy or sell trade if hit then we have to book profit
.If price goes below 2nd D 21.4% to 23.6% range then early traders can make fresh reversals trade after breaking 1st D 11.4% safe traders can reversal trade after breaking Point D 21.4% to 23.6% range
Targets :
Target T1 : 35.1% to 38.3%
Target T3 : 49.1% to 53.2%
T3: 60.9% to 64.8% is our 3rd Target since this is reversal zone so must book profit if break then take fresh trade again
Target T4 : 76.4% to 79.7%
Next Targets are 100% , 127.2% ,141.4% and final Target 161.8%.
How to take reversal trade :
If price going upside/ downside then then buy or sell levels appear on Chart ( Automatically show when price reach any reversal zone of harmonic projection pattern based .
After showing reversal levels wait for confirmation until 21.4% or 28.3 % level not break if break then exit from current buy / sell trade and take fresh reverse trade buy/ sell .
Trailing SL:
After reach 1st Target trail SL to just above or below cost ( for example we are holding sell trade from 100 1st Target 110 hit then move trailing sl to 104-105 and move SL as price move upside or Downside)
Re- Entry :
For Re-entry in any pull back Point D ( 11.4% ) is used for re-entry then SL recent high or low Point SL ( 0% ) .
Blue Line is 1st support/ Resistance
Green line is 2nd support/ resistance
Red line is 3rd Support/ resistance
BTC Double Top (M Pattern) - further downside possibleBTC has formed an almost perfect Double Top, with the ATH resistance around 108,500 . The bottom of M pattern is signified by a double bottom formation around 91,400 . Price broke that level, retested as resistance on 3rd March, forming a lower high - lower low pattern.
The M pattern's range shows further downside to 74,000 , which is also a good resistance from previous year's consolidation (March to November 2024).
Expecting BTC to reach this price around April 2025, which may be a good time to accumulate.
We're so back?/It's over ? ! BTC UPDATE !BINANCE:BTCUSDT 4H
1. On Sunday, 02.03, we saw a massive market pump due to the news about the potential creation of a cryptocurrency reserve.
2. In terms of volume, the price increase was not equivalent to the buyer's investment efforts - an obvious manipulative bearish divergence pump!
3.On Monday, we saw the price drop to pre-pump levels, and some people are already thinking about continuing the decline.
4.This drop was not accompanied by equivalent volumes of sellers and we can assume that it has stopped.
EXPECTATIONS: I see the pair rising to 94.460, then pulling back and rising to 98.000 (assuming no breaking news)
$BTC 93K OHS - Overhead Supply zoneOverhead supply zone refers to a large volume of an asset, like a cryptocurrency or stock, held by investors who bought it at a higher price than its current value and are waiting to sell once the price rises to their break-even point or higher.
This creates a "ceiling" of selling pressure at specific price levels, making it harder for the price to break through those zones. At the same time, traders and investors tend to re-test those zones because:
1. Profit-Taking and Break-Even Pressure:
Holders who bought at or above the OHS level (e.g., $93K for #Bitcoin) may sell when the price nears it again, reinforcing #resistance as supply floods in.
2. Market Memory:
Chart #patterns and historical price action draw attention from traders, who anticipate resistance and place sell orders, causing the level to be tested repeatedly.
3. Breakout Attempts:
If demand builds, buyers push the price toward #OHS to test if it can break through. Failed attempts solidify the resistance; successful breaks can turn it into support (a "flip zone").
4. Volume Confirmation:
Each re-test often comes with higher trading volume, as the market gauges whether buying momentum can overcome the selling pressure.
5. External Catalysts or FOMO-Driven Momentum:
It takes a significant external event—like positive regulatory news, a major adoption announcement, or a broader crypto bull run—can spark intense buying pressure. This surge can trigger fear of missing out (FOMO) among traders, driving volume and momentum strong enough to overwhelm the selling pressure from overhead supply.
BTCUSD WEEKLY GANN ANALYSIS UPDATED 04 MARCH 2025We are seeing a bout of profit booking on the BTCUSD with the long awaited 6 figure targets achieved on it. Earlier swing high of 69000 could be back tested if it sustains below 78000. 69000 was hit in Nov 2021.Recent ATH of 109,356 hit in Jan 2025. Swing low in between these two highs was 16256 in Nov 2022. I was looking for a high around 108362. we got 109,356 not bad with my targets achieved. Critical time to watch is second week of May 2025. Momentum can be seen above 104421 and downside can continue below 83260 levels. in between these range we can see consolidation. Caution below 83260. Time window to watch is between 10 March 2025 to 12 May 2025. It will be trader's paradise as it has always been in the recent past.
Happy Trading !!!
BTC ew Update 04-03-2025BTC update
This entire pattern from 20th January high look like WXY pattern till now of higher degree.
It completed the W on 3 Feb with 91500 low and X on 4th feb with 102400 high, and Y which used to
be a 3 wave pattern has unfolded 28 feb by 78000 low.
Now it has bounced as 3 wave structure which is looking like ABC structure.
This pattern has turned back down from 61.8 % fib zone from XY-
Possiblities.
1- it can turn into a ABC and break below 78k
which make this recent Lower high as another X but rules of triple zigzag
didn't allow trendline break
So in that case entire pattern will be a higher degree W and this becomes X.
2- it can bounce higher and and break above 96 k and make higher degree ABC in the zone of 98 to 100k
break above 102K will confirm the breakout to the upside.
3- it can become a ED, 3-3-3-3-3 move which is less likely.
Internal waves of last move down in 15 minute looks like ABC, if it has to show as impulsive than it wave to make another low.
Lets see how it plays out.
*its not any recommendation to trade*
Just EW knowledge
Bitcoin Fresh Technical Analysis and Price Prediction AnalysisBTC/USDT – Technical Analysis Update
📊 Current Price: ~$93,000
📈 Recent Move: Strong bounce from $79,000, surging $17,000 in just a few hours.
Key Technical Levels & Market Structure
🔸 Resistance Zone: $95,000 – This level acts as a critical supply zone. A strong rejection here may trigger short-term corrections.
🔸 Breakout Confirmation (BOS - Break of Structure): A decisive close above $99,600 with volume could confirm bullish continuation towards new highs.
🔸 Support & Downside Risk:
If BTC fails to hold above $95,000, a pullback towards $75,000-$70,000 remains a possibility.
EMAs & Trendline Support: Watch for dynamic support from 50 EMA & ascending trendline in case of retracement.
Market Outlook:
- BTC remains in a bullish structure, but volatility is high.
- RSI & Volume Analysis: Overbought conditions on lower timeframes suggest possible consolidation before the next leg up.
⚠️ Risk Management: Always trade with stop-loss and avoid overleveraging in this volatile market.
📡 Stay tuned for real-time insights!
Note: NFA & DYOR
Bitcoin 3rd Target hit buy given above 82750 , buy on dip How to take trades using Harmonic pattern projection Trade setup is explained below :-
Entry : 1st SL point : 0% is recent top or bottom.
Trailing D: 11.4% is work as trailing SL of buy or sell trade if hit then we have to book profit
.If price goes below 2nd D 21.4% then early traders can make fresh reversals trade after breaking 1st D 11.4% safe traders can reversal trade after breaking 2nd D 21.4%
Targets :
Target T1 : 28.3% ( early trade if entry at 11.4% )
Target T1 : 35.1% to 38.2%
Target T3 : 49.1% to 53.2%
T3: 61.8% to 65.1% is our 3rd Target since this is reversal zone so must book profit if break then take fresh trade again
Target T4 : 76.4% to 79.7%
Next Targets are 100% , 127.2% ,141.4% and final Target 161.8%.
How to take reversal trade :
If price going upside/ downside then then buy or sell levels appear on Chart ( Automatically show when price reach any reversal zone of harmonic projection pattern based .
After showing reversal levels wait for confirmation until 21.4% or 28.3 % level not break if break then exit from current buy / sell trade and take fresh reverse trade buy/ sell .
Trailing SL:
After reach 1st Target trail SL to just above or below cost ( for example we are holding sell trade from 100 1st Target 110 hit then move trailing sl to 104-105 and move SL as price move upside or Downside)
Re- Entry :
For Re-entry in any pull back Point D ( 11.4% ) is used for re-entry then SL recent high or low Point D ( 0% ) .
Target is same as early 21.4% , 28.3 , 35.1 and so on
Blue Line is 1st support/ Resistance
Green line is 2nd support/ resistance
Red line is 3rd Support/ resistance
BTCUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD BTCUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
Bitcoin Following 2013-2017 Fractal - UPDATE -still on target ?
As expected, PA has dropped below the Fractal pattern but given how overBought PA was, this is not surprising and I think I mentioned this last time I posted this chart, that we may drop below.
It does bring up the idea that we may have fallen off the pattern, as there is always a time when PA stops following Fractals..But we have to wait and see
We can see how in August 2023, PA fell below this fractal line..and indeed, to many extents, we were close to a bear entry there. as shown by some on chain data......But PA recovered
We can see how in 2023, PA Accelerated very quickly from this point on the Fractal.
Current PA is NOT in a position to do this.
Weekly MACD is Over Bought and is currently Falling Bearish, cooling off. At current rate of descent, is will be MAY when PA has enough strength on a Weekly chart to try and catch up with the Fractal once again.
You can see that rising Long Term line of support ( Dashed line )
We bounced off it Twice in this cycle...
Once when we began recovery in Jan 2023 and again, When we nearly entered that Bear when we fell under the Fractal in August 2023
A Vertical Drop by PA from current position takes us to 58K usdt on that line
I think I prefer to think we could see 65K off that line if we retrace enough in April.
But I have just posted about the expected MARCH candle Close and how we seem to be more likely to see a RED March and a Green April
So, are we still on track to follow Fractal ?
Impossible to say but if the Monthly candle close chart turns out to be accurate, then we could catch up and overtake the Fractal in Q3
We need to watch this closely...
p.s. A Red Mach candle Close need not be a big drop from current price, a decrease of only 0.01 usdt would create a RED candle....
Bitcoin Monthly Candle Close Colours from 2011 - maybe RED March
The Odds were higher to get a GREEN February Close but we ended up closing RED
Of the previous 3 RED February closes, Everyone was followed by a RED MARCH
Those same previous RED February Candles were all preceded by a GREEN JAN
We have just had a GREEN January and a RED February and so, Odds are that March will also be RED.
But as we saw in the JANUARY post of this chart, the odds were for a GREEN Feb this year....so do not take this as a certainty. For March to close RED, we do not need to see a massive drop. Just 0.01 USDT below this Feb Close is enough
Also on a BEARISH side, the candles colours since October 2024 follow the sequence from pre 2013 ATH to just after, entering a bear
From Oct 2013 till Feb, Green Green Red Green Red- followed by March and April RED also.
From Oct 2024 till Feb, Green Green Red Green Red
On the BULLISH side, and this has a higher % chance of repeating, Of those 3 previous occasions were we had Green Jan then a Red Feb and a Red March, Two of those Three were entering a Bull run. 2012 and 2020
It should be Noted that those years were the years BEFORE Cycle TOP - We are currently IN the year of expected cycle TOP
Currently March is 6 Green - 7 Red monthly closes.
March is Currently GREEN at time of writing ( 1st March )
Of the previous 7 RED March, 5 were followed by a Green April
Of the 6 Green closes, 3 were followed by a Green April
Of those 6 Green March closes, only 2 really led on to further multi month gains.
In conclusion,
We are statistically more likely to get a RED March and that would put us in a better position to continue to reach a cycle ATH later in the year as the weekly MACD is still falling Bearish from High.
This will have cooled off PA and allowed it to range, possibly in a Wyckoff distribution model
A Red March also Gives us a better buying opportunity and MAYBE, MAYBE some time for ALTS to recover some o their losses......Maybe......
But it really should be remembered that we could also be entering a bear. More info is needed before this is seen clearly but caution is certainly something I will continue to talk about.
Stay safe and remain Cautious
BTCUSD ANALYSIS @ 85000 - 02-Mar-2025BTCUSD ANALYSIS @ 85000 - 02-Mar-2025
BTC has done minimum downside target at 87300/81000
Further extension can be 73500. But, as per my view, the bottom would be already in.
Most like, there can be triangle action for couple of months, before next bull move towards 120K.
Base supports: 68500/55555.
Next Upside targets: Long Term Targets:
109K, 121-131-146K
168K
187-196-212K.
Patience vs. Speed: What Makes a Successful Trader?Hello Traders!
Today, let's dive into the age-old debate of Patience vs. Speed in trading. Both traits are critical to success, but knowing when to exercise each is what separates great traders from the rest. Let’s explore how balancing patience and speed can elevate your trading game.
Patience: The Key to Long-Term Success
Patience is a cornerstone of successful trading. It involves waiting for the perfect setup, sticking to your trading plan, and not being swayed by short-term market movements. Here’s how patience can benefit you as a trader:
Better Entry Points : Waiting for the right setup, such as the perfect breakout or the ideal pullback, helps you enter trades with a higher probability of success.
Avoid Emotional Decisions : With patience , you are less likely to make impulsive trades out of fear or greed.
Long-Term Gains : Traders with patience know that trading is a marathon, not a sprint. They focus on long-term growth, rather than trying to catch every small price move.
Speed: The Edge in Fast-Moving Markets
On the other hand, speed is crucial for traders who operate in fast-paced environments. Whether it's scalping , day trading , or reacting to breaking news, speed can help you capitalize on fleeting opportunities. Here's why speed matters:
Quick Action on Signals : Speed allows you to quickly act on technical signals or breaking news. By executing trades faster than others, you can capitalize on short-term volatility.
Maximizing Profits in Short-Term Moves : Speedy traders can take advantage of small price movements to secure profits before the market moves against them.
Faster Adaptation : Speed enables traders to adjust their strategy quickly in response to new market conditions.
Striking the Balance: Patience and Speed
The best traders understand that both patience and speed have their place in their strategy. Here’s how to strike the right balance:
Patience for Setup : Take your time to wait for the best possible entry point. Don’t rush into trades without confirming the setup.
Speed for Execution : Once the trade setup is confirmed, don’t hesitate. Execute the trade quickly to lock in the opportunity.
Know When to Act : Some trades require quick action, while others need more patience to develop. The key is knowing when to exercise each quality.
Conclusion: Mastering Patience and Speed
Successful trading is not about choosing one over the other, but about knowing how to balance patience for finding the right opportunities with the speed to act on them when the time comes. With the right balance, you can become a more efficient and profitable trader.
What do you think? Do you prefer patience or speed in your trades?
Let’s discuss in the comments below!
GREAT BUYING OPPORTUNITY IN BITCOIN. BREAKDOWN OF THE SETUPGREAT BUYING OPPORTUNITY IN BITCOIN. BREAKDOWN OF THE SETUP
In daily time frame btc has taken support from the important level of 61.8 fibonacci level. And it has taken support of 200dma also.
In 15 minutes time frame BTW Has formed head and shoulder pattern also which is showing the target of 91000. So this is a good buying opportunity in bitcoin