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BTCUSD.P trade ideas

BTC Technical Analysis BTC Technical Analysis: Bullish Channel on H4 - Trading Opportunity Hello everyone, let's take a look at BTC's current movement on the H4 chart. The price is trading within a well-defined bullish channel, showing strong upward momentum. Although there was a brief fake-out below the channel, the price quickly bounced back within two H4 candles, confirming the strength of this trend. From an Elliott Wave perspective, it looks like BTC is completing a corrective ABC wave before a new impulse wave begins. This could be a good setup for a short-term trade. Potential Trade Setup: There's an open price gap above the current price, which could act as a resistance zone. This area is a strong candidate for a SHORT entry. My entry point is set around $121,000. I'll be looking to take profits below $118,000. Important points to remember: The MACD is showing a bearish crossover, which might signal a minor pullback. While this short opportunity exists, remember that a LONG trade in the direction of the trend generally has a better win rate. Always trade with caution, especially when going against the main trend. Summary of my plan: Main Strategy: SHORT at $121,000 to catch the ABC correction. Risk Management: My target is below $118,000. I'll be using a tight Stop Loss (SL) to manage risk.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
4
"BTC Hits Premium Zone – Is $117K the Next Stop?""BTC Hits Premium Zone – Is $117K the Next Stop?" Bitcoin has rallied into the $121,000–$123,000 resistance zone, aligning with a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and a Breaker Block, both of which are high-probability reversal points in Smart Money Concepts (SMC). This region represents a premium pricing area, where institutions often take profits and trigger retracements. Key Observations: Liquidity Sweep: Prior highs have been taken, potentially fulfilling buy-side liquidity objectives. Breaker Block Resistance: Price is currently reacting to this zone, indicating sellers stepping in. Fair Value Gap: The unfilled imbalance between $121,000–$123,000 is acting as a short-term supply area. Projected Retracement: A move down toward $117,000 is anticipated, coinciding with prior structure support and a liquidity pocket. Technical Levels: Resistance Zone: $121,000–$123,000 Target Zone: $117,000 (first key support) Major Support: $112,000–$113,000 range Bias: Short-term bearish toward $117,000 before potential continuation, unless price closes strongly above $123,000, invalidating the reversal thesis.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Mentor_Michael03
Part 2 Ride The Big MovesAdvanced Options Strategies Butterfly Spread When to Use: Expect stock to stay near a specific price. How It Works: Buy 1 ITM option, sell 2 ATM options, buy 1 OTM option. Risk: Limited. Reward: Highest if stock ends at middle strike. Example: Stock ₹100, buy call ₹95, sell 2 calls ₹100, buy call ₹105. Calendar Spread When to Use: Expect low short-term volatility but possible long-term move. How It Works: Sell short-term option, buy long-term option at same strike. Risk: Limited to net premium. Reward: Comes from time decay of short option. Ratio Spread When to Use: Expect limited move in one direction. How It Works: Buy 1 option, sell multiple options at different strikes. Risk: Unlimited on one side if not hedged. Diagonal Spread When to Use: Expect gradual move over time. How It Works: Buy long-term option at one strike, sell short-term option at different strike.
OKX:BTCUSDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
5
Part4 Institutional TradingWhy Traders Use Options Options aren’t just for speculation — they have multiple uses: Speculation – Betting on price moves. Hedging – Protecting an existing investment from loss. Income Generation – Selling options for premium income. Risk Management – Limiting losses through defined-risk trades. Basic Options Strategies (Beginner Level) Buying Calls When to Use: You expect the price to go up. How It Works: You buy a call option to lock in a lower purchase price. Risk: Limited to the premium paid. Reward: Unlimited upside. Example: Stock at ₹100, buy a call at ₹105 strike for ₹3 premium. If stock rises to ₹120, your profit = ₹12 – ₹3 = ₹9 per share. Buying Puts When to Use: You expect the price to go down. How It Works: You buy a put option to sell at a higher price later. Risk: Limited to the premium. Reward: Significant (but capped at the strike price minus premium). Example: Stock at ₹100, buy a put at ₹95 for ₹2 premium. If stock drops to ₹80, profit = ₹15 – ₹2 = ₹13.
OKX:BTCUSDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
3
BTC Head & Shoulders Alert – Possible Breakdown!🚨 BTC Head & Shoulders Alert – Possible Breakdown! 🚨 Bitcoin is showing a clear Head & Shoulders pattern on the 15m chart. Price is hovering near the $118,500 neckline, with sellers trying to push lower. 🔹 Key Levels: Pattern: Head & Shoulders – bearish reversal setup Breakdown Zone: Around $118,500 Immediate Support: $117,637 Major Target: $116,605 (measured move from pattern) Invalidation: A close above $118,913 could flip bias bullish 📌 Plan: Watch if BTC sustains below $118,500. If confirmed, bears could aim for $117,600 and then $116,600. Bulls need to reclaim $118,913 to negate the setup. #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTrading #HeadAndShoulders #BTCAnalysis #PriceAction #CryptoSignals #BitcoinPrice #TradingSetup #CryptoCommunity #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoMarkets
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by FinanciallyFreedomTrader
RSI Reversal Strategy 1. Introduction to RSI and Why Reversals Matter In the world of trading, trends are exciting, but reversals are where many traders find their “gold mines.” Why? Because reversals can catch market turning points before a new trend develops, giving you maximum profit potential from the very start of the move. One of the most widely used tools to spot these turning points is the Relative Strength Index (RSI). Developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1978, the RSI measures the speed and magnitude of recent price changes to determine whether an asset is overbought or oversold. In simple words: RSI tells you when prices have gone too far, too fast, and may be ready to reverse. It’s like a “market pressure gauge” — too much pressure on one side, and the price often snaps back. The RSI Reversal Strategy uses these extreme readings to anticipate when a price trend is likely to stall and reverse direction. 2. The RSI Formula (for those who like the math) While you don’t need to calculate RSI manually in modern charting platforms, it’s important to understand what’s going on under the hood: 𝑅 𝑆 𝐼 = 100 − ( 100 1 + 𝑅 𝑆 ) RSI=100−( 1+RS 100 ​ ) Where: RS = Average Gain over N periods ÷ Average Loss over N periods N = The lookback period (commonly 14) Interpretation: RSI ranges from 0 to 100 Traditionally: Above 70 = Overbought Below 30 = Oversold Extreme reversals are often spotted above 80 or below 20. 3. Why RSI Works for Reversals Price movement isn’t random chaos — it’s driven by human behavior: fear, greed, panic, and FOMO. When price rises too quickly, buyers eventually run out of fuel. When price drops too sharply, sellers get exhausted. The RSI measures momentum — and momentum always slows down before a reversal. The RSI reversal logic is basically saying: “If this much buying or selling pressure was unsustainable before, it’s probably unsustainable now.” 4. Types of RSI Reversal Setups There are several patterns you can use with RSI to detect reversals. Let’s go step-by-step. 4.1 Classic Overbought/Oversold Reversal Idea: When RSI > 70 (or 80), the asset may be overbought → look for short opportunities. When RSI < 30 (or 20), the asset may be oversold → look for long opportunities. Example Logic: RSI crosses above 70 → wait for it to fall back below 70 → enter short. RSI crosses below 30 → wait for it to climb back above 30 → enter long. Pros: Very simple, beginner-friendly. Cons: Works better in ranging markets, can fail in strong trends. 4.2 RSI Divergence Reversal Idea: Price makes a new high, but RSI fails to make a new high — or vice versa. This signals that momentum is weakening, even though price hasn’t reversed yet. Types: Bearish Divergence: Price forms higher highs, RSI forms lower highs → possible top. Bullish Divergence: Price forms lower lows, RSI forms higher lows → possible bottom. Why it works: Divergence shows that momentum is not supporting the current price movement — a common pre-reversal sign. 4.3 RSI Failure Swing Idea: An RSI reversal where the indicator attempts to re-test an extreme level but fails. Bullish Failure Swing: RSI drops below 30 (oversold) RSI rises above 30, then drops again but stays above 30 RSI then breaks the previous high → bullish signal Bearish Failure Swing: RSI rises above 70 (overbought) RSI drops below 70, then rises again but stays below 70 RSI then breaks the previous low → bearish signal 4.4 RSI Reversal Zone Strategy Idea: Instead of only looking at 30/70, use custom zones like 20/80 or 25/75 to filter out false signals in trending markets. 5. Timeframes and Market Suitability RSI works in all markets — stocks, forex, crypto, commodities — but the effectiveness changes with the timeframe. Scalping/Intraday: 1-min, 5-min, 15-min → RSI 7 or RSI 14 with tighter zones (20/80) Swing Trading: 1H, 4H, Daily → RSI 14 standard settings Position Trading: Daily, Weekly → RSI 14 or 21 for smoother signals Tip: Shorter timeframes = more signals, but more noise. Longer timeframes = fewer signals, but stronger reliability. 6. Complete RSI Reversal Strategy Rules (Basic Version) Let’s build a straightforward rule set. Parameters: RSI period: 14 Zones: 30 (oversold), 70 (overbought) Buy Setup: RSI drops below 30 RSI rises back above 30 Confirm with price action (e.g., bullish engulfing candle) Stop-loss below recent swing low Take profit at 1:2 risk-reward or when RSI nears 70 Sell Setup: RSI rises above 70 RSI drops back below 70 Confirm with price action (e.g., bearish engulfing candle) Stop-loss above recent swing high Take profit at 1:2 risk-reward or when RSI nears 30 7. Advanced RSI Reversal Strategy Enhancements A pure RSI reversal system can be prone to false signals, especially during strong trends. Here’s how to improve it: 7.1 Combine with Support & Resistance Only take RSI oversold longs near a support zone. Only take RSI overbought shorts near a resistance zone. 7.2 Add Volume Confirmation Look for volume spikes or unusual activity when RSI hits reversal zones — stronger reversal probability. 7.3 Use Multiple Timeframe Confirmation If you see an RSI reversal on a 15-min chart, check the 1H chart. When both timeframes align, the reversal is more likely to work. 7.4 Combine with Candlestick Patterns Reversal candlestick patterns like: Hammer / Inverted Hammer Doji Engulfing Morning/Evening Star … can make RSI signals much more reliable. 7.5 RSI Trendline Breaks Draw trendlines directly on RSI. If RSI breaks its own trendline, it can signal an early reversal before price follows. 8. Risk Management for RSI Reversal Trading Even the best reversal setups fail sometimes — especially in strong trends where RSI can stay overbought or oversold for a long time. Golden Rules: Never risk more than 1–2% of your capital on a single trade. Always place a stop-loss — don’t assume the reversal will happen immediately. Use a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2. Avoid revenge trading after a loss — overtrading is the #1 account killer. 9. Example Trade Walkthrough Let’s go through a bullish RSI reversal trade on a stock. Market: Reliance Industries (Daily chart) Observation: RSI drops to 22 (extremely oversold) while price nears a major support level from last year. Trigger: RSI crosses back above 30 with a bullish engulfing candle on the daily chart. Entry: ₹2,350 Stop-loss: ₹2,280 (below swing low) Target: ₹2,500 (risk-reward ~1:2) Result: Price rallies to ₹2,520 in 7 trading days. 10. Common Mistakes to Avoid Using RSI blindly without price action RSI needs context — never enter just because it’s overbought or oversold. Trading against strong trends RSI can stay extreme for a long time; wait for price action confirmation. Too small timeframes for beginners Lower timeframes have too much noise — start with daily/4H charts. Ignoring market news Fundamental events can invalidate technical signals instantly. Conclusion The RSI Reversal Strategy is powerful because it taps into one of the most consistent behaviors in the market — momentum exhaustion. When applied with proper filters like support/resistance, candlestick confirmation, and disciplined risk management, it can become a high-probability trading edge. However — and this is key — no strategy is bulletproof. The RSI Reversal Strategy will fail sometimes, especially in parabolic moves or during strong news-driven trends. Your long-term success depends on how well you manage risk and filter bad signals. Think of RSI as your early warning radar, not an autopilot. Let it tell you when to pay attention, then confirm with your trading plan before taking action.
OKX:BTCUSDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
3
Inflation Countdown: BTC and ETH at Key Levels Ahead of CPI Market focus is quickly turning to the US CPI report coming up this week. A higher-than-expected figure might weigh on risk assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum, keeping the former in rangebound mode and the latter fighting for a handle above $4,000. Ethereum is consolidating just above the $4,150 level after a sharp rally. The recent higher highs and higher lows keep the short-term bias bullish, but a sustained move below $4,100 could indicate shifting momentum. Bitcoin is testing resistance at $119,000 after a solid recovery from below $113,000. The price remains inside a broader range between $116,000 and $123,000, with repeated upper wicks signalling sellers defending the top of the range.
BLACKBULL:BTCUSD
by BlackBull_Markets
1
Psychology & Risk Management in Trading 1. Introduction Trading is often thought of as a purely numbers-driven game — charts, technical indicators, fundamental analysis, and economic data. But in reality, the true battlefield is inside your head. Two traders can have access to the exact same market data, yet end up with completely different results. The difference lies in psychology and risk management. Psychology determines how you make decisions under pressure. Risk management determines whether you survive long enough to benefit from good decisions. Think of trading as a three-legged stool: Strategy – Your technical/fundamental system for entering and exiting trades. Psychology – Your ability to stick to the plan under real conditions. Risk Management – Your safeguard against catastrophic loss. If one leg is missing, the stool collapses. A profitable strategy without psychological discipline becomes useless. A strong mindset without proper risk controls eventually faces ruin. And perfect risk management without skill or discipline simply results in slow losses. Our goal here is to align mindset with money management for long-term success. 2. Understanding Trading Psychology 2.1. Why Psychology Matters More Than You Think When you’re trading, money is not just numbers — it represents: Security (fear of losing it) Freedom (desire to win more) Ego (feeling smart or dumb based on market outcomes) This emotional attachment creates mental biases that cloud judgment. Unlike a chessboard, the market is an uncertain game — the same move can lead to a win or loss depending on external forces beyond your control. The primary enemy is not “the market,” but you: Closing winning trades too early out of fear. Holding onto losing trades hoping they’ll recover. Overtrading to “make back” losses. Avoiding valid setups after a losing streak. 2.2. The Main Psychological Biases in Trading 1. Loss Aversion Humans hate losing more than they like winning. Research shows losing $100 feels twice as bad as gaining $100 feels good. In trading, this causes: Refusing to take stop losses. Adding to losing positions to “average down.” 2. Overconfidence Bias After a streak of wins, traders often overestimate their skill. Example: Turning a $1,000 account into $2,000 in a week might lead to doubling trade size without a valid reason. 3. Confirmation Bias Seeking only information that supports your existing view. If you’re bullish on gold, you might only read bullish news and ignore bearish signals. 4. Recency Bias Giving too much weight to recent events. A trader who just experienced a big rally might expect it to continue, ignoring long-term resistance levels. 5. Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) Jumping into trades without proper analysis because you see the market moving. 6. Revenge Trading Trying to “get back” at the market after a loss by taking impulsive trades. 2.3. Emotional States and Their Effects Fear – Leads to hesitation, missed opportunities, and premature exits. Greed – Leads to over-leveraging and chasing setups. Hope – Keeps traders in losing trades far longer than necessary. Regret – Causes paralysis, stopping you from entering new opportunities. Euphoria – False sense of invincibility, leading to reckless trades. 3. Mastering the Trader’s Mindset 3.1. Accepting Uncertainty Markets are probabilistic, not certain. The best trade setups still lose sometimes. The key is to think in terms of probabilities, not certainties. Mental shift: Bad trade ≠ losing trade. Good trade ≠ winning trade. A “good trade” is one where you followed your plan and managed risk — regardless of the outcome. 3.2. Developing Discipline Discipline means doing what your trading plan says every time, even when you feel like doing otherwise. Practical ways to build discipline: Pre-market checklist (entry/exit rules, risk per trade, market conditions). Post-trade review to identify emotional decisions. Simulated trading to practice following rules without monetary pressure. 3.3. Managing Emotional Cycles Traders often go through repeated emotional phases: Excitement – New strategy, first wins. Euphoria – Overconfidence and overtrading. Fear/Panic – Sharp drawdown after reckless trades. Desperation – Trying to recover losses quickly. Resignation – Stepping back, reevaluating. Rebuilding – Adopting better discipline. Your goal is to flatten the cycle, reducing extreme highs and lows. 4. Risk Management: The Survival Mechanism 4.1. The Goal of Risk Management Trading is not about avoiding losses — losses are inevitable. The aim is to control the size of your losses so they don’t destroy your capital or confidence. 4.2. The Three Pillars of Risk Management 1. Position Sizing Determine how much capital to risk per trade. Common rules: Risk only 1–2% of total capital on any single trade. Example: If you have ₹1,00,000 and risk 1% per trade, your max loss is ₹1,000. 2. Stop Losses Predetermined exit points to limit losses. Hard stops – Fixed at a price level. Trailing stops – Move with the trade to lock in profits. 3. Risk-Reward Ratio A measure of potential reward vs. risk. Example: Risk: ₹500 Potential Reward: ₹1,500 R:R = 1:3 (good) 4.3. The Power of Capital Preservation Here’s why big losses are dangerous: Lose 10% → Need 11% gain to recover. Lose 50% → Need 100% gain to recover. The bigger the loss, the harder the comeback. Capital preservation should be your #1 priority. 4.4. Avoiding Overleveraging Leverage magnifies both gains and losses. Many traders blow accounts not because their strategy was bad, but because they used excessive leverage. 5. Integrating Psychology with Risk Management 5.1. The Feedback Loop Poor psychology → Poor risk decisions → Bigger losses → Worse psychology. You must break the loop by locking in good risk rules before trading. 5.2. The Risk Management Mindset Treat each trade as just one of thousands you’ll make. Focus on execution quality, not daily P/L. Celebrate following your plan, not just winning. 5.3. Journaling A trading journal should include: Entry/exit points and reasons. Risk per trade. Emotional state before/during/after. Lessons learned. Over time, patterns emerge that reveal weaknesses in both mindset and risk control. 6. Practical Tips for Building Psychological Strength Meditation & Mindfulness – Keeps emotions in check. Physical Health – A healthy body supports a calm mind. Sleep – Fatigue increases impulsive decisions. Routine – Structured trading hours reduce stress. Detach from P/L – Judge performance over months, not days. 7. Case Studies: When Psychology Meets Risk Case Study 1 – The Overconfident Scalper Wins 10 trades in a row, doubles position size. One loss wipes out previous gains. Lesson: Stick to fixed risk % per trade regardless of winning streaks. Case Study 2 – The Hopeful Investor Holds losing position for months. Avoids taking stop loss because “it’ll recover.” Lesson: Hope is not a strategy; use predefined exits. 8. Conclusion Trading success is 20% strategy and 80% mindset + risk control. The market will always test your patience, discipline, and emotional control. By mastering your psychology and implementing rock-solid risk management, you give yourself the best chance not just to make money — but to stay in the game long enough to grow it.
OKX:BTCUSDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
2
BTC/USDThe BTC/USD trade with an entry price of 116,579, stop-loss at 116,404, and exit price at 116,932 is a short-term buy trade setup aimed at capturing a modest upward movement in Bitcoin’s price. This trade targets a profit of approximately 353 points, with a controlled risk of about 175 points, giving a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of nearly 1:2. The entry price of 116,579 is likely chosen after confirming bullish momentum through technical analysis. This could include a breakout above a short-term resistance level, a bounce from support, or confirmation from indicators such as RSI, MACD, or moving averages. Entering at this point suggests the trader expects continued upward movement toward the profit target. The stop-loss at 116,404 is placed strategically below a recent support area. This ensures that if the market moves against the trade, losses are minimized and capital is preserved. In volatile assets like Bitcoin, having a tight but logical stop-loss is critical to avoid large drawdowns. The exit price of 116,932 serves as the take-profit level. This target is likely aligned with a nearby resistance zone or calculated through chart patterns like Fibonacci extensions. Securing profits at this point helps prevent losses from sudden reversals. Overall, this setup reflects disciplined trading with a well-defined entry, strict risk control, and a realistic profit goal—key elements for consistent success in BTC/USD trading.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by smohdyusuf66
1
Part9 Trading MasterclassCategories of Options Strategies Directional Strategies – Profit from a clear bullish or bearish bias. Neutral Strategies – Profit from time decay or volatility drops. Volatility-Based Strategies – Profit from big moves or volatility increases. Hedging Strategies – Reduce risk on existing positions. Directional Strategies Bullish Strategies These make money when the underlying price rises. Long Call Setup: Buy 1 Call When to Use: Expect sharp upside. Risk: Limited to premium paid. Reward: Unlimited. Example: Nifty at 22,000, buy 22,200 Call for ₹150. If Nifty rises to 22,500, option might be worth ₹300+, doubling your investment. Bull Call Spread Setup: Buy 1 ITM/ATM Call + Sell 1 higher strike Call. Purpose: Lower cost vs. long call. Risk: Limited to net premium paid. Reward: Limited to difference between strikes minus premium. Example: Buy 22,000 Call for ₹200, Sell 22,500 Call for ₹80 → Net cost ₹120. Max profit ₹380 (if Nifty at or above 22,500). Bull Put Spread (Credit Spread) Setup: Sell 1 higher strike Put + Buy 1 lower strike Put. Purpose: Earn premium in bullish to neutral markets. Risk: Limited to spread width minus premium. Example: Sell 22,000 Put ₹200, Buy 21,800 Put ₹100 → Credit ₹100.
OKX:BTCUSDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
4
BTC HOURLY CHART ANALYSISHere you can understand movement of BTC easily there is a triangle ABCD pattern in yellow dotted line where break out is clearly visible at point D ,After breakout came to take support which is shown here i orrange horrizontal line. And now we will come to ascending channel which is in blue coloured parrallel line. BTC following this channel you can buy/sell at support and resistance . during trading take care of breakout /breakdown ad decide as per situation. this is not my buy/sell call.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by OVIMONT
BTCUSD Eyes Lowest Support Retest-Weakness PersistsThis 15-minute chart on BTCUSD reflects sustained bearish conditions, with clear rejection patterns and sell momentum guided by Leola Lens SignalPro overlays. 🔍 Technical Structure Highlights 🔻 Multiple SELL signals continue to appear below compression zones — indicating persistent supply. 🟡 Caution Labels marked each major swing low, capturing high-probability trend reversal zones, but no structural breakout followed. 🟥 Price remains trapped beneath both adaptive red and white base trendlines, confirming dominant downside bias. 🟩 A brief BUY signal appeared inside a narrow range, but failed to follow through — highlighting overall market weakness. 🔁 What to Watch A clean move above $113,374 is needed to shift momentum toward the $114,800–$116,000 resistance band. If rejection holds, price may rotate back toward the lower support zone near $112,713, or further. 🧠 This chart illustrates a structure-first approach using Leola Lens SignalPro. For educational analysis only. Trade safe. #BTCUSD #Bitcoin #Crypto #LeolaLens #StructureTrading #SmartContext #PriceAction
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by LEOLALENS-OFFICIAL
Bitcoin Short-Term Rejection at Golden Pocket Zone!Bitcoin faced strong resistance near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (~116,400), aligning perfectly with a descending trendline from the previous highs — a classic confluence zone for a rejection. 🔻 Price formed a rejection wick and is now trading below that key zone, suggesting potential bearish pressure unless bulls reclaim and sustain above 116.4K. 📌 Key Levels: Resistance: 116,400 (61.8% Fib + Trendline) Immediate Support Zone: 115,250–114,500 Deeper Demand Zone: 113,250–113,000 💡 Watch how price reacts at the mid-support zone (115k). If broken, BTC could revisit the deep demand zone. Bulls must reclaim 116.4K for further upside continuation. ⚔️ Structure: Lower High in play ⏳ Timeframe: 1H 🛑 Bias: Short-term Bearish unless breakout confirmed above 116.4K #Bitcoin #BTC #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #PriceAction #Fibonacci #SupportResistance #BearishRejection #CryptoIndia #BitcoinAnalysis #BTCUpdate
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by FinanciallyFreedomTrader
1
BTC Correction Over? Not yet!The day candle is yet to close, and even though the current price for BTC has penetrated above 20DEMA, the correction isn't technically over. Two hurdles remain to be conquered by the bulls. First, getting over the upward trend line (blue), which is now acting as resistance. Second, crossing above the falling parallel channel (purple). I would call it the end of correction when BTC closes above $117,339 on a daily chart. That level is also the lowest closing price during the 19-day consolidation.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by xumit
Part9 Trading MasterclassHow Options Work Let’s break this down with an example. Call Option Example: You buy a call option on Stock A with a strike price of ₹100, paying a premium of ₹5. If the stock price rises to ₹120, you can buy it for ₹100 and sell it for ₹120—earning a ₹20 profit per share, minus the ₹5 premium, netting ₹15. If the stock stays below ₹100, you simply let the option expire. Your loss is limited to the ₹5 premium. Put Option Example: You buy a put option on Stock A with a strike price of ₹100, paying a ₹5 premium. If the stock falls to ₹80, you can sell it for ₹100—earning ₹20, minus ₹5 premium = ₹15 profit. If the stock stays above ₹100, the option expires worthless. Again, your loss is limited to ₹5. Why Trade Options? A. Leverage Options require a smaller initial investment compared to buying stocks, but they can offer significant returns. B. Risk Management (Hedging) Options can hedge against downside risk. For example, if you own shares, buying a put option can protect you against losses if the price falls. C. Income Generation Writing (selling) options like covered calls can generate consistent income. D. Strategic Flexibility You can profit in bullish, bearish, or neutral markets using different strategies.
OKX:BTCUSDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
4
IPO & SME IPO Trading Strategies1. Understanding IPOs and SME IPOs A. What is an IPO? An Initial Public Offering (IPO) is when a private company issues shares to the public for the first time. This transitions the company from being privately held to publicly traded on stock exchanges such as NSE or BSE. Objectives of IPO: Raise capital for expansion, debt repayment, or R&D. Provide liquidity to existing shareholders. Enhance brand visibility and corporate governance. B. What is an SME IPO? SME IPOs are IPOs issued by Small and Medium Enterprises under a special platform like NSE Emerge or BSE SME. They have: Lower capital requirements (₹1 crore to ₹25 crore). Minimum application size of ₹1-2 lakh. Limited liquidity post-listing due to low float and trading volume. SME IPO Characteristics: Typically involve regional businesses, startups, or family-run enterprises. Volatile listings; both massive upmoves and severe falls. HNI & Retail driven subscriptions. 2. IPO Trading vs Investing There are two main approaches to IPO participation: Type Objective Horizon Focus IPO Trading Capture listing gains Short-Term Sentiment, Subscription, Grey Market Premium IPO Investing Long-term wealth creation 1–3+ years Fundamentals, Business Model, Financials Smart traders often mix both: aim for short-term gains in hyped IPOs and long-term holds in quality businesses like DMart, Nykaa, or Syrma SGS (for SME IPOs). 3. Key Pre-IPO Metrics to Track A. Grey Market Premium (GMP) Unofficial trading before the listing. High GMP indicates strong sentiment but can be manipulated. B. Subscription Data Track QIB, HNI, and Retail bids: QIB-heavy IPOs → Institutional confidence. HNI oversubscription → High leveraged bets. Retail overbooking → Mass interest. C. Anchor Book Participation High-quality anchors (like mutual funds, FPIs) validate the IPO’s credibility. D. Valuation Comparison Compare PE, EV/EBITDA, and Market Cap/Sales with listed peers to spot under/over-valuation. E. Financial Strength Growth consistency, debt levels, margins, and cash flows are critical for long-term investing. 4. IPO Trading Strategies A. Strategy 1: Grey Market Sentiment Play Objective: Capture listing gains based on GMP trend and subscription buzz. Steps: Track GMP daily before listing (via IPO forums/Telegram). Apply in IPOs where GMP is rising + oversubscription >10x overall. Exit on listing day—especially in frothy market conditions. Example: IPO of Ideaforge, Cyient DLM saw over 50% listing gains using this sentiment-led approach. Risk: GMP can be manipulated; exit if listing falls below issue price. B. Strategy 2: QIB-Focused Play Objective: Follow institutional money to ride solid listings. Steps: Check final day subscription numbers: QIB > 20x: High confidence Retail < 3x: Less crowded Apply via multiple demat accounts (family/friends). Hold 1–5 days post listing if the stock consolidates above issue price. Example: LIC IPO had poor QIB response → poor listing. In contrast, Mankind Pharma had solid QIB backing → stable listing + rally. C. Strategy 3: Volatility Breakout Listing Day Trade Objective: Trade listing day volatility using price action. Steps: Wait for 15–20 mins after listing. Use 5-minute candles to identify breakout/breakdown. Trade the direction with volume confirmation. Tools: VWAP as intraday trend indicator. RSI divergence for reversal points. SL near listing price or day’s low/high. Ideal For: Fast traders using terminals like Zerodha, Upstox, or Angel One. D. Strategy 4: IPO Allotment to Listing Arbitrage Objective: Profit between allotment date and listing date when GMP rises. Steps: Apply in SME or hot IPOs via ASBA. If allotted, and GMP rises 2–3x, sell pre-listing via grey market (via IPO dealers). No market risk on listing day. Note: SME IPOs have active grey markets. Example: SME IPOs like Zeal Global or Droneacharya had pre-listing buyouts at massive premiums. E. Strategy 5: Post-Listing Re-Entry on Dip Objective: Re-enter quality IPOs after listing correction. Steps: If IPO lists flat or down due to weak market, wait for panic selling. Re-enter when price approaches IPO issue price or support zones. Use fundamentals + volume profile for entry. Example: Zomato, Paytm corrected 30–50% post-listing, then rebounded on improved sentiment. 5. SME IPO Specific Strategies A. Strategy 6: Low-Float Listing Momentum Objective: Capture momentum due to low float and limited sellers. Steps: Identify SME IPOs with issue size < ₹25 crore and float < 10%. Strong HNI + retail over-subscription + no QIB dilution. Hold 2–3 days post listing; ride circuit filters. Warning: Exit when volumes dry up or promoter pledges shares. B. Strategy 7: SME IPO Fundamental Bet Objective: Identify potential multi-baggers from new economy SMEs. Checklist: Niche business model (EV, automation, D2C, defence). Revenue CAGR >20% YoY. EBITDA Margin >10%. Clean auditor + experienced management. Example: SME stocks like Syrma SGS, Droneacharya, Concord Biotech became multi-baggers. Hold Duration: 1–2 years with regular results tracking. 6. IPO & SME IPO Risk Management A. Avoid Bubble IPOs Stay away from IPOs with: Unrealistic GMP vs fundamentals. Massive dilution by promoters. Peer valuations show overpricing. B. Avoid Leverage in SME IPOs Leverage via NBFC funding in SME IPOs can lead to forced selling. C. Exit When GMP Crashes Pre-Listing Sudden GMP collapse = bad sentiment/news. Exit if listing turns risky. D. Avoid Penny SME IPOs New SEBI rules aim to stop manipulation, but penny stocks still see pump-and-dump schemes. Check: Past promoter frauds. Unrealistic financials. Low auditor credibility. Conclusion IPO and SME IPO trading isn’t just about luck or hype—it’s about data-driven decisions, sentiment analysis, technical timing, and smart risk control. With the right strategies, traders can enjoy quick gains, while long-term investors can spot future market leaders early. Key Takeaways: For short-term listing gains, focus on GMP, subscription trends, and QIB interest. For long-term wealth, choose fundamentally strong IPOs with scalability. In SME IPOs, look for low-float momentum or niche growth companies. Always apply with discipline, avoid chasing every IPO.
OKX:BTCUSDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
1
BTC BUY PLAN - 4HR BULLISH SETUPBitcoin is currently showing signs of strength on the 4H chart, with a bullish shift in structure forming around a key Order Block (OB). I’m tracking the following plan: 🟢 Buy Zone 114,000 – 113,500 This zone is built around a 4H OB + fractal structure shift. A bullish reaction here could trigger continuation. Stop Loss (SL): 112,000 🎯 Targets TP1: 116,500 TP2: 117,500 These levels align with liquidity above recent highs and prior inefficiency zones. 📌 Trade Idea The 4H chart trend is bullish, and the structure has shifted in favor of buyers. However, confirmation from price action is key before entering. Patience is important — wait for the price to respect the buy zone and signal strength. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Always use strict risk management.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by ExoFx-Subhash
[LONG] BTCUSDT - Wave 5 Elliott Wave forecast 🧠 Technical Analysis Summary (Elliott Wave Perspective) ✅ Pattern Structure Observed: Wave 1–2–3–4 appears to be complete or nearly complete. The current price action suggests we are potentially entering Wave 5, following a successful Wave 4 correction. The chart shows: A bullish flag/channel breakout. A well-respected parallel rising channel, hinting Wave 5 is forming. EMA support (purple line) is holding. Volume remains relatively low but stable. 📈 Wave 5 Forecast: Target: Near 136,824 (as marked on your Fibonacci level 1), aligning with the upper boundary of the channel. Launch Zone: Around 112,060, where Wave 4 likely ended (Fibonacci 0). Price Projection: Wave 5 can reach or slightly overshoot the upper resistance of the yellow rising wedge. 🧭 Indicators: Volume: No large spike yet — if a breakout begins, look for a confirming volume surge. RSI (bottom indicator): Currently neutral. No extreme overbought/oversold — leaves room for upward movement. 🧮 Elliott Wave Count (Annotated): Wave 1: Start of May to mid-May Wave 2: Mid-May to late May pullback Wave 3: June rally into mid-July Wave 4: Late July correction (falling wedge/bull flag) Wave 5: Aug–Sep potential move up, projected in red arrow 🔔 Things to Watch: Break above the mini wedge (Wave 4 flag) is critical. RSI divergence near the top of Wave 5 could signal exhaustion. Volume confirmation will help validate a true breakout. Channel support/resistance should be monitored closely for invalidation.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Trading-Lead
Bitcoin Analysis – 1H ChartBearish Pennant forming — price is consolidating within a descending triangle/pennant after a sharp drop, indicating a possible continuation. 🔺 Key Resistance Zones: $114,509 – $114,742 (marked with dark red zone) Fibonacci 50% – 61.8% levels aligning with this resistance zone 🔻 Support Zones: $112,533 (current 78.6% fib retracement acting as intraday support) $109,320 – $108,720 (potential bounce zone) $105,503 – $105,097 (final bearish target if breakdown continues) 📐 Fibonacci Retracement Levels Price retraced to 50%–61.8% and is now testing lower levels. Breakdown from this region confirms bearish pressure. 📈 Bias: Bearish below $113,000 📉 Next Potential Target: Short-term: $109,300 Medium-term: $105,000 💬 Conclusion: BTC is showing weakness after a failed breakout and rejection from fib resistance. If $112,500 breaks, expect acceleration toward $109K and possibly $105K.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by FinanciallyFreedomTrader
3