Trade ideas
$BTC STANDING ON ITS LAST SUPPORT: READ THIS BEFORE YOUR TRADEBITCOIN TECH UPDATE — FRESH LEVELS, FRESH PAIN
CRYPTOCAP:BTC just dumped to $80,641, making a new low since 12 April 2025.
That’s almost -30% from my Short + Exit levels.
Those who Rode the Short, Enjoy the profits.
Those who avoided chasing above $120k, capital saved again.
Where We Stand Now
Bitcoin is sitting exactly on the 0.786 Fib ($83,300), the strongest bullish support left on the chart.
This level = Bulls’ last hope.
If daily candle doesn’t close below $83,300, then expect a relief rally into upside inefficiencies:
Upside Targets (If 0.786 Holds)
$88,600 → major unfilled FVG
$93,000 → bearish Order Block (high probability fill)
$98,000 → another upside FVG waiting to be delivered
Watch how price behaves at these levels — next macro move will be decided there.
If 0.786 Fib Breaks…
Be ready.
Next liquidity pools: $73,000 / $66,000
Both zones have massive bullish orderflow waiting.
If 0.786 support holds → BTC still has high probability to push for a new ATH.
Summary:
Trend still bearish, but BTC is now at a critical support.
Hold → relief rallies + possibly new ATH.
Break → $73k–$66k incoming.
Stay sharp. Watch the levels. Trade with intention.
NFA &" DYOR
BTC vs DXY – Critical Support Retest as Dollar StrengthensBitcoin is currently testing a key weekly support zone while the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) continues to show strength. This is a classic inverse-correlation moment in the market.
🔹 BTC Analysis
Price has pulled back into a major support zone highlighted on the chart.
The ascending long-term trendline has also been touched.
This zone is a crucial decision area:
Hold → potential continuation toward 100k–120k
Break → deeper drop toward the red support zone below (70k–75k)
The market is reacting sharply here, indicating large-player interest.
🔹 DXY Analysis
The Dollar Index is showing renewed bullish momentum.
Price is moving up from its recent lows and pressing into a resistance/liquidity zone.
Historically, a rising dollar puts pressure on Bitcoin and risk assets.
🔹 Correlation Outlook
If DXY continues upward → BTC may struggle or retrace deeper.
If DXY gets rejected at resistance → BTC may bounce strongly from current support.
🔹 My Outlook
At the moment, BTC is at a make-or-break level.
I'm watching:
Support around the trendline
Reaction to the red zone below
DXY’s continuation or rejection at resistance
A confirmed bounce from here could send BTC toward new highs, but a break below this support would open the door for a larger correction.
Let the price action decide — this zone is where big moves begin.
$BTC Just Printed Another LL: Next Draw Is Locked InCRYPTOCAP:BTC Just Printed Another LL: Next Draw Is Locked In
Market is maintaining a clear bearish orderflow with continuous LH → LL sequence.
Structural Notes
🔹 Previous major FVG (distribution zone) has been fully filled and delivered downside.
🔹 Multiple BOS events confirm continuation of the bearish leg.
🔹 Recent sweep followed by another LL shows sellers still in full control.
🔹 INDUCEMNET zone rests around $93160, high-probability inefficiency for short-term retracement.
🔹 Major unmitigated FVG remains at $100800, acting as a premium draw if price seeks liquidity.
Expectations
🔹 Retracement likely into nearby inefficiencies:
🔹 IND @ $93160 → high-probability mitigation
🔹 FVG @ $100800 → medium-probability mitigation (only if deeper pullback unfolds)
🔹 Trend remains bearish until market delivers a ChoCh above $107.5K.
Current Bias: Bearish
Short-Term Draw: IND (mid-range inefficiency)
Mid-Term Draw: Unmitigated FVG (premium zone)
Invalidation: ChoCh above $107.5K
NFA & DYOR
a small bye side tread on btc a quick scalp BTC/USDT – 15M | Catching the Knife or Buying the Fear?
Heavy sell-off on BTC pushed price straight into my marked demand zone.
Waited for liquidity sweep + wick rejection before entering a long position.
✔️ Entry: After liquidity grab
✔️ TP Hit: +$1,055
✔️ SL Below Sweep Zone
✔️ RR Maintained
The move shows how liquidity hunts + demand zones can still give clean reversals even during strong bearish momentum.
Always trust the plan, not the emotions.
What’s your bias for BTC next — relief bounce or continuation down? 📉📈
CRYPTO MARKET ANALYSIS ETH/BTCWassup everyone, Crypto is in a very clear down trend, it would seem foolish to buy from here.
Right now what I see is we are in a monthly fvg and we also have a potential smt with ETH. So what I would be looking right now is for price to form, if I want to look for a buy position -
A. A swing point on weekly time frame
Or
B. A swing point on daily Time frame with a fair Value Gap, and have it close over 96000
If none of this happens keep looking for sells.
Thank you 🙏
Bitcoin Weekly Chart – Structure Still Intact, Patience is PowerHello Everyone, i hope you all doing good, Lets discuss about bitcoin. After weeks of consolidation and volatility, Bitcoin is back at its rising support zone, where strong hands usually step in. The structure on the weekly chart continues to hold higher lows, a clear sign that the broader trend remains bullish despite short-term pullbacks.
Technical View
Rising Channel: BTC continues to move within a rising channel, with clear reactions from both support and resistance levels. The current price is testing the buy range between 81,600–89,500, an area that has historically acted as a high-probability reversal zone.
Resistance Levels: Key upside levels to watch are 104K, 118K, and the final target zone near 132K, the same rising resistance that rejected price multiple times in past cycles.
Support: As long as BTC stays above 81,500, the structure remains valid. A weekly close below this zone would invalidate the bullish bias.
Volume Behavior: Notice how each correction comes with lower volume, a healthy sign of accumulation, not distribution.
Big Picture
This phase often shakes out emotional traders while rewarding the ones who trust structure and time. If Bitcoin holds this zone and begins to bounce, it could mark the start of the next major wave, potentially aiming for a new cycle high in the coming months.
Rahul’s Insight: Big moves don’t start with hype, they start with quiet structure and strong conviction. The crowd reacts; the disciplined trader prepares.
Analysis By @TraderRahulPal | More analysis & educational content on my profile.
Part 4 Learn Institutional Trading Call Option
A call option gives you the right to buy the underlying asset at the strike price.
Traders buy calls when they expect prices to go up.
Example: You buy a call option on Reliance at ₹2,500. If the stock jumps to ₹2,700, your call becomes profitable.
2. Put Option
A put option gives you the right to sell the underlying asset at the strike price.
Traders buy puts when they expect prices to go down.
Example: You buy a put on TCS at ₹3,600. If the stock falls to ₹3,300, your put gains value.
Both call and put options derive their value from the underlying asset, which is why they are called derivatives.
Bitcoin Turn Bearish In Monthly Time frameWhat’s going on
Bitcoin slipped significantly this week, dropping into the US$90,000–96,000 range, marking roughly a 10% decline for the week.
The decline has pushed BTC to trade around 20-25% below its all-time high of US$126,200.
On-chain data shows that long-term holders (those who typically hold and not sell) have sold ~815,000 BTC in the past 30 days—the highest such volume since Jan 2024. That suggests weakening conviction among “Holders”.
What’s working against Bitcoin
Recently, Bitcoin dropped below ~US$90k marking its lowest levels in months.
The monthly technical structure shows signs of weakness.
Macro risks are elevated: policy uncertainty (e.g., interest rates) could dampen demand for risk assets.
Key Levels & Scenario
Support Level 1: ~$85,250–$80,704 marked on the chart in weekly time frame, there could be a sharper drop. till Support -1 in monthly time frame ~$70,825–$57,750
Close below $85,000 in weekly and monthly time frames opens up more downside risk.
Given the mixed signals, I'm slightly cautious/bearish for next week, expecting consolidation in the weekly time frame and downside rather than a strong rally.
If the macro/risk environment improves, upside is possible, but as of now, the risk of further decline is stronger than upside.
Disclaimer
High Risk Investment
Trading or investing in assets like crypto, equity, or commodities carries high risk and may not suit all investors.
Analysis on this channel uses recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources for informational and educational purposes only, not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing or trading.
This channel, Render With Me, is not responsible for any financial loss arising directly or indirectly from using or relying on this information.
Bitcoin Death Cross AlertBitcoin Death Cross Alert
Over the past year, every death cross on BTC has marked a clean local bottom and triggered strong upside reversal.
But remember 2022: That same signal ignited a full-scale bear market.
A fresh death cross just printed on the chart…
So What are we Looking at this time, Another Bottom Forming, or the start of a deeper Bleed?
NFA & DYOR
#BITCOIN UPDATE: Structure Still Playing Out Exactly as Mapped#BITCOIN Technical Update: Structure Still Playing Out Exactly as Mapped
CRYPTOCAP:BTC has now broken below the $90K zone, a level not seen since 22 April 2025, Seven months ago.
I told you this when Bitcoin was rejecting $115K, and we’re now ~22% down from that zone.
Price is following the structure with precision.
Key observations:
🔻 BTC currently sits on the 0.618 FIB: High-probability bounce zone.
A relief move into the $98K–$100K region is very possible in the coming days.
🔼 Upside FVG: ~$98,000
If price pushes deeper first, this FVG becomes the ideal tap before the next leg down.
This is why I said: don’t short here, Risk-reward is terrible at the lows.
A sweep toward $98K would offer a clean, low-risk short entry.
🔽 Downside FVG: ~$88,474: This zone can trigger a strong reaction and potential bounce.
Market structure remains intact:
Below $107.5K → macro bearish leg still active
Above $107.5K → invalidation + path toward new ATH reopens
Price continues to respect levels.
Charts > emotions. Structure > noise.
NFA & DYOR
Vibe Thinker Says BTC ATM Long Straddle.
Got a New AI model, Vibe Thinker, my prompt is
Find any Major, high-impact news events and market conditions that could indicate high volatility
for Bitcoin from today or yesterday.
Focus on factors that would make a long or short straddle strategy appropriate:
short straddle is Selling both the ATM call and ATM put,
long straddle is Buying Both the ATM call and ATM put,
Price moves when more people buys btc or more people sells btc .
people will buy or sell based on news and on market timings in their countries
i live in india ,my exchange time is different to other global exchanges .
Even if siginificant news is there , people may not ready to trade at this time or in next 3 hours .
1. NEWS EVENTS:
- Regulatory announcements, decisions, government statements
- Major institutional adoption news
- Significant partnership announcements
- Upcoming economic events or Fed meetings that could affect crypto
- Geopolitical events affecting markets
- Major exchange or protocol updates
2. MARKET CONDITIONS:
- Current BTCUSDT candlestick patterns showing consolidation
- Volume patterns suggesting accumulation or distribution
- Support and resistance levels being tested
- Options implied volatility levels
3.TIMING:
Focus you thinking on next 3 hours for long straddle, immediate move is required to gain .
Candlestick data timestamp in IST Indian Time and compare to overlapping high-activity sessions (London open, US open, Asia close)
Time left until major events (economic reports, exchange maintenance, etc.)
Analyze 3-hour volatility potential — is a 2500+ point move realistic within that window?
Evaluate historical intraday volatility cycles — is BTC showing a lull before a surge?
Consider funding rate resets or options expiries near the current time that might cause volatility spikes
If time-based catalysts align with price compression → favor LONG STRADDLE
If volatility is already high or decaying with no clear catalyst → favor SHORT STRADDLE
4. DECISION OUTPUT:
Based on all inputs (news, market structure, volatility, and time factors), clearly recommend:
"Recommend LONG STRADDLE" (if breakout probability and volatility expansion expected)
or
"Recommend SHORT STRADDLE" (if consolidation or volatility decay expected)
or Hold the current positions
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96606.0
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79104.64583333333
...more candle data
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Satoshi Associate Ends Speculations About Quantum Threat to Bitcoin: Details
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Bitcoin Indicator Sounds Buy Alarm For The First Time Since March — Return To $110K Soon?
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Tom Lee Reveals Why Bitcoin, Ethereum And XRP Are Still Crashing
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Scaramucci Family Pours $100M Into Trump Sons’ Bitcoin Mining Firm
Sunday, November 16, 2025 at 07:08:43 PM IST
Bitcoin To Eclipse Gold, Eric Trump Says—Calling BTC The ‘Greatest Asset’ Ever
Sunday, November 16, 2025 at 06:30:58 PM IST
Ripple CTO Ends Debate Over Legal Claims Pushed by Self-Proclaimed Satoshi Craig Wright
Sunday, November 16, 2025 at 06:27:00 PM IST
Bitcoin to Crash to $60,000? Top Analyst Highlights Grim Scenario
Sunday, November 16, 2025 at 05:06:00 PM IST
Bitcoin Hits Death Cross, and There Are Only 2 Scenarios by Top Analyst
Sunday, November 16, 2025 at 04:40:00 PM IST
US Bitcoin ETFs Post $1.1B Outflows As BTC Price Struggles Below $100K
Sunday, November 16, 2025 at 04:30:37 PM IST
Upbit operator Dunamu posts $165M in profit in Q3, up over 300% YoY
Sunday, November 16, 2025 at 03:36:33 PM IST
Answer:-
**Recommendation**:
**"Recommend LONG STRADDLE"**
### Strategy Details
- **Entry**: Buy call at ~$95,853 (midpoint + $15) and sell put at ~$95,823 (midpoint – $15) at 10:30 AM IST.
- **Target Move**: Price should break above $98,000 (gaining profit from the call) or fall below $95,000 (protecting against the put).
- **Hold Period**: Until price breaks out of the midpoint or falls below the put level.
### Why Not Short Straddle?
A short straddle would lose value if the price continues to move upward, which aligns with the expected trend. The long-straddle position captures gains from upward movement while protecting against potential downward moves.
### Action Steps for the User (India):
- **Monitor for Catalysts**: Watch for events like Dunamu’s Q3 profit or Scaramucci updates that might push prices higher.
- **Trade Timing**: Enter at 10:30 AM IST and hold until 1:30 PM IST, during the 3-hour window.
- **Exchange Note**: Use your Indian exchange (e.g., LBS, OANDA) for time-zone alignment. Markets open at 9:00 CEST (20:00 IST), matchinng the start time.
**Conclusion**: The combination of high volatility, upward trend, and uncertain direction makes a long straddle the most appropriate strategy. The current price is above the crash floor, and the upward movement aligns with long-straddle profitability.
#BTC Technical Update: Structure Playing Out With Precision#BTC Technical Update: Structure Playing Out With Precision
CRYPTOCAP:BTC has tapped the $95K zone, completing the corrective leg projected when price was rejecting the $115K–$110K range.
Key downside levels already reached:
➡️ $105K ✔️
➡️ $93K ✔️
As long as price fails to break and close above $107,500, the bearish structure remains intact and the next liquidity target becomes: $73K
A confirmed close above $107.5K invalidates the bearish leg and reopens the path toward a new ATH.
Critical zones to watch:
➡️ 0.5 FIB — structural reaction level
➡️ 0.618 FIB — high-probability reversal pocket
🔻 Bearish below $107.5K
🔺 Bullish above $107.5K
Price is respecting structure with accuracy.
Charts > emotions. Levels > noise.
NFA & DYOR
BTCUSD Retest Play: Buying the Dip Toward PDLYesterday BTC failed to tap the Previous Day’s Low (PDL), leaving an untouched liquidity pool below.
Today, price has already formed a liquidity buy zone at 95,665.95, which sits in a premium area.
I’m expecting BTC to potentially test the PDL, so I’m planning to buy on the dip.
📌 Entry: 95,279.63
🛡 Stop Loss: 94,814.54
🎯 Target: PDL 98,000
#BTCUSD
#Bitcoin
#BTC
#Crypto
#CryptoTrading
#LongSetup
#LiquidityGrab
#PDL
#SmartMoney
#PriceAction
#DayTrading
#SwingTrading
#LiquiditySweep
#MarketStructure
#BuyTheDip
#ForexCrypto
#PremiumZone
#OrderFlow
#TechnicalAnalysis
Part 1 Ride The Big Moves Why Traders Use Options
Options offer several unique advantages:
1. Leverage
With a small premium, you can control a much larger position.
2. Hedging
Investors can protect portfolios from downside risk using puts.
3. Income Generation
Selling options—especially covered calls—creates consistent passive income.
4. Flexibility
You can profit in:
Upward markets
Downward markets
Sideways markets
High or low volatility environments
This flexibility gives options an edge over simple stock trading.






















