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XAU/USDThis XAU/USD setup is a buy trade, showing a bullish outlook for gold. The entry price is 3369, the stop-loss is 3364, and the exit price is 3379. The trade aims for a 10-point profit while risking 5 points, giving a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of 1:2. Buying at 3369 suggests the trader anticipates upward momentum, potentially supported by a weaker US dollar, lower Treasury yields, or increased safe-haven demand. The target at 3379 is set near a resistance area, allowing profits to be booked before potential selling pressure appears. The stop-loss at 3364 limits downside risk if the market turns bearish. This setup is ideal for short-term trading with disciplined execution and proper risk management.
TVC:GOLDLong
by smohdyusuf66
Gold Trading Plan for 14th August 2025📈 Gold Buy Setup Condition to Buy: Enter a buy trade above the high of the 1-hour candle that closes above $3,370. This means you must wait until a full 1-hour candle finishes forming and its closing price is above $3,370. After it closes, identify the highest price point of that candle and set your buy trigger slightly above that level. Profit Targets: 🎯 First Target: $3,381 🎯 Second Target: $3,391 🎯 Third Target: $3,403 Risk Management Tip: Place your stop-loss just below the low of the breakout candle or an important support zone. This helps control risk in case the breakout fails. 📉 Gold Sell Setup Condition to Sell: Enter a sell trade below the low of the 1-hour candle that closes below $3,342. This means you must wait until a full 1-hour candle finishes forming and its closing price is below $3,342. After it closes, identify the lowest price point of that candle and set your sell trigger slightly below that level. Profit Targets: 🎯 First Target: $3,331 🎯 Second Target: $3,319 🎯 Third Target: $3,305 Risk Management Tip: Place your stop-loss just above the high of the breakdown candle or a nearby resistance zone to avoid large losses. ⚠ Disclaimer: Trading in gold and other commodities involves substantial risk. These price levels are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own analysis, use stop-loss orders, and trade within your risk tolerance. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
4
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (August 13, 2025) 1. Momentum • D1 Timeframe: Momentum is about to enter the oversold zone. By the end of today, it is likely to be fully in oversold territory. This stage often leads to strong price movement – either a sharp decline or a bullish reversal. • H4 Timeframe: Momentum is preparing to turn upward. We need to wait for the current H4 candle to close for confirmation. If confirmed, a recovery move is likely to occur today. • H1 Timeframe: Momentum is currently tightening and approaching the overbought zone – a typical sign of sideways price action. This explains why, despite the high probability of a recovery, H1 does not yet provide a good entry signal. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure • RSI shows a bullish divergence between price and the indicator – a pattern often seen in wave 3 or wave 5. This supports the view that wave 5 (black) has completed around the 3333 level. • With a complete 5-wave structure, wave A (red) of the ABC (red) correction may already be in place. • A recovery in wave B (red) is expected, which aligns with H4 momentum preparing to turn upward. Wave B typically forms a 3-wave corrective structure, where price moves in a choppy, overlapping manner rather than trending strongly. • Wave B target zones: 1. 3371 2. 3381 These two levels are close to each other, so they can be treated as one combined zone. The plan is to take the first target as the base level while extending the SL to cover the second target. If price approaches these levels, it’s best to watch real-time price action before entering a trade. • Alternative scenario: If wave 5 (black) is not yet complete, the 3323 zone remains a good Buy opportunity (as per the previous analysis). ________________________________________ 3. Trading Plan Sell Setup: • Entry Zone: 3371 – 3373 • SL: 3385 • TP1: 3358 • TP2: 3331 • TP3: 3323 Buy Setup: • Entry Zone: 3323 – 3321 • SL: 3313 • TP1: 3331 • TP2: 3357 • TP3: 3371 2. Wave Structure • RSI shows a bullish divergence, often seen in wave 3 or 5, suggesting wave 5 (black) may have completed around 3333. • Wave A (red) of the ABC cycle may be complete; wave B (red) is expected to recover in a 3-wave, choppy pattern. • Wave B target zone: 3371–3381 (treated as one zone; monitor price action before entry). • Alternative scenario: If wave 5 (black) is not yet complete, 3323 remains a potential Buy zone.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
GOLD SURGES AFTER CPI – TARGETING 337x BEFORE SELL-OFF? MMFLOW TECHNICAL OUTLOOK 📌 Market Overview Following the CPI release, gold reacted with strong buying momentum (FOMO BUY), pushing prices swiftly from the 333x area up to 335x. The main driver here is the BUY side taking advantage of remaining liquidity gaps above, aiming to break through the critical 3358 resistance – the first major barrier before reaching 337x, a key equilibrium zone that previously acted as a strong price-holding area for SELL orders. Current structure indicates: Short-term trend: Bullish, but approaching key distribution levels. Liquidity Hunt: A decisive break above 3358 with strong volume could trigger a rapid move towards 337x, activating SELL volume from pending limit orders. Macro context: No major news events today, with expected daily range ~35–40 points, increasing the chance of range-bound traps before a breakout. 🧐 Technical Outlook – MMFLOW View Market Structure: Gold has formed a Higher Low around 333x and is now testing short-term resistance. Key Levels & Liquidity Zones: Liquidity BUY ZONE at 3338–3336 has reacted well, confirming BUYers are still defending this zone. Supply Zone / CP Zone at 3375–3377 aligns with an H1 Order Block, holding a high concentration of pending SELL orders. Volume Flow: Increasing volume as price approaches resistance suggests a potential “last push” before a reversal. 🎯 MMFLOW Trading Plan 🔹 BUY SCALP – Following the main trend Entry: 3338 – 3336 SL: 3332 TP: 3342 – 3346 – 3350 – 3355 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380 🔹 SELL SCALP – At the distribution zone Entry: 3375 – 3377 SL: 3382 TP: 3370 – 3365 – 3360 – 3355 – 3350 – 3340 📊 Key Technical Levels Resistance: 3358 – 3365 – 3376 Support: 3342 – 3337 – 3330 – 3310 💡 MMFLOW Insight: With the current setup, the optimal strategy is to wait for a BUY opportunity near early support (334x) to ride the short-term bullish momentum, then watch for price reaction at 337x to catch potential SELL entries once top-side liquidity is swept.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
August 13 Gold AnalysisAugust 13 Gold Analysis I. Intraday Market Trends and Key Drivers - Gold Price Trend: Stable above $3,350 in the European session, regaining buying support after two consecutive days of pullback, leading to a short-term rebound. - Key Catalysts: 1. US CPI Data: Headline inflation remained flat in July (2.7%), but core CPI rose to 3.1% (a five-month high). Market bets on the probability of a September rate cut rose to 93.4%, putting pressure on the US dollar and boosting gold. 2. Intensifying Policy Game: - Trump pressured Powell to cut rates and threatened a lawsuit. Treasury Secretary Bensant advocated for a 50 basis point cut in September, and Bullard expressed his support. - Disagreements emerged within the Federal Reserve: Barkin questioned the inflation-unemployment balance, while Schmid warned that tariffs would drive up inflation. Policy uncertainty amplified safe-haven demand. 3. Unexpected Disruptions: Anthony, the nominee for Director of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, proposed suspending the release of the employment report, coupled with Fed Governor Milan's optimistic inflation stance, exacerbating market volatility. II. Key Technical Signals and the Bull-Bear Game - The volatile pattern remains unchanged: Gold prices are in a consolidation phase after retreating from the $3,400 high, with support above $3,300 holding firm. - Bull-Bear Tipping Points: - Support Fortress: $3,340 (H4 200-day moving average + high trading volume area). If this fails, the $3,300 mark is likely to fall. - Breakout Path: If it holds $3,350 and breaks through $3,360 resistance, it will open the way to $3,380-3,400. Further breakthroughs could challenge the historical highs of $3,420-3,500. - Short-term Momentum: - Gold prices rose after the overnight CPI data, then fell to $3,330. Trump's attacks on Powell triggered a V-shaped reversal, demonstrating high policy sensitivity. - Currently, the Asian and European sessions are experiencing strong volatility, with $3,340-3,350 forming the intraday bullish support level. III. Trading Strategy and Risk Management Key Points Intraday Trading Logic > 📌 Core Strategy: European trading continues to fluctuate and favor the bulls. Focus on the effectiveness of a breakout above $3,360. Follow the momentum in the US market. - Aggressive Strategy: - At the current price of $3,353, try a light buy position (or add to your position if it pulls back to $3,348). Stop-loss below $3,340, target $3,360 → $3,378**. - If it breaks above $3,360, chase long positions to target the $3,380-3,400 range. - Conservative Strategy: - Wait for gold to break through $3,360 with significant volume before retracing to follow up with a long position. Alternatively, go short if it breaks below $3,340 (target $3,320-3,300). Trade cautiously and manage risk! Wish you good luck!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Emily357538
Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD August 13, 2025Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD August 13, 2025: Gold prices recovered slightly, currently trading around $3,351/oz, positive US inflation data for July has reinforced market expectations that the US Federal Reserve (FED) will cut interest rates in September, while a weaker US dollar has boosted gold's appeal. Fundamental news: Data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased 2.7% year-on-year in July, lower than the expected 2.8% and unchanged from June. Core CPI increased 3.1% year-on-year and 0.3% month-on-month, the largest increase in six months. Technical analysis: The sideways range of 3,340 - 3,360 has not been broken yet. The MAs are showing signs of moving sideways, showing the tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. RSI H1 has started to move towards the buy zone, RSI H4 is heading towards the average line. There is a high possibility that gold price will have a correction according to RSI of H4 and increase strongly again. Important price zones today: 3340 - 3345, 3365 - 3370 and 3385 - 3390. Today's trading trend: SELL. Recommended orders: Plan 1: SELL XAUUSD zone 3367 - 3369 SL 3372 TP 3364 - 3355 - 3345. Plan 2: SELL XAUUSD zone 3387 - 3389 SL 3392 TP 3384 - 3374 - 3364 - 3345. Plan 3: BUY XAUUSD zone 3340 - 3342 SL 3337 TP 3345 - 3355 - 3365 - 3385 - OPEN. Wish you a safe, successful and profitable trading day.💗💗💗💗💗
OANDA:XAUUSD
by fludaytoo
1
Strong USD, Gold "Holding Its Breath" at Key ResistanceYesterday, gold prices continued to trade within a tight range of 3,340–3,355 USD , reflecting the tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. Selling pressure is still present but not strong enough to break the key support level. On the news front: Both the U.S. Core PPI m/m and PPI m/m are forecast to rise 0.2% (vs. 0.0% previously), while unemployment claims are expected to dip from 226K to 225K . This signals inflationary pressure from the production side and a resilient labor market , which could prompt the Fed to maintain a tight monetary policy. A stronger USD puts short-term downward pressure on gold. From the chart: Gold is moving within a sideway range of 3,340 – 3,363 USD after being rejected at the 3,363 USD resistance zone. The price structure shows consolidation with minor technical pullbacks. The 3,312 USD support remains intact; if it holds, buyers may step back in. Suggested strategy: Look for buy opportunities around 3,312 – 3,320 USD if support holds, with a target at 3,363 USD. Place stop-loss below 3,305 USD to limit risk. Question: Do you think gold has enough momentum to break 3,363 USD and start a new bullish leg this week?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Rocky_trade_
6
XAUUSD Buy setup Above 3360Description: Gold (XAUUSD) is showing a promising bullish setup on the 4H timeframe after a period of consolidation and a clear liquidity sweep. The market structure suggests a potential continuation to the upside — but only once our key trigger is activated. Trade Plan: Buy Trigger: Above 3360 (Clean Break & Close) Stop Loss: 3330 Reasoning: Consolidation followed by a liquidity sweep — often a sign of smart money accumulation before an impulsive move. Timeframe: 4H bias, execution on lower timeframe confirmation. Key Notes: ✅ Wait for a confirmed breakout above 3360 — avoid premature entries. ✅ Manage risk with defined SL at 3330. ✅ This is a market observation for educational purposes — not financial advice. CTA (TradingView 2025 policy compliant): 📌 Always use your own trade plan and risk management. This idea is for educational purposes only.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ExoFx-Subhash
13
Gold Plan 13/08 – Captain VincentGold Plan 13/08 – Captain Vincent ⚓ News Background 📊 Gold is holding steady near $3,350/oz after the US July CPI release. Headline CPI : 2.7% (below forecast of 2.8%) 📉 Core CPI: 3.1% (up from 2.9%) 📈 ➡ This cools down inflation fears from tariffs and increases the probability of a 25 bps Fed rate cut in September , which is bullish for Gold. Key factors to watch: 💼 Market awaiting more data: PPI, jobless claims, retail sales. 🔍 Tariff drama: Trump says no tariffs, but US Customs just listed 1kg & 100oz gold bars under taxable imports. 🌐 US extends the trade truce with China for another 90 days. 🕊 US–Russia talks on Ukraine scheduled for 15 Aug in Alaska. News conclusion: Lower-than-expected CPI + higher Fed cut chances = Gold remains positive. But tariff and geopolitical risks must be tracked closely. Yesterday’s Action (12/08) Gold tapped the Buy Scalp – Quick Boarding 🚤 zone and bounced ~290 pips . However, it failed to break decisively above the zone and moved sideways around support. Technical Plan – 13/08 1. Sell Scalp – Quick Boarding Reverse ⚓ Entry: 3,374 – 3,376 SL: 3,382 TP: 3,368 → 3,362 → 3,355 → 3,3xx Reason: Short-term resistance, suitable for quick sell scalps when price retests higher. 2. Sell Zone – Storm Breaker 🌊 Entry: 3,405 – 3,406 SL: 3,411 TP: 3,395 → 3,385 → 3,375 → 3,365 Reason: Major resistance zone aligned with previous highs and trend channel. Scenarios: Price likely to rise from current sideways range to test either Sell Scalp or Storm Breaker. Priority: Sell if reversal signals (pin bar, engulfing) appear on M15/H1 at these zones. If price breaks above Storm Breaker and holds above 3,411 → cancel sell plan, wait for new structure. Captain’s Note: "The CPI wave has anchored the Gold ship near 3,350. Today, the crew is ready to set sail towards Sell Scalp and Storm Breaker, waiting for the winds to shift for a profitable turn." ⚓🌊
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CaptainVincent
Target hit on XAU/USD On 13/08/2025, the XAU/USD trade successfully reached its target, delivering a strong and profitable outcome. The trade was planned using a combination of technical analysis and market fundamentals, focusing on key support-resistance levels and price action signals. Once the entry was triggered, gold prices moved consistently toward the target, showing clear momentum in the anticipated direction. A weaker U.S. dollar and ongoing global economic uncertainty further supported bullish movement in gold. The trade never came close to the stop loss, which reflects the accuracy of the setup and the effectiveness of the strategy. Achieving the target reinforced the importance of disciplined risk management and sticking to the trading plan without emotional interference. This win on 13/08/2025 not only provided a solid return but also strengthened confidence in the overall trading approach, proving that patience and precise execution can consistently lead to profitable results in XAU/USD trading.
TVC:GOLDLong
by smohdyusuf66
xau/usd This XAU/USD trade setup is a buy trade, designed for a very short-term move in gold prices. The entry price is 3346, the stop-loss is set at 3342, and the exit price is 3348. The trade aims for a small 2-point profit while risking 4 points, meaning the risk-to-reward ratio is lower than 1:1, which makes it suitable only for quick scalp trading strategies. Buying at 3346 suggests the trader expects a slight upward movement, possibly triggered by short-term momentum, minor support holding, or quick price fluctuations during active market hours. The target at 3348 is very close to the entry, meaning this trade relies on precise timing and fast execution to capture small gains. The stop-loss at 3342 is set just below the entry to limit losses if the market moves against the position. Given the tight range, any sudden volatility could hit the stop-loss quickly. This type of trade requires constant monitoring, rapid decision-making, and disciplined risk control. While the profit target is small, consistent scalp trades like this can add up over time if executed with accuracy and strict trading discipline.
TVC:GOLDLong
by smohdyusuf66
Gold Trading Strategy for 13th August 2025📈 Gold Buy Setup Condition to Enter Buy: Wait until the price closes above the high of a 1-hour candle. ✅ Example: If the high of a 1-hour candle is $3,360, enter only when the price closes above $3,360 — not just a spike. Entry Price: Buy above $3,360 after confirmation. Targets: 🎯 Target 1 → $3,372 🎯 Target 2 → $3,383 🎯 Target 3 → $3,394 Logic: This indicates bullish momentum — closing above the 1-hour high often triggers follow-through buying. 📉 Gold Sell Setup Condition to Enter Sell: Wait until the price closes below the low of a 15-minute candle. ✅ Example: If the low of a 15-minute candle is $3,340, enter only when the price closes below $3,340. Entry Price: Sell below $3,340 after confirmation. Targets: 🎯 Target 1 → $3,331 🎯 Target 2 → $3,318 🎯 Target 3 → $3,305 Logic: A break below the 15-minute low with a confirmed close signals increased selling pressure. 💡 Example Scenario If the latest 1-hour candle high is $3,360: Price moves to $3,361 but does not close above → No trade. Price closes at $3,362 → Buy with targets $3,372 → $3,383 → $3,394. If the latest 15-minute candle low is $3,340: Price dips to $3,339 but closes back above → No trade. Price closes at $3,338 → Sell with targets $3,331 → $3,318 → $3,305. ⚠ Disclaimer: Trading in commodities and gold futures involves substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors. Prices can move rapidly against you, leading to significant losses. The above is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always use proper risk management and consult with a certified financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
PROACHING LIQUIDITY ZONE – WAITING FOR CPI TO DECIDE NEXT MOVE📌 MARKET RECAP Gold kicked off the week with a sharp $50 drop, breaking through key trendlines and nearby support zones. The selling pressure came from: Profit-taking after the recent strong rally. USD strength expectations ahead of CPI data (forecast ~0.1% better than the previous reading). Geopolitical factor: Ukraine–Russia ceasefire talks moving towards a conclusion, fueling risk-off sentiment. 🧐 WHAT’S NEXT? If CPI beats expectations → USD strengthens → Gold could drop further into the Liquidity Zone 333x – 330x. If CPI disappoints → USD weakens → Gold may quickly bounce back toward key level 337x (previous breakdown zone) for a retest before deciding direction. 🎯 MMFLOW GAME PLAN 1️⃣ BUY SCALP 📌 Entry: 3331 – 3329 📌 SL: 3325 📌 TP: 3335 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380 2️⃣ BUY ZONE 📌 Entry: 3310 – 3308 📌 SL: 3304 📌 TP: 3314 – 3318 – 3322 – 3326 – 3330 – 3335 – 3340 – 3350 – 3360 – ??? 3️⃣ SELL SCALP 📌 Entry: 3363 – 3365 📌 SL: 3370 📌 TP: 3360 – 3356 – 3352 – 3348 – 3344 – 3340 4️⃣ SELL ZONE 📌 Entry: 3376 – 3378 📌 SL: 3382 📌 TP: 3372 – 3368 – 3364 – 3360 – 3355 – 3350 – 3340 ⚠️ RISK NOTE CPI is the market’s dice roll – even a small deviation could trigger massive stop hunts. Always watch the KeyLevels marked on the chart before entering trades.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
2
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD August 12, 2025 1. Momentum Analysis • D1 Timeframe: Momentum is declining → the downtrend remains intact. It may take another 2–3 daily candles for price to reach the oversold zone and potentially reverse. • H4 Timeframe: Momentum is rising → from now until the U.S. session, price may either retrace upwards or move sideways. • H1 Timeframe: Momentum is preparing to turn down → a minor pullback could occur in the short term, so this move should be monitored. ________________________________________ 2. Elliott Wave Structure • The green wave structure in the form of an ending diagonal may have been completed. This could mean that Wave 5 or Wave C (black) has formed. • Personally, I do not want to see the Green 5-Wave Structure end with an ending diagonal at this stage because: o If this is an impulsive uptrend structure, we are only at Wave 1 of the larger degree. o An ending diagonal in Wave 5 (black) indicates weak buying pressure, which is not ideal when price hasn’t broken the previous high to confirm a new trend → increasing the probability that this is a corrective wave. • Looking at the current downward wave structure, I tentatively label it as five black waves 1-2-3-4-5. The current slight rebound is expected to be Wave 4, which could take the form of either a Flat or Triangle. • Wave 4 targets: 1. 3358 2. 3364 • If price breaks 3381, the current 1-2-3-4-5 bearish count will be invalidated (Wave 4 would overlap Wave 1). In that case, the structure could turn into a corrective ABC or a new 5-wave advance. • With a Wave 4 target at 3364, the projected Wave 5 target would be 3323. ________________________________________ 3. Combining Momentum & Wave Structure • D1 downtrend → supports the scenario of another drop, forming Wave 5. • H4 rising + H1 declining → could indicate Wave 4 forming as a triangle, with the key signal being that the current drop does not break 3342. o If 3342 breaks, Wave 5 may already be in play, targeting 3323. • Since H4 momentum is still rising, there remains a chance that price breaks above 3381, which would require a full recount—possibly turning into an ABC correction or a 5-wave rally. ________________________________________ 4. Trading Plan • If Wave 4 forms as a triangle → the 3358 area is a good sell zone, or wait for a breakout below 3342. • Limit Sell Order: o Entry: 3364 – 3366 o SL: 3374 o TP1: 3342 o TP2: 3333 o TP3: 3323
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
Part6 Institutional TradingIntroduction to Options Trading Options are like a financial “contract” that gives you rights but not obligations. When you buy an option, you are buying the right to buy or sell an asset at a specific price before a certain date. They’re mainly used in stocks, commodities, indexes, and currencies. Two main types of options: Call Option – Right to buy an asset at a set price. Put Option – Right to sell an asset at a set price. Key terms: Strike Price – The price at which you can buy/sell the asset. Expiration Date – The last day you can use the option. Premium – Price paid to buy the option. In the Money (ITM) – Option has intrinsic value. Out of the Money (OTM) – Option has no intrinsic value yet. At the Money (ATM) – Strike price equals current market price. Options give traders flexibility, leverage, and hedging power. But with great power comes great “margin calls” if you misuse them.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
1
XAU/USD Bullish Bounce from Demand Zone !Gold (XAU/USD) on the 4H chart is showing a potential bullish reversal setup. Price has pulled back into a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and high supply/demand zone near 3,329–3,315, aligning with the 0.382–0.5 Fibonacci retracement. Key Points: Support Zone: 3,329–3,315 (demand + FVG). Bullish Rejection Expected: Price may bounce from this zone, targeting upper resistance levels. Upside Targets: TP1: 3,356 TP2: 3,375 TP3: 3,440–3,459 (major resistance) Invalidation: A daily close below 3,315 could open room for deeper downside toward 3,278–3,245. Indicators: EMA(9) and Ichimoku showing potential for trend resumption if price closes above 3,362. Overall, the chart suggests a buy setup on bullish confirmation, aiming for the 3,375–3,459 zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KingProTrader
XAUUSD Drops $55, Bearish Trend Continues!Yesterday, XAUUSD plummeted from $3,398 to $3,342 , losing more than $55 in just one trading session. This sharp decline pushed XAUUSD below a crucial support level , signaling significant weakness . This drop confirms that gold is under strong selling pressure , with the market struggling to maintain upward momentum . Additionally, the m/m CPI came in at 0.3% , higher than the expected 0.2% . This indicates inflation is rising faster than anticipated, increasing expectations that the Fed will continue raising interest rates. This outcome could strengthen the USD , which typically leads to a drop in gold prices. This factor further supports the bearish outlook for XAUUSD. The price is now approaching a near resistance level at $3,362 , a key point that may limit further upside potential. The near support is located at $3,310, and this will be tested if the price breaks through the resistance at $3,362. Conclusion: With the combination of strong bearish price action, a stronger USD driven by CPI data, and technical structure supporting the downtrend, XAUUSD appears to be in a strong bearish trend. Risk management should be a priority as the price could test new lows near $3,310, and if this level breaks, the bearish trend could accelerate.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Rocky_trade_
4
Gold Plan 12/08 – Captain VincentGold Plan 12/08 – Captain Vincent ⚓ Background: After sliding from the Storm Breaker 🌊, Gold has broken below the 3358 zone and successfully retested it. The ship is now heading straight towards the Buy Scalp – Quick Boarding 🚤 dock. Today’s Plan: Only buy when price reaches the pre-defined support zones — no chasing in open waters. Zone 1 – Quick Boarding 🚤 (Buy Scalp) Entry: 3,333 – 3,331 SL: 3,327 TP: 3,336 → 3,339 → 3,342 → 3,345 → 3,348 → 33xx Note: Fast in & out. Take partial profits at each TP hit. Zone 2 – Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Main Buy Zone) Entry: 3,311 – 3,309 SL: 3,305 TP: 3,315 → 3,319 → 3,323 → 3,327 → 3,331 → 33xx Note: Main accumulation zone. Hold longer if buying momentum stays strong. Today’s Scenarios: If price hits Quick Boarding → Wait for a reversal signal (pin bar, engulfing) on M15/H1 before entering. If price dips to Golden Harbor → Observe the bounce strength; enter only on clear confirmation. If neither zone is touched → Stay on the shore; wait for the next voyage. Captain’s Note: “The Gold ship has left the 3358 waters, turning its bow towards Quick Boarding 🚤. If docking is smooth, the crew will sail out swiftly to the open seas. Golden Harbor 🏝️ remains the main refuge if stronger waves push deeper.”
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CaptainVincent
2
Mastering the Art of Risk Management in Trading 1. Introduction: Why Risk Management is the Heart of Trading Trading is not about making big profits quickly — it’s about staying in the game long enough to let your edge work for you. Think of trading like a professional sport. Skill matters, but survival matters more. Even the world’s best traders lose trades; what separates them from amateurs is how they manage those losses. In simple terms: Good trading without risk management = gambling. Average trading with strong risk management = long-term success. Warren Buffett’s famous rules apply perfectly here: Don’t lose money. Never forget rule #1. 2. Core Principles of Risk Management Before we go deep into strategies, let’s lock in the foundation. 2.1 Risk is Inevitable Every trade carries risk. The goal is not to avoid it but to control its size and impact. 2.2 Asymmetry in Trading A 50% loss requires a 100% gain to break even. This means avoiding large drawdowns is far more important than chasing big wins. Loss % Required Gain to Recover 10% 11.1% 25% 33.3% 50% 100% 75% 300% 2.3 Risk per Trade Most professional traders risk 0.5%–2% of their account per trade. This ensures no single bad trade can destroy the account. 3. The Psychology of Risk Risk management is not just math — it’s deeply psychological. Loss Aversion Bias: Humans feel losses twice as strongly as gains. This can push traders into revenge trading. Overconfidence Bias: Winning streaks can lead to oversized positions. Fear of Missing Out (FOMO): Chasing trades without proper entry rules increases risk. A great risk management system removes emotional decision-making by setting clear, mechanical rules. 4. Position Sizing: The Risk Control Lever Position sizing determines how much capital to put into a trade. Even if your strategy is perfect, bad sizing can blow up your account. 4.1 Fixed Fractional Method Risk a fixed % of capital per trade. Example: If account = ₹10,00,000 and risk = 1% → Risk per trade = ₹10,000. If Stop Loss = ₹50 away from entry, position size = ₹10,000 ÷ ₹50 = 200 shares. 4.2 Volatility-Based Position Sizing Adjust position size according to the volatility of the asset (ATR – Average True Range). If ATR = ₹25 and your risk budget = ₹5,000, position size = ₹5,000 ÷ ₹25 = 200 shares. 4.3 Kelly Criterion (Advanced) Maximizes capital growth based on win rate & reward/risk ratio. Formula: K% = W – (1 – W) / R Where: W = Win probability R = Reward/Risk ratio Caution: Kelly is aggressive; use fractional Kelly for real trading. 5. Stop Loss Strategies: Your Safety Net A stop loss is not a sign of weakness — it’s a shield. 5.1 Fixed Stop Loss Predefined point in price where you exit. 5.2 Volatility Stop Loss Adjust stop distance using ATR to account for market noise. 5.3 Time-Based Stop Exit after a fixed time if the trade hasn’t moved in your favor. 5.4 Trailing Stop Moves with price in your favor to lock in profits. Golden Rule: Place stops based on market structure, not emotions. 6. Reward-to-Risk Ratio (RRR) The RRR tells you how much you stand to gain for every unit you risk. Example: Risk: ₹1000 Reward: ₹3000 RRR = 3:1 → Even a 40% win rate is profitable. High RRR trades allow more losers than winners while staying profitable. 7. Diversification & Correlation Risk 7.1 Asset Diversification Avoid putting all capital into one asset or sector. 7.2 Correlation Risk If you buy Nifty futures and Bank Nifty futures, you’re effectively doubling your risk because they move together. 8. Risk Management for Different Trading Styles 8.1 Day Trading Keep daily loss limits (e.g., 3% of capital). Avoid revenge trading after a loss. 8.2 Swing Trading Use wider stops to allow for multi-day fluctuations. Position sizing becomes even more critical. 8.3 Options Trading Risk can be higher due to leverage. Always calculate max loss before entering. 9. Risk Management Tools ATR Indicator – For volatility-based stops. Position Size Calculators – To control exposure. Heat Maps & Correlation Tools – To avoid overexposure. Journaling Software – To track mistakes. 10. Risk-Adjusted Performance Metrics Professional traders measure performance relative to risk taken. Sharpe Ratio – Risk-adjusted returns. Sortino Ratio – Focuses on downside volatility. Max Drawdown – Largest account drop during a period. 11. Building a Personal Risk Management Plan Your plan should cover: Max % of capital risked per trade. Max daily/weekly loss limit. Position sizing rules. Stop loss & target placement method. Diversification guidelines. Rules for scaling in/out. Plan for handling drawdowns. 12. Advanced Concepts 12.1 Portfolio Heat Sum of all open trade risks; keep it below a set % of account. 12.2 Value at Risk (VaR) Estimates the max expected loss over a time frame. 12.3 Stress Testing Simulate worst-case scenarios (e.g., gap downs, black swans). Conclusion: Risk Management is Your Superpower In trading, capital is ammunition. Risk management ensures you never run out of bullets before the big opportunities arrive. Mastering it is not optional — it’s the difference between a short-lived hobby and a long-term career.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
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