TILAKNAGAR(TI) - Ideal Pivot RetestThe Setup: Perfect Retest
TI has completed a large, powerful Cup-with-Handle (C&H) pattern and is now confirming the major breakout. The stock is currently trading ~4% below the pivot point (the high of the handle, around ₹507), which is an ideal zone for acquiring shares as it offers maximum potential reward with minimal risk.
Momentum: The stock is firmly in a Stage 2 uptrend, trading comfortably above all upward-trending moving averages.
Fundamental Quality: The excellent ROE (26%) and low debt signal a high-quality balance sheet supporting the sustained price action.
The Trade Plan
This is a buy-in-the-base opportunity, aiming to capitalize on the confirmed breakout.
Entry Signal: Buy now while the stock is consolidating tightly below the pivot (the current price range of ₹525 - ₹550 is the entry window).
Confirmation Pivot: Wait for a decisive weekly close above ₹530 to confirm the next leg of the breakout.
Stop Loss: Place the stop loss below the low of the recent consolidation (the last tight flag), for example, around ₹430 - ₹440. This protects against a failed retest.
Target Expectation: This large base suggests a significant, sustained move into new All-Time Highs.
Risk Note
If the stock fails to hold the support of the 50-DMA and closes decisively below ₹435, the entire breakout thesis is invalidated.
Trade ideas
TilakNagar ..Breakout.. Good to be in portfolio.TilakNagar 371 is on breakout from round bottom . On valuation it is undervalued and has potential to move to 500. With ROE and ROCE best among its top 7 peers and paying out a health dividend. FII's have raised their stake. All above factors suggest TilakNagar a good to be in portfolio.
Tilaknagar Industries (TI) - Elliott Wave Analysis & Long SetupElliott Wave Analysis on the daily chart:
TI appears to be in a 5-wave impulse structure:
Wave 1: Initial impulse from the low around ₹220 to approximately ₹380
Wave 2: Corrective pullback to around ₹310 (healthy retracement within Elliott Wave rules)
Wave 3: Strong extension reaching the high of ₹530 (the strongest wave as per Elliott Wave theory)
Wave 4: Current corrective phase completing around ₹430-450 levels
Wave 5: Anticipated final wave targeting higher levels
The structure follows key Elliott Wave rules:
Wave 2 hasn't retraced more than 100% of Wave 1 ✓
Wave 3 is not the shortest among waves 1, 3, and 5 ✓
Wave 4 hasn't overlapped Wave 1's price territory ✓
Fibonacci Analysis
The Fibonacci retracement levels from the Wave 3 high (₹530) to the Wave 4 low show:
23.6% retracement: ₹488.50
38.2% retracement: ₹465.80 (current support zone)
50% retracement: ₹432.80
61.8% retracement: ₹409.80
The stock is currently holding above the critical 38.2% Fibonacci level, which is a strong bullish signal.
Long Trade Setup
Entry Strategy
Primary Entry: ₹465-470 (current levels near 38.2% Fib support)
Secondary Entry: ₹455-460 (if it dips slightly lower)
Aggressive Entry: ₹445-450 (near 50% Fib level)
Price Targets (Wave 5 Projections)
Based on Fibonacci extensions and Elliott Wave theory:
Target 1: ₹580 (138.2% extension of Wave 1)
Target 2: ₹620 (161.8% extension of Wave 1)
Ultimate Target: ₹650-680 (based on overall structure completion)
Stop Loss
Conservative SL: ₹420 (below 61.8% Fib level and Wave 4 invalidation)
Tight SL: ₹440 (for aggressive traders, below 50% Fib)
Risk-Reward Ratio
With entry at ₹470 and target at ₹620:
Risk: ₹50 (470-420)
Reward: ₹150 (620-470)
R:R Ratio: 1:3 (Excellent)
Supporting Technical Factors
Strong Fundamentals: The company shows robust financials with ROE of 29.58% and strong profit margins
Volume Confirmation: High trading volumes (13.68 lakh shares) indicate institutional interest
Sector Performance: Alcoholic beverage sector showing resilience
Analyst Sentiment: 100% buy rating from analysts
Wave Count Validation
The current structure suggests we're in the final stages of Wave 4 correction. Key validation points:
Hold above ₹432 (50% Fib level) for Wave 4 completion
Break above ₹490 would confirm start of Wave 5
Volume expansion on breakout would strengthen the setup
Risk Management
Position size: Risk only 1-2% of capital
Use trailing stops once profit reaches 1:1 ratio
Monitor for any Elliott Wave rule violations
Watch for divergence in momentum indicators
Conclusion
TI presents an attractive long opportunity based on Elliott Wave analysis and Fibonacci support levels. The stock appears to be completing Wave 4 correction and preparing for the final Wave 5 impulse higher. With strong fundamentals backing the technical setup, this offers an excellent risk-reward proposition for swing traders.
Trade Summary:
Action: BUY
Entry: ₹465-470
Target: ₹620
Stop Loss: ₹420
Time Frame: 3-6 months
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes. Please do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
TI (Tilaknagar Industries)TI is looking strong. After hitting a fresh ATH, the price has been consolidating and is now resting at a key demand zone.
All major EMAs are well aligned, adding to the strength.
Today, a Hammer candle has formed, taking support near the previous swing low. A breakout from here may give an upside move.
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Tilaknagar: Retracement Zones in Focus After 5-Wave RallyTilaknagar rallied from ₹199.53 to ₹529.90 , completing a clean 5-wave impulse. The move stretched right into the 1.618 Fib extension (₹508.95) and was accompanied by RSI bearish divergence, hinting at exhaustion.
With the Wave 1 top confirmed at ₹529.90 , a corrective Wave 2 is expected. The ideal retracement zone sits between ₹403.70 (0.382) and ₹364.70 (0.5) . Price action into this zone will be key to assessing the next leg.
⚠️ Bearish invalidation level: A close above ₹529.90 invalidates the correction view and opens the door to an extended Wave 3 instead.
In short:
Holding below 529.90 → corrective Wave 2 towards 403–364.
Breakout above 529.90 → Wave 3 extension continues.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Technical Analysis of TI Stock with Trendline and FibonacciThis TradingView chart analyzes the price action of TI stock using key technical indicators and trend projections as of August 2025. The chart displays:
• Current Price: ₹503.55
• Technical Indicators:
• RSI: 67.94 (Neutral)
• MACD: 27.15/30.99 (Neutral)
• ADX: 46.19 (Bullish/Buy)
• Volatility: 4.6% (Medium)
• Trend: Strong Bullish
• Chart Features:
• Trendline Resistance: Marked above the current price, serving as immediate resistance.
• Fibonacci Extension Levels: Key levels indicated at 1.272 (₹585.20), 1.414 (₹612.95), 1.618 (₹652.85), highlighting possible future price targets after breakout.
• Moving Averages: Two major moving averages (likely 20 EMA and 50 EMA) supporting the uptrend.
• Volume Bars: Indication of recent high volume activities and possible accumulation.
• Market Sentiment: The overall trend remains strongly bullish, but the price is currently testing its trendline resistance. Short-term action depends on whether this resistance is broken or holds.
Summary:
This chart setup provides a comprehensive view for swing traders and investors, focusing on possible breakout levels, critical resistance zones, and momentum confirmation using multiple indicators. The bullish bias is validated by strong trend momentum and the positioning above moving averages, but careful watch is needed near resistance for possible pullbacks or breakout opportunities.
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Trendline Breakout in TI
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
TILAKNAGAR INDUSTRIES - DAILY CHARTLiquidity swept in last two days, today a strong Hammer candle formation at an old support. There is probability of it going up.
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TILAKNAGAR INDUSTRIES : Bullish triangleUsually this wave structure forms in an impulsive sequence as wave 4 . It consists of 5 sub waves as wave-a , wave-b , wave-c, wave-d and a final setback wave-e . Each of these waves consists of three wave internal structure. Each of the waves should not break their extreme points. The final confirmation to enter the position comes when the price gets close above the level of wave-d. The minimum target of the pattern is just a poke above the level of wave-b and just above the level of wave-3 of the impulsive count. There is also a guideline to predict the target of this pattern which is known as triangular thrust. The triangular thrust is the measurement of the distance from the level of wave-a to the level of wave-b . This measured length should be kept at the point of completion of wave-e (conservative approach) or to the breakout level of wave-d to get the target of this pattern (aggressive approach).
Trading strategy: Buy on CMP 412, add on dips, keeping the SL of 389 look for the target of 465.
TilakNagar Industries - Cup & Handle BreakoutTilakNagar Industries has given a breakout of Cup & Handle with good volumes. This is heading to 400+ as first target. Other factors:
1. Breakout of Cup & Handle and then retested but with lesser volumes shows strongness of stock.
2. RSI is good and moving towards above 60
3. MACD is becoming positive
4. One of the best Quarter results
5. Becoming a debt free company by March'25
6. New launches in next 18 months
7. Venturing into luxury segment as well.
Keep following @cleaneasycharts as we provide Right Stocks at Right Time at Right Price.
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TILAKNAGAR INDUSTRIES- 3 MHTS BREAKOUT WILL IT SUSTAIN ?Tilaknagar Industries Ltd. is an interesting Breakout on weekly chart to keep in radar
1. RSI in all time frames above 60
2. Price rise with huge volume
3. Three months long consolidation breakout
4. ABCD pattern under formation on weekly chart
FUNDAMENTALLY
Company has reduced debt.
Company has delivered good profit growth of 23.5% CAGR over last 5 years
Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 27.2%
will this breakout Sustain ?
or
Will it fizzle out and continue its consolidation ?
Lets See How it Evolves.
Disclaimer: NOT A BUY / SELL RECOMMENDATION I am not an expert I just share interesting charts here for educational purpose and not to be taken as buy/sell recommendation. Please seek expert opinion before investing and trading as trading/ investing in market is subject to market risks. I do not hold any position in the stock as on date but I may look to buy on dips with my own Risk Reward matrix.






















