sell side trade in GoldGold has taken rejection from top liquidity sweep .. taking sell side trade in Gold with a Sl of 4268 for target 4223 target 1 .. bearish target will be updated once new bearish levels are plotted on the chart .
Gold Online Futures
No trades
Market insights
gold mcx momntum update as per adp data aheadanalysis based on 2hrs chart blow---
Range Breakout Watch: ₹130,650
Bullish Scenario
if market ₹130,650above sustain than
Upside continuation expected
Targets:
• 131,000
• 131,300
• 132,000 Trend is still positive sl will be 130277 close base 15 minute candle
Bearish Scenario
if price130,650 above no close at 1 hrs candle chart
Support hold below130,650
price again me be correct
Expected Downside:
• 130,000
• 129,650 (Extended support)
Divergence present — short pullback possible-- over all after adp data will major move-- trend positive
Gold bullish trade golden reversal level holds the power to change the trend of price .
if price comes here and take rejection we can see a bullish price moment from here and if price closes below golden reversal we can see a bearish moment from here .. so todays important level for gold is golden reversal . bullish and bearish levels are not yet plotted on the chart i will update once levels get active on the chart .
Gold LongIntraday Trade for Gold MCX a long from here may give us short bounce.
Entry- 129750-129700
SL- 129450-400
Targert- 130200
Disclaimer- This is just for education purpose.
Jai Shree Ram.
Gold is looking for supportWill come down for again great move.
Three times touch high and made a series of line, now when it opened with a gapup and touch the line avobe, it's time to settle below
Gold upmove will continue today booked 1000 points avoid sell Parameters Data
Asset Name: Price Gold MCX (Dec 2025 Fut): ₹1,28,660 🟩 (+1,717 Points) (+1.35%)
Price Movement Upmove will continue to , if break then breakout Until not break if break then , possible.
R:R 1 : 1.5
Current Trade 🟩 BUY (T1: 129500, T2: 130200, SL: 127900)
Probability 🟩 75% (Strong continuation of trend confirmed by global factors)
Confidence 🟩 22/30 (73.33%)
Max Pain 🟨 ₹1,27,500 (Current data indicates call writer stress)
DEMA Levels 20-DEMA, 50-DEMA, 100-DEMA, 200-DEMA: All pointing upwards and below the price. 🟩
Supports S1: 1,28,000 🟩 (Immediate breakout retest level), S2: 1,27,200 🟩 (Key Pivot), S3: 1,26,500 🟩
Resistances R1: 1,29,500 🟥 (Immediate target), R2: 1,30,500 🟥 (Psychological Level), R3: 1,31,200 🟥
ADX/RSI/DMI RSI (14) near 66 🟩 (Strong momentum, not yet extremely overbought), ADX (14) near 31 🟩 (Trend is strong)
Market Depth (L3) Aggressive buying interest at lower levels (bids>offers). 🟩
Volatility (IV/RV) Volatility is rising with the price surge. 🟩
Source Ledger MCX, Comex, CME Feeds, Investing.com, Nirmal Bang 🟩
OI Long Buildup (OI and Price both rising). 🟩
PCR (OI) Near 1.05 🟨 (Slightly neutral/balanced, not showing extreme bearishness)
VWAP Price trading significantly above VWAP. 🟩
Turnover Volume is supporting the uptrend. 🟩
Harmonic Pattern N/A 🟨
IV/RV IV is firm. 🟩
Options Skew N/A 🟨
Vanna/Charm N/A 🟨
Block Trades Not explicitly tracked for this contract. 🟨
COT Positioning N/A 🟨
Cross-Asset Correlation Negative correlation with USD, Positive with Silver. 🟩
ETF Rotation Global Gold ETF inflows are positive. 🟩
Sentiment Index Greed (High bullish sentiment). 🟩
OFI Strong Positive Order Flow. 🟩
Delta Call Delta accumulation is high. 🟩
VWAP Bands Price breaking towards the upper band. 🟩
Rotation Metrics Commodity complex shows rotation strength. 🟩
Massive Commodity Profits1. The Nature of Commodities: Volatility Breeds Opportunity
Commodities are essential goods with relatively inelastic demand. People still need fuel, food, and metals regardless of price fluctuations. However, supply is far more unstable. Weather conditions, mining delays, geopolitical tensions, shipping bottlenecks, and regulatory changes can all reduce availability overnight. When supply tightens against steady or rising demand, prices can spike dramatically.
For example:
A drought in Brazil can send coffee futures surging.
Tensions in the Middle East can push crude oil prices upward.
A mining strike in Peru may cause copper prices to rally.
This structural instability is what makes the commodity market capable of delivering massive profits in short periods.
2. Demand Cycles and Economic Trends
Massive commodity profits also emerge during strong global macroeconomic cycles. When economies expand, they consume more energy, metals, and agricultural products. Industrial expansion in countries like China, India, and the U.S. has historically led to major commodity supercycles.
For instance, China’s industrial boom (2000–2013) sent prices of iron ore, copper, and oil to record highs. Traders who recognized the multi-year demand trend and positioned early captured enormous profits. These long-cycle rallies happen roughly every 10–15 years and often create fortunes for large funds and early participants.
3. Supply Shocks: The Fastest Profit Drivers
The biggest and quickest commodity profits typically arise from supply shocks—unexpected events that disrupt production. A single headline can trigger a wave of volatility.
Common supply shock triggers include:
Wars or geopolitical conflict (oil, natural gas)
Extreme weather (wheat, corn, soybeans)
Export bans (rice, sugar, palm oil)
Mining accidents or strikes (copper, nickel, gold)
Because supply shocks occur unexpectedly, prices often move before retail traders even react. Institutions and professional traders who monitor real-time logistics, shipping data, and political events can capitalize on these early movements.
4. Inflation: A Powerful Catalyst for Commodity Surges
Inflation is another core driver of massive commodity profits. When currencies lose value, real assets—especially commodities—rise to preserve purchasing power. Gold and silver are classic hedges, but even energy and food commodities benefit from inflation cycles.
During inflationary shocks:
Crude oil rallies due to cost-push pressures.
Agricultural commodities rise as farming inputs become more expensive.
Industrial metals climb as production costs rise.
Traders who understand the macroeconomic environment anticipate these moves and position accordingly, often using futures or long-dated options for leverage.
5. Futures and Options: The Engines of High Profit Potential
Massive commodity profits often come from futures markets, where traders use small margins to control large contract sizes.
Why futures create big profits:
High leverage means small price moves generate large percentage gains.
Futures prices react faster than spot markets.
Liquidity allows rapid entry and exit.
Global participation increases volatility and opportunity.
Options add an additional profit dimension:
Buying calls during bullish commodity cycles can multiply capital several times.
Selling options during high-volatility spikes generates income for advanced traders.
Spreads allow directional and neutral strategies with controlled risk.
Professional traders often combine futures, options, and spot positions to maximize returns.
6. Algorithmic Models: Profit From Micro-Volatility
Modern commodity markets are heavily influenced by algorithmic and high-frequency trading (HFT). Algorithms exploit micro-movements in futures markets, such as:
Order flow imbalances
Spread arbitrage
Statistical mean reversion
Volume spikes
Institutional block orders
While these strategies may seem small in isolation, their compounded results can produce significant profits, especially during volatile periods like harvest seasons, geopolitical uncertainty, or inventory report releases.
7. The Role of Fundamental Reports in Profit Opportunities
Commodity markets are deeply influenced by high-impact reports. For example:
USDA reports move agricultural markets.
OPEC announcements shake oil markets.
EIA crude inventory data impacts short-term energy prices.
LME warehouse stocks influence metals.
Traders who deeply understand these reports know how to interpret supply estimates, production forecasts, and consumption trends. This anticipatory edge often creates large profit opportunities before the broader market reacts.
8. Supercycles: The Biggest Profit Windows
A commodity supercycle is a long-term period of rising prices driven by structural global changes. Past supercycles have been triggered by:
Global industrialization
Technological revolutions
Decarbonization and renewable energy demand
Infrastructure expansion in emerging markets
During supercycles, prices can rise for 5–15 years, creating the largest profits in commodity trading. Investors in gold during the 1970s, oil in the 2000s, and lithium between 2018–2022 saw exponential returns. Commodity supercycles often reshape entire economies.
9. Risk Management: Protecting Massive Profits
Massive profits are only meaningful if protected. Commodity markets can reverse violently due to announcements, policy changes, or macroeconomic developments. Smart traders use:
Hedging with futures
Position sizing
Stop-loss and trailing stops
Diversification across sectors (energy, agri, metals)
Options for protection (protective puts)
Risk control ensures that large profits are not wiped out by sudden counter-moves.
10. Psychology: Mastering Volatility
The final ingredient in generating massive commodity profits is trader psychology. Commodity markets are emotional. Greed, fear, and panic accelerate volatility. Traders who remain disciplined, patient, and analytical tend to outperform.
Key psychological traits of profit-making commodity traders include:
Patience in waiting for setups
Speed in execution
Ability to endure volatility
Emotional neutrality
Long-term vision during supercycles
Mindset is often the difference between consistent profits and emotional decisions.
Conclusion
Massive commodity profits arise from the unique nature of global supply and demand, geopolitical tensions, inflation, natural events, and human psychology. Commodities offer some of the most volatile and opportunity-rich markets in the world. By understanding macroeconomic drivers, supply-chain dynamics, fundamental reports, futures strategies, and disciplined risk management, traders can position themselves to capture extraordinary profits during both short-term shocks and long-term supercycles.
Gold mcx last week we booked Gold 3800 points & silver 10300 Parameters Data
Reason 🟩 Strong Bullish Resurgence due to: 1) Dovish Fed Expectations (85% chance of cut). 2) Wedding Season Demand in domestic spot markets. 3) Weak US Dollar Index boosting safe-haven appeal.
Asset Name Gold MCX (Dec Futures) ₹1,26,960
Price Movement Buy side: 🟩 R1: ₹1,27,800, 🟩 R2: ₹1,28,500, 🟩 R3: ₹1,29,600. If break 🟥 S1: ₹1,25,500 then downside possible towards 🟥 S2: ₹1,24,200, 🟥 S3: ₹1,23,000.
Current Trade 🟩 BUY Active / T1: ₹1,27,800, T2: ₹1,28,500 / SL: ₹1,25,500
Risk Reward 🟩 1 : 1.5
Confidence 🟩 25/30 (Dominant signals Bullish/Positive हैं, confirming strong conviction for the BUY trade.)
Probability 🟩 88% (Supported by "Golden Cross" on hourly charts and strong global cues.)
Max Pain 🟨 ₹1,25,000 (Data suggests significant option writing support at this level).
DEMA Levels 🟩 20/50/100/200/250 DEMA: Price has closed above the key 20-Day and 50-Day DEMAs, reconfirming the short-term bullish trend.
Supports 🟩 S1: ₹1,25,500 (Breakout retest level), 🟩 S2: ₹1,24,800 (Weekly Pivot), 🟩 S3: ₹1,23,500 (Strong Base).
Resistances 🟥 R1: ₹1,27,800 (Immediate Swing High), 🟥 R2: ₹1,29,000 (Psychological Barrier), 🟥 R3: ₹1,31,500 (All-Time High Zone).
ADX/RSI/DMI 🟩 RSI (14): 64.5 (Bullish momentum rising, not yet overbought). 🟩 ADX (14): 38.2 (Trend strength is increasing).
Market Depth 🟩 Buy Skew (Order book shows higher bid quantities at lower levels, indicating accumulation).
Volatility 🟩 Moderate to High (Implied Volatility is rising ahead of US inflation data and Fed meeting).
Source Ledger 🟩 Verified (MCX, India Bullion & Jewellers Association (IBJA), Investing.com via Data Accuracy Protocol).
OI 🟩 Long Build-up (Open Interest increased along with price, suggesting fresh bullish positions).
PCR 🟩 1.15 (Put-Call Ratio > 1 suggests bullish sentiment with Put writers active at support).
VWAP 🟩 Price > VWAP (Closing price is comfortably above the Volume Weighted Average Price).
Turnover 🟩 High (Strong participation seen in both December and February contracts).
Harmonic Pattern 🟨 N/A (No immediate reversal pattern; trend is impulsive).
IV/RV 🟩 IV Rising (Premium expansion expected as traders hedge against event risk).
Options Skew 🟩 Call Skew (Upside calls are commanding higher premiums relative to OTM puts).
Vanna/Charm 🟨 N/A (Greeks data limited for MCX commodities on weekends).
Block Trades 🟩 Institutional Buying noted in Feb expiry contracts.
COT Positioning 🟩 Net Longs Increased (Global hedge funds have increased their net long exposure to Gold).
Cross-Asset Correlation 🟩 Positive with Silver and EUR/USD, Negative with DXY (Dollar Index).
ETF Rotation 🟩 Inflows (Gold ETFs seeing renewed interest after a brief pause).
Sentiment Index 🟩 Greed (Market sentiment has shifted back to "Buy on Dips").
OFI 🟩 Positive ( Buying pressure at the Ask price is dominant).
Delta 🟩 Positive (Option Delta leans heavily towards the long side).
VWAP Bands 🟩 Upper Band Test (Price closed near the upper deviation band, indicating strength).
Rotation Metrics 🟩 Stable (Gold is performing well, though Silver is currently the high-beta outperformer).
Gold (COMEX:GC1!) 4 Hours Chart Just sharing the Gold (COMEX:GC1!) 4 Hours Chart with Support/Resistance, Supply/Demand
Gold continuesly buying recommended from 121600 ,buy on dipParameters Data
Asset Name Gold Futures (Dec 2025): ₹1,25,999.00
Price Movement Buy side: , , . If break then downside possible towards , , .
Current Trade 🟩 BUY Active / T1: ₹1,27,500, T2: ₹1,28,200, T3: ₹1,29,000 / SL: ₹1,25,250
Risk Reward 🟩 1:1.5 (Buy entry near ₹1,26,000 with SL ₹1,25,250 and T1 ₹1,27,500 offers favorable upside potential.) / Threshold: Breakout above - ₹1,26,200 & Breakdown below -₹1,25,350
Confidence 🟩 22/30 (Dominant signals Strongly Bullish hain, indicating high conviction for an upside move.)
Probability 🟩 72%
Max Pain 🟨 ₹1,25,000 (Option chain data ke mutabik, yeh level Put writers ke liye crucial hai aur support zone ka kaam karega.)
DEMA Levels 🟩 20/50/100/200/250 DEMA: Price sabhi key MAs ke upward sloping zone mein hai, suggesting a stable uptrend.
Supports 🟩 S1: ₹1,25,500 (Intraday/Technical Support), S2: ₹1,25,350 (Strong Buy-on-Dips zone), S3: ₹1,24,600.
Resistances 🟥 R1: ₹1,26,200 (Immediate Hurdle), R2: ₹1,27,500 (Critical Resistance Band), R3: ₹1,28,200 (R1 is key for continuation).
ADX/RSI/DMI 🟩 RSI (14): 60.10 (Bullish Momentum High.) ADX (14): 22.50 (Trend strength firm ho rahi hai.)
Market Depth 🟩 Bullish Skew (Order Book mein Buy orders ka dominance, supporting current price.)
Volatility 🟨 ATR (14): Moderate (Volatility normal hai, but breakout ke saath jump expected hai.)
Source Ledger 🟩 Verified (MCX, NSE, Investing.com, Dhan, TradingView via Data Accuracy Protocol.)
OI 🟩 OI increase with price rise (Long Build-up), confirming sustained interest in the long side.
PCR 🟩 1.15 (Above 1.0, indicating Put writing dominance, which is bullish for the immediate direction.)
VWAP 🟩 Price is above VWAP (VWAP approx. ₹1,25,750), confirming intraday bullish strength.
Turnover 🟩 High (Increased trading volume validating the move.)
Harmonic Pattern 🟨 None Dominant (Pure momentum rally.)
IV/RV 🟨 IV is stable (Volatility expectation normal.)
Options Skew 🟩 Positive Skew (Call premiums Put premiums se zyada expensive hain, indicating bullish sentiment.)
Vanna/Charm 🟩 Positive (Supporting the upside momentum.)
Block Trades 🟨 No Major Signal (No significant block trades noted.)
COT Positioning 🟩 Managed Money Net Longs (Global speculative positioning heavily bullish.)
Cross‑Asset Correlation 🟩 Strong Negative Correlation with DXY (DXY weakness is a major driver).
ETF Rotation 🟩 Inflows (Global Gold ETFs mein buying chal rahi hai.)
Sentiment Index 🟩 Greed (Sentiment is highly positive, sustaining the rally.)
OFI 🟩 Positive (Order Flow Imbalance suggests strong buying pressure.)
Delta 🟩 Positive Skewed (Higher Call Delta buildup.)
VWAP Bands 🟩 Price at Upper Band (Trading at the top of the short-term range.)
Rotation Metrics 🟩 Strong Inflow (Capital is flowing into Bullion.)
Gold comex continuesly buying from 4035 , 4255-70Parameters Data
Asset Name Gold Futures (COMEX Dec 2025): $4,221.30/oz
Price Movement Buy side: , , . If break then downside possible towards , , .
Current Trade 🟩 BUY Active / T1: $4,245.00, T2: $4,285.00, T3: $4,320.00 / SL: $4,175.00
Risk Reward 🟩 1:1.8 (Risk is managed below the key psychological support of $4,200.) / Threshold: Breakout above - $4,227.50 & Breakdown below - $4,195.00
Confidence 🟩 24/30 (Technical indicators and sentiment are overwhelmingly bullish, indicating high conviction.)
Probability 🟩 78%
Max Pain 🟨 $4,150 - $4,100 (Current price action suggests option writers are under pressure, potentially fueling a further squeeze higher.)
DEMA Levels 🟩 20/50/100/200/250 DEMA: Price is above all major MAs, confirming a robust long-term bullish trend.
Supports 🟩 S1: $4,195.00 (Recent consolidation low), S2: $4,150.00 (Psychological/Technical), S3: $4,120.00 (Previous strong base).
Resistances 🟥 R1: $4,227.50 (Immediate high of 28 Nov), R2: $4,245.00 (Near-term hurdle), R3: $4,285.00 (Path to ATH).
ADX/RSI/DMI 🟩 RSI (14): 66.76 (Strong momentum in the Buy zone, but not yet extreme Overbought). ADX (14): 53.07 (Very Strong Trend Strength).
Market Depth 🟩 Bullish Skew (Higher volume of buy stops is expected above current highs, which can accelerate the move.)
Volatility 🟨 ATR (14): High (Increased price movement due to rate-cut uncertainty and strong trend).
Source Ledger 🟩 Verified (COMEX, Investing.com, Bloomberg, Refinitiv, Kitco via Data Accuracy Protocol.)
OI 🟩 Fresh Long Build-up (OI increasing with price, validating the upward trend.)
PCR 🟩 Bullish (Put volume/interest is providing a strong technical floor.)
VWAP 🟩 Price is significantly above VWAP, confirming strong institutional participation.
Turnover 🟩 High (Increased trading activity supporting the price rise.)
Harmonic Pattern 🟨 None Dominant (Pure fundamental/momentum rally.)
IV/RV 🟨 IV is firm, RV is high (Volatility is expected to continue.)
Options Skew 🟩 Positive Skew (Higher Call premiums, indicating anticipation of further gains.)
Vanna/Charm 🟩 Positive (Supporting the upside momentum.)
Block Trades 🟩 Reported Buy Block Trades (Indicating institutional entry.)
COT Positioning 🟩 Record Net Longs (Managed money positioning is highly supportive of higher prices.)
Cross‑Asset Correlation 🟩 Strong Negative Correlation with USD Index (DXY) (DXY weakness is primary fuel.)
ETF Rotation 🟩 Consistent Inflows (ETFs receiving capital for the fourth straight week).
Sentiment Index 🟩 Greed (Sentiment is highly bullish, giving confidence to the trend.)
OFI 🟩 Positive (Order Flow suggests continued buying pressure.)
Delta 🟩 Positive Skewed (Higher Call Delta buildup.)
VWAP Bands 🟩 Trading at Upper Band (Confirmation of strong trending environment.)
Rotation Metrics 🟩 Strong Inflow (Gold is a top performing asset in the current risk environment.)
Divergence Secrets Tips for Successful Option Trading
Always use stop-loss
Track IV and IV percentile
Learn market structure (trend, range, breakout)
Avoid buying options in low IV environments
Avoid selling options in highly trending markets
Maintain proper risk-to-reward
Never hold naked options till expiry if inexperienced
Focus on quality setups, not quantity
Gold mcx today booked 600 points weekly 4000 points ,buy on dipParameters Data
Asset Name Gold MCX
Reason 🟩 Global Fed cut expectations, strong YTD performance, aur ₹1,25,800 ka resistance breakout.
R:R 🟩 1:1.50 (Favorable for T2/T3 targets. High momentum trading required.) / Threshold: Breakout above - & Breakdown below
Current Trade 🟩 BUY Active ⬆️ Target T1 - 126500.00 , T2 - 127200.00 , T3 - 128000.00 , Stop loss - 125000.00
Probability 🟩 85%
Confidence 🟩 25/30 (Resistance breakout aur strong fundamental backing.)
Price Movement Buy side: 126500.00, 127200.00, 128000.00. If break 125000.00 then downside possible towards 124500.00, 124000.00, 123500.00.
FNO Data (OI/PCR) 🟩 Fresh long positions add ho rahi hain (Long Buildup).
Liquidity Zones 🟩 Liquidity ₹1,25,500 par strong support de rahi hai.
Max Pain 🟨 N/A
Gamma Exposure 🟩 Gamma spike ho raha hai, jo acceleration ka signal hai.
Supports 🟩 S1: 125220.00 (Immediate Pivot) | S2: 125000.00 (Psychological) | S3: 124500.00 (Minor Technical)
Resistances 🟥 R1: 126500.00 (Next Key Supply Zone) | R2: 127200.00 | R3: 128000.00
DEMA Levels 🟩 Price 20/50/100 DEMA se substantially upar hai.
ADX/RSI/DMI 🟩 RSI (14) \sim 78.00 (Highly Overbought, par momentum extremely strong).
Cross‑Asset Correlation 🟩 Global Gold COMEX mein bhi tezi hai.
Sentiment Index 🟩 Extreme Greed Zone (High institutional interest).
Source Ledger 🟩 MCX, TradingView (Image Data), CME Group, Bloomberg (Verified & Triangulated).
GOLD – 4H | Falling Wedge Structure Near BreakoutGold has been compressing inside a converging falling wedge , a pattern that typically signals waning bearish pressure and an upcoming bullish break. The structure has been developing for several weeks, with each swing clearly showing a loss of momentum from sellers and a stronger defense from buyers at progressively higher lows.
The wedge is now approaching its apex, and price is pressing against the upper boundary. While this setup carries a bullish tilt, confirmation is still critical before acting.
Why this structure matters
This is a Converging Falling Wedge (Bullish) pattern, defined by:
Sellers losing momentum on each downswing
Buyers defending higher lows , tightening the structure
Compression building toward the apex , creating stored energy
Breakouts typically hitting the upper rail first
Confirmation occurring only on a close above the last swing high
In this case, the last swing high sits at 125,521 , aligning perfectly with the wedge’s upper rail.
Only a sustained 4H close above 125,521 would confirm that the market has absorbed overhead supply and is ready to transition into a higher timeframe move.
RSI Check
RSI is trending higher but hasn’t yet signaled full breakout momentum. A push above the 60–65 zone would strengthen the bullish case and support continuation after the breakout.
Trade Plan
Trigger :
Entry only on a sustained 4H close above 125,521 .
This keeps you aligned with pattern confirmation and avoids premature entries inside compression.
Upside path:
A breakout could initially retest the wedge boundary before starting the projected upward leg toward higher resistance zones.
Summary
Gold is displaying a well-defined falling wedge with clear signs of seller exhaustion and buyer strength. The structure leans bullish, but the move needs to be validated through a confirmed break above 125,521 . Until then, the wedge remains a compression zone — not a breakout.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Gold Short : "Triple Confluence" Reversal PossibleI am looking at a high-probability short setup on Gold Futures (Daily Timeframe) as price action moves into a critical resistance cluster. We are seeing a "Triple Confluence" at the current level, suggesting the bullish retracement is losing steam.
The 3 Key Confluences:
a. Daily Trendline: Price is rejecting off the descending trendline that has respected the bearish structure since the highs.
b. 50% Fibonacci Retracement: The current rally has stalled exactly at the 0.5 retracement level of the previous impulsive drop.
c. Key Structural Zone: We are testing a major horizontal resistance zone ("Important Zone") that previously acted as support.
The Trade Plan:
Bias: Short/Bearish
Risk/Reward: The setup offers an excellent R:R ratio (>1:2).
Stop Loss: Placed strictly above the trendline and resistance cluster to invalidate the thesis.
Target: Looking for a move back down toward recent swing lows liquidity zones.
Part 1 Support and Resistance What Are Options?
Options are derivative contracts, which means their value is derived from an underlying asset such as stocks, indices, commodities, or currencies. In India, the most traded options revolve around:
Nifty 50
Bank Nifty
FinNifty
Stocks in the F&O list
An option contract gives a trader a right but not an obligation. This is what separates option buyers from option sellers.
Gold mcx bought at 121600 today booked at 125300( 2.3 trades) Parameters Data
Asset Name Gold MCX
Reason 🟩 Global inflationary pressure, sharp weakness in US Dollar, aur MCX par heavy long build-up ke chalte massive breakout.
R:R 🟩 1:1.58 (Risk reward T3 target ke liye favorable hai, lekin SL deep hai, jo high volatility ko reflect karta hai.) / Threshold: Breakout above - & Breakdown below
Current Trade 🟩 BUY Active | T1: 125800.00, T2: 126500.00, T3: 127500.00 | SL: 123910.00
Probability 🟩 90%
Confidence 🟩 24/30 (Overwhelming momentum aur breakout ke chalte High Confidence.)
Price Movement Buy side: 125800.00, 126500.00, 127500.00. If break 125000.00 then downside possible towards 124500.00, 123910.00, 123000.00.
FNO Data (OI/PCR) 🟩 Long Build-up observed. PCR 1.20 (Bullish).
Liquidity Zones 🟩 Liquidity breakout levels ke upar high hai.
Max Pain 🟨 124,500 (Spot se neeche shift ho gaya hai, jo Bullish bias confirm karta hai.)
Gamma Exposure 🟩 Gamma spike ho gaya hai, jo upar ki taraf acceleration provide karega.
Supports 🟩 S1: 125000.00 (Minor) | S2: 124500.00 (Previous Resistance) | S3: 123910.00 (Previous Close)
Resistances 🟥 R1: 125800.00 (Minor Supply) | R2: 126500.00 (Major Psychological) | R3: 127500.00
DEMA Levels 🟩 Price sabhi DEMA se bahut upar trade kar raha hai.
ADX/RSI/DMI 🟩 RSI (14) 75 (Overbought, but momentum strong). ADX High.
Market Depth 🟩 Buying pressure bahut zyada hai.
Cross‑Asset Correlation 🟩 Weak INR aur weak DXY dono hi Gold ke liye positive hain.
COT Positioning 🟩 Managed money aur domestic players aggressive long hain.
Source Ledger 🟩 MCX, NSE, TradingView, Investing.com.
GOLDHello & welcome to this analysis
GOLD after a super duper move from AUG - OCT followed by a sharp decline now appears to be consolidating within a triangle.
Currently appears to be in leg D which should be followed by leg E to complete the contracting triangle squeeze and from thereon the resumption of uptrend.
For those new to patterns - triangles are time wise correction that see less price retracement within a longer duration of time. The current triangle appears to be a contracting one.
Leg D could end near 4175 / 125750 approx while leg E could end near 4050 / 122250 approx.
The view would be incorrect if either the current up move goes above 4245 / 127950 without a pullback or the expected retracement goes below 4000 / 121000.
The interesting part here is that GOLD prior to its rally from 3250 was also within a triangle for 4 months. What followed was a parabolic move from a squeeze. Lets see if this one will also give such a move or not.
All the best
Advanced-level Chart PatternWhy Chart Patterns Matter
Chart patterns help traders:
Identify trend reversal zones
Recognize trend continuation signals
Determine breakout points
Set entry, stop-loss, and target levels
Understand market behavior and crowd psychology
Most importantly, chart patterns simplify complex market data into visual structures, making decision-making easier.
Gold mcx AI Tool report showing upmove, holding buy @121600 Parameters Data
Asset Name : Price 🟩 Gold MCX (Feb '26) : 1,24,101
Price Movement 🟩 Upmove will continue to 1,24,500, 1,25,500 if break 1,25,500 then breakout Until 1,22,000 not break if break then 1,21,800, 1,19,250 possible.
Reason 🟩 Technical Reversal & Analyst View: Strong buying interest ne ₹1,22,000 ke crucial support ko hold kiya. Global cues (US rate cut bets) se thoda pressure.
Confidence 🟩 Bullish 19/30 Bullish , Avoid , Bearish (63.33% score Above 60% hai, isliye Green.)
Probability 🟩 70% Upside: Bullish trend structure intact hai, aur price key support se upar trade kar raha hai.
R:R 🟩 Favorable (Upside Target ₹1,27,000 vs SL ₹1,22,000. Approx 1:1.45)
FNO Data 🟩 Short Covering / Long Build-up: Correction ke baad recovery indicates short-covering aur fresh buying.
Liquidity Zones 🟩 Support Zone: ₹1,22,000 - ₹1,21,800 (Crucial Technical/Analyst Support) 🟥 Resistance Zone: ₹1,24,500 - ₹1,25,500 (Near-Term Supply Zone)
Max Pain 🟨 N/A (No specific Max Pain data found for this contract)
DEMA Levels 🟩 20 DEMA: ₹1,21,875 50 DEMA: ₹1,18,985 100 DEMA: N/A 200 DEMA: N/A 250 DEMA: N/A (Price 20 DEMA ke aas-paas hai, 50 DEMA ke upar, long-term trend bullish.)
Supports 🟩 S1: ₹1,22,000 S2: ₹1,21,570 S3: ₹1,20,905
Resistances 🟩 R1: ₹1,24,500 R2: ₹1,25,500 R3: ₹1,27,000
ADX/RSI/DMI 🟨 RSI(14): 49.129 (Neutral) ADX: 15.033 (Weak/No Trend)
Market Depth 🟨 Neutral (Day-end data, no strong bias)
Volatility 🟨 Moderate (ATR values low volatility show kar rahe hain)
Source
Gold Bullish Till 127000Gold have pending liquidity above 127000
after that it may fall towards 110000
GOLD next move 83000 to 85000 as per technical breakout gold can be going up near 83000 and 85000 trade on your own analysis , trade with stoploss , share and like,
GOLD 1ST TGT DONE 83000 NOW READY FOR 85000gold 1st tgt 83000 was done, ready for next tgt 85000
please check my previous post
