FED CHAIR POWELL SPEECH EURUSD 15 ANALYSISTodays fed chair speech our target for eurusd is marked on the chart as a buyside liquidity , as we are bullish in eurusd and we have buyside liquidity we are targeting that it may go lower to take some liquidity and then go for the buyside....keep following me for more updates.
USDEUR trade ideas
EUR/USD Trading Towards Previous Weekly High?Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair .
💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
EURUSD – Trend broken, bearish momentum accelerating!EURUSD is maintaining a clear downtrend structure within a well-defined descending channel, with consistently lower highs forming. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) keep getting rejected, signaling that sellers are firmly in control. The current scenario points to a technical bounce toward the 1.164 zone, followed by a likely rejection back down to the lower boundary near 1.148.
Technical signals confirm the bearish bias as price respects both the trendline and the supply zones, failing to break above recent resistance levels.
On the fundamental side, the ECB has recently struck a more dovish tone due to cooling inflation, while the USD is regaining strength amid expectations that the Fed will keep rates elevated longer — all of which continue to pressure the euro lower.
EURUSD 1H ANALYSIS (ICT MARKET STRUCTURE)As we have taken support form 1h fvg and the bias is bearish , when the take supprt from fvg we make a swing high as itm(intermediate high)and his left and right side we make short term high (STH),we are expecting to reach the target that i have marked but if we break sth then we will close the trade ....for more update keep following me.
Dollar is about to strengthen again EURUSD 1.1625
Elliott - this rally is done and now a three wave correction should start from here. I have divided the C waves into its own 5 waves on the weekly charts on the right. Hence the rally is done.
RSI - the RSI continues to oscillate in the bear zone indicating the long term trend is still down. Composite is giving a negative divergence at resistance which is trend reversal.
Conclusion - this is in particular very imp to us as the change in trend first happens in the currency mkt. Weak EUR against dollar means weakness for the Equity mkt.
EURUSD on the verge – a trap waiting for the carelessThis pair has just completed a classic rounding top, with a sharp rejection near 1.16500. Buying momentum is fading, RSI is dropping, and the recent retest of the broken trendline might have been the final warning – the “kiss of death” could already be in play.
On the fundamental side, the U.S. keeps fueling the dollar: consumer spending is rising, jobless claims are falling, and the Fed shows no sign of easing up. Meanwhile, the ECB is still searching for direction, leaving the euro exposed and vulnerable.
If the current support level breaks, EURUSD could slide quickly to lower zones. This is no longer a time for hope – it’s time to choose a side and act.
EURUSD under pressureEURUSD is moving within a well-defined descending channel, forming consistent lower highs and lower lows. The price has recently rejected the resistance zone near 1.16100, showing signs of continued bearish momentum.
On the fundamental side, stronger-than-expected U.S. retail sales—especially in the core figure—have boosted the U.S. dollar, putting downward pressure on the euro. Coupled with ongoing concerns about Eurozone economic growth, the pair is likely to continue its decline toward the 1.15400 support area. RSI remains below the neutral zone, confirming short-term bearish bias.
Traders should watch closely for reactions at support to assess further short opportunities.
EUR/USD: Continuing Downtrend and Key Levels to WatchHello traders, what are your thoughts on EUR/USD?
Today, EUR/USD continues its strong downtrend, currently trading around 1.161. One of the key factors driving this decline is the strong recovery of the USD. Following the release of positive data from the US, especially the unemployment report, the market has reinforced expectations that the Fed will maintain high interest rates for a longer period. This has reduced the appeal of the euro, putting significant pressure on EUR/USD.
From a technical perspective, the price is approaching the trendline's lower limit, and a breakout at this point could push EUR/USD further down. Personally, I expect the EMA 89 area to be an ideal target for this strategy.
What about you, do you agree with my outlook? Feel free to share your thoughts, and let’s discuss!
LONG OPPORTUNITY ON EURUSD 1.16048 LEVELOn 1hr time frame market is bullish and a pull back is remaining for a market to move upside as soon as we shift to 15 min time-frame we can see a level of resistance become support on 1.16048 zone level and also there is a Fibonacci retracement 61.8% golden ratio ONLY ENTER WHEN MARKET TAP AT THAT ZONE AND A HEALTHY BULLISH BAR CANDLE CLOSE.
"Big Move Loading on EUR/USD! 🔥 "Big Move Loading on EUR/USD! 🚨"perfect Elliott Wave trap is forming – will you catch the fall or get caught at the top? 📉📈
Future Projection (Right Side Drawing)
You have projected a Bearish 5-Wave Impulse (Elliott Wave):
1. The market is expected to reverse from the C wave top (around 1.16023 - 1.16294).
2. After this, a 5-wave bearish pattern may unfold.
3. Target: Down to the 1.16017 → 1.15449 zone.
---
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Level Significance
1.16294 Strong resistance (Wave C potential top)
1.16023 Minor resistance
1.16022 Price is near this resistance zone
1.16017 Break of this confirms bearish impulse
1.15937 Minor support
1.15449 Major support / Final target
---
🧠 Trading Insight:
If you're trading this:
✅ Sell Setup Activation: Wait for rejection in the C zone (1.16022–1.16294).
📉 Short Entry: After confirmation (bearish engulfing, trendline break, etc.).
🎯 Targets: 1.16017 → 1.15937 → final target 1.15449.
🛑 Stop Loss: Above 1.16300 ideally
Falling Wedge Pattern
ABC Zigzag Correction
Elliott Wave (5-wave bearish projection)
Supply & Demand Zones
Price Action Confirmation
---
Euro Slips Further as Safe-Haven Demand for USD GrowsThe EUR/USD pair is facing strong selling pressure as global financial markets continue to reel from geopolitical and trade-related tensions. The Euro is weakening as investors increasingly turn to the U.S. Dollar as a safe haven, following a series of aggressive tariff policies announced by the United States.
Adding to the Euro’s struggles is the lack of positive economic data from the Eurozone, which has further diminished hopes for a meaningful recovery. Traders are now closely watching for monetary policy signals from both the ECB and the Federal Reserve, but so far, the bearish trend remains firmly in place.
On the technical front, EUR/USD continues to move within a descending channel, while the bearish crossover of the EMA 34 and 89 keeps sellers in control. With risk sentiment leaning defensive and capital flowing toward safe-haven assets, the pair may see further downside unless surprise bullish catalysts emerge from upcoming data or central bank remarks.
EUR/USD Under Pressure: Will the Downtrend Continue?The EUR/USD exchange rate remains under pressure today, fluctuating below the 1.1700 level as the U.S. dollar gains strength following President Trump's announcement of new tariff letters directed at his two largest trade partners, boosting demand for safe-haven assets.
The downtrend may be further reinforced in the near term, if not in the short run. On the chart, a wedge pattern is forming, and breaking this pattern could add fresh momentum to EUR/USD.
Do you agree with my view?
Leave your comments below and don’t forget to like the post for extra luck!
EUR/USD Faces Strong Sell-off, Is a Deeper Correction Coming?The FX:EURUSD pair continued its sharp decline this morning, currently trading around 1.161, after breaking through the bullish wedge pattern on the daily chart. This key technical signal suggests that the previous uptrend has ended, opening the possibility for a deeper correction in the short term. The inability to hold the 1.171 resistance after two attempts further confirms the ongoing downtrend.
The selling pressure is driven by the strong recovery of the USD, as investors seek refuge in safe-haven assets amid concerns about global growth and geopolitical instability. Additionally, U.S. bond yields have rebounded following strong economic data, reducing the appeal of the euro. The expectation that the Fed will maintain high interest rates for a longer period also contributes to the downward pressure on EUR/USD.
In the short term, if EUR/USD fails to hold the 1.158 support, there is a high likelihood of a drop towards 1.140, a level that acted as strong support in the past. Traders should closely monitor signals from the Fed and the upcoming PMI data for the Eurozone to assess the next trend direction.
EUR/USD Weakens Amid Trade Tensions and Fed OutlookThe EUR/USD pair continues to decline under the pressure of trade tensions and expectations surrounding the U.S. Federal Reserve's monetary policy. This week, the U.S. decision to impose new tariffs on certain products has heightened market uncertainty, weakening the euro and pushing the price lower.
On the other hand, the continued strength of the U.S. dollar, supported by solid economic data and expectations of a restrictive Fed policy, has worsened the decline of the European currency.
Technically, EUR/USD appears to be breaking through support levels, with the risk of further declines if the current trend continues.
EUR/USD Technical Breakdown – Bearish Structure Confirmed🔍 EUR/USD Technical Breakdown – Bearish Structure Confirmed
The EUR/USD pair has officially broken below a well-established ascending trendline that supported the bullish structure since early May. This technical break is a strong bearish signal, suggesting a potential shift in market sentiment as the pair loses upward momentum.
The pair is now trading around 1.16760, with sellers gaining control after failing to sustain above the 1.1700 region. The breakdown aligns with classic market structure principles, where a clean trendline violation often leads to a continuation move toward the next key support zone.
📍 Target Zone:
The identified downside target is around 1.1500, a critical demand zone that aligns with previous consolidation and potential liquidity pools. This area may act as a magnet for price before any significant reversal occurs.
📘 Trader's Insight:
This setup presents a clear example of a trendline break leading to a bearish continuation pattern. Professional traders may look for retests of the broken trendline for confirmation entries, or short-term rallies to add positions, while maintaining disciplined risk management.
✅ Technical Summary:
Structure: Bearish Breakout
Resistance: 1.1700
Support/Target: 1.1500
Bias: Bearish below trendline
Linear Regression with RSI: A New approach to Trend AnalysisHello Friends,
Welcome to RK_Chaarts,
Today we are going to learn one Method of analysing the chart, here we are using EURUSD chart, and the method we're using is very simple & interesting, We are using the Linear Regression Trend Channel & Relative Strength Index (RSI), What happens in this method, is that we identify a particular zone where the price is making a one-sided move, like if the price is trending upwards, making higher highs and higher lows. We then apply a regression channel to it, and within that channel, we set internal deviation for the upper and lower sides, like 2 or 2.5 or 3 etc., whatever setting it takes.
In this chart, we can clearly see that the 2.5 setting is forming a complete channel, which we've applied for the last two months, from 12th May 2025, when the uptrend started. We've used the 4-hour time frame chart and the RSI. Every time the price hits the bottom of the channel, we can see that the RSI also enters the same zone, between 30-40, and from there, it bounces back.
Currently, the price has again hit the bottom of the regression channel, and the RSI has also gone below 40, between 30-40. And the good thing is that we're seeing a positive divergence in the RSI. So, there's a high possibility that the price might bounce back from here.
It's worth watching what happens next in the market. Nothing is guaranteed here; everything is a game of probabilities. This is one method that we often use, and its results have given us a very good experience. So, let's see what happens next in this chart. This observation is also a good learning experience, which we often encounter, 7-8 times out of 10, in favor of the market, but sometimes it doesn't work, maybe 2-3 times, when the trend changes. So, let's see what happens next.
This post is shared purely for educational purpose & it’s Not a trading advice.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Chaarts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Chaarts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
EURUSD: are the bulls taking control?EURUSD is currently trading around 1.1691 and maintaining a bullish structure with consistently higher lows. On the H4 chart, a symmetrical triangle is forming, and price may break out toward the 1.1823 target if it can overcome the resistance trendline.
On the news front, the US dollar has weakened as the Fed has yet to provide a clear signal on rate cuts. Meanwhile, Eurozone economic sentiment is improving, supported by a slight uptick in manufacturing and services data. This reinforces the euro's recovery and keeps upward pressure on EURUSD.
If the 1.1660 support zone holds firm, the upcoming breakout could trigger a strong bullish move. Buyers are waiting for confirmation — are you in the game?
EURUSD – Failed Breakout, Bearish Momentum Takes OverEURUSD attempted to break out of the upper edge of a consolidation triangle but was swiftly rejected around the 1.17450 region, forming a classic “failed breakout” — a pattern that often precedes strong reversals. The pair is now pulling back and appears to be heading toward the 1.16800 support zone.
On the news front, the market is under pressure from rising expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain higher interest rates for longer, following stronger-than-expected U.S. job data. This has driven a notable recovery in the U.S. dollar, putting downward pressure on the euro. In this context, EURUSD risks a deeper correction if the 1.1700 support fails to hold. Keep a close eye on price action — this pullback could be the start of a new bearish leg.