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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EUR/USD Bearish Setup: Supply Zone Rejection Toward1.0900 Target(Swing Trade Setup) 📉 Trendline + CHoCH Confirmation 🔻 Downtrend marked by a falling blue trendline. 🔄 CHoCH (Change of Character) shows a bearish market structure shift, confirmed by a lower low. 🟦 Supply Zone (Sell Zone) 💥 Strong seller reaction previously occurred between: 1.12956 – 1.13896 🔹 Wait for price to retrace into this zone. 🎯 Ideal for short entries. 🎯 Entry & Stop-Loss 🔵 Entry Point: Around 1.12956 – 1.13005 (below supply zone and EMA) 🛑 Stop Loss: 1.13896 – 1.13929 (above the last high + supply zone) 🟦 EMA 70 (Purple Line) 📈 Currently at 1.13051 Acts as dynamic resistance — strengthening the short setup. 🏁 Target Zone 🎯 Main Target: 1.09000 Marked as TARGET POINT 1.0900 🟦 Support Levels Inside Target Zone: 1.09229 1.09150 1.08814 ✅ Summary of Trade Idea 📍 Short Position ⬆️ Entry: ~1.13000 🛑 Stop Loss: ~1.13900 ⬇️ Take Profit: ~1.09000 ⚖️ Risk-to-Reward: ~1:3+ potential
Short
by Jameshead007
1
EUR/USD Buy Setup1. Entry Point: Marked at: 1.12243 This is the suggested price level to enter a long (buy) trade. 2. Stop Loss: Set at: 1.11542 Placed below a support zone, it limits the downside risk if the trade moves against the position. 3. Target Points: EA Target Point One: 1.13891 EA Target Point (Final): 1.15929 These levels are profit-taking zones, with the first being a conservative target and the second being a more extended move. 4. Technical Indicators: Moving Averages: A red shorter-term moving average (possibly 20 EMA) A blue longer-term moving average (possibly 200 EMA) Price is currently below both, indicating bearish momentum, though the long setup is anticipating a reversal. 5. Support/Resistance Zones: Purple Zones: Highlighted as key demand and supply areas. The lower purple zone supports the entry and stop-loss area. The upper purple zones mark resistance areas aligning with the target levels. 6. Current Price: Around 1.12459, slightly above the entry zone. Conclusion: This setup is a bullish trade idea with a clearly defined: Entry (1.12243), Stop-loss (1.11542), and Two take-profit levels (1.13891 and 1.15929).
Long
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
EURUSD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. 🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair . 💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
by okako_trading
EUR USD Weekly analysis (10-05-25 to - 17-05-25)📊 Technical Analysis (4H Chart - EUR/USD) Current price sits near 1.12480, showing signs of potential short-term recovery after a sharp sell-off. The chart suggests a bullish correction might be underway, aiming for the 1.13400–1.13700 supply zone. Key Technical Observations: Support Zone: 1.11800 – 1.12200 Immediate Resistance: 1.13400 – 1.13700 (highlighted blue box) The pair has bounced off a local low with bullish momentum. If sustained, this may lead to a retracement toward the resistance zone. Bearish market structure remains intact, so this is treated as a corrective move unless a clean breakout above 1.13800 occurs. 🟢 Short-term bullish correction expected, targeting the blue zone, before potential continuation to the downside. 🌍 Fundamental Outlook for the Week (13–17 May 2025) 🇪🇺 1. Eurozone Economic Concerns Growth remains sluggish with Germany and France showing weak industrial production and business confidence. ECB stance remains dovish, with the market expecting possible rate cuts sooner than the Fed. 🇺🇸 2. USD Drivers All eyes on US CPI (May 15) and Retail Sales (May 16). Strong prints will reinforce USD strength and weigh on EUR/USD. Higher-for-longer Fed rate outlook continues to favor USD. 💡 3. Macro Implication Divergence in central bank policy and economic performance continues to favor the dollar. Any weak Eurozone data or strong US inflation can resume the bearish move below 1.1200. ✅ Conclusion EUR/USD expected to retrace higher in the short term, targeting the 1.13400–1.13700 zone. However, overall bias remains bearish. Any weakness in the bullish move or a strong US data release can bring the pair back below 1.12200, opening the door toward 1.11800 or lower.
by JOY-OF-RISK-TARGET-ONE-WAVE
EURUSD 4H chart - Short Setup🔍 Chart Overview Pair: EURUSD Timeframe: 4H Pattern Identified: Head & Shoulders (bearish reversal pattern) Trendline: Broken — signals end of previous uptrend Market Structure: Lower highs forming → beginning of a downtrend 📉 Bearish Trade Setup 1. Entry Zone Marked just below the broken trendline and neckline of the Head & Shoulders. Entry: ~1.12450–1.12500 Price has already broken below neckline → confirming the pattern. 2. Stop Loss (SL) Placed above the right shoulder, around 1.14096. Smart placement as a break above would invalidate the Head & Shoulders pattern. It also covers any minor retracement into the supply zone. 3. Take Profits (TP) 1st TP: ~1.09000 zone 🔹 This zone acted as previous structure support 🔹 Good area to book partials or move SL to breakeven 2nd TP: ~1.03258 🔹 Long-term target 🔹 Based on major previous demand zone visible on the left (possibly from daily chart) 🔻 Technical Analysis ✅ Bearish Confirmation Head and Shoulders formation: Reliable trend reversal signal Break of Trendline: Confirms the structure has shifted Break of neckline: Entry confirmation Retest of neckline/structure: Entry after confirmation makes it safer 🔎 Confluences Confluence Result Head & Shoulders ✅ Strong reversal pattern Break of trendline ✅ Indicates shift in trend Break + Retest of neckline ✅ Classic confirmation Entry after confirmation ✅ Higher probability SL above right shoulder ✅ Strategic placement TP levels at structure & demand ✅ Logical TP zones 🛡️ Risk to Reward (RRR) RRR is very favorable, roughly: 1st TP ≈ 1:2 2nd TP ≈ 1:4 or higher A well-planned swing trade 📌 Final Recommendation ✅ This is a clean swing trade setup based on price action, pattern, and structure shift. 🔄 Consider partial close at 1st TP and trail SL. 🧠 Maintain discipline on SL—if price violates the right shoulder, exit.
Short
by Trade_With_Niraj
EURUSD NEXT POSSIBLE MOVEVANTAGE:EURUSD EUR/USD Intraday Analysis – Key Zones to Watch The market structure for EUR/USD on the 15-minute chart presents a well-defined range with key trading zones. 🔸 Sell Zone – The price is currently trading near this zone, indicating potential short opportunities if bearish pressure increases. 🔸 Buy Zone – A key support level where buying interest may emerge, leading to possible bullish movements. 🔸 Target & Stop Levels: Buy TP and Sell SL: Upper resistance level where buying targets align and sell stop-losses are triggered. Sell TP and Buy SL: Lower support level acting as a sell target and buy stop-loss zone. Traders should monitor price action around these zones for confirmation before entering trades. 📅 Date: MAY 09, 2025 📊 Chart: 15-Minute (EUR/USD) 💹 Broker: VANTAGE #EURUSD #ForexTrading #IntradayAnalysis #PriceAction #TradingStrategy
Long
by FX_MONSTER_EURUSD
EURUSD NEXT POSSIBLE MOVEVANTAGE:EURUSD EUR/USD Intraday Analysis – Key Zones to Watch The market structure for EUR/USD on the 15-minute chart presents a well-defined range with key trading zones. 🔸 Sell Zone – The price is currently trading near this zone, indicating potential short opportunities if bearish pressure increases. 🔸 Buy Zone – A key support level where buying interest may emerge, leading to possible bullish movements. 🔸 Target & Stop Levels: Buy TP and Sell SL: Upper resistance level where buying targets align and sell stop-losses are triggered. Sell TP and Buy SL: Lower support level acting as a sell target and buy stop-loss zone. Traders should monitor price action around these zones for confirmations before entering trades. 📅 Date: MAY 08, 2025 📊 Chart: 15-Minute (EUR/USD) 💹 Broker: VANTAGE #EURUSD #ForexTrading #IntradayAnalysis #PriceAction #TradingStrategy
Short
by FX_MONSTER_EURUSD
EUR/USD) support level pullback Technical AnalysisHELLO 👋 Dear friend Euro USD Traders Technical analysis of the EUR/USD (Euro vs US Dollar) on the 4-hour timeframe. Here's a summary of the idea and setup shown:H --- 1. Key Levels: Support Level: Around 1.1330–1.1280 — price has bounced from this level several times, indicating strong demand. Resistance Level: Around 1.1427 — this is the immediate target zone. Resistance Level 2: At 1.1570, the extended target area. --- 2. Current Price Behavior: Price is currently above the 50 EMA and near the middle of the range. The chart projects a potential bullish move after a slight pullback toward the support level. This projected move suggests: A bounce off support. A breakout above the immediate resistance at 1.1427. Continuation toward the upper resistance at 1.1570. --- 3. EMA Analysis: EMA 50 (blue): Price is above it, suggesting short-term bullish momentum. EMA 200 (red): Located much lower, confirming the overall longer-term bullish bias is still intact. --- 4. Price Projection: Target 1: 1.1427 (approx. +1.33% from breakout). Target 2: 1.1570 (total gain approx. +2.5%). --- 5. Trading Idea Summary: Bullish Idea (Buy Setup): Entry: Near support zone (around 1.1330–1.1280). Targets: 1.1427 (TP1), 1.1570 (TP2). Stop-loss: Below 1.1280, to protect against a breakdown. Risk/Reward: Good potential, especially if entering near support.
Long
by CRADLE_King
EUR/USD Long Trade Setup – Buy Zone at 1.12757 with Targets at 11. Entry Point: 1.12757 is marked as the proposed buy entry zone, situated at the bottom of a consolidation range. The price is currently just above this level, suggesting a potential reversal setup is forming. 2. Stop Loss: Placed at 1.12413, which is below the support zone. This protects the position if the price breaks down further. 3. Target Points: EA Target Point One: 1.14207 – this is the first take-profit target, aligned with a previous resistance zone. EA Target Point: 1.1582 – this is the extended target, aligned with a stronger resistance area from a prior high. 4. Risk-to-Reward Consideration: Risk: From 1.12757 to 1.12413 (approx. 34 pips). Reward 1: Up to 1.14207 (approx. 145 pips). Reward 2: Up to 1.1582 (approx. 306 pips). This gives an excellent risk-to-reward ratio (>4:1 to the first target, >9:1 to the second target). 5. Market Context: Price is trading below both the 50-period (blue) and 20-period (red) moving averages, indicating bearish short-term momentum. However, this strategy anticipates a bounce off support, possibly a reversal or correction to the upside.
Long
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
EUR/USD Bullish Reversal Setup – Demand Zone to Target 1.15646🔍 Current Price: 1.13414 📉 EMA (70): 1.13334 Price is slightly above the EMA → Bullish hint ✅ Key Zones & Levels 🟦 Demand Zone: 📍 1.12441 ➡️ 1.12985 Strong buying interest here! Price bounced from this zone → 📈 Possible reversal 🔵 Entry Point: 1.12985 🛑 Stop Loss: 1.12441 🎯 Target: 1.15646 Trendline Watch 📉 Descending trendline is being tested/broken 🟠 If price holds above the trendline + EMA → CONFIRMATION for long entry ✅ Trade Setup Buy Entry: 1.12985 TP: 1.15646 🎯 SL: 1.12441 🔻 Risk–Reward Ratio: ~ 1:4.8 ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️ Visual Flow: 🔵 Demand Zone ⬆️ Break EMA & Trendline ⬆️ 🎯 Target Zone (1.15646) Summary: Looks like a sweet bullish setup from the demand zone! If price stays above EMA and trendline → Go Long ✅
Long
by Jameshead007
EUR/USD) Big Support level Analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of EUR/USD on the 1-hour timeframe. The idea centers around a potential reversal from a major support zone, aiming for higher resistance targets. Here's a detailed breakdown: --- 1. Big Support Level A strong horizontal support zone is highlighted around 1.1275–1.1290. Price is currently reacting off this level, suggesting a potential bullish reversal. 2. EMA 200 as Resistance The 200-period EMA (~1.1346) is above current price, possibly acting as a dynamic resistance. A break and hold above it could confirm bullish momentum. 3. Resistance Levels & Target Points The first target is the 1.14367 resistance level, a clear supply zone. The second target point is around 1.15622, aligned with a previous major high and strong resistance zone. 4. RSI Indicator RSI is at 44.02, indicating neutral to slightly oversold conditions—this supports a potential bullish move, especially from support. 5. Forecast Path The chart projects a likely pullback and breakout pattern: Rebound from the support zone. Break through EMA 200 and minor resistance. Rally toward first and second targets. Mr SMC Trading point --- Summary of the Idea: This is a trend-reversal-to-continuation setup, with EUR/USD expected to rise from a key support area toward 1.14367, and potentially 1.15622, provided price holds above the support and breaks the EMA 200. Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point
1
GBP/USD Daily Chart AnalysisTrend & Price Action Recent Move: GBP/USD rallied strongly but is now showing rejection at the 1.3290–1.3330 resistance zone. Current Candle: Bearish, with price closing below the previous day's low, indicating selling pressure. Moving Averages: Price is testing the short-term EMA (blue line) and remains above the medium-term EMA (purple line). A close below both would confirm further downside. Key Levels Resistance: 1.3290–1.3330: Recent swing high and rejection zone. Immediate Support: 1.3224–1.3240: Cluster of moving averages and previous breakout area. Major Support/Target: 1.2709–1.2646: Next significant demand zone and your marked target area. Indicators RSI (14): 56.42, turning down from overbought territory. Still has room to fall before reaching oversold. MACD: Histogram is flattening; a bearish crossover could be imminent if momentum continues to fade. Trade Setup (Swing Short) Entry: Already active, or consider entering on a daily close below 1.3240 for confirmation. Stop Loss: Above 1.3330 (recent swing high and resistance). Take Profit: 1.2709–1.2646 (major support zone). Risk/Reward: Excellent: Tight stop with a wide target, giving a favorable risk/reward ratio. Professional Insights Confluence: Bearish candle at resistance, fading momentum on MACD, and RSI turning down all support the short bias. Confirmation: For higher probability, wait for a daily close below the moving averages or a strong bearish engulfing candle. Risk Management: Risk only 1–2% of your trading capital. Adjust position size to maintain discipline. News Risk: Watch for major UK/US economic releases that could cause volatility spikes. Summary Table Direction Entry Zone Stop Loss Target Zone Rationale Short <1.3240 >1.3330 1.2709–1.2646 Bearish reversal at resistance, fading momentum Conclusion GBP/USD is showing a classic swing short setup: rejection at resistance, bearish candle, and weakening momentum. Wait for confirmation below 1.3240 for added safety. Manage your risk and monitor for reversal signals as price nears the target zone. If you want intraday levels or a live update as the trade develops, let me know!
Long
by MasterMind_Forex_Futures
EUR/USD at Key Inflection Point🔥 EUR/USD at Key Inflection Point – NFP Looms, Volatility Incoming? The euro is pushing back after three days of losses, bouncing from the 1.1265 area with strength — but make no mistake, this is more than just a technical move. With Eurozone CPI holding and US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) right ahead, EUR/USD is poised at the edge of serious volatility. 🧭 Macro Overview – Diverging Paths? Friday’s Eurozone inflation numbers surprised slightly to the upside: Headline CPI YoY: 2.2% vs. 2.1% expected Core CPI YoY: 2.7% vs. 2.5% expected These numbers suggest ECB might not be in a rush to slash rates, despite growing dovish commentary from policymakers. Yet, the market still prices in a likely 25bps cut in July. Meanwhile in the US, expectations are building for a soft NFP print – 130K vs. 228K prior. This, along with recent weak growth data, has fueled speculation of multiple rate cuts from the Fed in 2025. The USD has paused after a 3-day rally — and that makes today’s NFP extremely sensitive. 🔍 Technical Picture (H1 Outlook) Price action shows EUR/USD reclaiming ground above 1.1300 after defending the key 1.1265–1.1279 support zone. A potential short-term reversal pattern is forming, but the move remains fragile until we see confirmation above 1.1350 and 1.1372. Bearish structure remains valid unless bulls can take out 1.1419, the high from April 30. 🔺 Key Resistance Levels: 1.13520 1.13730 1.13900 1.14190 🔻 Key Support Levels: 1.13000 1.12790 1.12650 🎯 Trade Plan – Friday 3rd May 🔵 BUY ZONE: 1.12790 SL: 1.12250 TP: 1.13450 → 1.13850 → 1.14250 🔴 SELL ZONE: 1.13750 SL: 1.14300 TP: 1.13250 → 1.12850 → 1.12450 → 1.12400 ⚠️ Strategy Notes: Euro has room to bounce, but momentum will likely depend on the US jobs report. A soft NFP could weaken the dollar further, triggering a break above 1.1372. On the flip side, strong jobs numbers + hawkish White House language could reinforce bearish continuation below 1.1300. 📣 Final Thoughts: EUR/USD is stuck in macro limbo. Both sides have valid narratives — sticky inflation in Europe, softening labour data in the US. 📊 Today’s close will likely define next week’s tone. 🧠 Be selective. Don’t chase. Let the data lead. 💬 What’s your take ahead of NFP? Breakout or fakeout? Drop your chart ideas below 👇👇👇
Long
by MMFlowTrading
EURUSD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISWith the new monthly candle set to open tomorrow, I’m anticipating a potential correction in the EU . I’ve identified a key level around 1.13866 where price could face resistance, aligning with my broader bearish bias. If the market reaches that zone, I’ll be looking for signs of rejection to potentially position myself short, targeting a move toward the 1.12646 area. The invalidation level for this idea would be well above the current structure, around 1.4248, beyond which the bias would likely need to be reconsidered.
by okako_trading
EUR/USD Bullish Trade Setup – Targeting 1.18089 with Strong RiskEntry Point: 1.13860 Stop Loss Zone: 1.13642 to 1.12578 Resistance Point: 1.14320 Target (TP) Point: 1.18089 🔍 Observations Support Zone: Marked in purple near the entry and stop-loss area, suggesting a strong demand zone. Resistance Zone: Around 1.14320, indicating a potential breakout level. Trend: Short-term uptrend after a consolidation range. Risk/Reward Ratio: Quite favorable, targeting a move of approximately 470+ pips (4.20% gain) from entry to target. 📊 Technical Indicators Moving Averages: Red (likely 20 EMA): Price recently crossed above, showing bullish momentum. Blue (likely 50 or 200 EMA): Serving as dynamic support. Price Action: Formation suggests a potential breakout from resistance toward the 1.18 target. 🧠 Conclusion This is a long (buy) setup expecting a bullish breakout: Buy entry above the support zone. Stop-loss placed below major support (1.12578). Target set significantly higher, aligning with prior structure or resistance at 1.18089
Long
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
EURUSD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. 🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair . 💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
Short
by okako_trading