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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EURUSD: are the bulls taking control?EURUSD is currently trading around 1.1691 and maintaining a bullish structure with consistently higher lows. On the H4 chart, a symmetrical triangle is forming, and price may break out toward the 1.1823 target if it can overcome the resistance trendline. On the news front, the US dollar has weakened as the Fed has yet to provide a clear signal on rate cuts. Meanwhile, Eurozone economic sentiment is improving, supported by a slight uptick in manufacturing and services data. This reinforces the euro's recovery and keeps upward pressure on EURUSD. If the 1.1660 support zone holds firm, the upcoming breakout could trigger a strong bullish move. Buyers are waiting for confirmation — are you in the game?
Long
by Rocky_trade_
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EURUSD – Failed Breakout, Bearish Momentum Takes OverEURUSD attempted to break out of the upper edge of a consolidation triangle but was swiftly rejected around the 1.17450 region, forming a classic “failed breakout” — a pattern that often precedes strong reversals. The pair is now pulling back and appears to be heading toward the 1.16800 support zone. On the news front, the market is under pressure from rising expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain higher interest rates for longer, following stronger-than-expected U.S. job data. This has driven a notable recovery in the U.S. dollar, putting downward pressure on the euro. In this context, EURUSD risks a deeper correction if the 1.1700 support fails to hold. Keep a close eye on price action — this pullback could be the start of a new bearish leg.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
EUR/USD Slides as Trade Tensions WeighThe EUR/USD pair extended its steady decline on Thursday, approaching the weekly lows as global financial markets remained under pressure from aggressive U.S. tariff announcements. The U.S. President unveiled new tariffs on copper — a key industrial commodity — and signalled upcoming restrictions on the pharmaceutical sector. A mix of inflation concerns, supply chain disruptions, and continued strength in the U.S. dollar has put the euro under visible pressure. From a technical standpoint, EUR/USD remains in a downward correction phase after pulling back from multi-year highs, with bearish momentum holding firm. Unless a surprise emerges from economic data or monetary policy shifts, the short-term bias is likely to remain tilted to the downside.
Short
by Kevinn_Nguyen
EURUSD – Rebounding from supportEURUSD is forming a small rounded bottom after testing the support zone around 1.1670. If this level holds and price breaks above the nearby FVG area, the pair may continue its recovery toward the 1.1820 target, as shown in the projected path. Fundamentally, the euro is supported by stronger-than-expected Eurozone retail sales and rising inflation expectations ahead of this week’s CPI data (scheduled for July 10–11). Meanwhile, the USD is under pressure due to uncertainty over U.S.–EU trade policy and a lack of clarity from U.S. trade decisions, which favors a EURUSD rebound. As long as EURUSD holds above 1.1670, the bullish outlook remains valid. However, a break below this zone could send the pair back toward the 1.1600 area.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
Bad News Piling Up – EURUSD Under Heavy PressureEURUSD is slipping fast as a wave of negative news hits the Eurozone. Service PMIs in both Germany and France have weakened, signaling a clear slowdown in the region’s economy. This has sharply reduced expectations of further rate hikes from the ECB. Meanwhile, Fed officials are doubling down on their hawkish tone, stressing that U.S. inflation remains sticky and interest rates may need to stay higher for longer. The growing policy divergence between the ECB and the Fed is becoming undeniable – and that’s exactly why EURUSD continues to slide.
Short
by Kevinn_Nguyen
EURUSD - Sideways Action Sparks Reversal SpeculationHello traders, what are your expectations for EUR/USD? Today, EUR/USD continues to move sideways around the 1.1800 mark during Thursday’s European session. The pair is showing signs of caution as the US Dollar gains ground amid optimism over a US–Vietnam trade deal. From a technical perspective, the bullish trend still dominates as the price remains within an upward channel. However, a short-term pullback could be on the horizon, especially with buying momentum fading as EUR/USD approaches the upper boundary of the channel. What do you think—could a reversal be forming from this zone? Drop your thoughts in the comments! Happy trading, everyone!
Short
by Kevinn_Nguyen
EURUSD – Rebounding from Trendline, Targeting 1.18500EURUSD has bounced off the ascending trendline and key support zone around 1.16900. The price action suggests a potential continuation of the uptrend, with the next target near the 1.18500 resistance zone. The current structure is forming higher lows, indicating bullish momentum. As long as the price holds above 1.16900, the bullish scenario remains valid. From a fundamental perspective, the euro is supported by expectations that the ECB will keep interest rates steady, while the USD faces pressure if the upcoming FOMC minutes strike a less hawkish tone. This creates a favorable backdrop for the EURUSD uptrend.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
Caution Prevails as EUR/USD Tests Downtrend LimitsToday, EUR/USD continues to hover around 1.1780, following a mild downtrend amid ongoing economic uncertainty. With a light economic calendar and looming deadlines surrounding U.S. trade tensions—particularly with Europe—traders are steering clear of aggressive positions. Despite the structurally weak U.S. dollar due to expectations that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates, there is no clear bullish momentum for the euro, largely because of mixed signals from the European Central Bank (ECB). As long as the pair fails to break through the technical resistance near 1.1760—the upper boundary of the current price channel—sellers maintain the upper hand.
Short
by Kevinn_Nguyen
EUR/USD: Waiting for the Next Move – What’s Your Take?Hello traders, let’s dive into EUR/USD with Kevinn! 📈 Market Update: The euro is currently under pressure following dovish remarks from ECB officials, which have increased expectations that interest rates will remain unchanged for a prolonged period. Meanwhile, the US dollar is showing mild weakness as markets begin pricing in potential Fed rate cuts later this year — though the shift hasn't been strong enough to trigger a breakout in EUR/USD. Upcoming CPI reports will be crucial in shaping future monetary policy expectations and could define the short-term direction of this currency pair. 🧠 Personal Take: EUR/USD is trading around the 1.0720 zone, with market momentum currently lacking. A short-term pullback toward the support zone near the 34 and 89 EMA is possible. However, from a technical standpoint, the long-term bullish structure remains intact — at least for now. So what do you think about EUR/USD's direction? Drop your opinion below!
by Kevinn_Nguyen
Is EURUSD About to Reverse? Key Support in DangerHello traders, what are your thoughts on EURUSD? Today, EURUSD is facing a clear risk of a downside correction following stronger-than-expected Nonfarm Payroll data. This immediately boosted the US dollar, threatening the pair’s recent bullish momentum. On the H4 chart, a CHOCH (Change of Character) pattern has just formed, signaling weakening buying pressure. If the price breaks below the 1.1745 support, the following BOS (Break of Structure) sequence could confirm a shift to a bearish market structure. With the Fed likely to maintain higher interest rates for longer and delay rate cut expectations, the USD stands to benefit further. What do you think — could this be the start of a major reversal?
Short
by Kevinn_Nguyen
EURUSD SHORT - 15M/1HFOREXCOM:EURUSD Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied... Keep trading Hustle hard Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading. Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!! !
Short
by Phinics
EURUSD: Sideways Consolidation Before Directional BreakEURUSD is currently moving within a clear sideways range between 1.16400 and 1.18400, positioned just above the ascending channel line. Recent price action shows consolidation, with lower highs forming near 1.18400 while support holds firmly. If price breaks below the range, a retest of the channel support around 1.16400 is likely. On the other hand, a bounce from current support may lead to another attempt toward the upper resistance. Traders should wait for a clear breakout signal before entering in the new trend direction.
by Rocky_trade_
EURUSD: A Pause Before the Next Wave?After a strong breakout at the end of June, EUR/USD surged but has since entered a tight consolidation range. But don’t be discouraged — this could simply be a breather before the next big move! On the chart, the bullish trend remains intact as price stays above key EMAs. Buyers aren’t backing down, and the market seems to be "catching its breath." If EUR/USD breaks out of the current sideways zone around 1.1810, we could see another bullish leg aiming for higher levels.
Long
by Kevinn_Nguyen
EURUSD Bulls in ControlHello everyone, what’s your take on EURUSD? After breaking out of its descending channel, EURUSD has maintained its bullish momentum. In the short term, there are no clear signs of slowing down, especially with the 34 EMA acting as dynamic support — boosting buyer confidence. Fundamentally, a weaker US dollar and renewed optimism in Europe are fueling euro strength. As long as price holds above the 1.1650 zone, the path of least resistance remains upward. The 1.1750 target is still in sight, confirming a textbook bullish continuation pattern. What’s your view on where EURUSD is headed next?
Long
by Kevinn_Nguyen
EUR/USD Stuck in a Box – Breakout or Breakdown Ahead?EUR/USD is currently moving sideways within a narrow range around 1.1700–1.1750, as traders await key economic data from both the US and the Eurozone. The chart reflects a consolidation phase, with repeated resistance tests but no clear breakout yet. This week, the euro remains under pressure after the ECB delivered a more dovish tone than expected, reinforcing the view that interest rates in the euro area may stay unchanged for longer. Although inflation data has stabilized, the euro’s recovery momentum has stalled. Looking ahead, EUR/USD must break above the 1.1740 resistance zone to resume its longer-term bullish trend. Otherwise, the bearish pullback scenario, as outlined in the chart, could come into play. What’s your take — will we see a breakout, or is a correction coming first? 📉📈 Share your view in the comments!
by Kevinn_Nguyen
EUR USD Weekly Free Analysis (28-06-25 to 05-07-25)EUR USD In early July 2025, EUR/USD may start falling from the current high levels. This is because the US dollar is expected to get stronger due to upcoming positive economic data (like jobs and services reports) and the Federal Reserve staying firm on high interest rates. At the same time, the euro could weaken if the European Central Bank turns more cautious because of slower growth in the Eurozone. This difference in economic strength and central bank policy (called divergence) usually pushes EUR/USD lower. Also, if global markets turn risk-off, more investors may shift to the safer US dollar, adding pressure on the euro.
by JOY-OF-RISK-TARGET-ONE-WAVE