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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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eur/usd today updatesAs of February 18, 2025, the EUR/USD currency pair is exhibiting a neutral trend on both the 4-hour and 15-minute timeframes. Technical indicators, including moving averages and oscillators, do not show a strong bias toward either buying or selling. This suggests a period of consolidation, with no clear directional momentum. In terms of supply and demand dynamics, the pair is trading within a range, indicating a balance between buyers and sellers. Key support and resistance levels are identified at 1.04 and 1.08, respectively. A decisive break above 1.08 could signal bullish momentum, while a drop below 1.04 might indicate bearish trends. Supply (Resistance) Levels: 1.0532: This level corresponds to the high observed on January 27, 2025. A break above this point could indicate bullish momentum. FXSTREET.COM 1.0629: This is the peak recorded in December 2024. Surpassing this level may signal a stronger upward trend. Demand (Support) Levels: 1.0455: Identified as a support area, a decline to this level may attract buyers, potentially leading to a price rebound. 1.0415: A drop below this threshold could suggest increased bearish pressure, possibly leading to further declines.
by svignesh7043
Learn option trading basic to advance**Option trading** can be both exciting and complex, offering various strategies and techniques to make profits from price movements in underlying assets. Here's a **comprehensive guide** on **option trading**, covering everything from **basic to advanced strategies**: --- ### **1. Basics of Option Trading** #### **What are Options?** An **option** is a financial contract that gives you the **right**, but not the **obligation**, to buy or sell an underlying asset (like stocks, indices, commodities, etc.) at a predetermined price (called the **strike price**) on or before a specific expiration date. There are **two main types** of options: 1. **Call Option**: This gives the buyer the right to **buy** the underlying asset at the strike price. 2. **Put Option**: This gives the buyer the right to **sell** the underlying asset at the strike price. #### **Key Terminology in Options** - **Strike Price**: The price at which the underlying asset can be bought or sold. - **Expiration Date**: The date when the option contract expires. - **Premium**: The price paid by the buyer to the seller for the option. - **In-the-Money (ITM)**: For a call, the asset's price is above the strike price; for a put, the asset's price is below the strike price. - **Out-of-the-Money (OTM)**: For a call, the asset's price is below the strike price; for a put, the asset's price is above the strike price. - **At-the-Money (ATM)**: The asset's price is equal to the strike price. --- ### **2. Option Pricing Basics** The price of an option, known as the **premium**, is determined by several factors: 1. **Intrinsic Value**: The actual value of the option if it were exercised right now. - For a call: **Intrinsic Value = Current Price - Strike Price** (if positive) - For a put: **Intrinsic Value = Strike Price - Current Price** (if positive) 2. **Time Value**: The extra value based on the time left until the expiration date. The more time there is, the higher the premium. 3. **Volatility**: The higher the price volatility of the underlying asset, the higher the premium. This is because volatility increases the chances of the option becoming profitable. --- ### **3. Basic Option Strategies** #### **Buying Call Options (Long Call)** - **Objective**: Buy a call option if you expect the price of the asset to **increase**. - **Profit Potential**: Unlimited (since the price of the asset can rise indefinitely). - **Risk**: Limited to the premium paid for the option. - **Example**: You buy a call option on a stock at a strike price of ₹2,000. If the stock rises to ₹2,500, you can buy it at ₹2,000 and sell at ₹2,500, making a profit. #### **Buying Put Options (Long Put)** - **Objective**: Buy a put option if you expect the price of the asset to **decrease**. - **Profit Potential**: The price can fall to zero, so the profit is significant. - **Risk**: Limited to the premium paid for the option. - **Example**: You buy a put option on a stock at a strike price of ₹2,000. If the stock falls to ₹1,500, you can sell it at ₹2,000 and buy it back at ₹1,500, making a profit. #### **Selling Call Options (Covered Call)** - **Objective**: You own the underlying asset and sell a call option to generate income through premiums. - **Profit**: Limited to the premium received for selling the call. - **Risk**: Potentially unlimited if the asset's price rises significantly. - **Example**: You own 100 shares of stock at ₹2,000 and sell a call option with a strike price of ₹2,200. If the stock stays below ₹2,200, you keep the stock and the premium. If it rises above ₹2,200, the stock gets called away at ₹2,200. #### **Selling Put Options (Cash-Secured Put)** - **Objective**: You sell a put option when you're willing to buy the underlying asset at a lower price. - **Profit**: Limited to the premium received for selling the put. - **Risk**: Potentially significant if the asset's price falls below the strike price. - **Example**: You sell a put option on a stock at ₹1,800. If the stock stays above ₹1,800, you keep the premium. If it falls below ₹1,800, you’ll be required to buy the stock at ₹1,800. --- ### **4. Intermediate Option Strategies** #### **Covered Call Strategy** - **Objective**: If you're neutral to mildly bullish on the asset, you can own the stock and sell a call option to generate income. - **Risk**: The risk is that the stock price may rise significantly, and you will have to sell the stock at the strike price, missing out on the potential upside. #### **Protective Put Strategy** - **Objective**: You own the stock and buy a put option to protect against a price drop. - **Risk**: The only risk is the premium paid for the put option. - **When to Use**: If you're bullish on the stock but want to limit potential losses. #### **Straddle Strategy** - **Objective**: Buy both a call and a put option at the same strike price and expiration date. - **Profit Potential**: Unlimited, if the price moves significantly in either direction. - **Risk**: Limited to the total premium paid for both the call and put. - **When to Use**: If you expect a large move in the underlying asset but are unsure of the direction (e.g., during earnings announcements). #### **Strangle Strategy** - **Objective**: Buy both a call and a put option with different strike prices (the call has a higher strike than the put). - **Profit Potential**: Unlimited, if the price moves significantly in either direction. - **Risk**: Limited to the total premium paid for both the call and put. - **When to Use**: If you expect high volatility but don’t know the direction of price movement. --- ### **5. Advanced Option Strategies** #### **Iron Condor** - **Objective**: Involves selling a call and put option at different strike prices (one higher and one lower), while simultaneously buying further out-of-the-money options for protection. - **Profit Potential**: Limited to the net premium received. - **Risk**: Limited to the difference between the strike prices minus the premium received. - **When to Use**: When you expect the price of the underlying asset to stay within a specific range. #### **Butterfly Spread** - **Objective**: A neutral strategy involving three strike prices: a lower, middle, and higher strike. Buy one call/put at the lower strike, sell two calls/puts at the middle strike, and buy one call/put at the higher strike. - **Profit Potential**: Limited to the maximum premium received. - **Risk**: Limited to the net premium paid. - **When to Use**: When you expect the asset to stay near the middle strike price and have low volatility. #### **Calendar Spread (Time Spread)** - **Objective**: Buy a longer-term option and sell a shorter-term option at the same strike price. - **Profit Potential**: Profit from the decay of the shorter-term option's time value. - **Risk**: Limited to the net premium paid. - **When to Use**: When you expect volatility to rise and want to profit from the time decay of the short position. #### **Diagonal Spread** - **Objective**: A combination of a vertical spread (same strike price) and a time spread (different expiration dates). - **Profit Potential**: Profit from both time decay and price movement. - **Risk**: Limited to the net premium paid. --- ### **6. Risk Management in Options Trading** Options trading involves substantial risk. Here are some risk management techniques: - **Position Sizing**: Limit the size of each position based on your risk tolerance. - **Stop Loss**: Set exit points to limit potential losses. - **Diversification**: Use different strategies and trade different assets to spread risk. - **Hedging**: Use options to hedge existing positions and reduce risk exposure. --- ### **7. Calculating Option Cost in INR** To calculate the **cost of an option** in **INR**, you can follow these steps: 1. **Find the Option Premium**: This is typically quoted in the currency of the exchange (e.g., USD or INR). 2. **Convert to INR**: If the premium is quoted in USD, convert the price to INR using the current exchange rate. - Example: If an option premium is ₹100 and the exchange rate is 1 USD = ₹80, the price in USD would be **₹100 / 80 = $1.25**. --- ### **Conclusion** Option trading is a versatile tool in financial markets. Starting with the basics like **buying calls and puts**, and progressing to more advanced strategies like **butterfly spreads** or **iron condors**, can help you adapt to different market conditions. However, always remember that options involve substantial risk, and using proper **risk management strategies** is crucial for long-term success. Start by paper trading to practice your strategies risk-free, and once you feel confident, move to live trading. With time, you'll gain expertise and develop a trading style that works for you.
Education
by Optionclub
What is swing trading and how to capture big trandes ?**Swing Trading** is a type of trading strategy where traders aim to capture short- to medium-term gains by entering and exiting positions over a period of days to weeks, based on price "swings" in the market. The goal is to take advantage of market volatility and price movement within a trend, rather than trying to profit from minute-to-minute fluctuations like in **day trading**. ### **Key Characteristics of Swing Trading:** 1. **Timeframe**: - Swing trades typically last from **a few days to a few weeks**, unlike day trading (which lasts minutes or hours) or long-term investing (which lasts months or years). 2. **Position Holding**: - Traders **hold positions overnight** or for several days to benefit from price movements within a trend. They are not concerned with short-term price fluctuations but rather with **medium-term market swings**. 3. **Profit Target**: - Swing traders aim for **medium-sized profits** in each trade by entering near key support or resistance levels and riding the trend to the next major reversal point. 4. **Market Conditions**: - Swing traders thrive in **volatile markets**, where price movements are more frequent and significant, allowing them to capture larger price swings. --- ### **How to Find Profitable Trades in Swing Trading** Finding profitable trades in swing trading involves several steps, including market analysis, identifying key support and resistance levels, using technical indicators, and managing risk properly. Here’s how to go about it: ### 1. **Use Technical Analysis** Swing traders typically rely on **technical analysis** to identify potential entry and exit points. Some of the key techniques include: - **Trend Analysis**: - Identify whether the market is in an **uptrend**, **downtrend**, or **sideways trend**. - In an uptrend, you'll typically look to buy on **pullbacks** (temporary declines in price), and in a downtrend, you'll look to sell on **rallies** (temporary price increases). - **Support and Resistance**: - **Support** is a price level where an asset tends to find buying interest, while **resistance** is a level where selling interest usually emerges. - Buy when the price approaches support, and sell when it nears resistance. - Swing traders often look for **breakouts** (price breaking above resistance) or **breakdowns** (price falling below support) to enter a position. - **Chart Patterns**: - Swing traders use chart patterns like **Head and Shoulders**, **Double Top/Bottom**, **Triangles**, and **Flags** to predict price movements. - For example, a **bullish flag** suggests a continuation of an uptrend, while a **double top** can signal a reversal and the beginning of a downtrend. - **Candlestick Patterns**: - Certain candlestick formations (e.g., **Doji**, **Engulfing patterns**, **Hammer**, **Morning Star**) can provide signals for potential trend reversals or continuation. - These can act as confirmation of your trade idea, helping you decide on the timing of an entry or exit. --- ### 2. **Use Technical Indicators** Swing traders often use a variety of technical indicators to enhance their analysis and timing. Some commonly used indicators include: - **Moving Averages**: - The **50-day moving average** and the **200-day moving average** are popular for identifying trends. A **Golden Crossover** (50-day MA crosses above the 200-day MA) can indicate a potential bullish trend, while a **Death Crossover** (50-day MA crosses below the 200-day MA) signals a bearish trend. - **Relative Strength Index (RSI)**: - RSI is a momentum oscillator that helps determine whether an asset is **overbought** (RSI above 70) or **oversold** (RSI below 30). Swing traders use RSI to identify potential **buy** signals when the market is oversold and **sell** signals when it is overbought. - **MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)**: - The MACD is used to identify changes in the strength, direction, momentum, and duration of a trend. A **bullish crossover** (MACD line crossing above the signal line) can be a buy signal, while a **bearish crossover** (MACD line crossing below the signal line) can indicate a sell signal. - **Stochastic Oscillator**: - This indicator is used to spot overbought and oversold conditions, similar to RSI, but with additional focus on momentum. A **stochastic crossover** can help identify potential entry and exit points. --- ### 3. **Identify Swing Points (Entry and Exit)** - **Entry Points**: - The goal in swing trading is to enter a position when the market is about to make a significant move. You want to enter at **pullbacks in an uptrend** or **rallies in a downtrend**. - Look for signs of a trend continuation or reversal at key support or resistance levels. - **Exit Points**: - Set realistic profit targets based on support and resistance levels, chart patterns, or Fibonacci retracement levels. - Use trailing stops to lock in profits as the price moves in your favor. A trailing stop is a dynamic stop-loss order that adjusts as the price moves. --- ### 4. **Risk Management** Effective risk management is crucial in swing trading. Here's how to manage risk: - **Stop-Loss Orders**: - Always place a stop-loss to limit potential losses. This is especially important in volatile markets. - A common strategy is to set your stop-loss just below a key support level (for long positions) or above a resistance level (for short positions). - **Position Sizing**: - Decide how much capital you are willing to risk on each trade. A typical recommendation is to risk no more than **1-2% of your total capital** on a single trade. This helps preserve your capital for future trades. - **Risk-Reward Ratio**: - Aim for a risk-reward ratio of at least **1:2** (meaning you're willing to risk $1 to make $2). This ensures that even if only half of your trades are successful, you can still be profitable in the long run. --- ### 5. **Follow the Trend** Swing trading generally works best when you're trading with the **trend**, so it's important to: - Identify the **overall market trend** and only take trades that align with that trend. - Use trend-following indicators like **moving averages** to help you stay on the right side of the market. --- ### 6. **Patience and Discipline** Swing trading requires **patience** and **discipline**. You'll need to wait for the right setup to enter the market and avoid jumping into trades too early or too late. - **Patience**: Don't chase the market. Wait for the right entry points that align with your strategy and analysis. - **Discipline**: Stick to your plan and don’t let emotions dictate your trading decisions. Follow your risk management rules and avoid making impulsive decisions. --- ### Example of Swing Trading Setup Let’s say you’re looking at a **stock in an uptrend** and using a combination of **RSI** and **Support** to set up your swing trade: 1. **Trend**: The stock is in a clear uptrend, confirmed by the price being above the 50-day moving average. 2. **RSI**: The RSI is around **30-40**, indicating that the stock is in an **oversold condition** (and might be ready for a bounce). 3. **Support Level**: The stock is approaching a **support level** at $50, where it has previously bounced. 4. **Entry Point**: You decide to enter the trade at $50, with a **stop-loss below the support** (around $48). 5. **Exit Point**: Your target is the next **resistance level** at $55, providing a **2:1 risk-reward ratio**. --- ### Conclusion **Swing trading** is a strategy that takes advantage of medium-term price movements, typically ranging from a few days to a few weeks. By using a combination of **technical analysis**, **indicators**, and **proper risk management**, traders can find profitable trades by identifying key swing points (entry and exit). However, success in swing trading requires patience, discipline, and a strong understanding of market trends and momentum.
Education
by SkyTradingZone
EURUSD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. 🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair . 💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
Long
by okako_trading
EURUSD NEXT POSSIBLE MOVE SAXO:EURUSD As of February 17, 2025, the EUR/USD pair is trading near the 1.0490 level, following a recent pause in its four-day winning streak. **Technical Overview:** - **Current Price:** Approximately 1.0490 - **Resistance Levels:** 1.0500, 1.0600 - **Support Levels:** 1.0400, 1.0300 **Technical Indicators:** - **Relative Strength Index (RSI):** Approaching overbought territory, suggesting potential for a downward correction. - **Moving Averages:** The pair is testing the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which has acted as a significant resistance level. **Trade Recommendation:** Given the current technical indicators and market conditions, initiating a **buy** position could be considered if the price breaks above the 1.0500 resistance level. - **Entry Point:** Buy at 1.0510 - **Take Profit (TP):** 1.0600 - **Stop Loss (SL):** 1.0460 Risk Management: This trade setup offers a 2:1 reward-to-risk ratio. Ensure that your position size aligns with your risk tolerance and overall trading strategy. Given the current volatility, it's crucial to employ strict risk management practices. Conclusion: The EUR/USD pair is currently testing a significant resistance level at 1.0500. A break above this level could present a buying opportunity. Traders should monitor price action closely and manage risk appropriately. Disclaimer: Trading forex carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Ensure you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.*
Long
by FX_MONSTER_EURUSD
EURUSD: Will the bears reverse the trend?Dear Friends! Selling pressure continues to weigh on the US Dollar and encouraged EURUSD to move to a fresh two-week high near 1.0500 following disappointing US Retail Sales figures. Technically, as mentioned on the 3-hour chart, although the uptrend remains supported and the parallel price channel has been broken, there are signs of a potential top forming at 1.053. Current support is around 1.047. If this level is broken, it could send EURUSD lower, potentially reaching 1.041, which would coincide with a test of the 34 and 89 EMAs. Have a nice day and good luck!
Short
by Brian-Trade
1
EURUSD - EXPECTING UPSIDE AFTER BREAKOUT OF RESISTANCESymbol - EURUSD CMP 1.0360 EURUSD is attempting to capitalize on the recent correction in the U.S. dollar. The price is currently undergoing a retest of consolidation resistance, aiming for a potential breakout and further upward movement. Following an initial attempt to breach the downtrend resistance, the price entered a consolidation phase, establishing a range between 1.0530 and 1.0210. Within this setup, a local consolidation channel has formed, with the price testing the resistance at 1.0380 The market is still in the process of confirming a trend reversal and seeking to strengthen in the context of the dollar's correction. The fundamental landscape remains complex, influenced by the Trump's ongoing tariff dispute and the broader economic crisis. Resistance Levels: 1.0380, 1.0530 Support Levels: 1.0330, 1.0210 A breakout above the 1.0380 resistance level, followed by price consolidation above this area, could signal further growth, driven by the distribution of the accumulated potential.
Long
by akshit_official
EURUSD: buy or sell?EUR/USD continued its recovery on Thursday, rising sharply above 1.0400 as the US Dollar (USD) took a hit. The pair surged amid mixed market sentiment. A major correction in US bond yields, rising trade tensions and a cautious tone from Fed Chair Jerome Powell in his recent testimony added to the complexity of the story. The current trend, coupled with the support of the 34 and 89 EMAs, gives us a bullish outlook for EURUSD. Current resistance is at 1.046 with support at 1.042 and 1.038. A break above the 1.046 resistance would open the way for further upside, as seen on the 1-hour chart. Traders can consider taking long positions.
Long
by Brian-Trade
EURUSD - 15M [SHORT TRADE IDEA]FX:EURUSD Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied... Keep trading Hustle hard Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading. Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!
Short
by Phinics
1
EUR USD is Bearish for few weeksWith 3 Month and 1 Month Fisher Negative Crossover, 1W maximum upside (KOD) is achieved. Perfect Setup in 1 Day where its upside target has been achieved where Fisher has gone well above 0 and /TSI unable to cross 0 and this is called FFFHTSI i.e. Full Fisher Half TSI. It is going to fall so that a TSI double bottom on 1 Week Chart will be the extent of this fall. Negative for few Weeks. Just opposite is the analysis for Dollar Index which is Bullish for few weeks.
Short
by MishraAnuradhaNavin
EUR/USD Outlook: Tariff Concerns and Key Technical LevelsEUR/USD is stable around 1.0360 during the Asian trading session, after rising in the previous session. The currency pair may face downward pressure due to President Donald Trump’s plan to impose reciprocal tariffs, which could affect major countries such as Japan, the EU, and China. The Euro faces challenges as the Eurozone is particularly vulnerable to tariffs from the US. Risk-averse sentiment has also increased, compounded by the cautious stance of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell regarding interest rate cuts. From a technical analysis perspective, EUR/USD is currently trading around 1.0360 and is likely to encounter strong resistance at 1.0400. This is a key level, and if it is surpassed, the pair could continue to rise towards the next target of 1.0450. However, if the price fails to maintain above 1.0400, it is likely that EUR/USD will continue its downward adjustment. The nearest support level is at 1.0331, which was previously resistance and could now act as a significant support level. If the price breaks this support, the pair could continue its downtrend and find lower levels at 1.0290. Technical indicators suggest that momentum is weakening, and overbought levels on the hourly chart are gradually declining, indicating the potential for short-term correction. However, if EUR/USD maintains above 1.0400, the pair could return to an uptrend. Investors should keep an eye on signals from indicators such as RSI and MACD to track further changes in the pair’s price direction.
by Brigi_ta
EURUSD NEXT POSSIBLE MOVE SAXO:EURUSD As of February 12, 2025, the EUR/USD pair is trading near the 1.0277 level, reflecting ongoing market reactions to recent geopolitical developments and economic data. **Technical Overview:** - **Current Price:** Approximately 1.0277 - **Resistance Levels:** 1.0330, 1.0410 - **Support Levels:** 1.0245, 1.0200 **Technical Indicators:** - **Relative Strength Index (RSI):** The RSI is below 50, favoring sellers. - **Moving Averages:** The pair is trading below the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), indicating a bearish trend. **Trade Recommendation:** Given the current technical indicators and market conditions, initiating a **buy** position could be considered if the price shows signs of stabilizing above the 1.0245 support level. - **Entry Point:** Buy at 1.0290 - **Take Profit (TP):** 1.0330 - **Stop Loss (SL):** 1.0240 **Risk Management:** This trade setup offers a 0.8:1 reward-to-risk ratio. Ensure that your position size aligns with your risk tolerance and overall trading strategy. Given the current volatility, it's crucial to employ strict risk management practices. **Conclusion:** The EUR/USD pair is currently under bearish pressure, but a stabilization above the 1.0245 support level could present a buying opportunity. Traders should monitor price action closely and manage risk appropriately. *Disclaimer: Trading forex carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Ensure you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.*
Long
by FX_MONSTER_EURUSD
Bearish outlook remains intact near 1.0300The EUR/USD pair continues to extend its decline, reaching around 1.0305 in the early European session on Tuesday. The U.S. dollar strengthened after U.S. President Donald Trump announced a significant increase in tariffs on steel and aluminum imports and stated that he would unveil reciprocal tariffs against other countries in the coming days. From a technical perspective, the bearish outlook for EUR/USD remains intact, with two key resistance levels at 1.0396 and 1.0329. While the pair is encountering resistance at the 1.0329 level, breaking through this level does not necessarily indicate a strong upward movement, as the pair still faces the previous resistance at 1.0396. If the downtrend continues, the pair could potentially decline towards the 1.0210-1.0200 range. Recommendation: Given the current bearish outlook and strong resistance levels above, entering a **sell** position around the 1.0329 or 1.0396 levels could offer a profitable opportunity. However, be cautious of fundamental factors that could change rapidly, especially any announcements from the U.S. government regarding tariffs.
by Brigi_ta
EURUSD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. 🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair . 💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
Short
by okako_trading
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis – Smart Money Perspective Current Market Bias: Bearish The price action indicates that the overall structure remains bearish, with lower highs and lower lows being formed. Despite recent bullish retracements, the price has failed to break key resistance levels, signaling that sellers remain in control. Key Areas on the Chart: 1. Order Block (OB) & Fair Value Gap (FVG) Zone: • The highlighted gray zone represents an order block (OB), which is a supply area where institutions likely placed large sell orders. • The presence of a fair value gap (FVG) within this zone indicates an inefficiency in price, making it a strong area for potential reversals. • Price recently tapped into this area and reacted downward, confirming bearish momentum. 2. Liquidity Grab Possibility: • The lower dashed line represents a previous swing low, where liquidity (stop-loss orders) is likely resting. • Smart Money often seeks liquidity before reversing or continuing trends. • There is a high probability that price will sweep this low before any potential bullish move occurs. 3. Market Structure Shift for a Bullish Setup: • Although the bias remains bearish, a market structure shift (MSS) is required before considering any long (buy) setups. • A key level to watch is 1.05351, where a break above could signal a reversal. • Until then, selling pressure is likely to dominate. Conclusion & Trade Plan: • Bearish bias remains active. • Price might sweep the previous low to grab liquidity before a potential reversal. • A confirmed market structure shift above 1.05351 is required for bullish confirmation. • Until that happens, traders should focus on shorting opportunities near supply zones or order blocks. Final Thought: By following Smart Money Concepts (SMC), traders can align their trades with institutional movements. Patience is key—wait for confirmations before entering positions. Keep an eye on liquidity sweeps and market structure shifts for the best trade setups.
Short
by Trade_lyst
5