USDEUX trade ideas
EUR/USD BEAR FLAGThe bear flag pattern is a bearish continuation pattern that signals the potential continuation of a downtrend1
. Here's how it works:
Flagpole: The pattern starts with a sharp decline in price, forming the flagpole1
.
Flag: After the decline, the price enters a consolidation phase, moving sideways in a flag-like shape1
.
Breakdown: If the price breaks below the lower boundary of the flag, it confirms the pattern
EURUSD: 200-SMA, oversold RSI test bears ahead of ECBEarly Wednesday, EURUSD sees the first daily gains in more than a week, after hitting its lowest point in 10 weeks. In doing so, the Euro pair portrays the market’s consolidation ahead of Thursday’s European Central Bank (ECB) Interest Rate Decision and September’s US Retail Sales data.
Sellers have a bumpy road ahead
In addition to pre-data consolidation, the 200-day SMA and oversold RSI pose challenges for EURUSD bears, indicating limited downside potential. A significant drop may occur only if the ECB disappoints or US data delivers unexpectedly strong signals for the dollar.
Technical levels to watch
The 200-SMA level surrounding 1.0870 appears a tough nut to crack for the EURUSD, backed by the oversold RSI. However, a downside break of the same won’t hesitate to drag the prices toward the August month’s low of near 1.0775. Following that, an ascending support line from October 2023, close to 1.0750 at the latest, will act as the final defense of the buyers.
On the contrary, July’s high of near 1.0950 could lure EURUSD buyers during a corrective bounce. Following that, the March peak surrounding 1.0980 and the 1.1000 psychological magnet can entertain Euro buyers before testing them with a two-month-old horizontal support-turned-resistance of near 1.1015 and the previous support line stretched from late June, close to 1.1030.
Price Consolidation Ahead, But No Trend Change Expected
While technical indicators suggest bear exhaustion and a possible corrective bounce for EURUSD, multiple resistances and fundamental factors hinder a reversal of the ongoing two-week bearish trend.
EURUSD: Bears focus on 1.0800 and US Inflation cluesEURUSD licks its wounds at the lowest level in eight weeks as traders await September's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, especially after the previous day’s FOMC Minutes drowned the Euro pair.
Bears keep the driver’s seat
Apart from the US Dollar’s run-up post-Fed Minutes, the EURUSD pair’s confirmation of “Double Tops” bearish chart formation and a clear break of a 15-week-old rising support line add strength to the downside bias.
It’s worth noting, however, that the oversold RSI (14) line and sluggish MACD signals challenge intraday sellers, along with the pre-data consolidation.
Key technical levels to watch
The 50% Fibonacci level from the EURUSD’s June to September rise, around 1.0940, limits immediate downside. The next significant support is at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement near 1.0870, known as the “Golden Fibonacci Ratio.” If the price breaks below 1.0870, it could lead to a drop toward the bearish target from the "Double Tops" pattern, around 1.0800.
On the upside, the EURUSD recovery is unlikely unless it surpasses the 1.1010 level. The previous support line, now acting as resistance, is near 1.1000. In a case where the Euro buyers manage to stay onboard past 1.1010, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and the double tops, respectively near 1.1085 and 1.1200, will be on their radars.
Further downside expected
While an oversold RSI and potentially softening US inflation data may pose challenges for US Dollar bulls, EURUSD bears remain encouraged. The confirmation of a bearish chart formation, combined with the European Central Bank's (ECB) more dovish stance compared to the Federal Reserve (Fed), keeps the sellers optimistic about further declines.
EURUSD SHORT - 1H TIMEFRAMEFOREXCOM:EURUSD - 1H
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
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Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!!
EU: Monitoring for Buy Opportunity Despite Friday's Sharp DropAfter last Friday's strong news event, the EUR/USD experienced a significant sell-off, pushing price further into the key demand zone between 1.1000 - 1.1050 on the daily chart. However, despite the heavy bearish pressure, the daily candle is yet to close, leaving room for a potential bullish reaction within this critical support area.
Key Points:
Demand Zone: Price is still within the major support zone that has historically provided strong buying interest.
Wait for Confirmation: Although the sell-off has been aggressive, we remain patient. A clear bullish reversal pattern (e.g., bullish engulfing or pin bar) on lower timeframes (H4 or H1) will serve as our entry signal.
Caution: Given the volatility from recent news, risk management is crucial. We will only initiate a BUY position once price action confirms a reversal.
Trade Setup:
Entry: Upon confirmation of bullish structure in the demand zone.
Stop Loss: Below 1.0950 to protect against further downside.
Target: Initial target at 1.1150, with room to adjust based on momentum and market conditions.
We remain cautious yet optimistic about a potential bounce from this area, but the confirmation of a strong pattern is essential before entering the trade.
FX:EURUSD OANDA:EURUSD FOREXCOM:EURUSD
EUR/USD Analysis: Potential Buy Opportunity at Key Demand ZoneThe EUR/USD is currently testing a strong demand zone on the daily timeframe, located around 1.1000 - 1.1050. This area has consistently acted as a key support level in recent price action, offering potential for a bullish reversal if market conditions align.
Key Technical Factors:
Demand Zone: The price is approaching the major support region after multiple retests, suggesting that buyers could step in soon.
Bullish Setup Confirmation: Wait for clear reversal patterns such as a bullish engulfing or pin bar on lower timeframes (H4 or H1) to confirm entry. Only initiate a BUY position once a strong reaction is seen.
Trade Plan:
Entry : On confirmation of a bullish price action pattern.
Stop Loss: Below the 1.0950 level to manage risk.
Target: First target at 1.1150, with potential for further upside depending on momentum.
This setup aligns with the market's technical structure, but patience is key for a safer entry. Let's see how the price reacts!
FX:EURUSD OANDA:EURUSD FOREXCOM:EURUSD
EURUSD: Bears seek confirmation from “Double Tops” and US NFPEarly Thursday, EURUSD prints a five-day losing streak, reaching its lowest point in three weeks. The Euro pair traders are holding their breath for the September US employment report, especially after strong data from ADP and hawkish comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
Sellers approach key supports
In addition to strong US data and hawkish remarks from Fed Chair Powell, softer inflation in the Eurozone is adding pressure on the EURUSD pair. A clear drop below the 50-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) keeps bearish sentiment alive. Plus, the lack of an oversold RSI (14) and bearish signals from the MACD suggest further weakness ahead.
Important levels to watch
With the EURUSD pair breaking below the 50-EMA and facing bearish technical and fundamental factors, it looks poised to test the previous monthly low around 1.1000. However, a six-month-old support line will likely challenge sellers around 1.0980. Importantly, the convergence of the 100-EMA and an ascending support line from late June, near 1.0960, is a crucial level to monitor. A drop below this level could push prices toward the target of the “Double Tops” pattern, around 1.0800.
Alternatively, the 50-EMA around 1.1045 serves as the immediate barrier for any recovery in the EURUSD pair. If the bulls can break through this level, they’ll face further resistance at 1.1100 and the “Double Tops” around 1.1200. A push above 1.1200 would challenge the current bearish trend and open the door for buyers to target the 2023 peak of approximately 1.1275.
Bears reign is about to be challenged
Overall, the EURUSD pair looks bearish in the short term, but there’s limited downside potential before reaching crucial technical levels. This means upcoming data and events will play a vital role in determining the next move.
EUR/USD Breakout Towards 1.1300Currently, EUR/USD is in a consolidation phase after a recent rally. The price is fluctuating between support at 1.10835 and resistance at 1.12106.
The price has broken below the 34 EMA and is testing lower levels, indicating a short-term bearish trend.
Technically, key support is at 1.10835, representing the recent low. Resistance is at 1.12106, marking the nearest high.
A breakout scenario may occur around the 1.11438 region. If the price breaks through this level and continues past resistance at 1.12106, there is a high chance of a strong rally up to 1.1300.
Recently released inflation data will significantly impact EUR/USD. If inflation comes in higher than expected, it could support the Euro's rise.
EURUSDWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** EURUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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EURUSD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
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EUR/USD: Break $1.12009 Resistance or Correct?The EUR/USD chart from September 26 reveals a dramatic race between buyers and sellers. After reaching $1.11540, all focus is now on the tough resistance at $1.12104 — the barrier that will determine whether EUR/USD can continue to break out.
The support level at $1.11172 acts as a strong shield, maintaining the upward momentum.
If this resistance is broken, the pair could unlock potential for new highs.
In this context, any shifts from Fed statements or Eurozone economic data could dramatically alter the outcome.
EURUSD: Bulls need validation from 1.1200 and Fed Chair PowellEURUSD is gaining support after falling from a 14-month high, as buyers wait for comments from US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell.
Upside remains favored
The EURUSD pair is holding above a two-week rising support line and the 200-SMA, along with an upward trend line from late June, which keeps buyers optimistic. The steady RSI (14) also indicates a slow upward movement.
Technical levels to watch
Even with key support levels helping the EURUSD pair and the RSI suggesting an upward trend, the bulls may struggle to break through the horizontal resistance around 1.1200. If they succeed, the next targets could be the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci Extensions (FE) of the pair’s August-September moves, respectively near 1.1215 and 1.1265. The previous yearly high around 1.1275 is a crucial point for the bears; if that breaks, prices could reach the 2022 peak of 1.1495.
Meanwhile, EURUSD sellers should look for a clear drop below the immediate rising support line around 1.1125 to enter the market. However, the 200-SMA and a three-month trend line near 1.1080 and 1.0950 will be important obstacles for sellers. If the price stays below 1.0950, it could fall further toward the previous monthly low of 1.0780.
Charts, Powell in the spotlight
Along with the technical factors, comments from Fed Chair Powell will be important for EURUSD bulls. The recent rise is driven by market expectations of two more 0.50% rate cuts from the US central bank in 2024. If Powell dismisses these expectations, which seems unlikely, a downward reversal in Euro prices could happen.
EUR/USD: Break $1.1253 Resistance or Await a Pullback?EUR/USD is currently climbing around $1.11950, strongly supported by two solid "fortresses" at EMA 34 and EMA 89, located at $1.11390 and $1.11107.
A clear uptrend has formed, with solid support at $1.10864, ensuring the momentum remains intact.
The key focus now is on the critical resistance at $1.1253 — the gatekeeper determining whether the uptrend can break through to new highs.
With significant economic factors from the US and Europe on the horizon, including key Fed speeches and PMI data, the market may experience sharp volatility.
Traders should be ready for action: will you seize the breakout opportunity or wait for a pullback to enter at an optimal level? Opportunity favors the prepared!