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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EURUSD drops toward key support line near 1.0600 on Fed DayEURUSD remains pressured at the lowest level in a week, extending the late April’s retreat from 20-SMA and a six-month-old support-turned-resistance, as traders await the US Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy announcements. The Euro pair’s weakness also takes clues from an impending bear cross on the MACD and an absence of oversold RSI conditions. With this, the quote is likely to extend the latest fall toward an ascending support line stretched from early October 2023, close to 1.0610 at the latest. Following that, the yearly low marked in April around 1.0600 and multiple lows registered during late 2023 near 1.0520 and 1.0490 will test the bears before directing them toward the previous yearly low of 1.0448. Alternatively, the US Fed’s inability to inspire the EURUSD bulls, mainly amid the high hopes, could trigger a quick recovery in the pair prices toward the 20-SMA hurdle of 1.0710. However, the quote’s further upside needs validation from the previous support line stretched from early November 2023 surrounding 1.0740. It should be noted that a convergence of the 200-SMA and 50-SMA, near the 1.0800 threshold at the latest, appears a tough nut to crack for the buyers, a clear break of which will enable them to confront the final defense of the sellers, namely a downward-sloping resistance line from December 2023, near 1.0865 as we write. To sum up, the EURUSD is on the way to testing the key support line as market players await the FOMC verdict. However, high hopes from the US central bank and a limited downside room for the pair suggest hardships for the sellers past 1.0600.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD: Moving steadily in the bullish channel!Hello dear friends, during today's Asian trading session, the EUR/USD exchange rate has fluctuated around the psychological level of 1.0700. The pair's modest growth was supported by weakness in the US Dollar. From a technical analysis perspective, this pair is stable and moving in an upward channel. The next target for the buying strategy is towards the 1.073 resistance level, which is also the upper limit of the bullish channel being observed.
Long
by RKarina
EURUSD: Will the weekend increase or decrease?Hello everyone, what are your thoughts on the current situation of EURUSD? This currency pair is currently trading steadily around 1.070, and the recovery process continues until Friday, making last week completely favorable for buyers. From the daily chart, the price has reached the sensitive Fibonacci retracement level of 0.618, which is significant at this time. If this pair continues its recovery trend and closes above the range of 0.5 - 0.618, it will form a challenge to the resistance level of 1.088. However, EURUSD is still trading below the EMA 34 and 89 lines, and the price volatility scenario according to Dow's theory is still quite feasible. In that case, the support level at 1.060 will be an important point of acceptance for this currency pair.
by RKarina
EURUSD: Stable parallel price channelHi everybody, Today, during Wednesday's Asian trading session, EUR/USD remained firmly above the key psychological mark of 1.0700. The US dollar weakened on weaker-than-expected April PMI data, which provided support for the pair. According to technical analysis from the chart: After bouncing from the lower boundary of the parallel price channel, the price is expected to resume the uptrend to test the resistance at 1,086, which is also the upper limit of the current price channel.
Short
by RKarina
EURUSD: Trend is unclear!Hi everybody, EUR/USD is approaching a key zone near 1.0650, after a fairly quiet Tuesday when the pair remained largely unchanged, awaiting a series of upcoming economic data. Both the US and the Eurozone are preparing for the release of Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) figures next Tuesday, while key US figures will be released later. week, amid speculation about the possibility that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates. In the current context, a triangle pattern may appear on the chart, and the possibility of a breakdown of this pattern is very high, leading to a clear change in either direction. While the 34 and 89 EMA lines are still not showing clear signals because they are located right in the current operating zone of EUR/USD, closely monitoring new information will be the key to determining the next trend. according to this currency pair. I am hoping for a positive development. How about you?
by RKarina
1
EURUSD seesaws within bear flag ahead of EU/US PMI for AprilEURUSD struggles to defend the previous week’s rebound from a yearly low as traders await preliminary readings of the Eurozone and the US PMI data for April. Apart from the pre-data anxiety, sluggish prints of the RSI (14) and the MACD signals also suggest a lack of momentum. Even so, the sellers appear hopeful as the major currency pair stays within a fortnight-old bear flag chart formation. Additionally favoring the Euro bears is the quote’s sustained trading beneath the 10-week-old horizontal region, previous support surrounding 1.0700-690, as well as a downward-sloping support-turned-resistance line stretched from late February, close to 1.0680 at the latest. Even if the major currency pair manages to defy the bearish chart formation by crossing the 1.0705 upside hurdle, the 200-SMA level of 1.0810 and a falling resistance line from early March, near 1.0840 as we write, will act as the final defense of the bears before giving control to the bulls. Alternatively, EURUSD sellers should wait for a clear downside break of the 1.0620 for fresh entry as it will confirm the bear flag chart formation. Following that, the monthly low of 1.0600 and the previous yearly low surrounding 1.0445 will act as buffers during the quote’s theoretical south-run suggesting 1.0315 as a target. It’s worth noting that early 2023 swing lows near 1.0515 and 1.0480 become extra downside filters for the bears to watch during the Euro’s theoretical fall between 1.0620 and 1.0315. Overall, EURUSD is likely to remain bearish unless crossing 1.0705. However, the sellers need strong US PMI, as well as too weak activity data from the bloc, to confirm the bear flag formation suggesting a major decline in prices.
by MTradingGlobal
EUR/USD turns south to 1.0650Hello everyone, it's RKarina again! EUR/USD has turned lower after rising in previous trading sessions, currently stabilizing around 1.0650 during the European session on Monday. The current trend of the pair is bearish, recorded at 1.064, because of increased demand for the US Dollar as a safe haven due to the decline in risk appetite. The market is currently very cautious due to the lack of important economic data from the EU and US. Lagarde's upcoming speech is highly anticipated. From a technical analysis standpoint, current signals favor a selling strategy, after the price has approached and failed to break through support, along with the formation of a double top. In the short term, it is expected that the 1,062 level will be retested after the current support level is broken by investors selling off.
Short
by RKarina
EUR5USD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. 🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair . 💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
Long
by okako_trading
EURUSD: Maintaining short-term price upward channelHello dear traders! EUR/USD has recovered momentum and now sees positive growth, surpassing 1.0650 today. This upturn was a result of the earlier reduction in flight to safety, pressuring the US dollar as the week ended, thereby boosting the pair. However, EUR/USD's upward momentum may only last in the short term because it has not yet surpassed the two EMA lines and the resistance level at 1.073. As long as trading remains below this level, EUR/USD will still face significant challenges ahead.
Long
by RKarina
EURUSD: Continues to grow downwardHello everyone, in today's trading session, EURUSD continued to decline following the trend observed in recent days, with the price fluctuating around 1.062 and has decreased by 0.15% so far. EURUSD's decline continues, in large part due to hawkish comments from US Federal Reserve officials, which has strengthened the Dollar and become a key barrier for with any EURUSD recovery. According to careful analysis, the support level at 1,060 may soon be penetrated due to strong selling pressure. With price currently moving below both the 34 and 89 EMAs, this is a favorable time for sellers.
Short
by RKarina
EURUSD stays pressured toward 1.0600 amid risk-aversionEURUSD extends the previous day’s pullback from a four-month-old support-turned-resistance as sour sentiment underpins the US Dollar demand early Friday. In doing so, the Euro pair takes clues from the bearish MACD signals while paying little attention to the RSI (14) line suggesting a weak support for the current momentum. With this, the quote appears well set to revisit the latest trough surrounding the 1.0600. However, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the pair’s October-December upside, near 1.0595, will join the downbeat RSI conditions to challenge the bears afterward. Should the sellers keep the reins past 1.0595, 1.0520 and 1.0495 may act as intermediate halts before directing the prices toward the previous yearly bottom surrounding 1.0450. Meanwhile, the aforementioned previous support line from December 2023, close to 1.0675, guards the immediate recovery of the EURUSD pair ahead of the 10-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) level near 1.0690. In a case where the Euro pair rises past 1.0690, and also crosses the 1.0700 threshold, the early-month bottom around 1.0725 and 50% Fibonacci retracement level near 1.0800 will challenge the upside moves. Above all, the bull’s dominance needs validation from a convergence of the four-month-old resistance line and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, around 1.0880. To sum up, the EURUSD pair is likely to remain weak but the room toward the south appears limited.
by MTradingGlobal