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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EURUSD – Bullish momentum fades, signs of a reversal emergeEURUSD is approaching the key resistance zone at 1.1780, a level that has been rejected multiple times in the past. On the H4 chart, the pair remains firmly within a descending channel since early July, with several FVG zones stacked above—indicating growing selling pressure. The recent upside momentum is clearly weakening, raising the risk of a deeper pullback. Market context: – The US dollar continues to gain support from strong economic data, while the Eurozone lacks clear signs of recovery. – Traders are holding their breath ahead of upcoming Eurozone inflation data and the US PCE report—events that could trigger significant moves. Trade setup: If EURUSD fails to break above 1.1780, a drop toward the 1.1610 support zone becomes increasingly likely.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
EURUSD: Will the monthly candle flip bullish or stay bearish?Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. 🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair . 💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
Long
by okako_trading
EURUSD: The Rally Was Just a Trap – Bears Are Ready to Strike!After a strong rebound toward the 1.18400 zone driven by short-term optimism, EURUSD is now facing a potential reversal as price stalls within multiple Fair Value Gap zones. The chart reveals weakening bullish momentum, with lower highs forming inside a key resistance area. Fresh U.S. data: Jobless claims dropped more than expected, giving the USD a solid boost. Meanwhile, the ECB remains hesitant, showing little conviction as Eurozone inflation cools. A bearish scenario is unfolding: price forms a flag pattern → breaks the ascending channel → targets 1.17300. A break below this level could send EURUSD toward 1.16500 or even lower. Bulls, beware! This could be a bull trap — and the bears are gearing up for a counterattack. SELL setup: Look for bearish reversal signals around 1.18300–1.18400. Stop-loss above the high, first target at 1.17300.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
Integration of SWAP charges and Leverage for Strategy backtest.Backtesting in Pine Script often gives idealized results, but real trading involves financing costs like SWAP charges and the impact of leverage. Ignoring these can lead to a misleading strategy performance. ✅ Use-case: Forex swing trading Overnight Index strategies Leveraged day-trading 📌 Key Features: Adjustable leverage (e.g., 5x, 10x) Customizable SWAP cost (as % or fixed amount) P&L adjusted after each trade entry/exit Performance metrics reflect net of financing costs 💬 Question for the community: How to integrate SWAP charges and Leverage (for Forex trading) into Pine Script to backtest a strategy? Have you found a more precise or automated method (perhaps broker feed integration)? Let's improve Pine-based backtesting together. Drop your ideas, techniques, or improvements below. 👇
Education
by accountsbnlew
LONG OPPORTUNITY ON EURUSDThere is a buying opportunity available on eurusd as the market structure is bullish for now but there is two probability available for long which I have mark the levels with black zone if Market comes to the second black zone then that would be a good buy as there is also the fib 61.8% level note only trade on zone when the trendline is break+retest here retest is imp while retesting ensure that market must failed to break the previous low and enter on a buying green healthy candle.
Long
by tradingcity28
EUR/USD Elliott Wave Update –Classic Wave 5 Breakout Opportunity This chart of the EUR/USD pair shows a well-structured Elliott Wave impulse pattern unfolding on the 4-hour timeframe. The price action is currently progressing in the final Wave (5) of the impulse cycle, which typically represents the last bullish leg before a larger correction begins. Wave (1): The initial move up from the bottom (early May), showing a clean 5-wave internal structure. Wave (2): A healthy retracement after Wave 1, forming a base for further upside. Wave (3): The strongest and steepest rally, as expected in Elliott theory. It broke past previous highs and extended sharply. Wave (4): A corrective phase that formed a falling wedge pattern — typically a bullish continuation pattern. Wave (5): Currently in progress. The wedge has broken to the upside, confirming the potential start of Wave 5. Target 1 (T1): 1.18306 Target 2 (T2): 1.19012 Stop Loss (SL): 1.16600 After a strong uptrend, the market went sideways in a wedge pattern (a typical wave 4 behavior). It has now broken out, signaling the start of the final wave 5 move. This is often a strong and sharp push. Since the breakout is clean and the Elliott wave count aligns well, this creates a favorable long opportunity.
by Money_Dictators
EUR/USD Trading Towards Previous Weekly High?Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. 🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair . 💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
Long
by okako_trading
EURUSD – Trend broken, bearish momentum accelerating!EURUSD is maintaining a clear downtrend structure within a well-defined descending channel, with consistently lower highs forming. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) keep getting rejected, signaling that sellers are firmly in control. The current scenario points to a technical bounce toward the 1.164 zone, followed by a likely rejection back down to the lower boundary near 1.148. Technical signals confirm the bearish bias as price respects both the trendline and the supply zones, failing to break above recent resistance levels. On the fundamental side, the ECB has recently struck a more dovish tone due to cooling inflation, while the USD is regaining strength amid expectations that the Fed will keep rates elevated longer — all of which continue to pressure the euro lower.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
1
Dollar is about to strengthen again EURUSD 1.1625 Elliott - this rally is done and now a three wave correction should start from here. I have divided the C waves into its own 5 waves on the weekly charts on the right. Hence the rally is done. RSI - the RSI continues to oscillate in the bear zone indicating the long term trend is still down. Composite is giving a negative divergence at resistance which is trend reversal. Conclusion - this is in particular very imp to us as the change in trend first happens in the currency mkt. Weak EUR against dollar means weakness for the Equity mkt.
by singh17vivek
1
EURUSD on the verge – a trap waiting for the carelessThis pair has just completed a classic rounding top, with a sharp rejection near 1.16500. Buying momentum is fading, RSI is dropping, and the recent retest of the broken trendline might have been the final warning – the “kiss of death” could already be in play. On the fundamental side, the U.S. keeps fueling the dollar: consumer spending is rising, jobless claims are falling, and the Fed shows no sign of easing up. Meanwhile, the ECB is still searching for direction, leaving the euro exposed and vulnerable. If the current support level breaks, EURUSD could slide quickly to lower zones. This is no longer a time for hope – it’s time to choose a side and act.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
EURUSD under pressureEURUSD is moving within a well-defined descending channel, forming consistent lower highs and lower lows. The price has recently rejected the resistance zone near 1.16100, showing signs of continued bearish momentum. On the fundamental side, stronger-than-expected U.S. retail sales—especially in the core figure—have boosted the U.S. dollar, putting downward pressure on the euro. Coupled with ongoing concerns about Eurozone economic growth, the pair is likely to continue its decline toward the 1.15400 support area. RSI remains below the neutral zone, confirming short-term bearish bias. Traders should watch closely for reactions at support to assess further short opportunities.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
EUR/USD: Continuing Downtrend and Key Levels to WatchHello traders, what are your thoughts on EUR/USD? Today, EUR/USD continues its strong downtrend, currently trading around 1.161. One of the key factors driving this decline is the strong recovery of the USD. Following the release of positive data from the US, especially the unemployment report, the market has reinforced expectations that the Fed will maintain high interest rates for a longer period. This has reduced the appeal of the euro, putting significant pressure on EUR/USD. From a technical perspective, the price is approaching the trendline's lower limit, and a breakout at this point could push EUR/USD further down. Personally, I expect the EMA 89 area to be an ideal target for this strategy. What about you, do you agree with my outlook? Feel free to share your thoughts, and let’s discuss!
Short
by Kevinn_Nguyen