USDEUX trade ideas
EUR/USD Outlook – Potential Short SetupsHi everyone,
In today’s post, let’s break down the current market structure and potential opportunities in the EUR/USD pair.
🔍 Market Context
After nearly a month of consolidation, EUR/USD appears to have stalled around the previous weekly swing highs . Despite several attempts to hold above this level, the price eventually broke down, signalling a shift in structure on the 4-hour (4H) timeframe.
This short-term breakdown could be an early sign of a l arger structural shift on the daily chart , and it’s something I’m keeping a close eye on.
🧭 Key Levels & Price Behaviour
At the moment, price action is bouncing from a demand zone , which might provide a short-lived relief rally . However, this bounce may only be temporary.
In my humble opinion, bullish momentum is fading , and we could be entering a trap zone for late buyers . I’m watching the 1.132–1.138 region , just above the short-term downtrend line, as a potential resistance zone and an ideal area to consider shorts.
🎯 Trade Ideas
I’ve marked two trade setups on the chart, catering to different risk profiles:
1. Aggressive Trade – For traders willing to enter closer to resistance with tighter stop losses.
2. Conservative Trade – For those who prefer more confirmation before entry.
You can treat these setups independently or combine them into a single strategy depending on your trading style and risk tolerance.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This post is purely for educational purposes . I am not a financial advisor , and nothing here should be taken as financial advice. Always consult your financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
RSI Divergence part 2RSI Divergence is among technical analyses allowing traders to discover a possible market reversal by comparing price movements with the Relative Strength Index. The RSI tool measures how fast and strong price movements are, ranging between 0 and 100. Typically, when the RSI is below 30, the asset is considered oversold; when it's above 70, it's seen as overbought.
RSI Divergence part 2The relative strength index (RSI) is calculated using the following formula: RSI = 100 – 100 / (1 + RS) Where RS = Average gain of up periods during the specified time frame / Average loss of down periods during the specified time frame asset price is considered overbought (due for a correction) when RSI is above 70, and oversold (due for a rebound) when it is below 30. Some traders use more extreme levels (80/20) to reduce false readings.
In a strong uptrend, RSI will often reach 70 and beyond for sustained periods, and downtrends can stay at 30 or below for a long time. While general overbought and oversold levels can be accurate, they may not provide the most timely signals for trend traders.
EURUSD buy to sell setup?EURUSD has already played out as anticipated in Sunday’s analysis. Price reached the target for shorts and is now retracing from the first point of interest — a larger demand zone.
The 4H structure remains bearish, so in line with the trend, I expect price to drop further into the lower interest area around 1.1000. That’s where buyers could start stepping in, adding liquidity to the market.
I’ll be watching for a buy-to-sell setup to position myself accordingly.
Interesting setup overall — let’s see how it plays out.
EUR/USD Bearish Setup: Supply Zone Rejection Toward1.0900 Target(Swing Trade Setup)
📉 Trendline + CHoCH Confirmation
🔻 Downtrend marked by a falling blue trendline.
🔄 CHoCH (Change of Character) shows a bearish market structure shift, confirmed by a lower low.
🟦 Supply Zone (Sell Zone)
💥 Strong seller reaction previously occurred between:
1.12956 – 1.13896
🔹 Wait for price to retrace into this zone.
🎯 Ideal for short entries.
🎯 Entry & Stop-Loss
🔵 Entry Point: Around 1.12956 – 1.13005
(below supply zone and EMA)
🛑 Stop Loss: 1.13896 – 1.13929
(above the last high + supply zone)
🟦 EMA 70 (Purple Line)
📈 Currently at 1.13051
Acts as dynamic resistance — strengthening the short setup.
🏁 Target Zone
🎯 Main Target: 1.09000
Marked as TARGET POINT 1.0900
🟦 Support Levels Inside Target Zone:
1.09229
1.09150
1.08814
✅ Summary of Trade Idea
📍 Short Position
⬆️ Entry: ~1.13000
🛑 Stop Loss: ~1.13900
⬇️ Take Profit: ~1.09000
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward: ~1:3+ potential
EUR/USD Buy Setup1. Entry Point:
Marked at: 1.12243
This is the suggested price level to enter a long (buy) trade.
2. Stop Loss:
Set at: 1.11542
Placed below a support zone, it limits the downside risk if the trade moves against the position.
3. Target Points:
EA Target Point One: 1.13891
EA Target Point (Final): 1.15929
These levels are profit-taking zones, with the first being a conservative target and the second being a more extended move.
4. Technical Indicators:
Moving Averages:
A red shorter-term moving average (possibly 20 EMA)
A blue longer-term moving average (possibly 200 EMA)
Price is currently below both, indicating bearish momentum, though the long setup is anticipating a reversal.
5. Support/Resistance Zones:
Purple Zones: Highlighted as key demand and supply areas.
The lower purple zone supports the entry and stop-loss area.
The upper purple zones mark resistance areas aligning with the target levels.
6. Current Price:
Around 1.12459, slightly above the entry zone.
Conclusion:
This setup is a bullish trade idea with a clearly defined:
Entry (1.12243),
Stop-loss (1.11542), and
Two take-profit levels (1.13891 and 1.15929).
EURUSD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair .
💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
EUR USD Weekly analysis (10-05-25 to - 17-05-25)📊 Technical Analysis (4H Chart - EUR/USD)
Current price sits near 1.12480, showing signs of potential short-term recovery after a sharp sell-off. The chart suggests a bullish correction might be underway, aiming for the 1.13400–1.13700 supply zone.
Key Technical Observations:
Support Zone: 1.11800 – 1.12200
Immediate Resistance: 1.13400 – 1.13700 (highlighted blue box)
The pair has bounced off a local low with bullish momentum. If sustained, this may lead to a retracement toward the resistance zone.
Bearish market structure remains intact, so this is treated as a corrective move unless a clean breakout above 1.13800 occurs.
🟢 Short-term bullish correction expected, targeting the blue zone, before potential continuation to the downside.
🌍 Fundamental Outlook for the Week (13–17 May 2025)
🇪🇺 1. Eurozone Economic Concerns
Growth remains sluggish with Germany and France showing weak industrial production and business confidence.
ECB stance remains dovish, with the market expecting possible rate cuts sooner than the Fed.
🇺🇸 2. USD Drivers
All eyes on US CPI (May 15) and Retail Sales (May 16). Strong prints will reinforce USD strength and weigh on EUR/USD.
Higher-for-longer Fed rate outlook continues to favor USD.
💡 3. Macro Implication
Divergence in central bank policy and economic performance continues to favor the dollar.
Any weak Eurozone data or strong US inflation can resume the bearish move below 1.1200.
✅ Conclusion
EUR/USD expected to retrace higher in the short term, targeting the 1.13400–1.13700 zone. However, overall bias remains bearish. Any weakness in the bullish move or a strong US data release can bring the pair back below 1.12200, opening the door toward 1.11800 or lower.
EURUSD 4H chart - Short Setup🔍 Chart Overview
Pair: EURUSD
Timeframe: 4H
Pattern Identified: Head & Shoulders (bearish reversal pattern)
Trendline: Broken — signals end of previous uptrend
Market Structure: Lower highs forming → beginning of a downtrend
📉 Bearish Trade Setup
1. Entry Zone
Marked just below the broken trendline and neckline of the Head & Shoulders.
Entry: ~1.12450–1.12500
Price has already broken below neckline → confirming the pattern.
2. Stop Loss (SL)
Placed above the right shoulder, around 1.14096.
Smart placement as a break above would invalidate the Head & Shoulders pattern.
It also covers any minor retracement into the supply zone.
3. Take Profits (TP)
1st TP: ~1.09000 zone
🔹 This zone acted as previous structure support
🔹 Good area to book partials or move SL to breakeven
2nd TP: ~1.03258
🔹 Long-term target
🔹 Based on major previous demand zone visible on the left (possibly from daily chart)
🔻 Technical Analysis
✅ Bearish Confirmation
Head and Shoulders formation: Reliable trend reversal signal
Break of Trendline: Confirms the structure has shifted
Break of neckline: Entry confirmation
Retest of neckline/structure: Entry after confirmation makes it safer
🔎 Confluences
Confluence Result
Head & Shoulders ✅ Strong reversal pattern
Break of trendline ✅ Indicates shift in trend
Break + Retest of neckline ✅ Classic confirmation
Entry after confirmation ✅ Higher probability
SL above right shoulder ✅ Strategic placement
TP levels at structure & demand ✅ Logical TP zones
🛡️ Risk to Reward (RRR)
RRR is very favorable, roughly:
1st TP ≈ 1:2
2nd TP ≈ 1:4 or higher
A well-planned swing trade
📌 Final Recommendation
✅ This is a clean swing trade setup based on price action, pattern, and structure shift.
🔄 Consider partial close at 1st TP and trail SL.
🧠 Maintain discipline on SL—if price violates the right shoulder, exit.
Eurusd trade idea, again i sell in this tradeEurusd trade idea, again i sell in this trade
there is multiple reason for me to sell in this trade
1) trend is shifted bullish to bearish
2) daily candle is red , previous candle
3) price action taking rejection from resistance
4) 4h closed candle is hammer or pin bar
EURUSD NEXT POSSIBLE MOVEVANTAGE:EURUSD
EUR/USD Intraday Analysis – Key Zones to Watch
The market structure for EUR/USD on the 15-minute chart presents a well-defined range with key trading zones.
🔸 Sell Zone – The price is currently trading near this zone, indicating potential short opportunities if bearish pressure increases.
🔸 Buy Zone – A key support level where buying interest may emerge, leading to possible bullish movements.
🔸 Target & Stop Levels:
Buy TP and Sell SL: Upper resistance level where buying targets align and sell stop-losses are triggered.
Sell TP and Buy SL: Lower support level acting as a sell target and buy stop-loss zone.
Traders should monitor price action around these zones for confirmation before entering trades.
📅 Date: MAY 09, 2025
📊 Chart: 15-Minute (EUR/USD)
💹 Broker: VANTAGE
#EURUSD #ForexTrading #IntradayAnalysis #PriceAction #TradingStrategy
MACD Trading ( Moving Average Convergence/Divergence) The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator is a momentum oscillator primarily used to trade trends. Although it is an oscillator, it is not typically used to identify over bought or oversold conditions. It appears on the chart as two lines which oscillate without boundaries.
EURUSD NEXT POSSIBLE MOVEVANTAGE:EURUSD
EUR/USD Intraday Analysis – Key Zones to Watch
The market structure for EUR/USD on the 15-minute chart presents a well-defined range with key trading zones.
🔸 Sell Zone – The price is currently trading near this zone, indicating potential short opportunities if bearish pressure increases.
🔸 Buy Zone – A key support level where buying interest may emerge, leading to possible bullish movements.
🔸 Target & Stop Levels:
Buy TP and Sell SL: Upper resistance level where buying targets align and sell stop-losses are triggered.
Sell TP and Buy SL: Lower support level acting as a sell target and buy stop-loss zone.
Traders should monitor price action around these zones for confirmations before entering trades.
📅 Date: MAY 08, 2025
📊 Chart: 15-Minute (EUR/USD)
💹 Broker: VANTAGE
#EURUSD #ForexTrading #IntradayAnalysis #PriceAction #TradingStrategy
EUR/USD) support level pullback Technical AnalysisHELLO 👋 Dear friend Euro USD Traders
Technical analysis of the EUR/USD (Euro vs US Dollar) on the 4-hour timeframe. Here's a summary of the idea and setup shown:H
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1. Key Levels:
Support Level: Around 1.1330–1.1280 — price has bounced from this level several times, indicating strong demand.
Resistance Level: Around 1.1427 — this is the immediate target zone.
Resistance Level 2: At 1.1570, the extended target area.
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2. Current Price Behavior:
Price is currently above the 50 EMA and near the middle of the range.
The chart projects a potential bullish move after a slight pullback toward the support level.
This projected move suggests:
A bounce off support.
A breakout above the immediate resistance at 1.1427.
Continuation toward the upper resistance at 1.1570.
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3. EMA Analysis:
EMA 50 (blue): Price is above it, suggesting short-term bullish momentum.
EMA 200 (red): Located much lower, confirming the overall longer-term bullish bias is still intact.
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4. Price Projection:
Target 1: 1.1427 (approx. +1.33% from breakout).
Target 2: 1.1570 (total gain approx. +2.5%).
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5. Trading Idea Summary:
Bullish Idea (Buy Setup):
Entry: Near support zone (around 1.1330–1.1280).
Targets: 1.1427 (TP1), 1.1570 (TP2).
Stop-loss: Below 1.1280, to protect against a breakdown.
Risk/Reward: Good potential, especially if entering near support.
EUR/USD Long Trade Setup – Buy Zone at 1.12757 with Targets at 11. Entry Point:
1.12757 is marked as the proposed buy entry zone, situated at the bottom of a consolidation range.
The price is currently just above this level, suggesting a potential reversal setup is forming.
2. Stop Loss:
Placed at 1.12413, which is below the support zone. This protects the position if the price breaks down further.
3. Target Points:
EA Target Point One: 1.14207 – this is the first take-profit target, aligned with a previous resistance zone.
EA Target Point: 1.1582 – this is the extended target, aligned with a stronger resistance area from a prior high.
4. Risk-to-Reward Consideration:
Risk: From 1.12757 to 1.12413 (approx. 34 pips).
Reward 1: Up to 1.14207 (approx. 145 pips).
Reward 2: Up to 1.1582 (approx. 306 pips).
This gives an excellent risk-to-reward ratio (>4:1 to the first target, >9:1 to the second target).
5. Market Context:
Price is trading below both the 50-period (blue) and 20-period (red) moving averages, indicating bearish short-term momentum.
However, this strategy anticipates a bounce off support, possibly a reversal or correction to the upside.
EUR/USD Bullish Reversal Setup – Demand Zone to Target 1.15646🔍 Current Price: 1.13414
📉 EMA (70): 1.13334
Price is slightly above the EMA → Bullish hint ✅
Key Zones & Levels
🟦 Demand Zone:
📍 1.12441 ➡️ 1.12985
Strong buying interest here!
Price bounced from this zone → 📈 Possible reversal
🔵 Entry Point: 1.12985
🛑 Stop Loss: 1.12441
🎯 Target: 1.15646
Trendline Watch
📉 Descending trendline is being tested/broken
🟠 If price holds above the trendline + EMA → CONFIRMATION for long entry ✅
Trade Setup
Buy Entry: 1.12985
TP: 1.15646 🎯
SL: 1.12441 🔻
Risk–Reward Ratio: ~ 1:4.8 ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️
Visual Flow:
🔵 Demand Zone
⬆️
Break EMA & Trendline
⬆️
🎯 Target Zone (1.15646)
Summary:
Looks like a sweet bullish setup from the demand zone!
If price stays above EMA and trendline → Go Long ✅
EUR/USD) Big Support level Analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of EUR/USD on the 1-hour timeframe. The idea centers around a potential reversal from a major support zone, aiming for higher resistance targets. Here's a detailed breakdown:
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1. Big Support Level
A strong horizontal support zone is highlighted around 1.1275–1.1290.
Price is currently reacting off this level, suggesting a potential bullish reversal.
2. EMA 200 as Resistance
The 200-period EMA (~1.1346) is above current price, possibly acting as a dynamic resistance.
A break and hold above it could confirm bullish momentum.
3. Resistance Levels & Target Points
The first target is the 1.14367 resistance level, a clear supply zone.
The second target point is around 1.15622, aligned with a previous major high and strong resistance zone.
4. RSI Indicator
RSI is at 44.02, indicating neutral to slightly oversold conditions—this supports a potential bullish move, especially from support.
5. Forecast Path
The chart projects a likely pullback and breakout pattern:
Rebound from the support zone.
Break through EMA 200 and minor resistance.
Rally toward first and second targets.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary of the Idea:
This is a trend-reversal-to-continuation setup, with EUR/USD expected to rise from a key support area toward 1.14367, and potentially 1.15622, provided price holds above the support and breaks the EMA 200.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)