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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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USDEUX trade ideas

EURUSD – In a tough spot as USD regains momentumThe sharp rise in ADP and ISM PMI forecasts is shifting market expectations: the Fed is now less likely to cut interest rates soon. This immediately supports the USD recovery and puts pressure on major currency pairs – EURUSD included. Looking at the H4 chart, we can see price being rejected around the 1.14480 resistance zone, right when the EMA 34 and 89 lines are starting to tighten – a sign that the bullish momentum is fading. At this point, price appears to be heading back toward the 1.13300 support zone, which has held several times before. If this level breaks, the bearish move could extend toward 1.12890.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
EURUSD - FALSE BREAKOUT MAY TRIGGER CORRECTIONSymbol - EURUSD CMP - 1.1431 EURUSD is appreciating amid a weakening US dollar. However, the pair is facing significant resistance and exhibiting signs of a false breakout, which may precede a corrective movement. EURUSD is currently testing a key resistance zone within a distribution phase and displaying characteristics of a potential false breakout. While the broader market structure remains bullish - evidenced by the pair breaching local resistance and establishing new highs. The failure to sustain upward momentum and the price consolidating below the 1.1418 level may act as a catalyst for a correction. Concurrently, the US dollar is approaching a support level and may initiate a rebound, exerting downward pressure on EURUSD. Resistance levels: 1.1440, 1.1424, 1.1418 Support levels: 1.1384, 1.1343 Should the currency pair fail to establish a firm position above 1.1424 during the ongoing resistance retest, the likelihood of a downward consolidation increases, potentially presenting an opportunity for short positioning. The anticipated correction could extend toward the identified support zones before the broader uptrend resumes.
Short
by akshit_official
EUR/USD4H Bearish Trade Setup Supply Zone Rejection with 3:1 RRR🔷 Trend Overview 📈 Price was in a rising channel (trend line + support line). ❌ Channel broken on downside → potential trend reversal. 🟧 🔼 Supply Zone (Sell Area) 📍 Zone: 1.13707 – 1.14432 🟠 Price faced rejection here. 💡 Institutional selling likely in this zone. 🔥 This is the ideal short-entry area. 🟦 🔽 Entry Point 🎯 Entry: Around 1.13694 🧩 Sits just below supply zone = safer trigger. ✅ Wait for a bearish confirmation candle before entering. 🟨 Support Level 📉 Support Zone: ~1.13100 – 1.13400 📊 Recently broken with a strong bearish candle. 🧱 Used to act as a floor, now may act as resistance. 🟩 🎯 Target Point ✅ Take Profit: 1.10970 📎 Matches previous structure support. 💰 Lock in profits before the psychological level at 1.1100. 🟥 ⛔ Stop Loss ❌ Stop: 1.14419 📏 Placed above the supply zone for protection. 🛡️ Shields from false breakouts or spikes. ⚖️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) 💡 Approx. 3:1 ✅ 📉 Risk: ~70 pips 📈 Reward: ~270 pips 🔥 High-probability setup 📌 EMA (Exponential Moving Average – 70) 📍 EMA 70 at 1.13102 🔻 Price is below the EMA → favors bearish momentum 🧠 Pro Tips: 🔍 Watch for bearish engulfing or rejection candles at the entry zone. 🗓️ Be aware of major news events (ECB, Fed). 🧮 Adjust lot size for risk management (based on SL size). ✅ Summary: 🧩 Element 📊 Value Trade Type 🔻 Short (Sell) Entry Point 📌 1.13694 Stop Loss ⛔ 1.14419 Take Profit 🎯 1.10970 RRR ⚖️ ~3:1 Sentiment 📉 Bearish
Short
by Jameshead007
EUR/USD 4H Chart Analysis – May 29, 2025🔍 Market Structure Overview Current Price: 1.12753 Key Zone: Price is hovering at a critical resistance-turned-support area. 🧱 Key Levels Resistance Zone: 1.15639 (🔝 Main Target) Support Zone: 1.10736 (🔻 Main Target) Intermediate Zones: Target One (Bullish): 1.14139 📈 Target One (Bearish): 1.11687 📉 🔄 Scenario Outlook 📈 Bullish Scenario: If price holds above the 1.1275 zone, we could see a climb towards: 1.14139 (minor target) 1.15639 (major resistance & final target) 🚀 Breakout above could indicate continuation of higher highs. 📉 Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold above 1.1275 could push price lower: First support at 1.11687 Final drop towards 1.10736 support zone 🪓 Breakdown could confirm lower low structure. 🧠 Conclusion This is a decision point zone. Wait for confirmation before jumping in. A strong bullish or bearish candle at this level will dictate the next move. Risk management is key here! 🎯
by VikingFx-Community
EUR/USD – Potential Short-Term TradeTime Frame: 1H Bias: Long (Bullish Reversal Expected) Setup Type: Reversal from Flip Zone Date: May 27, 2025 🔍 Market Context: The price is currently retracing after forming a short-term lower high. It has entered a prior demand zone (highlighted box) that acted as resistance-turned-support — a classic flip zone. The market has shown responsiveness to this zone in the past (bounces seen on May 22–23 and again on May 24), suggesting strong buyer interest remains here. 📌 Key Levels: Interest Zone for Longs: 1.1300 – 1.1320 This is where buyers are expected to step in again. Look for bullish price action confirmation in this zone before entry. Entry Trigger: Bullish engulfing, strong wick rejection, or bullish divergence within the demand zone. Target Zone: 1.1424 A clean 90-pip move (approx. 0.90%) from the entry zone — aligns with the previous high and liquidity pool. Stop Loss: Below 1.1300 (e.g., 1.1288) To protect against deeper sweeps of the zone. Risk-Reward: ~1:5 Excellent R:R if price reacts cleanly from the flip zone. 📈 Trade Idea Summary: Buy EUR/USD around 1.130–1.132 Stop Loss: 1.1288 Take Profit: 1.1424 R:R Ratio: ~1:4.8 Confirmation Needed: Bullish candlestick pattern or rejection wick in the zone. ⚠️ Notes: If price slices cleanly through 1.1300 without wicks or slowing down, invalidate the setup — wait for a deeper retest or a fresh demand zone to form. ⚠️ Disclaimer This post is purely for educational purposes. I am not a financial advisor, and nothing here should be taken as financial advice. Always consult your financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. Or at the very least, consult your cat. 🐱
Long
by johntradingwick
EURUSD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. 🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair . 💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
Long
by okako_trading
EUR/USD (4H chart) Technical analysisTechnical analysis for EUR/USD (4H chart) based on your screenshot: 🧠 Chart Analysis: 🔍 Price Action & EMAs: Price has rejected the 1.1400+ zone and is now pulling back. It is currently sitting just above the 50 EMA (green) but below the 200 EMA (red) — indicating possible weakness. Support zone: ~1.1270–1.1280 (EMA cluster + prior structure) Resistance zone: 1.1350–1.1380 📉 RSI Analysis: RSI trending downward, around 40–45, showing bearish momentum building. No bullish divergence yet. 📌 Trade Ideas: 🔻 Bearish Bias (preferred short-term outlook): Entry: Below 1.1280 Target 1: 1.1220 Target 2: 1.1170 SL: Above 1.1350 🔼 Bullish Scenario (if price holds and bounces above 50 EMA): Entry: On strong bullish candle above 1.1350 Target 1: 1.1400 Target 2: 1.1460 SL: Below 1.1270 ⚖️ Bias Summary: Short-term bearish below 1.1280 Neutral to bullish only above 1.1350
Long
by Tgfin
If You’re Bored, You’re Probably Doing It RightYou think trading should be exciting? That every day should feel like a high-stakes chess match? That if it doesn’t feel intense, something’s wrong? Nope. Good trading is boring. Systematic. Repetitive. Unemotional. You take your setup. You size properly. You respect your stops. You move on. Same rules. Same routine. Same process. It’s not sexy. But it’s stable. The truth? The more exciting your trading feels, the more likely you’re slipping. Overleveraging. Overtrading. Overreacting. Boredom isn’t a bug. It’s a feature. It means you’re not chasing. You’re not forcing. You’re following your edge — and letting the numbers do the heavy lifting. You don’t need adrenaline. You need consistency. Get comfortable with boredom. That’s where the money is. Boredom is not your enemy — it’s your ally. Stay patient, stay consistent. Charts & Grit
Education
by johntradingwick
9
EUR/USD Bullish Trade Setup – Demand Zone to 1.15000 TargetTrend Overview: ↗️ Uptrend Channel Support Line (Bottom of channel): Holding the upward price movement. Resistance Line (Top of channel): Price touches and retraces — a key watch level. Key Zones: 🟦 Demand Zone (BUY Area) 🟢 1.12468 – 1.12987 Strong support. Price may bounce from here if retested. Buyers likely to activate here. 🟥 Resistance Zone 🔴 Around 1.13575 Price faces selling pressure. If broken, could signal a bullish continuation. Entry & Exit Strategy: 🎯 Target Point: 1.15000 (Marked in blue above) 🚀 Bullish Target Above the resistance, indicating breakout potential. 📍 Entry Point: 1.12987 – 1.13106 Slightly above the demand zone. 🛑 Stop Loss: 1.12478 Just below the demand zone for risk control. EMA (70) Line: 📈 Currently at 1.13106 Price is trading above the EMA = bullish signal. Scenario Summary: Bullish Setup ✅ Wait for a pullback into the demand zone ✅ Enter near the blue entry area ✅ Target the 1.15000 zone ✅ Risk managed by stop-loss just below demand zone
Long
by Jameshead007
2
EUR USD Weekly analysis (25-05-25 to 31-05-25)Key EUR/USD Levels (4H Chart) Rejection Zone (Resistance): 1.1400 – 1.1450 Major Supply Zone: 1.1470 – 1.1500 Support Zone: 1.1250 – 1.1204 Target Demand Zone: 1.0980 – 1.0950 🌍 Fundamental Backdrop (as of May 25, 2025) USD Strength The Fed remains hawkish, with inflation still sticky above 2%. Markets are pricing in delayed rate cuts, supporting the USD. Eurozone Weakness Slower growth across major Eurozone economies (especially Germany). ECB is more dovish — already signaling possible rate cuts by Q3. Bond Yield Divergence US yields are staying elevated vs. falling EU bond yields — this widens the interest rate differential in favor of USD. Risk Sentiment Global markets are shifting toward risk-off due to geopolitical tensions and US-China tech war news — again favoring safe-haven USD.
by JOY-OF-RISK-TARGET-ONE-WAVE
EURUSD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. 🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair . 💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
Long
by okako_trading
EUR/USD Forming Double Top –Bearish Reversal Toward Key Support?📉 EUR/USD Technical Outlook – Bearish Bias Developing 🔍 🟪 Key Resistance Zone: 📍 1.1350 – 1.1450 Price has tested this resistance zone multiple times, forming a double-top pattern (🔄) within the highlighted circle. This signals buying exhaustion and potential reversal pressure. The recent failure to break above confirms the zone’s strength. 🔴 EMA Confluence: 🧭 50 EMA (red): ~1.1242 🧭 200 EMA (blue): ~1.0961 The price is currently hovering just above the 50 EMA but well above the 200 EMA, which is acting as a dynamic support. The crossover has already occurred, so if price breaks below the 50 EMA decisively, momentum could shift bearish. 🔻 Support Breakdown Risk: A breakdown from the 1.1200 neckline area (highlighted in red oval) would confirm the double-top pattern 🎯. That opens downside potential toward the strong demand zone below. 🟪 Strong Support Zone: 📍 1.0700 – 1.0800 This area aligns with prior consolidation (March lows) and the 200 EMA, making it a high-probability reversal zone 📈 if the bearish scenario plays out. 📌 Trade Setup Insight: ✅ Bearish confirmation below 1.1200 neckline 📉 🎯 Target: 1.0800 zone ❌ Invalidation: Break above 1.1350 resistance 🔵 Summary: The chart is hinting at a classic double-top reversal below a key resistance zone. If price breaks the neckline, sellers are likely to gain control, targeting the strong support near the 200 EMA. 📊 Bias: Bearish 👇 📅 Timeframe: Daily 🛑 Risk Management: Watch for fake-outs near neckline; volume confirmation preferred.
Short
by MrStellanSight
EURUSD Chart Analysis : An Elliott Wave Approach Hello friends, welcome to RK Charts! Today, we'll analyse the EURUSD chart using Elliot Waves. This study is based on Elliot Wave theory and structure, which enables multiple possibilities. Please note that the possibilities outlined here are not definitive predictions, but rather potential scenarios. The provided information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered trading advice. There is a risk of being completely wrong, and users are warned not to trade or invest solely based on this study. We are not responsible for any profits or losses incurred. Individuals should consult a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. Now, let's dive into the analysis. According to Elliot Wave principles, we're currently in a corrective pattern, which consists of ((A)), ((B)) and ((C)) patterns. We've completed ((A)) and ((B)) and are now unfolding ((C)). Within ((C)) we expect five sub-divisions, labeled as intermediate waves (blue bracketed): blue (1), (2), (3), (4) & (5). Almost four of these sub-divisions are completed, and we've just begun the (5). We've set an invalidation point at 1.1065, which is the recent low. If this low is not breached, we'll likely continue unfolding the (5) wave of ((C)), which should break above the high of wave (3). However, if the low is breached, it's possible that wave (4) is undergoing a double correction. Both scenarios are possible, and we'll continue to monitor the market's unfold. Scenario 1 Scenario 2 This study is a deep dive into Elliot Wave counts, aligned with the rules and principles of Elliot Wave theory, as well as higher time frame and higher degree analysis. I hope this analysis based on Elliot Wave theory has helped you understand the chart better and learn something new. Please keep in mind that this is for educational purposes only. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com/u/RK_Charts/ is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Long
by RK_Chaarts
3