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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EUR/USD Potential Reversal from Resistance Zone –Bearish OutlookThe EUR/USD pair has been trading within a well-defined ascending channel for several weeks. Price recently tested a strong resistance zone near 1.15850 – 1.16000, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel and a previously marked supply area. Key observations: The price action shows signs of rejection from the resistance zone with a potential double-top or fakeout pattern forming. A projected bearish trajectory is marked, suggesting a possible break below the channel support. Immediate bearish targets are set at key demand zones around 1.14500, 1.12500, and further down to 1.10500. A large red arrow indicates the strong downside bias if the price confirms the breakdown. Conclusion: If EUR/USD fails to sustain above the 1.15850 resistance zone and breaks below the ascending channel, a strong bearish correction is anticipated. Traders should watch for confirmation of the breakdown before entering short positions.
Short
by ZareeFxTradingAac
EUR/USD Bearish Reversal in Channel EUR/USD Bearish Reversal in Channel 📉🔻 📊 Technical Analysis Overview: The EUR/USD pair is showing clear bearish pressure after hitting a key resistance zone near 1.16500, which aligns with the upper boundary of the ascending channel 📐. 🔺 Resistance Area: Price reacted strongly to the 1.16500–1.16000 resistance zone (marked with red arrows ⬇️). Double rejection near this level confirms seller dominance. 📉 Bearish Structure: Price is forming lower highs, suggesting weakening bullish momentum. The current pattern implies a potential head and shoulders or rising wedge breakdown. 🎯 Target Levels: Primary Target: 1.13560 🔽 (short-term key support marked in purple). Extended Target: 1.12000–1.12500 zone 🧲 (major support area at the lower boundary of the channel). 📎 Support Zone: Historical bounce region around 1.12000–1.12500 is a strong demand area. 🔍 Conclusion: If price breaks below 1.13560, it opens the path for a deeper drop toward the broader support range. Traders should monitor for confirmation signals below that level 📉🚨. ⚠️ Recommendation: Bearish bias remains valid unless price breaks back above 1.15500. Look for pullbacks for short entries. Tight risk management advised! 💼📉
by MrStellanSight
EURUSD NEXT POSSIBLE MOVEVANTAGE:EURUSD 🔵 EUR/USD | 17 June 2025 | ICT Intraday Outlook --- 🧠 Market Context: The market opened today below the previous day’s midrange, suggesting a neutral to bearish tone in early sessions. We are currently within a consolidation between PDH and PDL, and watching for a liquidity sweep + BOS setup in either direction. 📌 Buy Scenario (Bullish Bias): If price breaks above 1.14312 (previous structure) and sweeps buy-side liquidity, then: Expect a retracement back into the FVG or OTE zone between 1.14100–1.14200 Confirmation of displacement + bullish order block around this zone could signal a long opportunity. 🎯 Buy Target: Retest of PDH 1.14577, extended target toward 1.14780 and above. 📌 Sell Scenario (Bearish Bias): If price breaks below 1.13715 (PDL), expect: Sell-side liquidity sweep, leading to a displacement candle Wait for price to retest 1.13700–1.13820 area (M15 OB/FVG) If lower high confirms, watch for short setups 🎯 Sell Target: Drop into the sentimental level of 1.13420 🔑 Summary: Direction Trigger Break Level Entry Zone Target Buy Break & sweep 1.14312 1.14100 – 1.14200 (OTE) 1.14577 → 1.14780 Sell Break 1.13715 1.13700 – 1.13820 retest 1.13420 (sentiment) 📊 Market Model: ICT Liquidity Sweep + Displacement + Entry Model (FVG or OB) 📅 Session: London to NY overlap
Short
by FX_MONSTER_EURUSD
EURUSD – Buyers Remain in Control, Awaiting Confirmation SignalThe EURUSD pair posted a slight pullback after reaching the upper resistance zone of the ascending channel around 1.16130 on June 12. However, the bullish structure remains intact, with higher lows and clear respect for the upward channel on the 8H chart. Technically, the 1.14590 zone — which aligns with both the trendline and the EMA34 — will act as a key support area. If the price holds this level and rebounds, the likelihood of retesting the 1.16130 high is strong. Conversely, a break below 1.14590 could trigger a deeper correction. On the fundamental side, the euro is supported by expectations that the ECB will maintain its current interest rates, while cooling U.S. CPI data has weakened the dollar.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
EURUSD NEXT POSSIBLE MOVE🔵 EUR/USD | 10 June 2025 | ICT Intraday Outlook --- 🧠 Market Context: The market opened today below the previous day’s midrange, suggesting a neutral to bearish tone in early sessions. We are currently within a consolidation between PDH and PDL, and watching for a liquidity sweep + BOS setup in either direction. 📌 Buy Scenario (Bullish Bias): If price breaks above 1.14312 (previous structure) and sweeps buy-side liquidity, then: Expect a retracement back into the FVG or OTE zone between 1.14100–1.14200 Confirmation of displacement + bullish order block around this zone could signal a long opportunity. 🎯 Buy Target: Retest of PDH 1.14577, extended target toward 1.14780 and above. 📌 Sell Scenario (Bearish Bias): If price breaks below 1.13715 (PDL), expect: Sell-side liquidity sweep, leading to a displacement candle Wait for price to retest 1.13700–1.13820 area (M15 OB/FVG) If lower high confirms, watch for short setups 🎯 Sell Target: Drop into the sentimental level of 1.13420 🔑 Summary: Direction Trigger Break Level Entry Zone Target Buy Break & sweep 1.14312 1.14100 – 1.14200 (OTE) 1.14577 → 1.14780 Sell Break 1.13715 1.13700 – 1.13820 retest 1.13420 (sentiment) 📊 Market Model: ICT Liquidity Sweep + Displacement + Entry Model (FVG or OB) 📅 Session: London to NY overlap
Short
by FX_MONSTER_EURUSD
EURUSD – Price Holds Uptrend, 1.145 Zone Is the Key to BreakoutOn the H4 timeframe, EURUSD continues to move within a clearly defined ascending channel, consistently bouncing off the trendline and EMA34–89 cluster. Price is now approaching the 1.14500 resistance zone, which previously rejected bullish attempts twice. However, this time, price is consolidating just below resistance, indicating that buying pressure may be building. If 1.14500 is breached with strong momentum, the next target will be 1.15000. Conversely, if price gets rejected again, the 1.14100 support zone will be crucial to watch for a reaction. Meanwhile, news from the ongoing US–China trade talks is keeping gold highly volatile, creating a risk-on sentiment and weakening the USD—this may provide additional support for EUR’s bullish trend.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
2
EURUSD – Pressure at the Top, Correction Likely AheadThe EURUSD pair posted strong gains during the June 11 session, breaking through the 1.1480 resistance zone and reaching the top of the ascending channel near 1.15460. However, price action is showing signs of slowing down as it approaches the upper trendline that previously rejected price on June 3. Currently, if the price fails to decisively break above the 1.15460 area, a technical correction toward the support zone at 1.14180—where the EMA 34 and lower channel line intersect—is highly likely. This zone will be key to monitor for potential trend-following buy opportunities if a clear recovery signal emerges. Latest data shows U.S. CPI is easing, putting pressure on the USD. However, markets are now focused on tonight’s FOMC decision, which will play a crucial role in determining the next direction for the dollar.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
EURUSD – Steady accumulation, ready for a fresh breakout?After a slight correction, EURUSD is trying to stabilize around the support zone of 1.13840 – which coincides with the EMA89 and a historically strong price reaction area. Although there hasn’t been a clear breakout yet, recent price action still shows an effort to maintain the bullish structure as the higher lows remain intact. If buyers can take advantage of this support and build momentum, the next target could very well be the 1.14780 zone – an area that has rejected price multiple times and now serves as a key resistance level for the bulls. Beyond the technical picture, the market is also awaiting this week's CPI, PPI, and NFP data. If these numbers come in weaker than expected, the likelihood of the Fed cutting rates sooner will rise – a positive signal for EURUSD. Moreover, with ongoing geopolitical risks, defensive capital flows may continue to exit the USD, giving the euro an edge in the coming sessions.
Long
by Femal_