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U.S. Dollar / Pound Sterling

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GBPUSD: Sellers approach multi-month-old support before US dataGBPUSD is slipping from last week’s bounce off a six-month support line. Traders are watching for Tuesday's US Consumer Confidence report, while the strong US Dollar and cautious mood ahead of the US Q3 GDP figures, inflation data, and Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) are putting pressure on the Pound Sterling. Bears lose momentum While GBPUSD buyers aren’t gaining traction, sellers will struggle to take control. There are multiple support levels, and indicators like the RSI (14) and a weakening bearish MACD signal may hinder the bear’s progress. Key technical levels to watch Watch for the upward support line from late April around 1.2935, followed by the 200-SMA near 1.2800, as near-term key levels to watch for the GBPUSD sellers. If the bears push below 1.2800, look for support at the August and June lows around 1.2665 and 1.2610. GBPUSD needs to break the ascending trend line from early March near 1.3080 for a recovery. Additional resistance levels include the psychological barrier at 1.3000 and the 50-SMA at 1.3140. Lastly, a horizontal resistance zone near 1.3240 serves as a crucial barrier for buyers. Further downside appears less convincing With the bearish trend losing momentum, expectations for fewer rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve could change if upcoming data doesn't support US Dollar strength. This uncertainty calls for caution among GBPUSD sellers.
by MTradingGlobal
GBP Analysis for Potential Buy or Sell Entry Overview: We’re focusing on a POI (Point of Interest) zone where we expect potential price reactions. This POI zone represents a key support or resistance area, and it will determine whether we enter a buy or sell position depending on how the market price reacts to it. Plan: 1. If the market price finds support at the POI Zone: Look for confirmation signals (such as bullish candlesticks, break of recent highs, or volume increases). Enter a Buy position targeting higher levels, aiming for a positive risk-reward ratio. Identify potential target levels based on previous resistance or Fibonacci extensions. 2. If the POI Zone fails as support: Wait for the price to retrace back towards the POI zone, testing it as resistance. Enter a Sell position targeting lower levels, especially if bearish patterns or momentum indicators confirm the move. --- Key Reminder: Trading always involves probabilities, not certainties. No strategy is foolproof, and risk management is essential. Make sure to place stop-losses in appropriate positions to protect your capital, and remember that disciplined execution is key.
Long
by dkrajkumar90
GBPUSD, H4 LondGBP/USD stays within the descending channel coming from late September and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator on the 4-hour chart stays well below 50, reflecting the bearish bias. The 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) forms a strong support level at 1.2970. If this support fails, the mid-point of the descending channel could be seen as the next bearish target at 1.2930 before 1.2900 (round level). On the upside, interim resistance is located at 1.3000 (round level, static level) before 1.3040 (upper limit of the channel) and 1.3100 (100-period SMA on the 4-hour chart).
Long
by dipen228
GBPUSD: Bears face limited downside ahead of BoE's Bailey speechOn Tuesday morning, GBPUSD is testing the 100-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) support, pulling back from last week's bounce. Traders are on alert as they await comments from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey. Sellers keep the reins but have limited downside room available While GBPUSD’s failure to stay above the 100-EMA and bearish MACD signals encourage sellers, a declining RSI (14) and a six-month-old ascending support line suggest only limited room for further decline. Key technical levels to watch The GBPUSD pair is currently supported by the 100-EMA around 1.2985 and an upward trend line near 1.2950, limiting immediate downside potential. If these levels break, the 50% Fibonacci retracement from April to September at 1.2865 could attract sellers, followed by the 61.8% retracement and August low at 1.2730 and 1.2665. On the upside, the 50-EMA and the 23.6% Fibonacci level around 1.3085 and 1.3165 will be crucial barriers. However, the key focus will be the horizontal resistance zone near 1.3230-40. If GBPUSD can hold above 1.3040, the next target could be around 1.3315-20, with the previous monthly high at 1.3435 acting as a potential stopping point. Bears approach key support zone GBPUSD is nearing important support levels as traders wait for comments from BoE’s Bailey, along with this week’s UK and US PMIs and Durable Goods Orders. With a more hawkish stance from the Fed compared to the BoE and concerns about the UK’s economic strength relative to the US, the pair is likely to maintain its downward trend, even if the downside potential seems limited.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD: Testing key support as Cable traders await major UK dataGBPUSD pokes a three-month support region as pressure builds ahead of the UK employment and inflation data, as well as the US Retail Sales, set to release this week. Pound Sterling bears flex muscles Despite several technical levels testing the GBPUSD sellers, a potential bear cross between the 100-bar and 200-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) keeps the bears optimistic. The weakening bullish momentum in the MACD and a steady RSI support the downside outlook. Additionally, a sustained break below an ascending support line from early August, now acting as resistance, favors the bears. Key technical levels to watch The GBPUSD pair is currently held up by a three-month support zone around 1.3040-30, just above the psychological level of 1.3000. If it drops below 1.3000, a quick decline to the late July swing high around 1.2940 and then to early August peaks near 1.2870-60 could follow. In a case where the Pound Sterling remains bearish past 1.2860, it becomes vulnerable to slump toward August’s bottom of near 1.2665. On the flip side, GBPUSD recovery remains elusive below the 100 and 200 EMAs, currently near 1.3145 and 1.3150. A seven-week horizontal resistance zone near 1.3230-40 and a previous support line around 1.3330 also pose challenges for Cable buyers. If bulls can push past 1.3330, a rally toward the last monthly high near 1.3435 is possible. Sellers stay in control While robust technical support is challenging GBP/USD sellers, a dovish outlook for the Bank of England and anticipated weak UK data, alongside rising hawkish sentiment from the Fed, may keep bears in control. Upcoming data could create some volatility, but the bearish sentiment remains strong.
by MTradingGlobal
GU: Buy Setup Near Strong Demand Zone Amid USD WeaknessWith Hurricane Milton approaching the U.S., there’s a high probability of the U.S. Dollar (DXY) weakening due to economic disruptions and market uncertainty. This sets the stage for potential bullish movements in GBP/USD, particularly as the pair approaches a key support/demand zone on the Daily chart around 1.3030 - 1.31. Key Technical Insights: Daily Support/Demand Zone: On the Daily chart, GBP/USD is testing a critical support zone, which has historically provided strong buying interest. The presence of this demand zone suggests that price may bounce back if supported by technical confirmation. Bullish Divergence on H4: On the H4 timeframe, a clear bullish divergence is forming with the Awesome Oscillator (AO). While the price is making lower lows, the AO is creating higher lows, indicating that selling pressure is weakening and a reversal could be near. Trade Plan: Entry : Look for confirmation with a bullish reversal pattern such as a bullish engulfing candle or a pin bar in the support zone before entering. Stop Loss: Set your stop loss below the support at 1.30 to protect against false breakouts. Target: Initial target around 1.33, with potential to extend higher if the bullish momentum continues. This setup aligns with both technical and fundamental drivers, making it a strong candidate for a buy if the market conditions confirm the reversal. FX:GBPUSD OANDA:GBPUSD FOREXCOM:GBPUSD
Long
by Trading_Zone_3773
GBPUSD: Focus on 50-SMA, key horizontal support and Fed MinutesGBPUSD struggles to hold onto early gains after bouncing off a three-month support level. As bearish momentum builds, traders closely watch for insights from the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes. Multiple catalysts favoring Cable sellers The Pound Sterling is finding it hard to sustain a rebound from the 12-week-old support zone. Bearish MACD signals and downbeat RSI (14) add to the negative sentiment. Additionally, last week's confirmation of a bearish rising wedge pattern enhances the resolve of GBPUSD sellers, pointing to continued downward pressure. Key technical levels to watch While sellers currently dominate the GBPUSD market, the 50-day SMA around 1.3085 poses an immediate challenge to further declines, with crucial support around 1.3060-1.3040 just below. If these levels break, the 100-day and 200-day SMAs at 1.2935 and 1.2780 could test sellers before directing them to the bearish pattern’s theoretical target of 1.2450. A corrective bounce for GBPUSD seems unlikely to gain credence unless it breaks above the wedge's lower line near 1.3280. That said, the immediate resistance levels are at 1.3100 and 1.3200. If the price holds above 1.3280, bulls may aim for a yearly high of approximately 1.3435 and the wedge's upper line around 1.3510. Bears to dominate Considering the bearish technical signals and the potential for the US Dollar to consolidate its previous monthly losses—supported by positive economic data and a hawkish Federal Reserve bias—the GBPUSD pair is likely to decline further. This outlook holds unless today’s Fed Minutes and Thursday’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) data underperform, which could dampen the US Dollar's strength.
by MTradingGlobal
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