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U.S. Dollar / Pound Sterling

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USDGBP trade ideas

Will 1.2590 Support Hold?On the hourly GBP/USD chart, it is clear that the British pound is under pressure. The price is currently trading below both the 34 EMA and the 89 EMA, which is a sign that the downtrend is still intact. The fact that the 34 EMA is below the 89 EMA suggests that the downtrend could extend. In recent hours, it seems that the price has tested the support around the 1.2590 area but has not been able to recover above the 34 EMA, which indicates weakness in the GBP recovery attempt. If this support level is broken, we could see GBP/USD continue to decline to new lows.
by Maria_aaa
GBPUSDFX:GBPUSD Back to the liquidity test above after the free fall. The pair lacks bullish conviction amid a stable US dollar and as investors choose to wait for the Bank of England (BoE) Monetary Policy Report Hearing before placing strong bets. A clear bearish wave is forming on the larger timeframe, on the smaller timeframe the downtrend is formed based on negative fundamentals, which only strengthened after Trump's victory. Therefore, any strong resistance can easily hold the market. On H4, it is trying to break out of the main range, breaking the main support level. A consolidation is forming inside the channel, if sellers hold the 1.269 - 1.277 zone, we can expect a decline towards the areas of interest in the medium term. Resistance: 1.282 - 1.277 and 1.269 Support: 1.259 - 1.247 and 1.231 The focus is on the resistance level mentioned above, as the further struggle and movement of the market depends on this important zone at this point. The bearish structure will be broken when the local high at 1.282 i.e. (0.5 fib) is broken and the price consolidates above this zone.
Short
by Bo-Samson
Signs of Recovery or Resistance Ahead?Currently, GBP/USD is trading around 1.26857, indicating a slight recovery after the previous extended bearish phase. The British pound is showing more positive signs, however, the pressure from the EMA 89 resistance has not been completely broken. The GBP/USD pair remains in an overall downtrend, confirmed by lower highs and lows. The EMA 34 and EMA 89 continue to slope down, indicating that selling pressure is still dominant. Resistance and support: Nearest resistance: The area around 1.2700-1.2720, which coincides with the EMA 89. This is an important zone that needs to be broken to confirm a short-term reversal. Key support: The 1.2600 area, where the pair has found buying pressure in recent sessions. If this zone is broken, GBP/USD could fall further to 1.2540. Personal view: I expect GBP/USD to continue its slight recovery in the short term to test the resistance zone of 1.2700-1.2720. If it fails to break, the price will reverse and retest the support at 1.2600. However, if there is a strong news factor supporting the pound, the pair could break above the 89 EMA and open the door for further gains.
by Maria_aaa
GBP/USD Faces Strong Selling, Downtrend May ContinueLooking at the 4-hour chart of GBP/USD, I notice that the pair is in a clear downtrend, with the EMA 34 and EMA 89 both sloping down, indicating strong selling pressure. The current price is approaching the bearish support line below the 1.2740 area. The psychological resistance zone around 1.2800 – 1.2850 has been tested several times but failed to break above. This shows that the selling pressure is still dominant and is likely to push the price further down if there are no signs of strong support. My trading plan is to wait for a small correction to the resistance zone of 1.2800. If the selling pressure persists in this area, I will consider entering a short position with the target of approaching the lower support zone around 1.2700 or lower. Conversely, if price breaks and goes above 1.2850, I will re-evaluate my strategy.
by Maria_aaa
2
GBP/USD Facing Bearish Pressure, Testing Key SupportLooking at the GBP/USD chart, I see that the pair is in a downtrend and is facing a strong resistance zone around 1.2920. The price has formed a descending structure with lower highs and lower lows, along with moving below the 34 and 89 EMAs, indicating that the bearish momentum is still strong. The key support zone is currently located in the range of 1.2880–1.2900, which could act as a buffer in the short term. If the price breaks this zone, GBP/USD could continue its downward trend, with the nearest target at 1.2800. Conversely, if this support zone holds and buying pressure appears, I will be watching for a possible recovery to the 1.2950 resistance zone. However, I still favor the bearish scenario due to pressure from the larger trend and weakening bullish momentum.
by Maria_aaa
GBP/USD Waiting for Breakout in Downward ChannelGBP/USD is currently moving within a downward channel with resistance around 1.3000 and support at 1.2850. If the price breaks the upper channel boundary, an uptrend could be formed, with the target of reaching higher highs. Conversely, if the support at the lower boundary is broken, the downtrend could resume, pushing the price lower. The EMAs (34 and 89) are sloping downwards, indicating weak bullish momentum. Traders should keep a close eye on the channel boundaries to determine the next move.
by Maria_aaa
GBPUSD: Sellers approach multi-month-old support before US dataGBPUSD is slipping from last week’s bounce off a six-month support line. Traders are watching for Tuesday's US Consumer Confidence report, while the strong US Dollar and cautious mood ahead of the US Q3 GDP figures, inflation data, and Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) are putting pressure on the Pound Sterling. Bears lose momentum While GBPUSD buyers aren’t gaining traction, sellers will struggle to take control. There are multiple support levels, and indicators like the RSI (14) and a weakening bearish MACD signal may hinder the bear’s progress. Key technical levels to watch Watch for the upward support line from late April around 1.2935, followed by the 200-SMA near 1.2800, as near-term key levels to watch for the GBPUSD sellers. If the bears push below 1.2800, look for support at the August and June lows around 1.2665 and 1.2610. GBPUSD needs to break the ascending trend line from early March near 1.3080 for a recovery. Additional resistance levels include the psychological barrier at 1.3000 and the 50-SMA at 1.3140. Lastly, a horizontal resistance zone near 1.3240 serves as a crucial barrier for buyers. Further downside appears less convincing With the bearish trend losing momentum, expectations for fewer rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve could change if upcoming data doesn't support US Dollar strength. This uncertainty calls for caution among GBPUSD sellers.
by MTradingGlobal
GBP Analysis for Potential Buy or Sell Entry Overview: We’re focusing on a POI (Point of Interest) zone where we expect potential price reactions. This POI zone represents a key support or resistance area, and it will determine whether we enter a buy or sell position depending on how the market price reacts to it. Plan: 1. If the market price finds support at the POI Zone: Look for confirmation signals (such as bullish candlesticks, break of recent highs, or volume increases). Enter a Buy position targeting higher levels, aiming for a positive risk-reward ratio. Identify potential target levels based on previous resistance or Fibonacci extensions. 2. If the POI Zone fails as support: Wait for the price to retrace back towards the POI zone, testing it as resistance. Enter a Sell position targeting lower levels, especially if bearish patterns or momentum indicators confirm the move. --- Key Reminder: Trading always involves probabilities, not certainties. No strategy is foolproof, and risk management is essential. Make sure to place stop-losses in appropriate positions to protect your capital, and remember that disciplined execution is key.
Long
by dkrajkumar90
GBPUSD, H4 LondGBP/USD stays within the descending channel coming from late September and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator on the 4-hour chart stays well below 50, reflecting the bearish bias. The 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) forms a strong support level at 1.2970. If this support fails, the mid-point of the descending channel could be seen as the next bearish target at 1.2930 before 1.2900 (round level). On the upside, interim resistance is located at 1.3000 (round level, static level) before 1.3040 (upper limit of the channel) and 1.3100 (100-period SMA on the 4-hour chart).
Long
by dipen228