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USDJPY trade ideas

USDJPY Trade Recommendation – Second SELL Entry (15-Min Chart)🔻 Strategy: Continue selling with the short-term downtrend, entering on technical pullback 🎯 Trade Setup: Sell Entry Zone: 143.94 – 144.00 Stop Loss (SL): 144.45 (just above SMA89 and minor resistance zone) Take Profit (TP): 143.28 – 143.36 Risk:Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:2.5 to 1:3 📊 Technical Analysis: 1. Trend Direction: The market is clearly in a short-term downtrend on the 15-minute timeframe. Price has been forming lower highs and lower lows, indicating strong bearish pressure. 2. Dynamic Resistance – SMA89: SMA89 (red line) is acting as dynamic resistance, consistently rejecting price. The entry zone aligns with previous minor resistance and the down-sloping SMA, making it ideal for re-entry short positions. 3. Target Zone – Technical Support: TP zone (143.28 – 143.36) is a recent swing low/support level, likely to be revisited if bearish momentum continues. => Fl and tradding with me!
Short
by HungDaoGlobalTrading
2
USDJPY Poised for Liquidity Grab Ahead of NFPUSDJPY is currently in a redistribution phase, with bearish market structure developing clearly on the 4H chart. Price has broken the previous bullish momentum and is forming lower highs – a signal that Smart Money may be repositioning ahead of a high-volatility week filled with key events from both the US and Japan. The first week of July includes critical economic releases: speeches by Fed Chair Powell and BOJ Governor Ueda, ISM PMI, ADP data, and Non-Farm Payrolls – all lined up to shake the markets. This could result in liquidity sweeps before the real direction begins. 🔍 Smart Money Flow Analysis (SMC Method) ✅ Break of Structure (BOS): A bearish BOS has just occurred after strong rejection from the 147.8 supply zone. ⚠️ Change of Character (ChoCH): Noted around 145.8, suggesting institutional selling pressure. 💧 Equal Lows: Liquidity pools seen near 143.0 and 142.2 – prime areas that Smart Money could target before initiating real bullish momentum. 📉 Price is currently pulling back toward the 145.85 – 146.00 zone – a possible short entry if price rejects here. 💼 Trade Setups with SL & Multi-Level TP 🔻 SELL Setup 1: 145.851 – 146.000 Stop Loss: 146.351 TP1: 145.351 (+50 pips) TP2: 144.851 (+100 pips) TP3: 143.851 (+200 pips) TP4: Open This is a short-term supply zone created post-BOS. If price shows rejection here, it could trigger a clean move down. 🔻 SELL Setup 2: 147.750 – 147.950 Stop Loss: 148.150 TP1: 147.250 (+50 pips) TP2: 146.750 (+100 pips) TP3: 145.750 (+200 pips) TP4: Open This is a higher timeframe supply zone. If price breaks above 146.3, Smart Money may use this to distribute again. 🔺 BUY Setup 1: 143.031 – 142.930 Stop Loss: 142.731 TP1: 143.531 (+50 pips) TP2: 144.031 (+100 pips) TP3: 145.031 (+200 pips) TP4: Open This zone lines up with trendline and liquidity. A good reaction here could signal reversal. 🔺 BUY Setup 2: 142.200 – 142.000 Stop Loss: 141.800 TP1: 142.700 (+50 pips) TP2: 143.200 (+100 pips) TP3: 144.200 (+200 pips) TP4: Open A deeper liquidity grab before NFP may result in a strong buy opportunity here. 📆 Major Economic Events This Week Tuesday – 1st July: 🗣️ BOJ Governor Ueda & Fed Chair Powell speak – could trigger early week volatility 🧾 ISM Manufacturing PMI & JOLTS – insights into US economic health Wednesday – Thursday (2nd–3rd July): 💼 ADP Employment Change & Non-Farm Payrolls – major US job data expected to shake USD pairs Pro Tip: Don’t rush entries. Let the price come to your zones and confirm – use strong risk management.
by EliseLunaTraders
2
USD JPY Weekly Free Analysis (28-06-25 to 05-07-25)USD JPY USD/JPY is showing signs of a potential rebound from the 144.00–143.50 zone as the U.S. dollar remains strong heading into key economic data next week. The Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance, with no immediate signs of rate cuts, continues to support USD demand. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan remains ultra-dovish, keeping interest rates near zero or negative, and showing little urgency to tighten policy. This divergence in monetary policy keeps pressure on the yen, especially as Japanese inflation is still under control and economic growth is moderate. Technically, the pair may dip slightly before bouncing back up toward 145.50+, as suggested by the V-shaped recovery pattern forming. Key Points: Fed staying hawkish, supports USD BoJ remains dovish, weak JPY outlook Technical support around 143.50–144.00 Upcoming US data (NFP & ISM) could boost USD
by JOY-OF-RISK-TARGET-ONE-WAVE
USD/JPY Bullish Reversal AnalysisUSD/JPY Bullish Reversal Analysis 📈💹 🔍 Technical Overview: The chart illustrates a strong bullish reversal pattern forming on USD/JPY after price reacted from a key support zone at 144.600. This level has held firm multiple times, marked by green arrows, signaling strong buying interest. 📐 Chart Patterns & Structure: ✅ A bullish harmonic pattern (possibly a bullish Bat or Gartley) is completing near the 144.600 zone. 🔄 Multiple rejection wicks and bullish engulfing patterns indicate a potential upside reversal. 🔵 Descending trendlines have been broken, confirming momentum shift. 🔁 Previous resistance turned support (near 145.000) is acting as a possible launchpad for the next move. 🎯 Upside Target: The projected move targets the resistance zone at 147.698, aligning with previous highs and a significant supply area. If price breaks above 145.900 convincingly, continuation toward this resistance is expected. 🔻 Downside Risk: A break below 144.600 would invalidate the bullish setup and expose price to the lower support range near 142.000–143.000. 📊 Conclusion: USD/JPY is showing signs of bullish reversal from a strong demand zone. If price sustains above 145.000 and breaks the minor consolidation, the pair could rally toward 147.698 🎯. Bias: Bullish ✅ Support: 144.600 Resistance: 147.698
Long
by MrStellanSight
USD/JPY Bullish Reversal Trade Setup – Key Support Test at 145.2Entry Point: 145.273 (highlighted in blue) Stop Loss: ~144.817–145.260 (purple zone) Target Point (TP): 148.133 (upper resistance zone) 📉 Recent Price Action: Price peaked near 148.05 before reversing sharply and breaking the trendline. The market is currently testing the support zone (near the 145.273 entry level). Moving averages (red = short-term, blue = long-term) show a crossover to the downside, suggesting short-term bearish momentum. 📈 Trade Setup: Strategy Type: Long (Buy) Setup Risk/Reward: Favorable, approximately 1:2+ Entry Zone: The current price is close to the entry level at 145.273, making this a timely area to watch for a bounce or confirmation. ⚠️ Risk Factors: If price breaks below 144.817, the setup becomes invalid. Short-term momentum is still bearish; confirmation (like a bullish engulfing candle or support hold) is important before entering. ✅ Confirmation Triggers for Entry: Strong bullish candlestick pattern near entry zone. RSI or MACD bullish divergence (not shown but useful to check). Volume spike on bounce from support.
Long
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
TRIPLE BOTTOM USD/JPY The Triple Bottom is a bullish reversal pattern that signals a potential shift from a downtrend to an uptrend. It’s like the market saying, “I’ve tested this support level three times, and I’m done going lower.” Here’s how it plays out: - Three Equal Lows: Price hits a support level three times, forming three distinct troughs at roughly the same level. - Resistance Line (Neckline): The highs between the lows form a horizontal resistance. A breakout above this confirms the pattern. - Volume Clue: Volume often decreases during the formation and spikes on the breakout—showing bulls are stepping in. Trading Strategy: - Entry: After a confirmed breakout above the neckline. - Stop-Loss: Just below the third bottom. - Target: Measure the distance from the bottoms to the neckline and project it upward from the breakout point.
Long
by Faizgazi
USD/JPY 4H Chart Analysis – Bullish Breakout Ahead?📈 USD/JPY 4H Chart Analysis – Bullish Breakout Ahead? 🚀💹 The USD/JPY pair is currently approaching a critical resistance zone (145.800 - 146.000), which has acted as a strong supply area in the past. The price has shown bullish momentum as it builds higher lows and heads toward this resistance. 🔍 Key Observations: 🔵 Resistance Zone: Clearly marked and tested multiple times. A breakout above this level could trigger a bullish continuation. 📊 Bullish Structure: The pair is forming a strong uptrend with higher highs and higher lows on the 4H timeframe. 🔄 Retest Scenario: Chart suggests a potential breakout above the resistance, followed by a bullish retest before continuing toward the target zone at ~148.900. 🟢 Upside Target: 148.900 (Previous swing high) – a potential gain of over 300 pips from breakout point. 📌 Trading Outlook: ✅ A confirmed breakout and retest of the resistance zone could offer a high-probability long setup. ❌ A failure to break and hold above the resistance may result in short-term consolidation or reversal. 📅 Watch Levels: Resistance: 145.800 – 146.000 Support (breakout retest): 145.200 – 145.500 Bullish Target: 148.900 📢 Conclusion: Bulls are in control as long as price sustains above the resistance zone. A clean breakout followed by a retest could offer an attractive buying opportunity with a well-defined risk-to-reward setup. 🔥📊
Long
by VikingFx-Community
USDJPY – Momentum Fades Near 146 BarrierUSDJPY is approaching the significant resistance level at 146.020 following a parabolic rebound. This area previously triggered a sharp sell-off, and a minor double top pattern may be forming. If price gets rejected here, the support zone around 144.470 (EMA89 + demand zone) becomes a likely target for a pullback. The recent upside was supported by hawkish comments from BoJ Governor Ueda, but the main market focus remains on the U.S.–China trade talks. If tensions ease, the USD could weaken, supporting the bearish scenario for USDJPY.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
USDJPY – Buying momentum builds, uptrend in sightUSDJPY has just bounced strongly from the key support zone around 142.510 – a level that has acted as a “fortress” over the past two weeks. Price action is gradually regaining momentum, forming a potential double bottom and heading toward a retest of the long-term descending trendline. Currently, the 144.800–145.000 area is the nearest resistance, aligning with both the EMA and the descending trendline. If buyers maintain control, a breakout above this zone could pave the way for the next leg up toward 145.750 and beyond. In terms of news, the latest U.S. ISM Services data came in weaker than expected, reducing rate hike expectations. While this puts mild pressure on the USD, the reaction from USDJPY suggests the market is leaning toward a rebound rather than a breakdown.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
USDJPY – Downtrend Continues, 143.500 Is the Key ZoneUSDJPY is moving within a clear descending channel and is now approaching the strong resistance area at 143.500 – where the EMA 34, EMA 89, and the upper trendline all converge. Historically, each time price touched this zone, a strong rejection followed. If the same happens again, we could see a move back down to 142.000 and potentially 140.500. On the fundamental side, the recently released U.S. ISM Services data disappointed, fueling expectations that the Fed might cut rates sooner – adding bearish pressure to the USD. Preferred scenario: watch for price reaction around 143.500 to enter a short position in line with the downtrend.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
USDJPY – Rebounding from Support after Positive PMI DataIn the latest session, USDJPY is gradually regaining its upward momentum after the US released a better-than-expected manufacturing PMI. The data suggests that the US industrial sector remains strong, reducing pressure on the Fed to ease policy. As a result, the US dollar benefited, lifting USDJPY off its recent technical bottom. On the H4 chart, the pair is trading within a sideways range between 142.200 and 144.800. Each time it approaches the 142.200 level, buying pressure returns, forming a solid support zone. Although EMA 34 and EMA 89 are slightly sloping downward, the signals are not strong enough to break the current accumulation structure. Expected scenario: if the price continues to hold above the 142.200 support zone and forms a solid accumulation pattern, USDJPY is likely to bounce toward the 144.800 area – which may act as the next short-term resistance. On the contrary, if the support breaks, the structure could shift into a more bearish outlook.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
USDJPY Bearish Continuation SetupTrend Analysis The market is in a clear downtrend, evidenced by the sequence of lower highs and lower lows. The descending trendline has been respected multiple times, acting as dynamic resistance. 🧠 Key Technical Factors Rejection Zone (Supply Area): The marked “Rejection Point” aligns with the confluence of the trendline resistance, 50 EMA (red), and historical supply. Price attempted to break above but faced a strong rejection—signaling institutional sell interest. EMA Confluence: 50 EMA (142.993) and 200 EMA (144.063) are both sloping downward. Price is trading below both EMAs, confirming bearish momentum and trend continuation bias. BOS (Break of Structure): Multiple BOS levels marked, showing a consistent pattern of structure breaks to the downside. Each rally is met with selling pressure, failing to create new highs. 🧩 Projected Price Action Current retracement could retest the trendline/50 EMA before a potential continuation move downward. Expectation is a lower high formation near the descending trendline followed by a bearish impulse. 🏹 Bias: Bearish Traders might consider short opportunities around the 142.90–143.00 zone, targeting 142.00 and below, with stops just above the trendline/supply zone. ⚠️ Risk Note A clean break and close above the trendline and 50 EMA would invalidate this setup and could lead to a shift in structure.
Short
by MrStellanSight
USDJPY MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. 🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair . 💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
Short
by okako_trading