This is a trade idea for USDJPY.1. This idea is based on pure market structure and order flow.
2. Trade according to your risk tolerance.
Not an investment advise.
USDJPY trade ideas
USDJPY fades month-old bullish trend on BoJ’s cautious pauseUSDJPY snapped a three-day winning streak even as the Bank of Japan (BoJ) held benchmark interest rates unchanged, as widely expected, after its two-day monetary policy meeting early Thursday. In doing so, the Yen pair also challenged a five-week-old bullish trend channel.
Bulls lack acceptance but bears have a bumpy road ahead…
Apart from the BoJ’s hawkish halt, sluggish MACD and RSI conditions, along with the USDJPY pair’s inability to cross a month-old rising resistance line and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of July-September downside, suggest a weakening of bullish bias. A slew of key supports, however, might challenge the sellers before taking control.
Key technical levels to watch
The aforementioned upward-sloping trend channel’s bottom line, close to 152.80, gains the immediate attention of the sellers ahead of the 50-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA), around 152.20 at the latest. Following that, the USDJPY sellers can aim for the 150.00 threshold and the 200-EMA support of 149.00. In a case where the quote remains bearish past 149.00, the 38.2% Fibonacci ratio and September’s peak, respectively near 148.10 and 147.20, will act as the final defense of the buyers.
On the contrary, USDJPY needs a clear upside break of the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of 153.45, also known as the golden ratio, to convince buyers. Even so, a month-long ascending trend line and a horizontal hurdle established since mid-July, close to 154.80 and 155.30-40, will challenge the Yen pair’s further advances. If the prices remain firmer past 155.40, the odds of witnessing a rally toward the aforementioned bullish channel’s top line surrounding 157.70 can’t be ruled out.
Focus on US data
As the BoJ’s cautious stance weighs on USDJPY buyers, traders will watch upcoming US inflation and employment data for further direction.
USD/JPY Analysis: Sell Opportunity Near Daily ResistanceThe USD/JPY pair is approaching a strong resistance level around 154.00 on the Daily timeframe. This zone has historically served as a key barrier, with price often facing selling pressure upon reaching this level. A potential sell setup may present itself if a bearish reversal pattern forms.
Key Technical Insights:
Daily Resistance at 154.00: This level has acted as a major resistance in the past, limiting the pair's upward momentum. Price nearing this zone increases the chances of a pullback or reversal if sellers re-enter the market.
Look for Bearish Reversal Patterns: To confirm a potential entry, watch for a bearish candlestick pattern on lower timeframes (such as H4 or H1), like a bearish engulfing or pin bar. These patterns would indicate strong selling interest and provide a safer entry point.
Trade Plan:
Entry: Consider a sell entry on confirmation of a bearish pattern at or near 154.00.
Stop Loss: Place a stop above 154.50 to protect against potential breakouts.
Take Profit: Initial target at 150.00, with the potential to extend lower if bearish momentum sustains.
The resistance at 154.00, coupled with potential bearish patterns, offers a favorable setup for a short trade on USD/JPY.
FX:USDJPY OANDA:USDJPY FOREXCOM:USDJPY SAXO:USDJPY FX_IDC:USDJPY
The Japanese Yen Weakens Below 153.00 Against the USDHere’s a hot update on the USD/JPY pair from Alisa, everyone! The situation is getting intense.
The Japanese Yen is facing increasing complexity as it encounters multiple opposing pressures. With the DPP leader’s opposition to rate hikes, optimistic market sentiment, strong USD buying pressure, and concerns over potential intervention by the Japanese government, a chaotic picture is emerging for the USD/JPY pair. Investors are cautiously awaiting the Bank of Japan’s decision and upcoming U.S. economic data to make their next move.
The USD/JPY pair is trading around 153.26, indicating strong short-term fluctuations. The 1-hour technical chart signals a downward trend, with support at 152.831 and resistance at 153.278 being key focus points. Although the pair attempted to break through the resistance level, selling pressure quickly pushed the price back down. Without any new supportive factors, it’s likely that the pair may break through the support level, opening the door for a deeper decline.
Will the USD/JPY continue to drop, or are we in for a surprising rebound? What do you all think?
USD/JPY Approaches Resistance: Will the Uptrend Continue?USD/JPY is currently in a strong uptrend as the price remains above both the 34 and 89 EMA lines. This uptrend is reinforced by a rising trendline below, acting as a key support level.
The price is approaching a resistance zone around 155.00. If USD/JPY can break through this resistance, the uptrend may continue, with the next target higher than the current price level.
Trump's victory may boost the USD due to expectations of new economic policies, creating downward pressure on the JPY and pushing USD/JPY higher. The upcoming Fed decision could further support this upward momentum.
USD/JPY Double Top Pattern PredictionFrom my observation on the USD/JPY chart, there are signs that the pair may be forming a double top pattern. The current key top is around 156.0 – this is a strong resistance level that the price has reached twice without being able to break out. This is a warning sign for a possible reversal, especially when buying pressure starts to wane.
With the double top pattern, if the price drops and breaks through the support area near 152.0, I think there is a high chance that the pattern will be confirmed. In this scenario, the downtrend could continue, and the price could head towards the lower support area around 151.0. That would be a point where I would consider entering a short position if the downtrend is confirmed.
USDJPY is turning bearish from its recent highUSDJPY has broken its structure at the level of 154.201 and has also changed its character at the level of 153.975 and has turned bearish it can reverse to fill its FVG(151.580-151.765), ive entered a short position from the level of 154.201 with stop loss of 154.535 with target of 151.580.
USD/JPY tradeYesterday USD $ made it all time high against JPY @154.695 today its break yesterday high but can't hold properly now trading at 154.050 and nearest support level @153.800. May be more fall can possible in USD in upcoming days
USDJPY Trade SetupThis is for short term trade.
Reason for the trade
1.Its not break the demand.
2.Its respected the QML line.
3.Still the trend is in up in HTF
Please do your own research before entering the trade
Japanese Yen Slightly Rebounds, Is USD/JPY Really Reversing?Are you ready for the latest hot updates on the USD/JPY pair? Let’s dive deep into the analysis with Alisa!
The Japanese Yen has slightly recovered after Japanese officials intervened, pushing the USD/JPY pair below 152.00. However, the Fed’s interest rate hike prospects and political uncertainty in Japan are limiting the Yen’s upward momentum. Investors are closely watching the PMI data to assess the global economic outlook.
Looking at the technical chart, the upward trend is still ongoing. Although the USD/JPY pair is currently slightly declining, it won’t be long before the uptrend resumes. With support from the ascending price channel and the 151.00 level, the pair's upward momentum will be reinforced.
So, what do you think? Will the USD/JPY pair continue to decline, or will it reverse and rise? Let Alisa know!
USDJPY crosses 200-SMA to refresh 12-week high, focus on 152.00USDJPY has reached its highest point since July 31, rising for the third straight day after breaking the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) early Wednesday. However, a seven-month-old resistance zone around 151.85-152.00 limits further gains of the Yen pair.
Bulls need a strong push
The US Dollar’s strength and bullish MACD signals keep buyers hopeful. Yet, overbought RSI conditions and tough resistance mean a significant boost is necessary for further upward movement. Without this, the pair could quickly drop below the 200-SMA, leading to short-term selling.
Key technical levels to watch
In addition to the 200-SMA support at 151.35 and the resistance zone around 151.85-152.00, several important technical levels are crucial for USDJPY traders.
The 50% Fibonacci level near 150.80 will attract sellers if the price drops below the 200-SMA, along with the key threshold at 150.00. A drop to around 149.40 is possible if sellers gain control, and if the price falls past this level, September’s high of 147.20 and the 23.6% Fibonacci level at 144.85 will come into focus.
On the upside, a close above 152.00 could encourage buyers to target the 61.8% Fibonacci level, or Golden Ratio, near 153.40. If momentum continues, potential targets may include June’s low of 154.55 and the 78.6% level at 157.20.
Decisive move ahead…
While buyers seem in control, the struggle to surpass key resistance amid overbought conditions and upcoming PMI data could lead to a necessary pullback. Traders should proceed with caution as the next moves in USDJPY will be crucial.
USDJPY_4HEverything is mentioned on Charts.
Wish you Happy & safe Trading.
Trade as per your own RISK
Please Note:
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please consult your financial advisor before Trading or Investing.
I'm not responsible for any kinds of your Profits & Losses.
USDJPY MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair .
💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
USD/JPY is about to break through the 150.00 levelHello everyone, today let's update the USD/JPY pair with Alisa!
USD/JPY is on the path to breaking through the 150 psychological level. Uncertainty surrounding the BoJ's policy and overall market optimism are supporting the USD. Although there have been comments about intervention by the Japanese government, geopolitical tensions and upcoming events may limit the JPY's downside.
From a technical perspective, this pair is trading in a positive zone. However, if it fails to break through the resistance level of 149.58, USD/JPY may potentially decline towards the support level of 149.19. Conversely, if 149.19 can act as a springboard and help the pair break the resistance at 149.75, it could pave the way for the pair to target 150 and beyond.
Investors should closely monitor BoJ policy news and geopolitical events to make informed investment decisions.
USDJPY SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:8 RISK REWARD USDJPY SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:8 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
USDJPY looking bullish waiting for retest and will buy.4h,Daily is bullish as well as lokking for buiyng as it retest the level buying will come.
USD/JPY: Bullish Momentum Remains StrongHello everyone! Today, let’s analyze the USD/JPY currency pair together!
Market sentiment has shifted negatively toward the Japanese Yen, causing the currency to weaken against the US Dollar. Japan’s weak export data has raised concerns about the country’s economic outlook, while internal government disagreements over monetary policy have only added to the uncertainty. In contrast, the US Dollar remains favored due to expectations that the Fed will maintain its tight monetary policy, attracting investment flows and pushing USD/JPY higher.
Looking at the technical chart, the 34 and 89 EMAs are steadily trending upwards, with no signs of a reversal. The support level at 149.368 is serving as a springboard for further upward momentum in this pair. When the price encounters resistance at 149.766, it may test this level, and if an opportunity arises, it could break through and aim for a higher target.
In my opinion, USD/JPY is likely to continue its upward trend in the short term. However, investors should be cautious about the risk of a correction as the RSI is currently in the overbought zone. What do you all think about this pair?
USDJPY: Bulls run out of steam, focus on US Retail Sales, 150.00USDJPY is stuck in a tight weekly trading range near the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), hovering between 149.30 and 150.00, as traders are on the lookout for the US Retail Sales report coming Thursday.
Buyers need a strong boost to keep the reins
In addition to the nervousness ahead of the data release and the 200-day EMA, the fading bullish momentum in the MACD and a steady RSI near overbought levels show that USDJPY is struggling to attract buyers. However, trading above key EMAs makes it tough for sellers to gain control. While bulls are likely to stay in charge, a pullback seems expected unless the upcoming data gives the US Dollar a lift.
Key technical levels to watch
If the US Dollar falls after the data, watch for the 149.30 level comprising the lower band of the immediate trading range and the 200-day EMA as key support. Following that, a quick drop to the 147.30-20 zone, including the 50-day EMA, is possible. However, the quote’s sustained weakness past 147.20 will make it vulnerable to slump toward the 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement of its July-September downside, close to 144.85.
On the upside, buyers need to break above 150.00 to maintain control. If they do, a rise towards the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci levels at approximately 150.80 and 153.50 is likely.
Buyers are still optimistic, but it all hinges on the US data
Despite challenges for USDJPY buyers, solid support levels and potentially positive US data hint at further gains. This is especially true with the Bank of Japan's easing hawkish stance and expectations for fewer rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve.
USDJPY-LOOK FOR LONG SIDE OPPOURTUNITY USDJPY-LOOK FOR LONG SIDE OPPOURTUNITY AFTER PULLBACK
must use SL for further trades in future.
USDJPYThis is for short term.
Its a counter trend trade.
Order block with imbalance.
Trendline liquidity.
Do your own research before entering the trade.
USD/JPYSUPPORT RESISISTANCE
Support and resistance zones are key concepts in technical analysis1
. They represent price levels on a chart where the probabilities favor a pause or reversal of a prevailing trend1
.
Support Zone: This is where a downtrend is expected to pause due to a concentration of demand1
. Buyers step in, preventing the price from falling further1
.
Resistance Zone: This is where an uptrend is expected to pause due to a concentration of supply1
. Sellers step in, preventing the price from rising further1
.
These zones can be identified using trendlines, moving averages, and previous price levels where the asset has reversed direction1
2
. When the price reaches these levels, it often bounces back, but if it breaks through, it can lead to a significant move in the direction of the breakout3
.
USD/JPY Daily & H4 Analysis: Sell Setup Near Strong Supply ZoneOn the Daily timeframe, USD/JPY is currently trading near a strong Supply zone around 149.50 - 150.00, which has previously acted as a significant resistance level. This area is historically known for providing strong selling pressure, making it a potential zone to watch for bearish opportunities.
Technical Insights:
Daily Supply Zone: Price is testing a critical supply area, indicating that the upward momentum may be stalling as it approaches this resistance. The previous interactions with this zone have resulted in price rejections.
Bearish Divergence on H4: On the H4 timeframe, the Awesome Oscillator (AO) is showing bearish divergence. While price has been making higher highs, the AO is printing lower highs, signaling weakening buying momentum and increasing chances of a reversal.
Trade Plan:
Entry: Look for a bearish reversal pattern (e.g., bearish engulfing, pin bar) on lower timeframes (H4 or H1) to confirm entry. Ideally, wait for a strong rejection from the supply zone.
Stop Loss: Above the 150.00 level, just beyond the supply zone, to minimize risk from potential false breakouts.
Target: Initial target around 148.00, with potential to extend toward 147.00 if momentum continues in favor of sellers.
This setup aligns with both technical signals and price action, offering a good opportunity to short the pair if the conditions are met.
FX:USDJPY OANDA:USDJPY FOREXCOM:USDJPY
USD/JPY: Will it break out of the current range?A new day has begun. Have you all updated the news on the USD/JPY pair yet? Let’s catch up together!
The recovery of the Japanese Yen (JPY) remains quite fragile due to concerns about the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) monetary policy and the global risk environment. On the other hand, the USD continues to be supported by expectations that the Fed will maintain high interest rates in the near future. This makes the USD more attractive compared to the JPY, limiting the upward momentum of the USD/JPY pair.
Looking at the technical chart, the USD/JPY pair is fluctuating around 149.63 in a downtrend. Although there is support at the 141.86 level, the pair has not been able to sustain its upward momentum. However, investors must be more cautious with their decisions, especially as the market is being influenced by multiple uncertainties.
What are your thoughts on this pair? Leave a comment and let me know!
