viswaram

viswaram

Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “On the 1hr TF, Nifty has made an odd-looking W pattern, technically its a bullish sign but we need confirmation of the same by taking out the 19310 resistance soon.” A look at the chart will make you a believer in technical analysis. We required a gap-up to go past the 19310 because bulls could not win over the bears during...

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BankNifty Analysis We had a gap-up open of 291pts ~ 0.68% followed by a range bound trade till close. It was a support/resistance play all along. See the blue encircled regions. BankNifty took support from the 43253 regions between 09.15 to 09.50 and was rejected at the resistance of 43404 at 10.55. We made another attempt at 14.25 to take out the 43404 level,...

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Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “The levels have not changed from yesterday, the first resistance is at 19226 and the 2nd one is at 19310. I am staying neutral till 19226 is not taken out, seems like it could be even done in the forenoon session.” The gap-up took out my resistance of 19226 and was forced to go long. I was eagerly waiting for the 19310 to get...

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BankNifty Analysis BankNifty had a unique day today, firstly a gap up open and a total swing of +536pts ~ 1.25% with respect to yesterday’s close. We were not able to take out the 43253 resistance and its rejection resulted in a deep fall of 475pts ~ 1.1%. Cant believe we even had a falling window candle stick pattern between 11.40 & 11.45. Seeing the fall, I...

viswaram

Nifty Weekly Expiry Analysis Between the last expiry and today, Nifty has accumulated 299pts ~ 1.59% points. Most importantly it has broken away from the crucial support of 18880. As it stands Nifty is below the resistance of 19310 - but with the momentum it has gathered, seems like it will get tested this weekly series. Nifty Today’s Analysis Recap from...

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USD is making some serious inroads. INR trailing behind unable to maintain the equilibrium. 83.4210 is the current ATH. Today we went up to 83.3010. TVC:DXY at 107. Continued FII selling will only add fuel to the fire. When the Indian media houses are gung-ho about the decadal that belongs to India & its growth story - the people outside are not that...

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BankNifty Weekly Expiry Analysis Between the last expiry and today, BankNifty has managed to climb 432pts ~ 1.02%. It has also managed to trade above the support/resistance of 42576. This retracement could be seen as a lower-high formation for continued selling pressure. For proof, we would need to see the 42576 getting knocked out in the upcoming sessions. ...

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Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “Since we retraced the 38.2% level of 19226 today and the reluctance to go up might be confidence-building for the bears. Also the 23.6% level forms a base for further movements. The issue is that we cannot go outright bearish now, we need further proof of that. Ideally, the 18880 support has to be taken out and that too pretty...

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This year, SPX is up 8.84% compared to Nifty50 up 4%. Nifty50 is plotted in USD currency so that the comparison makes more sense. If you also look at the price actions, both the charts are showing good correlation. It will be interesting to find out how Nifty50 will close the 4.84% gap. USDINR is up 0.59% year to date.

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BankNifty Analysis Further clues for Nifty50’s movement might be hidden in BankNifty’s price action. Unlike Nifty, BankNifty has crowded support & resistance lines nearby that may impact the trend movement. The only way out is to come up with a big RED or GREEN candle break the support/resistance and ensure the momentum picks up. The open (43264) was around the...

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Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “Even though we added 93pts today, I have still not changed my stance to bullish. 19226 is my first level to watch out which coincides with the 38.2% retracement level of the recent fall. Then the most important zone of 19310. Ideally, I wish to go long only if the 19310 resistance is taken out.” The open (19233.7) was quite...

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BankNifty Analysis Since BankNifty is in the neighbourhood of support and resistance, it is quite easy to explain with examples. The open was almost inline but we started dropping fast. We gave up 438pts ~ 1.02% by 09.40. Unlike Nifty50, I did not find it that encouraging to look out for bearish opportunities. The main reason is the decay of premiums. None of the...

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Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “A simple Fibonacci level places the 23.6% retracement level at 19083 and 38.2% at 19227. Ideally, the bearish trend could still be intact until 19227 but the problem is that we cannot predict with certainty if that would come in this weekly series or not. For Monday, I wish to go with a neutral stance and choose the direction...

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Brokers are the last people on earth to whom we would like to give credit. Social media is flooded with posts that say “My broker did not help me square off positions…”, “My broker’s app stuck in between..”, “My broker did not help me login…” etc. I believe 99 out of 100 support tickets they get every day would be problems, glitches, and issues. Being a broker is...

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BankNifty Analysis During periods of trend reversals, BankNifty will act as the leading indicator. I hope that will work out in this period as well. Today’s price action is quite too early to say if we have reversed the bearish trend - because it was mostly support and resistance play. BN started around the 42576 zone and held its ground confirming the lack of...

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Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “For tomorrow, I wish to maintain my bearish stance and expect Nifty to trade between 18880 and 18762. If we break 18762, my next target would be 18597.” Nifty took a breather today, opened gap up around the 18930 area and rose steadily. We did not retouch or break the low of 25 Oct ie 19075 zone, slightly indicating that the...

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BankNifty Weekly Expiry Analysis BankNifty had 1 extra in this week as the last expiry was on Wednesday. But the extra day was cut short as we had a scheduled holiday (Dussehra) in between. BankNifty did not fall as much as Nifty, it fell only 3.64% ~ 1597pts compared to 3.9% on Nifty. The premiums on the option strikes were not good enough except today. But I am...

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Nifty Weekly Expiry Analysis Nifty fell a whopping 765pts ~ 3.90% between the last expiry and today. Most importantly it has retraced all its gains from 28th June to close below 18880. We will cover why that is relevant below, but this fall of 4% signals a reversal in trend. Even though VIX is still below 12%, it is showing a tendency to spike, reassuring the...