viswaram

viswaram

Banknifty on the other hand had a freakish open and first 5mts move. Few of the OTM strike premiums shot up above 100% above the previous close values showing either low liquidity or very high speculation. We even fell 0.77% ~ 345pts between the open and 10.35 and the price action was indicating further weakness. But just like Nifty got support, BankNifty also...

viswaram

Seeing the price action on Friday, we had changed the status from bearish to neutral. But by seeing the strength today, I wish to go full bullish for tomorrow. To start with we had a gap-up opening of 103pts ~ 0.53% and then a quick fall to yesterday’s close. Luckily Nifty took support right there and then started moving upwards. The upward move from 10.40 to...

viswaram

Banknifty on the other hand dipped first before reversing unlike Nifty which held its ground in its opening candle. We hit a low of 43830 before reversing in what looked like a dream run. The points gained an impressive 737pts ~ 1.68%. The bulk of the gains today came in 2 hourly candles @ 12.15 and 13.15 respectively as banknifty had the important milestone of...

viswaram

Nifty Analysis If you had witnessed the price action, then today’s performance was the total opposite. This is what I said yesterday “I wish to change my stance to bearish for tomorrow unless the 19310 resistance is breached.” and guess what - we had the break of resistance in the first 30mts itself. Who would believe we had a 203pts intraday rally today and not...

viswaram

BankNifty Monthly Analysis In the Aug month, Banknifty is down an astounding 3.73% ~ 1708pts vs 1.97% of Nifty50. Again telling the tale in advance, Banknfity has proved to be the real leading indicator during trending phases & reversals. On 24th and 30th Banknifty tried to exit the bearish hold but faced rejections. And unlike Nifty, BankNifty does not have a...

viswaram

Nifty Monthly Analysis In the Aug monthly series, Nifty is down 387pts ~ 1.97%. This month did not produce a reversal signal even though there were 2 attempts on 24th & 30th respectively. As it stands Nifty is following a bearish trend channel quite efficiently. My next support comes at 18880, so if the fall were to accelerate in September, its good to know the...

viswaram

BankNifty Analysis The intensity of the fall was much more profound on BankNifty rather than Nifty. Right from the gap-up open the CE options premiums were commanding more premium than usual indicating a strong directional move. As soon as banknifty started falling this elevated premiums went away further indicating that the trader’s expectations were not...

viswaram

Nifty Analysis This is what I wrote yesterday - “For tomorrow, I have a 60% neutral and 40% bullish view as we are right at the upper channel and above the support.” . Never did I believe we could have a neutral closing today after the big gap-up open. Even till 13.15 there was no sign of weakness and Nifty was looking & staying strong. Luckily Nifty is a notch...

viswaram

Between the last expiry and today, FinNifty has moved up 1.4% ~ 272pts in what looked like a show of strength by the bulls. Since this came right from the trend line, the scales are now weighing for a bull run. We have broken the falling wedge pattern and the support of 19424 looks quite impenetrable. Today was a flat day for FinNifty but the inability to drive...

viswaram

BankNifty Analysis Yesterday I had a bullish call for banknifty, but we ended up the day flat. Although the bulls got the gap-up above the swing high of yesterday - they were unable to capitalize on it. Since there was that gap up, the slow but falling price action ensured that the index is not closing in red. Intraday we had a fall of 239pts ~ 0.54% which is...

viswaram

Nifty Analysis Yesterday we had a neutral call on Nifty “Most importantly the 19310 support/resistance stands in between. A break in support may cause Nifty to follow the bearish channel. Whereas a breach in resistance will give Nifty breakout momentum as it exits the falling wedge. I wish to go with a neutral stance for tomorrow till we get some clarity.” You...

viswaram

Our NSE:NIFTY & NSE:BANKNIFTY is following the same chart pattern as SP:SPX A falling wedge plus bearish descending channel with a strong horizontal support SPX has just broken out from the falling wedge, will it breakout? And if yes - some of that euphoria will spill onto Nifty50 as well.

viswaram

Banknifty was in tremendous form today, it seemed like it came prepared to rally today. Even though point wise we had only a 403pts ~ 0.91% intraday swing, the context was so important. Firstly banknifty defended the 44068 support below which it would have got a serious bearish bias. Secondly we had a breakout on 24th Aug where we went up till 44949. Today’s...

viswaram

Nifty Analysis Contrary to the expectations, today turned out to be a boring day. The open was right at the SR level of 19310, still it was gap up as our prior close was near 19250 levels. Even then the resistance breach did not come then, we had to wait till 11.15 for a 5mts candle above the SR zone. BankNifty was looking in tremendous form today, we will...

viswaram

Something to debate & research on. Although nifty is in a bearish trend on the 1hr and 1D time frames. On the weekly TF it resembles a bullish flag. what do you think ?

viswaram

Banknifty made a strange pattern today, opening mega gap down and then breaking the support of 44068 by 10.30. And then climbing back to the open levels. From there it stayed in that tight range for the rest of the day. From an intraday fall of 1.07% it is quite commendable that banknifty was able to recover and close only 0.59% lower. I was not quite sure why...

viswaram

For the last two days both my predictions have gone wrong. On 23rd Aug I recommended a long but we closed in negative territory. On 24th I recommended a neutral stance, but we went deep red today. On both the occasions, I had mentioned the rationale on why I have taken that decision and how I may react if the market makes a different move. Today we opened gap...

viswaram

BankNifty Weekly Analysis Between the last expiry and today, BankNifty has gained 595pts ~ 1.36%. This is exactly why I said banknifty works as a leading indicator to detect trend changes. If you notice carefully the outperformance has started in BN, not quite in N50 (up only 0.17% weekly). And in the turn of events today, BN held its ground - cheers for that ! ...