viswaram

viswaram

Between the last expiry and today, FinNifty has moved up 1.4% ~ 272pts in what looked like a show of strength by the bulls. Since this came right from the trend line, the scales are now weighing for a bull run. We have broken the falling wedge pattern and the support of 19424 looks quite impenetrable. Today was a flat day for FinNifty but the inability to drive...

viswaram

BankNifty Analysis Yesterday I had a bullish call for banknifty, but we ended up the day flat. Although the bulls got the gap-up above the swing high of yesterday - they were unable to capitalize on it. Since there was that gap up, the slow but falling price action ensured that the index is not closing in red. Intraday we had a fall of 239pts ~ 0.54% which is...

viswaram

Nifty Analysis Yesterday we had a neutral call on Nifty “Most importantly the 19310 support/resistance stands in between. A break in support may cause Nifty to follow the bearish channel. Whereas a breach in resistance will give Nifty breakout momentum as it exits the falling wedge. I wish to go with a neutral stance for tomorrow till we get some clarity.” You...

viswaram

Our NSE:NIFTY & NSE:BANKNIFTY is following the same chart pattern as SP:SPX A falling wedge plus bearish descending channel with a strong horizontal support SPX has just broken out from the falling wedge, will it breakout? And if yes - some of that euphoria will spill onto Nifty50 as well.

viswaram

Banknifty was in tremendous form today, it seemed like it came prepared to rally today. Even though point wise we had only a 403pts ~ 0.91% intraday swing, the context was so important. Firstly banknifty defended the 44068 support below which it would have got a serious bearish bias. Secondly we had a breakout on 24th Aug where we went up till 44949. Today’s...

viswaram

Nifty Analysis Contrary to the expectations, today turned out to be a boring day. The open was right at the SR level of 19310, still it was gap up as our prior close was near 19250 levels. Even then the resistance breach did not come then, we had to wait till 11.15 for a 5mts candle above the SR zone. BankNifty was looking in tremendous form today, we will...

viswaram

Something to debate & research on. Although nifty is in a bearish trend on the 1hr and 1D time frames. On the weekly TF it resembles a bullish flag. what do you think ?

viswaram

Banknifty made a strange pattern today, opening mega gap down and then breaking the support of 44068 by 10.30. And then climbing back to the open levels. From there it stayed in that tight range for the rest of the day. From an intraday fall of 1.07% it is quite commendable that banknifty was able to recover and close only 0.59% lower. I was not quite sure why...

viswaram

For the last two days both my predictions have gone wrong. On 23rd Aug I recommended a long but we closed in negative territory. On 24th I recommended a neutral stance, but we went deep red today. On both the occasions, I had mentioned the rationale on why I have taken that decision and how I may react if the market makes a different move. Today we opened gap...

viswaram

BankNifty Weekly Analysis Between the last expiry and today, BankNifty has gained 595pts ~ 1.36%. This is exactly why I said banknifty works as a leading indicator to detect trend changes. If you notice carefully the outperformance has started in BN, not quite in N50 (up only 0.17% weekly). And in the turn of events today, BN held its ground - cheers for that ! ...

viswaram

Nifty Weekly Analysis Between the last expiry and today, Nifty has just gone up by 32pts ~ 0.17%. But this week has seen a wide swing of 332pts ~ 1.72% i.e from the low of the week to the high of the week. The drama mostly in today’s price action which we will be discussing shortly. Nifty Daily Analysis Today’s price action was action filled with drama right...

viswaram

Nifty also closed in the green today but did not have as much momentum as BankNifty today. The first divergence happened in the opening 1 hr where Nifty gave up 0.43% ~ 83pts even after having a gap-up opening. The real reasons for a gap-up opening was not clear as the Global hand-out was not that positive. Traders including me were looking for breakdown...

viswaram

We will start with BankNifty today, because we had a reversal pattern today. According to me trend changes are first spotted on BankNifty and hence it works as a leading indicator. This is what I said in yesterday’s report: Also note that the falling wedge will converge tomorrow, so a strong up move is more dangerous. The bulls will use that opportunity to drive...

viswaram

Between the last expiry and today, FinNifty has only given up 110pts ~ 0.56%. This is not at all a bad number if you consider the bearish trend it is in. Just like banknifty, finnifty is also following a falling wedge pattern with the same descending trendline slope. The noticeable point is that the support is at 19424 and technically Finnifty is still in the...

viswaram

The reason why we were bearish in the first place was the inability of BankNifty to take out the resistance of 44068. Today’s price action is the biggest proof on why it worked. If you notice the trades today, it was above or near this level till 13.40. Then banknifty started falling. And the final close came at 43950 - there was a noticeable fall of 160pts from...

viswaram

Yesterday we had a neutral stance for Nifty and a bearish stance for BankNifty. If you were watching every 5mts candle today, you wouldn't believe how we ended up getting Nifty at +0.01% and BankNifty down 8.75pts. Nifty makes a beautiful rounded top formation today, will wait for tomorrow to see if we get the cup & handle formation. As soon as the day started it...

viswaram

Looking at the way Nifty performed in the morning session, I was quite worried that the stance on BankNifty might also have to be changed. The level that we were looking for was 44068 which is the first resistance zone. At 13.15 we broke that in the 5mts candle, and then we broke it again at 13.55 - but the momentum was not strong enough. There was a strong fall...

viswaram

On our last day’s report we discussed the possibility of Nifty staying above the 19309 levels. It was with great difficulty that we got a closing below 19309 on Friday, today we opened right there and then had a good rally till 19370 levels. Immediately we started reversing and fell below water by 10.10. The price action is similar to the 14.00 to 15.00 period....