Vinay227

7 Phases of stock

Education
NSE:ANDHRSUGAR   ANDHRA SUGARS
I believe, there are no bulls and bear in the market, there are just stock operators. These operators are the people/institutions with the big money and resources to take stock from point A to B and then back to A.
Read below in your free time to understand, how operator runs stock, trap retailers & how they generate profits. And in the whole process, how and when retailers lose their hard earned money.

Phase 1 - Pumping
In this stage consolidation happens, the longer the consolidation time frame the better stock will move.

Phase 2 - Increase in OI
If the stock is in Derivatives then they will buy calls, futures & short puts before Bull Run.

Phase 3 - Breakout
Buy with the huge volume for a day or two, to push stock beyond resistance zone . This is the phase when every financial advisor generates call for retailers and this is the phase when retailers get their 1st loss because of phase 4.

Phase 4 – Shakeout (Dump in small quantity)
Now the operator dumps stock in small % of quantity bought and this is the phase where they hunt for retailers SL.
If someone bought shares for Swing trade (For 1 or 2 weeks time frame), then there SL will get triggered first. Swing operators usually view charts in 2 hours timeframe. These people usually keep their SL of certain candle low or below VWAP or some pivot point or maybe some other indicator (1st mistake retailers think that the operator is stupid & doesn’t know how retailers think or where they keep their SL). Definitely thinking that we can outsmart these people so easily is the biggest mistake retailers make.
If someone bought shares for short-term duration (Less than 1 year or usually 3 to 6 months) then there SL will be triggered next because there SL will be somewhere in the consolidation phase depending upon the risk appetite. These retailers usually view charts in 1 Day time frame.
In this Phase operators cover the interest cost and make small profit on the amount invested for so many months.
Remember depending upon the market condition like during Covid Fall recovery when free lunch was getting served to all retailers operators skip this phase.

Phase 5 – Stock Rally (Bull Run)
Again breakout, in this phase small institutions or investors enter into the stock or average out their buying.
Now the retailers who already lost their capital in the stock will not enter because of fear or hate from the stock (Yes emotions play an important role in the market).
In this phase small institutions, investors, retailers buy/sell stocks and book small profit & losses. Definitely losses are booked by retailers who have bought shares without research and are gambling with their money.

Phase 6 – Stock Dance
Operators will make stock dance for few days to generate retailer’s interest for quick 5 to 15% return and trap some on the higher price.

Phase 7 - Dumping (Bear Run)
Before dumping they will again go long on put & short futures /call. Now those who have bought shares for Swing will book small losses & short term/long term retailers are gone because stock sometimes takes years to come back on the buying price. In this phase retailers won’t even get the time to exit from the stock.

In the stock market there is no lift. When stock goes up, it takes the stairs (Up-Down-Up), stock gets tired, it rests and then again starts it journey & when if falls then it is always jump from the terrace (Free Fall).

In this whole process, Operators, small institutions or investors generate good profit, doesn’t matter whether it’s going up or down they make money and retailers lose money if not in 1 stock then in another.

Now the question is how a retailer can save themselves from these sharks, who are there to take pound of flesh and how can a retailer take profit from their jaw.

Follow this 3 Step process to get success in the stock market.

1. Knowledge & Setup – Get detailed knowledge of all the instruments & major indicators available in the market. Create your setup, decide your time frame, calculate your risk appetite and back test your system.
2. Research – Do extensive research on the stock, decide your entry, SL & exit strategy before investing in any stock or instrument. This research can sometimes takes days or weeks to find the right entry and if your entry and timing is right then 80% of the battle is won.
3. Disciple – Trade like a robot & never allow your emotions like fear & greed to overpower you. Know when to average, book loss and take profit.
Without mastering these 3 steps one cannot make a profit in the stock market.

Remember without these 3 steps you will just bleed more & more in the market. Don't be a bull or bear, be a opportunist (Be an Eagle).

Disclaimer

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