Bitcoin
Short
Updated

BTCUSD Daily Inflection Point Update

958
Previously I mentioned the weekly was consolidating, but there is potential for this momentum consolidation to have a breakout leg as momentum shifts and the final emotional price movements are played out. I was too conservative in my price projections; a lot more than I used to be- but there wasn't a whole lot of TA involved- I figured the dollar issues would crop up earlier.

Now that the Fed had pivoted. the yields are creeping back up pushing bitcoin back down. The fed doesn't let on just how dire the situation is- and with global tensions rising, the dollar is at significant risk.

I expect a broad correction in all the markets- and cash to become very tight.

There is daily momentum consolidation- and if any other events occur that send yields upward- bitcoin is likely to suffer as a consequence. If instead we sail into the new year unscathed- then this consolidation may provide another leg up; but a break below 88k and a push towards 60k may solidify bitcoins correction.

BTCUSD Daily Inflection Point

BTCUSD Weekly Inflection point


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WEEKLY
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1 Hour consolidation/shift in a 3-hour/daily critical area.
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!5 Minute rotation and consolidation-

possible breakdown, else breakout.
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1 hour is still rotating- expecting the reversal here. Potential for consolidation-breakout.

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This is what the daily looks like now- 1 hour and 3 hour had a breakout-
At this point the real risk is the X factor- Global Tensions are likely to escalate- and the show is about to begin.

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If this doesn't gain much more momentum- then it might actually reverse here-

It broke out on the 1 hour- but already sold off quite a bit.
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Seems like the AI market hit is not an accident. An orchestrated black swan event.
I get the the feeling that it's the tip of the iceberg. That more events are lined up and will continue to occur to drive the social order.
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If we don't breakdown here- bitcoin breakout- Markets possibly green-

Else- breakdown and continuation- rotation zone- daily downtrend.
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Looking for a spike in momentum to start a new downward leg here.
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Our daily inflection point, momentum consolidation maximus.

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BTC trying to breakout on the daily-

If successful it may reach 99k before attempting to reverse.

Needs to close green on the daily to attempt the target.

Trade closed manually
Expecting a trend back up- which could easily breakout- looking for consolidation on the next run up- before a major crash.
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Possible reversal coming-

Depends on markets tomorrow-

If there is a sell off- bitcoin will collapse another 10k or so before consolidating.
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Looks like another red day
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Looking iffy.

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