It's been a quiet year, not for lack of attention, but either nothing material has changed, or the information hasn't been indicative. Short term - going down. Medium term - range bound. Long term - $13,000 will be the new floor.
$13,000 USD has turned out to be a key level. It's a 1/3 FIb retracement off the ATH, and the current Fib. retracements off of 13K match up very will with other trending supports - 10k, 9k, 7.5K, 6K and 4.5K.
I"m giving even odds that we tickle $7,500 before year end, and likely before September. Don't see us going much below that, except for maybe a brief visit to 6K, and it's unlikely to touch $4,500. So of my BTC purchasing power, I'm putting 10% at 9,5, 20% at 7,5, 50% at $6,5 and leaving 20% uncommitted. I don't think we'll touch a lot of the bottom, but we're going down before we go back up.
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