Good morning again ladies and gentlemen and welcome back to my daily look into the best investment since Enron!!! Bitcoin! LOL. But seriously I saw a gold PS5 online this a.m. and Im pretty sure someone reading this bought the gold PS5 (nearly 1 million USD) with your profit. Just step up and admit it. As we all browse Lambos online I am curious to see if we can keep our heads out of the trenches at least til the 2nd of January. 4th of January would be even better as that is the real beginning of the year thanks to everyone taking new years off and new years day as well. So lets take a look at the charts this morning.
I decided to take a zoomed out look at the charts. Its nice to do this occasionally even if it doesnt really give you the best info as far as short term pricing we can still walk away with plenty from this weekly chart. Look at the current pump. Its parabolic. Do I love seeing a straight up bull push to the heavens? Oh hell ya! But am I dumb enough to play with fire at these levels? Not so much. Even if we were to break 30k RSI on the weekly time frame is higher than its ever been on a Binance chart. The last time we got to 90+ on the weekly RSI we ultimately saw a 50% drop or even more if you look a bit further down the chart.
2017 was a different rodeo back then. It was my first jump into investing and I caught the pump around 8500 all the way to 20k. We lost a lot of ground really fast. Within weeks people were saying BTC is dead and it was all over. Alts were significantly stronger and the dominance alts held was much higher. Now Bitcoin is ruling the roost as far as dominance. At nearly 70% Bitcoin is remarkably higher than It was in 2018. In fact we dropped to 1/2 where we are now. 35%. Which meant alts controlled 65% of the market as a whole early on in 2018. But as time progressed dominance returned to Bitcoin and now we are back at 70%. Just like we were last ATH back in 2017. I know people are watching for alts to jump and keeping an eye on dominance is a key to this equation if you ask me.
This break out was largely fueled by a huge dip back in March where we had some huge buys and volume spiked. People like to buy that dip and that started out trek up the charts. From 3800 we made it to a 2.5 year trend line. After being rejected from it 3 times over the last 2.5 years we finally burst through it at around 10k. Breaking this resistance was key to the bull run. Once we broke it the evidence is clear on the charts. We went parabolic pretty soon after that. I didnt even mention the halving that happened in May of this year. Also another reason for the bullish chart action. It takes months before a halving pump shows its face and this is the 3rd real time that we have seen this happen. I think its safe to say the halvings are pretty reliable. As long as you are patient.
Not to mention institutional buyers are getting into the mix. Paypal offering Bitcoin has been a huge deal for the cryptocurrency. We are seeing the results of the perfect storm and after 3 years of getting nowhere near 20k we beat it with relative ease this bulls run. If we do start losing ground the 4hr 50 MA is my first line in the sand. Its been reliable as support over the course of this run only failing a few times . We are currently sitting above the support so until that changes I will remain optimistic. I still dont have the guts to bet against the bulls. But I must remind you there is a big nearly 2000 dollar gap below us. Losing 2k would still leave us above 24k but when people see a drop like that it could trigger a domino knee jerk reaction where fomo is reversed and people wanna sell before they lose all their profit. That is what a stop loss is for folks. Thats why I recommend it. Even if its at 15k. Ive seen Bitcoin lose 50% in hours. Im not saying that it is certainly bound to happen this go round but I wouldnt ignore history. What goes up normally comes down.
Stimulus was approved so lets see how Bitcoin takes the news. Right now its 600 USD per citizen (US) but they are fighting for much more. With that in mind I imagine many o USD will be printed or simply created out of thin air. This could fuel Bitcoins rise as inflation of the underlying base currency Bitcoin is naturally compared against makes Bitcoin more valuable as a rule vs the USD which has not 21 million coin limit Im afraid. That is the reason they took us off the gold standard after all. It makes it easier to inflate that USD. Bitcoin has a super bright future. 500 billion dollar market cap. Nothing to shake a stick at folks. I hope you all have a great day and I hope a look at the weekly makes you as proud as I am for sticking it out throughout all those bear months. Make good choices and always remember... WTFDIK??
TLDR: Year is almost over. Bulls are still in charge but Im watching for the bears. I can smell em.
I decided to take a zoomed out look at the charts. Its nice to do this occasionally even if it doesnt really give you the best info as far as short term pricing we can still walk away with plenty from this weekly chart. Look at the current pump. Its parabolic. Do I love seeing a straight up bull push to the heavens? Oh hell ya! But am I dumb enough to play with fire at these levels? Not so much. Even if we were to break 30k RSI on the weekly time frame is higher than its ever been on a Binance chart. The last time we got to 90+ on the weekly RSI we ultimately saw a 50% drop or even more if you look a bit further down the chart.
2017 was a different rodeo back then. It was my first jump into investing and I caught the pump around 8500 all the way to 20k. We lost a lot of ground really fast. Within weeks people were saying BTC is dead and it was all over. Alts were significantly stronger and the dominance alts held was much higher. Now Bitcoin is ruling the roost as far as dominance. At nearly 70% Bitcoin is remarkably higher than It was in 2018. In fact we dropped to 1/2 where we are now. 35%. Which meant alts controlled 65% of the market as a whole early on in 2018. But as time progressed dominance returned to Bitcoin and now we are back at 70%. Just like we were last ATH back in 2017. I know people are watching for alts to jump and keeping an eye on dominance is a key to this equation if you ask me.
This break out was largely fueled by a huge dip back in March where we had some huge buys and volume spiked. People like to buy that dip and that started out trek up the charts. From 3800 we made it to a 2.5 year trend line. After being rejected from it 3 times over the last 2.5 years we finally burst through it at around 10k. Breaking this resistance was key to the bull run. Once we broke it the evidence is clear on the charts. We went parabolic pretty soon after that. I didnt even mention the halving that happened in May of this year. Also another reason for the bullish chart action. It takes months before a halving pump shows its face and this is the 3rd real time that we have seen this happen. I think its safe to say the halvings are pretty reliable. As long as you are patient.
Not to mention institutional buyers are getting into the mix. Paypal offering Bitcoin has been a huge deal for the cryptocurrency. We are seeing the results of the perfect storm and after 3 years of getting nowhere near 20k we beat it with relative ease this bulls run. If we do start losing ground the 4hr 50 MA is my first line in the sand. Its been reliable as support over the course of this run only failing a few times . We are currently sitting above the support so until that changes I will remain optimistic. I still dont have the guts to bet against the bulls. But I must remind you there is a big nearly 2000 dollar gap below us. Losing 2k would still leave us above 24k but when people see a drop like that it could trigger a domino knee jerk reaction where fomo is reversed and people wanna sell before they lose all their profit. That is what a stop loss is for folks. Thats why I recommend it. Even if its at 15k. Ive seen Bitcoin lose 50% in hours. Im not saying that it is certainly bound to happen this go round but I wouldnt ignore history. What goes up normally comes down.
Stimulus was approved so lets see how Bitcoin takes the news. Right now its 600 USD per citizen (US) but they are fighting for much more. With that in mind I imagine many o USD will be printed or simply created out of thin air. This could fuel Bitcoins rise as inflation of the underlying base currency Bitcoin is naturally compared against makes Bitcoin more valuable as a rule vs the USD which has not 21 million coin limit Im afraid. That is the reason they took us off the gold standard after all. It makes it easier to inflate that USD. Bitcoin has a super bright future. 500 billion dollar market cap. Nothing to shake a stick at folks. I hope you all have a great day and I hope a look at the weekly makes you as proud as I am for sticking it out throughout all those bear months. Make good choices and always remember... WTFDIK??
TLDR: Year is almost over. Bulls are still in charge but Im watching for the bears. I can smell em.