Daily Futures Volatility Forecast 23 May 22 Gold, Silver, Oil

May 23, 2022

GOLD 23 May 2022
For today, based on the last 30 days, the current implied volatility is around 1.06% movement.
So with a more than 78% chance we can estimate that the current daily channel made with 1845 open candle value, is going to be:
TOP 1845 + 20 -> aprox 1865
BOT 1845 - 20 -> aprox 1825

At the same time, if we want to increase our probability, we can go for a IV of 1.55%
With this we can achieve over the last 5000+ daily candles, a 90% probability.
So in this case , our daily channel is going to be compressed within
TOP 1845 + 28 -> aprox 1873
BOT 1845 - 28 -> aprox 1817



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SILVER 23 May 2022
For today, based on the last 30 days, the current implied volatility is around 1.86% movement.
So with a more than 78% chance we can estimate that the current daily channel made with 21.73 open candle value, is going to be:
TOP 21.73 + 0.4 -> aprox 22.13
BOT 21.73 - 0.4 -> aprox 21.32

At the same time, if we want to increase our probability, we can go for a IV of 2.92%
With this we can achieve over the last 5000+ daily candles, a 90% probability.
So in this case , our daily channel is going to be compressed within
TOP 21.73 + 0.64 -> aprox 22.36
BOT 21.73 - 0.64 -> aprox 21.09



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Crude Oil 23 May 2022
For today, based on the last 30 days, the current implied volatility is around 3.19% movement.
So with a more than 78% chance we can estimate that the current daily channel made with 110.5 open candle value, is going to be:
TOP 110.5 + 3.55 -> aprox 114
BOT 110.5 - 3.55 -> aprox 107

At the same time, if we want to increase our probability, we can go for a IV of 5.1%
With this we can achieve over the last 5000+ daily candles, a 90% probability.
So in this case , our daily channel is going to be compressed within
TOP 110.5 + 5.66 -> aprox 116
BOT 110.5 - 5.66 -> aprox 105



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