The longer the dollar index
takes to break down lower, weekly volatility
as measured by the Bollinger bands
continues to contract, lowering the odds of an immediate decline. The 1st alternatives for a small bump up as discussed yesterday, however, the 2nd alternate is that a larger wave C bounce, back to the top end of the range near 95 can also take place. The weekly momentum remains in buy mode adding weight to the potential for further consolidation in wave 2 longer-term before wave 3 down can start.