EURUSD is trending down

Oct 6, 2023

Support for lower EUR/USD remains in early 4Q but becomes less clear in November and December, when seasonality indicates a weak USD and positive risk appetite, SEB Research analysts say in a note. "However, in October, the relative rate spread tends to be supportive of a lower EUR/USD," they say. Current macroeconomic trends also support a stronger USD, with the soft-landing narrative and "higher for longer" monetary policy stance having a strong hold on markets, they say. The euro trades 0.1% lower at $1.0538.