Gold’s Recent Movement and Market SentimentXAUUSD: Gold Bounces Strongly From the Bottom, Is This the Start of a New Uptrend?
🌍 Macro Overview – Gold’s Recent Movement and Market Sentiment
Gold recently experienced a strong bounce from the 3.282 USD/oz low, reaching up to 3.317 USD/oz. This move has sparked some optimism, but let’s take a look at the key macro factors that might be affecting gold:
📉 US bond yields have dropped, signaling that market risk aversion is starting to return
💵 The USD remains strong, but buying interest for gold in Asia is increasing, as confidence in fiat currencies begins to wane
🇪🇺 The EU is pushing ahead with negotiations with the US on tariffs before the August 1st deadline. If these talks break down, gold could benefit significantly
🏦 The Fed is maintaining interest rates, but the market is betting that cuts could come in September if inflation remains under control
📊 US unemployment data and the Fed’s speech tonight will be key, with the market waiting anxiously for clues on the Fed’s next move
📊 Technical Analysis – Gold Approaching Key Resistance Zones
Gold is trading within a descending channel, but signs of a breakout are emerging after a solid test of the bottom.
Key resistance levels are around 3330 – 3340, and these will be crucial in determining whether gold can continue its upward momentum.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) has appeared between 3310 – 3320, which suggests that if buying pressure remains, a breakout could be on the horizon.
🎯 Trading Strategy for Today – Focused on Clear Entry Points
🟢 BUY SCALP:
Entry: 3310 – 3308
SL: 3304
TP: 3314 → 3318 → 3322 → 3326 → 3330
🔵 BUY ZONE (safer entry points):
Entry: 3290 – 3288
SL: 3284
TP: 3294 → 3298 → 3302 → 3306 → 3310 → 3320 → 3330
🔴 SELL SCALP (if price hits resistance levels):
Entry: 3335 – 3337
SL: 3342
TP: 3330 → 3325 → 3320 → 3315 → 3310 → 3300
⚫ SELL ZONE (strong resistance at 3360-3362):
Entry: 3360 – 3362
SL: 3366
TP: 3356 → 3352 → 3348 → 3344 → 3340 → 3336 → 3330
📌 Note:
Always place SL and TP to protect your account, especially in a market that may experience significant volatility.
Monitor the volume from London and New York sessions for clearer market direction. A strong breakout above resistance could signal the start of a new uptrend.
💬 Gold has bounced strongly, but is this the start of a larger rally, or just a brief pullback? What do you think about today’s potential trend? Share your thoughts in the comments below!
Forexsignals
Nifty 50 Intraday Trade Plan - 7 July 2025✅ Bullish Zones (Call Option - CE Buy Levels):
Above 25,133 ➤ Hold CE by Safe Zone level
Above 25,270 ➤ Hold CE by key level
Above 25,380 ➤ Opening S1 Breakout – Hold CE
Above 25,528 ➤ Positive Trade View (10M volume base)
Above 25,628 ➤ Entry level for CE holding
Above 25,742 ➤ Closing Shot – Cover Short Positions
🔻 Bearish Zones (Put Option - PE Buy Levels):
Below 25,133 ➤ Unwinding Level – Hold PE
Below 25,270 ➤ Key level – Hold PE
Below 25,380 ➤ Opening R1 Breakdown – Hold PE
Below 25,528 ➤ Negative Trade View
Below 25,628 ➤ Risky Zone for holding PE
Below 25,742 ➤ Safe Zone for holding PE
🔁 Trendline & Structure Notes:
Downtrend resistance visible around 25,528–25,628 zone.
If price breaks above trendline and sustains, expect bullish momentum.
Support near 25,133 and strong base seen around 25,000 zone.
Trading with Professionalsnvesting Basics
Investing involves allocating money into assets with the expectation of generating income or profit over time. Unlike trading, investing usually focuses on long-term wealth building.
Investment Vehicles:
Stocks: Equity ownership in companies.
Bonds: Fixed-income securities.
Mutual Funds: Pooled investments managed by professionals.
ETFs: Funds that track indices and can be traded like stocks.
Real Estate: Property investments.
Investment Strategies:
Value Investing: Buying undervalued stocks.
Growth Investing: Investing in companies with high growth potential.
Dividend Investing: Focusing on stocks that provide regular income.
Risk Management in Investing:
Diversification across sectors and asset classes.
Regular portfolio rebalancing.
Long-term focus to absorb short-term volatility
USDJPY Trade Recommendation – Second SELL Entry (15-Min Chart)🔻 Strategy: Continue selling with the short-term downtrend, entering on technical pullback
🎯 Trade Setup:
Sell Entry Zone: 143.94 – 144.00
Stop Loss (SL): 144.45 (just above SMA89 and minor resistance zone)
Take Profit (TP): 143.28 – 143.36
Risk:Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:2.5 to 1:3
📊 Technical Analysis:
1. Trend Direction:
The market is clearly in a short-term downtrend on the 15-minute timeframe.
Price has been forming lower highs and lower lows, indicating strong bearish pressure.
2. Dynamic Resistance – SMA89:
SMA89 (red line) is acting as dynamic resistance, consistently rejecting price.
The entry zone aligns with previous minor resistance and the down-sloping SMA, making it ideal for re-entry short positions.
3. Target Zone – Technical Support:
TP zone (143.28 – 143.36) is a recent swing low/support level, likely to be revisited if bearish momentum continues.
=> Fl and tradding with me!
Institutional Option Trading Part -4Common Institutional Option Strategies
Covered Call Writing: Selling call options against stock holdings to generate income.
Protective Puts: Buying puts to insure portfolios against downside risk.
Spreads (Vertical, Horizontal, Diagonal): Limiting risk while aiming for a defined profit range.
Straddles and Strangles: Betting on volatility, regardless of market direction.
Iron Condors: Selling out-of-the-money calls and puts to profit from low volatility.
Tools and Platforms
Order Management Systems (OMS): To handle complex orders efficiently.
Execution Management Systems (EMS): For rapid and algorithmic order execution.
Advanced Analytical Software: For options pricing, risk assessment, and scenario analysis.
Advantages of Institutional Option Trading
Ability to execute large trades without significant slippage.
Access to lower fees due to trade volume.
Enhanced risk management capabilities.
Learn Institutional Trading Part-2What is Investing?
Investing involves committing your money to various assets like stocks, mutual funds, gold, real estate, or bonds to grow your wealth over time. Investing is generally a long-term strategy, focusing on the gradual accumulation of wealth.
Key Types of Investments
Stock Market Investments: Buying shares of companies.
Mutual Funds: Pooling money with other investors.
Bonds: Lending money to companies or governments for interest.
Gold & Real Estate: Physical assets that typically grow over time.
Investment Strategies
Value Investing: Buying undervalued stocks.
Growth Investing: Investing in companies with high growth potential.
Dividend Investing: Investing in companies that pay regular dividends.
Benefits of Investing
Builds wealth over time.
Helps fight inflation.
Provides financial security.
Learn Institutional Option Trading Part-3In India, options are traded primarily on:
NSE (National Stock Exchange)
BSE (Bombay Stock Exchange)
The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) regulates the derivatives market and ensures fair practices.
Why is Option Trading Popular in India?
Leverage: Traders can control large positions with small capital.
Hedging: Investors use options to protect their portfolios from market fluctuations.
Income Generation: Strategies like covered calls can provide regular income.
Speculation: Traders can bet on price movements with limited risk.
XAU/USD Bullish Breakout from Flag PatternBullish Flag Formation: The price consolidated in a downward-sloping flag after a sharp bullish move. A breakout has occurred, signaling renewed buying pressure.
Support Zone: The breakout aligns with the horizontal support area around 3,392, reinforcing the bullish bias.
Upside Targets: Based on price structure and measured move projection:
First target: 3,435 – 3,452
Final target zone: 3,500+
Momentum Confirmation: The Ichimoku cloud supports bullish continuation as price trades above it, showing strong upward momentum.
Conclusion:
Gold appears to be resuming its uptrend after a brief consolidation. As long as price holds above the breakout level (around 3,392), the bullish targets remain valid. Ideal scenario for continuation traders looking for entries on minor pullbacks
Gold Eyes Breakout from Ascending Channel Toward $3,500📈 Chart Analysis
1. Rising Channel Structure
Gold (XAU/USD) has been trading within an upward-sloping channel, marked by the blue trendlines connecting interior lows and highs, culminating at point C (~$3,497). The latest bounce off the lower channel near “B” reinforces bullish bias – if this trendline holds, another leg higher toward resistance around $3,497–$3,500 is likely.
2. Support & Resistance Confluence
The purple trendline and the dotted horizontal green level (~$3,498) converge near the projected breakout point. This synergy provides a strong pivot zone — a successful breakout would validate targets near channel highs.
3. Harmonic Pattern in Play
The chart displays a bullish harmonic structure (likely a Bat or Gartley formation), with retracement ratios (0.719, 1.627) anchoring reversal areas. These reinforce the bounce at B and the potential move toward point C.
4. Trade Scenarios
Bullish Scenario (primary): A bounce off the trendline triggers a rally to the channel top and resistance zone ($3,497–$3,500).
Bearish Caution: A drop below the trendline invalidates the pattern, potentially bringing prices back to horizontal support around $3,296 or even $3,120, as indicated at point A.
🛠️ Technical & Market Context
Technicals: Daily trend remains bullish as long as price holds above ~$3,340–$3,350, with resistance forming in the $3,380–$3,400 range
.
Fundamentals: Geopolitical tension (e.g., Middle East conflict) and safe-haven inflows continue to underpin gold — though Citi expects prices to eventually correct toward $3,300–$3,500 mid‑term
Sentiment: Some analysts advocate “selling the rallies,” especially into the $3,450–$3,500 zone . But central banks’ ongoing buying and potential Fed rate cuts support a stronger floor
.
✅ Trade Strategy
Scenario Entry Zone Target Stop Loss Placement
Play the Bounce ~$3,350–$3,360 $3,497–$3,500 Below trendline near B zone (~$3,320)
Breakout Trade On momentum above $3,400 $3,497–$3,550 Below breakout (sub-$3,380)
Bearish Trigger Break & close below trendline Back to $3,296 / 3,120 Just above trendline ($3,360)
🔍 Summary
Gold remains in a structurally bullish setup inside an ascending channel. The confluence of harmonic reversal, strong trendline support, and pending fundamental catalysts presents a high-probability opportunity to push toward the $3,500 area—provided the trendline and $3,340–$3,350 support hold. A drop below would invalidate the bullish outlook and favor deeper retracement.
EUR/USD Potential Reversal from Resistance Zone –Bearish OutlookThe EUR/USD pair has been trading within a well-defined ascending channel for several weeks. Price recently tested a strong resistance zone near 1.15850 – 1.16000, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel and a previously marked supply area.
Key observations:
The price action shows signs of rejection from the resistance zone with a potential double-top or fakeout pattern forming.
A projected bearish trajectory is marked, suggesting a possible break below the channel support.
Immediate bearish targets are set at key demand zones around 1.14500, 1.12500, and further down to 1.10500.
A large red arrow indicates the strong downside bias if the price confirms the breakdown.
Conclusion:
If EUR/USD fails to sustain above the 1.15850 resistance zone and breaks below the ascending channel, a strong bearish correction is anticipated. Traders should watch for confirmation of the breakdown before entering short positions.
Gold on the Rise! – Bullish Setup in Focus The chart shows a repeating consolidation‑then‑breakout pattern, with Gold forming ascending swing structures, consolidating in rectangles (green), then riding higher along a rising trendline (purple). Price has just bounced off that trendline again, signaling a possible new leg up—potentially targeting the upper range near $3,448–3,450. A clear breakout above that level could open the door toward $3,500+.
📍 Trading Plan
🎯 Entry
Long on breakout above recent consolidation highs (~$3,440–3,448).
Alternatively, buy the dip near the purple trendline (~$3,385–3,390), with confirmation (hammer candle, bounce).
🛑 Stop‑Loss
For breakout: just below the top of the rectangle consolidation (~$3,389).
For trendline entry: slightly below recent swing low (~$3,358–3,360).
🎯 Profit Targets
Primary: upper rectangle level (~$3,448–3,450).
Extension: historic all‑time high region (~$3,500) → next major zone.
🎥 Path
Potential minor pullback toward trendline.
Bounce establishes support.
Surge toward top of range.
Breakout with trend continuation to new highs.
📊 Trade Risk & Reward
Target ~60–100 pts above entry, stop ~50 pts below → ideal Risk:Reward ≥ 1:1.2.
📌 Key Levels to Monitor
Level Role
$3,360 Swift dip support (green base line)
$3,390–3,400 Trendline confluence zone
$3,440–3,450 Breakout area & top of rectangle
$3,500 Next major resistance/all‑time high
🧭 Market Context & Drivers
Broad uptrend remains intact amid geopolitical tensions, especially the Israel–Iran situation, which continues to support safe-haven flows
investing.com
+15
reuters.com
+15
barrons.com
+15
forex24.pro
+1
goldpredictors.com
+1
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Markets are positioning ahead of Fed’s June 18 decision; dovish signals could fuel continuation toward new highs (~$3,500+)
fxempire.com
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Technical structure reflects bullish momentum—ascending wedge patterns with shallow dips and strong trendline bounces
fxstreet.com
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✅ Summary
Bias: Bullish – uptrend intact.
Strategy: Go long on dip near trendline or on breakout above $3,445.
Stop‑Loss: Just below last swing low ($3,360).
Targets:
Near-term: $3,448–3,450
Medium-term: $3,500+
Stay tuned for Fed statements and Middle East headlines—they’ll be catalysts.
Option Trading Master class Part -7Fundamentals of Stock Investing
Types of Investors:
Value Investors: Focus on undervalued companies
Growth Investors: Target high-growth potential stocks
Dividend Investors: Prefer regular income from dividends
Research Parameters:
Earnings per Share (EPS)
Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E)
Return on Equity (ROE)
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Industry Trends
Tools for Investing:
Demat and Trading Account
Research Platforms (e.g., TradingView, Screener.in)
Portfolio Tracker (e.g., Zerodha Console)
BTC/USDT Bullish Reversal Zone AnalysisSupport Zone:
The horizontal purple box (~104,000 USDT area) has acted as a strong support/resistance flip zone multiple times.
Falling Wedge Breakout:
The price action broke out of a falling wedge pattern earlier, confirming bullish momentum.
Flag Formation (Current):
A smaller bullish flag/pennant appears to be forming, and a breakout above could trigger a strong upward move.
Projected Move:
The black arrow indicates a potential bounce from this support zone, with the price targeting the 111,000–112,000 USDT zone (highlighted in the top purple box).
Volume Spike:
Notable volume spike near the bottom supports the idea of accumulation and possible reversal.
📈 Conclusion:
If the support zone holds and price breaks above the minor flag, a bullish continuation is likely toward the 111,000–112,000 resistance area. Traders should watch for confirmation of a breakout and volume increase for validation.
AUD/USD at Critical Resistance — Bearish Outlook Below 0.65381. Major Resistance Zone: 0.65380
Price is currently testing a strong horizontal resistance level at 0.65380, a level that has been tested multiple times (as shown by the pink circles).
This level has acted as a historical turning point, which increases its significance.
2. Price Structure: Lower Highs and Equal Highs
The chart reveals a potential double top or distribution pattern, forming under the 0.65380 resistance.
This suggests weakening bullish momentum and increases the probability of a bearish reversal.
3. Projected Bearish Path (White Dotted Lines):
If price fails to break above 0.65380 decisively, the expected move is a stepwise decline.
The projected path targets several support levels:
0.65003
0.64647
0.64213
0.63957
Final target: 0.63627, a key support from early May.
4. Support & Resistance Zones:
Resistance Levels:
0.65380 (Major)
0.65003
Support Levels (Sequential Targets):
0.64647
0.64213
0.63957
0.63627
5. Confluence with Fundamentals:
U.S. economic events (highlighted at the bottom with calendar icons) may act as volatility triggers, potentially accelerating this move.
✅ Summary & Trading Implications:
Bias: Bearish below 0.65380
Trade Idea: Watch for rejection at resistance or break below 0.65003 for confirmation.
Bearish Targets: Gradual move toward 0.63627 with key pauses at intermediate support levels.
Invalidation: Daily close above 0.65380 would negate the bearish setup and open potential for new highs.
Option Trading with Option chainIf you're looking for a simple options trading definition, it goes something like this: Options trading gives you the right or obligation to buy or sell a specific security on or by a specific date at a specific price. An option is a contract that's linked to an underlying asset, such as a stock or another security.
Options trading also involves two parties: the holder (buyer) and the writer (sometimes called the seller). Holders are investors who purchase contracts, while writers create them. The holder pays the writer a premium for the right to sell or buy a stock by a certain date.
Potential Breakdown with Retest or Reversal Zone This chart represents a classic Double Top pattern, a bearish reversal signal indicating strong resistance around the 3,380 - 3,390 USD zone (marked with two white circles).
🔍 Key Zones and Levels:
1. Resistance Zone (~3,380 - 3,390 USD):
Price was rejected twice here.
Suggests strong selling pressure and buyer exhaustion.
2. Mid Support/Retest Zone (~3,337.857 USD):
Marked with a horizontal white line.
Could act as a short-term resistance if price retraces.
3. Demand Zone (~3,330 - 3,337 USD):
Highlighted green box: potential reversal/retest zone.
Bullish scenario: price bounces from here and heads back to retest resistance.
4. Current Price (~3,309.980 USD):
Price has broken below the demand zone and is approaching strong horizontal support.
5. Lower Support (~3,265 - 3,270 USD):
Highlighted with blue horizontal lines and purple arrows.
Could be the next bearish target if breakdown is confirmed.
🔄 Two Possible Scenarios:
📉 Bearish Continuation:
Price retests the broken demand zone (now resistance).
Rejects and forms a lower high.
Falls toward the lower support around 3,265–3,270 USD.
📈 Bullish Reversal:
Price reclaims the green demand zone.
Pushes above 3,337.857 USD level.
Heads back to retest the double top area (~3,380
✅ Conclusion:
The bias is currently bearish, supported by:
Double top formation.
Breakdown below key demand zone.
Momentum favoring further downside
However, a bullish reversal is possible if price reclaims the 3,337 USD zone and shows strong bullish structure.
GBPUSD IS BULLISH!!As per analysis, market is trending higher.
Two weeks before market is bullish ( gains a lot).
So last week profit booking happens( just my view only).
Now you know what will happen in bullish market after profit booking,
Yes market will go higher.
My first looking area 1.3632
Second one is 1.3747 area.
This is totally my view only , do your own analysis before taking any decision.
Market is simple, but not easy.
One more thing( I am in a long position from 1.3458)
Technical Analysis on XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) – Bullish Reversal 📊 Chart Overview:
This chart of XAU/USD (Gold) on a lower timeframe shows a potential bullish reversal setup. The price action has formed a series of lower highs and lower lows, but now a bullish momentum is building up, suggesting a possible breakout to the upside.
🔍 Key Observations:
🟠 Swing Points Identified:
The orange circles mark significant swing highs and lows, clearly outlining a recent downtrend.
The latest swing low (bottom-right) shows a strong rejection with a bullish engulfing candle forming, indicating buyer interest.
📦 Demand Zone (Support Area):
The grey rectangle near the lower region marks a demand zone where buyers have stepped in before.
Price has reacted strongly from this zone again, validating it as a key support level.
📉 Resistance Turned Potential Breakout Zone:
The red line (~3,291.416) represents a resistance level that was previously support.
Price has broken above it and now appears to be retesting it, indicating a possible retest-confirmation for a bullish continuation.
🎯 Target & Risk Management:
✅ Entry: Confirmed breakout and retest around 3,291.
📈 Target: 3,364.819 (green zone above), based on previous resistance.
❌ Stop Loss: Below 3,267.772, the recent swing low.
The setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
🧭 Projection Path:
The white arrowed path illustrates a likely pullback before continuation upward, suggesting a bullish structure if confirmed.
✅ Conclusion:
Gold is showing signs of a bullish reversal from a well-defined demand zone, with a potential rally toward the 3,365 area. A successful retest of the broken resistance as new support would strengthen the bullish bias.
📌 Watch closely for confirmation candles on the retest before entering.
BTC SELL Recommendation down 109400Timeframe: M15
Strategy in use: Trend-following and supply/demand zone-based trading
Technical tools:
Moving Averages (MA): Short-term (red) and long-term (blue) SMAs. Price is below both — confirming a bearish trend.
Volume: Declining volume during consolidation suggests weak buying interest.
Resistance zone: Around 110,890 - 110,930, clearly acting as a barrier as shown by repeated candle rejections.
Price Pattern: After a technical pullback, BTC hits resistance and forms a short setup.
📉 BTC SELL Recommendation
Sell Entry: 110,840 – 110,900
Stop Loss (SL): 111,023 (above resistance zone)
Take Profit (TP): 109,400
Risk:Reward Ratio: Estimated at 1:3 — suitable for a short-term swing strategy.
🧩 Reasons for Entering a Short Trade
Price below MAs, showing bearish momentum.
Strong resistance zone at 110,890 – 111,023 with multiple rejections.
Falling volume during the pullback, indicating weak demand.
Bearish candle structure: Sellers are currently in control.
Good R:R ratio, with profit potential down to 109,400.
⚠️ Warning
If the price closes above 111,023 with strong volume, this setup becomes invalid.
Watch for price action during the U.S. session — it’s key to the next major move
XAU/USD Elliott Wave Count: Preparing for Final ImpulseXAU/USD appears to be in a textbook 5-wave impulsive structure on the 4H chart, with the market now completing Wave 4 as a classic ABC corrective flat/pennant.
The impulsive move from the Wave 2 low has formed clear internal substructures, with Wave 3 exhibiting extended price action, consistent with Elliott Wave guidelines.
Currently, price is consolidating in a contracting pattern labeled Wave 4 (A-B-C), which looks to be near completion. Based on wave symmetry and Fibonacci projections, a strong upside move is anticipated once Wave 4 concludes, leading into the final Wave 5 rally.
Entry Zone: 3286.875
Target: 3367.440– 3410.210
Stop Loss: Below 3260.190.
GBP/USD at a Turning Point – Correction Pattern in PlayIt appears that the corrective Wave A in the GBP/USD pair is nearing completion, and the formation of Wave B may be underway. The Wave 1 to 5 structure seems to have been completed, indicating the beginning of an A-B-C corrective phase.
If the correction unfolds as expected, potential upside targets are 1.32918 and 1.33555. However, if the market faces rejection below the trendline, the stop-loss level would be 1.32021.