EURUSD 21/7/24

Jul 21

Here is EUR/USD. Following on from last week, we provided a basic trend continuation idea that played out perfectly, even though it went against the higher time frame bias established earlier this year. We are now looking at a variation of this same trend movement. We have seen a break of the potential liquidity stored across the lows in the form of trendline liquidity. This could be an early indication that we may be shifting structure, which would then suggest that the price is going to change direction and follow the higher time frame bias once again.

Coming into this week, I have three ideas on the table:

1. We play bullish from the area of demand that we are currently sitting in, and the price pushes up and continues the four-hour trend. For example, it will take the four-hour high, which is placed at the upper end of our chart. That would be a trend continuation movement.

2. We push higher from the area of demand, as in the first idea, but in this case, we play off the area of supply, which also lines up with a retest of the liquidity trendline break. If this happens, I would expect the price to play below the four-hour low later this week, bringing us back to a bearish structural bias.

3. The area of demand that we currently sit in fails, and the price breaks the four-hour low, giving us a bearish structure from the first session of the week. I will then be looking for a pullback into the newly established bearish range. Of course, we follow what the price shows us and take what we are given in terms of market movement.

Wishing you all a successful trading week. Trade safe and always follow your plan.