# ๐ GAP Earnings Play (8/28 AMC) ๐
๐ฐ **Bullish Call Setup โ 75% Conviction** ๐ฐ
### ๐ฅ Thesis
* ๐ 4 straight EPS beats (avg +29% surprise)
* ๐ต Strong margins & \$2.2B cash cushion
* ๐ฎ Technicals bullish โ Price \$22.30 > 20/50/200 MA
* ๐ Options flow: heavy \$23C OI, hedging on \$20P (bullish skew)
* ๐ Low VIX (14.9) supports directional move
**Conviction: 75% (Moderate Bullish)** ๐ฏ
---
### ๐ฏ Trade Setup
* **Ticker**: \
* **Direction**: CALL
* **Strike**: \$23.00
* **Expiry**: 2025-08-29
* **Entry Price**: \$0.61 (ASK)
* **Entry Timing**: Pre-earnings close (8/28 AMC)
* **Size**: 1 contract (risk \$61)
---
### ๐ Risk / Reward Plan
* ๐ **Stop Loss**: \$0.30 (-50%)
* ๐ฏ **Profit Target**: \$1.83 (200%) โ \$122 profit per contract
* โก๏ธ **Breakeven**: \$23.61 (+5.9% move)
* โฐ **Exit Rule**: Within 2 hrs post-earnings open OR hit target/stop
---
### ๐ Scenarios
โ **Bull Case**: EPS beat + guide up โ Gap to \$24.5โ25.5 โ Calls \$1.83โ\$2.40 (200โ300%)
โ **Base Case**: Inline โ stock \$21โ23 โ IV crush โ stop \$0.30
โ **Bear Case**: Miss โ stock <\$21 โ calls near 0
---
### ๐ค Model Consensus
* Claude: \$22C @0.99 โ
* Gemini: \$23C @0.61 โ
* Llama: \$23C @0.61 โ
* Grok: \$22C @0.97 โ
๐ **All bullish (72โ78%)** โ Only debate = strike (\$22 vs \$23)
---
๐ฆ **Final Call**:
๐ BUY \
โก๏ธ Quick exit post-print to dodge IV crush
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\#๏ธโฃ Hashtags:
\#EarningsPlay #OptionsTrading #GAP #CallOptions #TradingSetup #StockMarket ๐๐
Free Signals Based on Latest AI models๐ฐ: QuantSignals.xyz
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Free Signals Based on Latest AI models๐ฐ: QuantSignals.xyz
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.