Is this stock potential? How can we trade? HDFC AMC All of the major index and stocks are trading in bearish structure. Market is potentially discounted and we can look for some buy opportunities.
Looking at HDFC AMC stocks, it is still trading in Bullish structure. For any buy setup we would wait for a Change of structure on lower timeframe , mostly on 15 mins.
Look for MSs on 15min and then we can target the daily recent high as future targets.
Trade safe. This is just for educational purposes.
Tradingsetup
Gold Analysis October 10Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices attracted some buyers on Thursday and now appear to have snapped a six-day losing streak to a near three-week low around the $2,605-2,604 region tested the previous day. However, the rally lacked bullish conviction and is likely to run out of steam amid growing bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points (bps) in November. This has helped the US Dollar (USD) maintain its recent strong gains to an eight-week high and will act as a drag on the non-yielding yellow metal.
Traders may also prefer to stay on the sidelines and wait for the release of key US consumer inflation figures later in the North American session. The important US CPI report could influence expectations for the size of the Fed rate cut next month, which would boost demand for USD and provide some meaningful impetus to Gold prices. In addition, developments surrounding the ongoing conflicts in the Middle East will be looked at to capture short-term opportunities around the safe-haven precious metal.
Technical Analysis
The price range to watch for CPI trading strategies. The upper price range of 2626 and 2638 became one of the first major SELL zones in the Asian session yesterday. The 2638-2640 area is the critical zone of the EMA.
The lower price range is focused on the US session around 2605 and the important breakout zone of 2594 will be notable in today's US session. This short-term downtrend is not over yet as the gold price has not been able to close the day above the 263x area. Wishing everyone a successful trading.
APL APOLLO in Making Wave ((4))
Reason :Month chart structure is clear bullish sequence making Higher High and Higher lows.
Trend is Upwards, So trade will be buying
Now opportunity for buying in Uptrend means, when we get corrective wave formation scenario like wave 2 or Wave no 4 in any degree. so that we can En-cash the upcoming Impulsive major moves in the form of wave 3 and wave 5 in general.
In this chart as per my Elliot Wave count and analysis we are into making of Flat correction pattern Wave ((4)) in Black which is a corrective wave. The same can be completed at 1253 range when the wave (A) blue equal Wave (C) blue which is yet in making.
So the Fibonacci Extension level from mapped from (A)-(B) blue gives us the Range of 1253.5 - 1027.55 which is 100% and 161.8% of Fibonacci Extension.
Once price passes 1027.55 it will be like a impulsive wave on downside and their will be change in wave count and we may have a further deep correction in stock.
However till then we can go with the current view and plan a Buying at 1253.5 Level.
Trade Management :
We can expect min. Bounce in 3 wave up from the Blue box mentioned.
Once we are filled with buy order we will be booking partial profit of 50% Qty at 50% Fibonacci Extension of Wave (C) blue and subsequently will move our stop oss from Exiting 1027 Level to Entry level and Make our trade Risk Free.
and Keep trailing Stop loss for balance 50% Qty once our trade moves in our direction Stop loss will be placed at low of previous Swings.
Happy Trading
Regards
Vijay DHAGE
profitadda_iteind
Wondering where the Dollar is headed next? He're is a hint. Analysis
A five wave decline from 107.34, the high on Oct 03, 2023 to 100.62, the low on Dec 28, 2023.
In Elliott terms, this impulse structure tells us that the movement at the next larger degree of trend is also downwards. Within this impulsive structure, wave (i) is a Leading Diagonal, wave (ii) is a Flat which neatly predicts a Zigzag wave (iv) by guideline of Alternation. Both waves (iii) and (v) are extensions. The impulsive decline holds well within the parallel trend channel as is often expected.
A five wave move is always followed by a three wave corrective pullback or variation thereof, irregardless of degree; in this case, a rally wave ((ii)).
To where? The Elliott wave guideline on the depth of corrective waves suggests that price action should ideally end within the span of travel of the previous fourth wave of one lesser degree.
Second, the ensuing correction, wave (ii) is unfolding as a sharp Double Zigzag correction labelled (w)-(x)-(y) with waves (w) and (x) completed, wave (y) in progress.
In ratio relationships, sharp corrections tend more frequently to retrace 61.8% of the previous wave particularly when they occur as wave (ii) of an Impulse or wave (b) in a larger Zigzag.
Also, the actionary waves in a Double Zigzag correction namely waves (w) and (y) are often related by equality or Fibonacci (0.618) in time or amplitude.
wave (y) = 0.618 X (w) at 104.87; this level falls neatly within the previous guidelines.
Thus, the cluster of evidence suggest the rally is nearing its end and a reversal is onset; a third wave.
Trade Plan
1) Conservative Approach
Entry: Short at 104.879; the 0.618 retracement.
Protective Stop: 107.34; in an Impulse wave (ii) CAN NEVER retrace more than 100% of wave (i).
Target: 10.87 decline; in an impulse the third wave commonly travels 1.618 times the loss of
the first, as in:
wave ((i)) = -6.72 (100.62-107.34),
wave ((iii))= 1.618 X (-6.72) equals (-10.87)
Risk-Reward: 1:3
2) Aggressive Approach
Requires price action to break below a recent swing low; wave b of a Zigzag, that will virtually suggest the rally has ended and a reversal was underway.
Entry: Break below 103.89
Protective Stop: Recent swing high
Targets: Below 100.62
Risk-Reward: Greater than 1:3
NOTE: Stay tuned to get follow-up adjustments to stops as we monitor the move through completion.
EUR/USD: A Third Wave of an Impulse in Sight Analysis
The advance from Oct. 03, 2023 low of 1.0448 to 1.1140 subdivides into five waves. This wave pattern is significant because impulse waves identify the direction of the dominant trend. Thus the five wave advance implies further buying to come that would take prices above 1.1140 as wave 3.
The subsequent decline in EUR/USD is developing in three waves; Double Zigzag correction labelled ((w))-((x))-((y)) with wave ((y) in progress, supports this analysis. Counter trend price action typically consists of three waves, it's slow, choppy and often contained within parallel lines.
The depth of corrective wave guideline suggests that corrections tend to register their maximum retracement within the span of travel of the previous fourth wave of one lesser degree, most often ending near its terminus.
More over, in ratio relationships, sharp corrections tend more frequently to retrace 61.8% of the previous wave particularly when they occur as wave 2 of an Impulse or wave B in a larger Zigzag. Observe that this level is near the previous fourth wave of one lesser degree.
Within wave 2, wave ((y)) = 0.618 X ((w)) at 1.0701. Observe that this level is near the previous guidelines.
All this evidence virtually suggest that a bottom is at hand and a reversal could be around the corner.
Trade Plan
Entry: Buy at Market Price
Protective Stop: 1.0448;in an Impulse wave 2 CAN NEVER retrace 100% of wave 1.
Target: 1120 pips; in an Impulse the third wave commonly travels 1.618 times the gain of the
first as in; wave 1 = 692 pips (1.1140-1.0448), wave 3 = (1.618 X 692)
Risk-Reward: 1:3
LICI- All time high breakoutInsurance sector in action with leading company giving all time high breakout. LIC of India is giving all time high breakout on daily chart. The volume in last 1-2 months are quite high and stock has till now given a returns of almost 30% in year 2023. This seems just the beginning of rally in this stock.
The next possible levels on the chart is 1083 according to Fibonacci.
Disclaimer: The stock shared is only for educational purpose and does not include any buy or sell recommendations.
Mahindra Lifespace Ltd - LongThe stock is giving fresh breakout on daily chart. The last resistance it made was of 592 level on 15 Sept 2023. Now the stock is crossing this levels with good volume accumulations after a consolidation of 4 months.
A fresh rally may come after this breakout. Keep this stock in your radar.
Motilal Oswal - Long term BreakoutMotilal Oswal has given a massive breakout of year 2017 on daily chart. This stock has given almost 80% return in year 2023 and around 30% return in last one month.
This breakout is all time high for this stock and entered in blue sky zone where there is no resistance upside. Generally stocks gives huge returns after all time high breakout. The possible targets from here can be found using Fibonacci retrenchment.
Disclaimer: Stock shared for educational purpose and not a buy or sell recommendations
Apollo Tyre - Fresh BreakoutApollo Tyre giving a fresh breakout on daily chart. The last high of 464 (on closing basis) on the daily chart was made on 19 Dec 2023. Now today that high has been broken with good volume accumulation.
The long term chart of this company is very good and medium to long term investing can be done in this stock.
Disclaimer: The stock shared is only for educational purpose and not any buying and selling recommendations.
TV18 BROADCAST LTD - LONGThe stock is giving confirmation of its uptrend by breaking out level of 56. The next resistance om the chart is seen at around 80.
Shipping Corporation of India - Multi Year Breakout Multi year breakouts are indication of long-term trend change in a stock. It signifies investors perception change about a stock. Generally it has been seen that after multi-year breakout stock rally more than twice or thrice from the current price.
The stock chart of Shipping corporation of India has been shared in this illustration. The stock is giving all time high breakout of around 170 after almost 15-years on daily, weekly and monthly time frame. The daily chart breakout has been confirmed but weekly and monthly chart breakout will come today and by end of this month respectively.
Disclaimer: The stock shared is only for educational purpose and does not involved any buying or selling recommendations.
Bank of Baroda - Multi-year breakoutBank of baroda stock is giving breakout of 2010. The stock has tried to give breakout of the same level in 2014 but got failed and after multiple attempts, the stock was not able give a successful closing above levels of 204-218. Now the stock is giving a multi-year breakout with increasing volumes. Study this chart closely.
Disclaimer: The stock shared is only for educational purpose.