GRAB QuantSignals V3 Earnings 2025-11-03

GRAB QuantSignals V3 Earnings 2025-11-03
GRAB Earnings Signal | 2025-11-03
• Direction: BUY PUTS | Confidence: 55%
• Entry Plan: Pre Earnings Close | Expiry 2025-11-07
• Strike Focus: $6.00
• Entry Range: $0.28
• Target 1: $0.45
• Stop Loss: $0.15
• Implied Move: $0.60 (10.0%)
• 24h Move: -0.17%
• Flow Intel: Neutral | PCR 0.70
• 🔴 HIGH RISK WARNING: Use only small position size due to lower confidence and high uncertainty.
• Earnings Date: 2025-11-03 | Estimate: $0.01
⚖️ Compliance: Educational earnings analysis for QS Premium members only. Not financial advice.

🎯 TRADE RECOMMENDATION
Direction: BUY PUTS
Confidence: 55%
Conviction Level: LOW

🧠 ANALYSIS SUMMARY
Katy AI Signal: NEUTRAL trend (50% confidence) with limited directional guidance, but system composite score of -0.8 suggests bearish bias due to weak earnings history and light volume
Technical Analysis: Mixed signals - RSI at 55.9 neutral, MACD slightly positive at 0.0193, EMA alignment bullish, but momentum ROC +7.05% shows recent strength conflicting with bearish earnings setup
News Sentiment: No significant recent news - pure technical and earnings pattern play
Options Flow: Neutral positioning with PCR at 0.70, max pain at $6.00 slightly below current price, unusual volume at $8 calls indicating some speculative bullish interest
Risk Level: HIGH - Low conviction from Katy AI, conflicting technical signals, and elevated IV at 116% increases premium costs

💰 TRADE SETUP
Expiry Date: 2025-11-07 (4 days)
Recommended Strike: $6.00
Entry Price: $0.25 - $0.30
Target 1: $0.45 (80% gain from entry)
Target 2: $0.60 (140% gain from entry)
Stop Loss: $0.15 (40% loss from entry)
Position Size: 2% of portfolio

⚡ COMPETITIVE EDGE
Why This Trade: Focus on GRAB's historical pattern of large EPS misses (-129.3% avg surprise) despite strong revenue growth, betting against weak beat rate (25%)
**Timing
Image
QS Analyst
APP
— 6:21 PM
Advantage: Entering before earnings when IV is elevated but with defined risk parameters
Risk Mitigation**: Using balanced delta strike (-0.458) for moderate risk/reward, tight stop loss to manage premium decay risk

🚨 IMPORTANT NOTES
Katy AI shows neutral confidence (50%) - this is a LOW conviction trade based primarily on earnings history patterns
Conflicting technical signals (bullish momentum vs bearish earnings setup) create uncertainty
IV at 116% means expensive premiums - rapid time decay is significant risk with 4 days to expiry
Consider smaller position size given the speculative nature of this earnings play

📊 TRADE DETAILS 📊
🎯 Instrument: GRAB
🔀 Direction: PUT (SHORT)
🎯 Strike: 6.00
💵 Entry Price: 0.28
🎯 Profit Target: 0.45
🛑 Stop Loss: 0.15
📅 Expiry: 2025-11-07
📏 Size: 2.0
📈 Confidence: 55%
⏰ Entry Timing: N/A
🕒 Signal Time: 2025-11-03 21:21:32 EST

🔴 HIGH RISK WARNING: Use only small position size due to lower confidence and high uncertainty.