Amit_Ghosh
Long

Manappuram Finance Kerala Flood Effect

NSE:MANAPPURAM   MANAPPURAM FINANCE
Fundamentally it got crashed on the news of Kerala Flood because 5 percent of branch network for Muthoot Finance is in Kerala with 50 percent of the lending book contributed by Southern states. But the point is, they have six type of services. They always give loans on having security i.e. gold , land, home, vehicle.

Apart from the commercial vehicle segment which is a pretty new service but also well protected as they give to school/college/companies only; their entire business is protected!

Technically, it is a clean swing low formed. It is going for its upper channel. The Overall Market sentiment is bullish ; it will definitely be contributing to the bull run.
Comment: Buy at 103.3 with a closing basis stop loss at 100. Update the Stop loss to cost when it touches the first target i.e. 107.5
Comment: It does a huge consolidation in the 95-100 zone anyways. So the best trade with nearing expiry should be Shorting 100 PE at 1.35 which translates into free money of 8100 INR.
Comment: A more conservative bet is - It will sustain 95. Correct? So, selling 95 PE at 0.35 gives 2100 INR. That's what I called free money :)
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Comments

analysis... (Y) good one
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impressive analysis 10/10
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Amit looks like a very plausible idea. I am going to try it.
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