Nifty 50 IndexLong
5th Dec 2024 Crazy stoploss hunting & Injections - Nifty50
Nifty Stance Bullish ⬆
This week Nifty is up 577pts ~ 2.4% which means our stance has changed from neutral to bullish. The price actions on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday were well received and there was sanity in the markets. What happened on the 5th, Thursday is sure to give you shivers.
We saw a 560pts ~ 2.31% intraday rally from LOD to HOD and then a fall of 362pts ~ 1.46% back to the 24500 levels. To put that in perspective, 24600 was the expected closing levels for Today's expiry as per the OI chart, so the violent upmove would have created a lot of MTM loss pressure for the institutions. My guess is that they had to manipulate and bring back the markets below 24600 after 14.30 so they could square off their positions in profits.
Anyway, today's volatility is a massive learning experience for all option traders. Chances are, their stop losses would have gone off both ways, first on the long side and then on the short side. The only people who might have escaped would be the hedged traders - either a debit/credit spread or a iron condor/fly. The worst nightmare would have been for long/short naked positions.
If we fall below 24525, I will change my stance back to neutral-until then, I will stick with a long bias. The MPC meeting on the 6th will definitely have an impact, as it is a make-or-break event for Mr. Shaktikanta Das.
This week Nifty is up 577pts ~ 2.4% which means our stance has changed from neutral to bullish. The price actions on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday were well received and there was sanity in the markets. What happened on the 5th, Thursday is sure to give you shivers.
We saw a 560pts ~ 2.31% intraday rally from LOD to HOD and then a fall of 362pts ~ 1.46% back to the 24500 levels. To put that in perspective, 24600 was the expected closing levels for Today's expiry as per the OI chart, so the violent upmove would have created a lot of MTM loss pressure for the institutions. My guess is that they had to manipulate and bring back the markets below 24600 after 14.30 so they could square off their positions in profits.
Anyway, today's volatility is a massive learning experience for all option traders. Chances are, their stop losses would have gone off both ways, first on the long side and then on the short side. The only people who might have escaped would be the hedged traders - either a debit/credit spread or a iron condor/fly. The worst nightmare would have been for long/short naked positions.
If we fall below 24525, I will change my stance back to neutral-until then, I will stick with a long bias. The MPC meeting on the 6th will definitely have an impact, as it is a make-or-break event for Mr. Shaktikanta Das.
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